NFL Research Terminal
NFL Edge Terminal
Model projections vs the best price across your sportsbooks · edge % · expected value · line movement — refreshed continuously.
Updated 13s ago
Games: Team ratings (PF/PA per game, prior season regressed + current season) → normal win/cover/over probabilities, blended 45% model / 55% no-vig market. Props: Per-game player rates (prior season blended with current) → Poisson/normal over probabilities, blended 35% model / 65% no-vig market. Unpriced lines assume -110.
00 · Game Slate
Today's Games
14 games · tap a game for its full research view — markets by book, every player prop, AI read
FinalFinal
NE4-324
CHI5-23063 propsTop EV +45.4%
FinalFinal
PIT5-216
NO2-51054 propsTop EV +9.6%
FinalFinal
SF6-120
ATL3-42943 propsTop EV +34.1%
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CLE5-227
TEN1-62463 propsTop EV +31.9%
FinalFinal
IND2-510
MIN6-01657 propsTop EV +26.4%
FinalFinal
MIA1-528
NYJ2-52560 propsTop EV +36.7%
FinalFinal
TB2-543
CAR3-31357 propsTop EV +22.1%
FinalFinal
CIN4-235
BAL4-31361 propsTop EV +23.7%
Final/OTFinal
NYG4-2-127
HOU2-52171 propsTop EV +45.4%
FinalFinal
DEN5-230
ARI2-51663 propsTop EV +25.2%
FinalFinal
GB4-317
DET4-22060 propsTop EV +25.5%
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LAR3-435
LV3-42150 propsTop EV +16.7%
FinalFinal
KC5-13
SEA4-32046 propsTop EV +29.3%
FinalFinal
DAL3-438
PHI2-52155 propsTop EV +35.7%
01 · +EV Edge Board
Best +EV Right Now
0 positive-EV opportunities · 0 game markets · 0 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every +EV play on this slate is live or final — tap "Show live/final" to review the 425 results. | ||||||||||||
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02 · Full-Slate Projections
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Model win / cover / over probability vs the best price across all books · fair odds · edge % · tap a game to research it
| Time | Matchup | Proj Score · Total | Best ML · Model % | Fair ML | ML Edge | Spread · Cover % | Fair Line | ATS Edge | Total O / U | Total Edge | Best Bet | Line Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Final FINAL | NE4-324CHI5-230 | 22.7 23.5 | — — | +110 -110 | — — | — — | CHI -1 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | PIT5-216NO2-510 | 24.9 19.8 | — — | -184 +184 | — — | — — | NO +5 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | SF6-120ATL3-429 | 26.8 21.9 | — — | -182 +182 | — — | — — | ATL +5 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | CLE5-227TEN1-624 | 19.2 16.6 | — — | -137 +137 | — — | — — | TEN +2.5 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | IND2-510MIN6-016 | 16.5 23.7 | — — | +242 -242 | — — | — — | MIN -7 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | MIA1-528NYJ2-525 | 19.1 22.6 | — — | +155 -155 | — — | — — | NYJ -3.5 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | TB2-543CAR3-313 | 24.2 23.7 | — — | -106 +106 | — — | — — | CAR +0.5 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | CIN4-235BAL4-313 | 25.3 25.4 | — — | +101 -101 | — — | — — | BAL 0 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final/OT FINAL | NYG4-2-127HOU2-521 | 21.3 25.1 | — — | +159 -159 | — — | — — | HOU -4 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | DEN5-230ARI2-516 | 26.2 18.9 | — — | -245 +245 | — — | — — | ARI +7.5 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | GB4-317DET4-220 | 23.5 27.5 | — — | +163 -163 | — — | — — | DET -4 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | LAR3-435LV3-421 | 28.4 22.2 | — — | -213 +213 | — — | — — | LV +6 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | KC5-13SEA4-320 | 17.7 21.8 | — — | +165 -165 | — — | — — | SEA -4 | — — | — — | — — | — | |
Final FINAL | DAL3-438PHI2-521 | 25.7 24.4 | — — | -117 +117 | — — | — — | PHI +1.5 | — — | — — | — — | — |
Showing 14 of 14
03 · Player Props
Projection vs Market
803 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · * unpriced lines use standard -110 · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalmiss4 | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.65 | +0.15 | -110*DK | +108UD | Under 2.5 | 50.1 | 48.1 | -100 | +2.0% | +4.2% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit78 | Rush Yds | 63.5 | 66.97 | +3.47 | o59.5-121UD | -110*DK | Over 59.5 | 55.8 | 54.8 | -126 | +1.0% | +1.9% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit12 | Rec Yds | 21.5 | 21.48 | -0.02 | -110*DK | u24.5-148UD | Under 24.5 | 59.9 | 59.7 | -149 | +0.2% | +0.3% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit22 | Carries | 14.5 | 14.97 | +0.47 | -108UD | -110*DK | Over 14.5 | 50.7 | 51.9 | -103 | -1.2% | -2.4% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit1 | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.85 | -0.15 | -157UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 57.2 | 61.1 | -134 | -3.9% | -6.4% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit1 | First TD | 1st | 18.4% | +0.6pp | +351UD | — | First TD | 18.4 | 22.2 | +444 | -3.8% | -17.1% | — |
Showing 6 of 6
04 · Market Movement
Line Movement Tracker
Opening → current · 0 up · 0 down · snapshots stored every refresh
| Market | Selection | Open | Current | Price | Δ | Δ Implied | Trend | Move Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No line movement recorded yet. | ||||||||
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05 · Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Model offense / defense in pts per game vs league average (23.01) · 2026 season, prior season regressed in
| # | Team | Record | Net pts/g | Off | Def | Win% vs Avg | L10 | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JAXJacksonville Jaguars | 4-2 | +6.60 | +2.79 | +3.81 | 69.2% | — | L1 |
| 2 |  SEASeattle Seahawks | 4-3 | +6.42 | +2.03 | +4.39 | 68.7% | — | W1 |
| 3 |  SFSan Francisco 49ers | 6-1 | +5.54 | +3.51 | +2.03 | 66.3% | — | L1 |
| 4 |  MINMinnesota Vikings | 6-0 | +4.44 | -1.92 | +6.37 | 63.2% | — | W6 |
| 5 |  BUFBuffalo Bills | 5-1 | +4.21 | +6.49 | -2.28 | 62.5% | — | W2 |
| 6 |  NENew England Patriots | 4-3 | +4.08 | +1.53 | +2.55 | 62.1% | — | L1 |
| 7 |  KCKansas City Chiefs | 5-1 | +3.93 | -0.11 | +4.04 | 61.7% | — | L1 |
| 8 |  LARLos Angeles Rams | 3-4 | +3.65 | +2.75 | +0.90 | 60.9% | — | W1 |
| 9 |  CHIChicago Bears | 5-2 | +3.27 | +2.27 | +1.00 | 59.8% | — | W2 |
| 10 |  DETDetroit Lions | 4-2 | +2.78 | +5.41 | -2.63 | 58.4% | — | W2 |
| 11 |  CINCincinnati Bengals | 4-2 | +2.04 | +2.48 | -0.44 | 56.1% | — | W2 |
| 12 |  DENDenver Broncos | 5-2 | +1.70 | -1.16 | +2.85 | 55.1% | — | W3 |
| 13 |  HOUHouston Texans | 2-5 | +1.39 | +0.51 | +0.88 | 54.2% | — | L1 |
| 14 |  PITPittsburgh Steelers | 5-2 | +1.32 | -0.53 | +1.84 | 54% | — | W3 |
| 15 |  BALBaltimore Ravens | 4-3 | +0.58 | +1.14 | -0.57 | 51.7% | — | L2 |
| 16 |  GBGreen Bay Packers | 4-3 | +0.43 | -1.32 | +1.75 | 51.3% | — | L1 |
| 17 |  TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-5 | +0.34 | -0.11 | +0.45 | 51% | — | W1 |
| 18 |  DALDallas Cowboys | 3-4 | +0.04 | +3.45 | -3.41 | 50.1% | — | W1 |
| 19 |  NYGNew York Giants | 4-2-1 | -0.79 | -0.02 | -0.77 | 47.6% | — | W1 |
| 20 |  ATLAtlanta Falcons | 3-4 | -0.94 | +0.14 | -1.08 | 47.2% | — | W1 |
| 21 |  INDIndianapolis Colts | 2-5 | -1.12 | +0.67 | -1.79 | 46.6% | — | L3 |
| 22 |  CARCarolina Panthers | 3-3 | -1.80 | +0.33 | -2.13 | 44.6% | — | L1 |
| 23 |  CLECleveland Browns | 5-2 | -2.63 | -3.99 | +1.36 | 42.1% | — | W2 |
| 24 |  PHIPhiladelphia Eagles | 2-5 | -2.81 | -2.82 | +0.01 | 41.6% | — | L5 |
| 25 |  NONew Orleans Saints | 2-5 | -3.72 | -1.32 | -2.40 | 38.9% | — | L1 |
| 26 |  LVLas Vegas Raiders | 3-4 | -4.19 | -0.76 | -3.43 | 37.6% | — | L4 |
| 27 |  NYJNew York Jets | 2-5 | -4.31 | -3.34 | -0.97 | 37.2% | — | L2 |
| 28 |  LACLos Angeles Chargers | 0-6 | -4.59 | -4.42 | -0.17 | 36.4% | — | L6 |
| 29 |  WSHWashington Commanders | 1-4-1 | -5.01 | -1.13 | -3.88 | 35.2% | — | L1 |
| 30 |  MIAMiami Dolphins | 1-5 | -6.28 | -4.12 | -2.16 | 31.7% | — | W1 |
| 31 |  TENTennessee Titans | 1-6 | -6.85 | -5.83 | -1.02 | 30.2% | — | L1 |
| 32 |  ARIArizona Cardinals | 2-5 | -7.24 | -2.06 | -5.18 | 29.2% | — | L1 |
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