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NE @ CHI
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Mon 7:15 PM CTFinalNo line posted
NE
New England Patriots · 4-3
Model 22.7
24–30
Proj total 46.3
CHI
Chicago Bears · 5-2
Model 23.5
No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· Soldier Field
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Moneyline · Spread · Total
Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line
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Game Props
NE @ CHI · Player Props
63 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · * unpriced lines use standard -110 · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cole Kmet CHI TE · vs NE | Finalhit3 | Receptions | 1.5 | 1.88 | +0.38 | +184UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 51.2 | 35.2 | -105 | +16.0% | +45.4% | — | |
 TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss2 | Receptions | 0.5 | 1.25 | +0.75 | -110*DK | +157UD | Under 0.5 | 47.9 | 38.9 | +109 | +9.0% | +23.1% | — | |
 Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalhit5 | Carries | 4.5 | 5.3 | +0.8 | +125UD | -110*DK | Over 4.5 | 52.3 | 44.4 | -110 | +7.9% | +17.7% | — | |
Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalmiss2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.34 | -0.16 | -110*DK | +119UD | Under 1.5 | 52.4 | 45.7 | -110 | +6.7% | +14.8% | — | |
TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss3 | Carries | 6.5 | 10.15 | +3.65 | +105UD | -110*DK | Over 6.5 | 55.0 | 48.8 | -122 | +6.2% | +12.8% | — | |
 Rome Odunze CHI WR · vs NE | Finalhit4 | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.47 | -0.03 | +129UD | -110*DK | Over 3.5 | 49.1 | 43.7 | +104 | +5.4% | +12.4% | — | |
 Luther Burden III CHI WR · vs NE | Finalhit4 | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.35 | -0.15 | -110*DK | +116UD | Under 4.5 | 51.3 | 46.3 | -105 | +5.0% | +10.8% | — | |
 DeMario Douglas NE WR · vs CHI | Finalmiss0 | First TD | 1st | 7.1% | +1.8pp | +1420UD | — | First TD | 7.1 | 6.6 | +1303 | +0.6% | +8.3% | — | |
Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalmiss0 | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.42 | -0.58 | +291UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 27.5 | 25.6 | +264 | +1.9% | +7.5% | — | |
 Hunter Henry NE TE · vs CHI | Finalhit71 | Rec Yds | 35.5 | 40.57 | +5.07 | o39.5+139UD | -110*DK | Over 39.5 | 44.8 | 41.8 | +123 | +3.0% | +7.1% | — | |
Hunter Henry NE TE · vs CHI | Finalhit7 | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.31 | -0.19 | +120UD | -110*DK | Over 3.5 | 48.4 | 45.5 | +107 | +3.0% | +6.5% | — | |
 Colston Loveland CHI TE · vs NE | Finalmiss7 | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.35 | -1.15 | o3.5-173UD | -110*DK | Under 4.5 | 55.3 | 52.4 | -124 | +2.9% | +5.6% | — | |
DeMario Douglas NE WR · vs CHI | Finalmiss3 | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.4 | -0.1 | +116UD | -110*DK | Over 3.5 | 48.8 | 46.3 | +105 | +2.5% | +5.4% | — | |
DeMario Douglas NE WR · vs CHI | Finalmiss0 | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.41 | -0.59 | +275UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 28.1 | 26.7 | +256 | +1.4% | +5.4% | — | |
 Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss22 | Rush Yds | 45.5 | 43.53 | -1.97 | o39.5-136UD | -110*DK | Over 39.5 | 60.6 | 57.6 | -154 | +3.0% | +5.2% | — | |
DeMario Douglas NE WR · vs CHI | Finalmiss23 | Rec Yds | 40.5 | 39.5 | -1 | o39.5+103UD | -110*DK | Over 39.5 | 51.4 | 49.3 | -106 | +2.2% | +4.4% | — | |
 A.J. Brown NE WR · vs CHI | Finalhit48 | Rec Yds | 69.5 | 53.41 | -16.09 | -110*DK | -109UD | Under 69.5 | 54.4 | 52.2 | -119 | +2.3% | +4.3% | — | |
 D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalmiss4 | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.65 | +0.15 | -110*DK | +108UD | Under 2.5 | 50.1 | 48.1 | -100 | +2.0% | +4.2% | — | |
 Kalif Raymond CHI WR · vs NE | Finalmiss0 | Rec Yds | 24.5 | 34.2 | +9.7 | -107UD | -110*DK | Over 24.5 | 53.7 | 51.7 | -116 | +2.0% | +3.9% | — | |
TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss0 | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.37 | -0.63 | +298UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 26.1 | 25.1 | +283 | +1.0% | +3.9% | — | |
A.J. Brown NE WR · vs CHI | Finalhit3 | Receptions | 5.5 | 4.47 | -1.03 | o4.5-179UD | -110*DK | Under 5.5 | 54.4 | 52.4 | -119 | +2.0% | +3.9% | — | |
Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalhit18 | Rush Yds | 17.5 | 28.76 | +11.26 | o19.5+110UD | -110*DK | Over 19.5 | 48.9 | 47.6 | +104 | +1.3% | +2.7% | — | |
Colston Loveland CHI TE · vs NE | Finalmiss69 | Rec Yds | 44.5 | 35.33 | -9.17 | o39.5-148UD | -110*DK | Under 44.5 | 53.8 | 52.4 | -116 | +1.4% | +2.7% | — | |
TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss0 | First TD | 1st | 6.1% | +1.3pp | +1570UD | — | First TD | 6.1 | 6.0 | +1537 | +0.1% | +2.0% | — | |
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalhit93 | Rec Yds | 17.5 | 20.96 | +3.46 | o14.5-152UD | -110*DK | Over 14.5 | 61.5 | 60.3 | -160 | +1.2% | +2.0% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit78 | Rush Yds | 63.5 | 66.97 | +3.47 | o59.5-121UD | -110*DK | Over 59.5 | 55.8 | 54.8 | -126 | +1.0% | +1.9% | — | |
Kalif Raymond CHI WR · vs NE | Finalmiss0 | Receptions | 2.5 | 3.6 | +1.1 | -110*DK | -103UD | Over 2.5 | 53.3 | 52.4 | -114 | +0.9% | +1.8% | — | |
 Drake Maye NE QB · vs CHI | Finalhit321 | Pass Yds | 249.5 | 249.69 | +0.19 | +103UD | -110*DK | Over 249.5 | 50.0 | 49.3 | -100 | +0.7% | +1.5% | — | |
Rome Odunze CHI WR · vs NE | Finalhit69 | Rec Yds | 42.5 | 53.23 | +10.73 | -110*DK | u49.5-139UD | Over 42.5 | 53.0 | 52.4 | -113 | +0.6% | +1.2% | — | |
Cole Kmet CHI TE · vs NE | Finalhit28 | Rec Yds | 8.5 | 21.69 | +13.19 | o9.5+103UD | -110*DK | Over 9.5 | 49.8 | 49.3 | +101 | +0.5% | +1.1% | — | |
TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss9 | Rush Yds | 24.5 | 45.37 | +20.87 | -110*DK | -110*DK | Over 24.5 | 52.9 | 52.4 | -112 | +0.5% | +1.0% | — | |
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss6 | Carries | 11.5 | 10.81 | -0.69 | +110UD | -110*DK | Over 11.5 | 47.9 | 47.6 | +109 | +0.3% | +0.6% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit12 | Rec Yds | 21.5 | 21.48 | -0.02 | -110*DK | u24.5-148UD | Under 24.5 | 59.9 | 59.7 | -149 | +0.2% | +0.3% | — | |
Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalmiss308 | Pass Yds | 249.5 | 234.22 | -15.28 | +103UD | -110*DK | Under 249.5 | 52.1 | 52.4 | -109 | -0.3% | -0.5% | — | |
Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalmiss22 | Completions | 21.5 | 20.52 | -0.98 | -103UD | -110*DK | Under 21.5 | 52.0 | 52.4 | -108 | -0.4% | -0.7% | — | |
Drake Maye NE QB · vs CHI | Finalmiss24 | Completions | 20.5 | 20.03 | -0.47 | -110*DK | -107UD | Under 20.5 | 51.0 | 51.7 | -104 | -0.7% | -1.3% | — | |
Drake Maye NE QB · vs CHI | Finalmiss2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.83 | +0.33 | -110*DK | +101UD | Under 1.5 | 49.0 | 49.8 | +104 | -0.8% | -1.5% | — | |
Drake Maye NE QB · vs CHI | Finalmiss4 | Carries | 5.5 | 5.82 | +0.32 | -106UD | -110*DK | Over 5.5 | 50.5 | 51.5 | -102 | -1.0% | -1.9% | — | |
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss5 | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.41 | -0.09 | -110*DK | -110*DK | Under 2.5 | 51.4 | 52.4 | -106 | -1.0% | -1.9% | — | |
D'Andre Swift CHI RB · vs NE | Finalhit22 | Carries | 14.5 | 14.97 | +0.47 | -108UD | -110*DK | Over 14.5 | 50.7 | 51.9 | -103 | -1.2% | -2.4% | — |
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