Research Desk
Daily pick write-ups and weekly breakdowns built straight from the Terminal — model vs market, recent form, matchup notes and the best number on the board.
NYG ML at +390 Leads Sharp Model Disagreements in Week 7
Our projections find four elite-edge plays on a 12-game Sunday slate, led by a Giants moneyline with 32% EV and a spread we like 5 points better than the market.
TOR-EDM and VGK-CBJ totals lead Saturday's 16-game slate
The model projects three overs with double-digit EV on a busy Saturday card, while the books have underpriced offense in Vegas-Columbus and Toronto-Edmonton.
Dennis Schröder's Scoring Drought and Three NBA Dog Moneylines
A 15-game Saturday card where the model sees three live underdogs and a Charlotte point guard who can't buy a bucket.
Brewers-Rays Game 7: Model Sees Value in Milwaukee's Offense
A one-game slate in what could be a series clincher. The model projects a higher-scoring affair than the market expects, with several Milwaukee bats offering edge.
Lightning-Avalanche Total and Lehkonen Lead Friday's 12-Game Card
The model projects two games a half-goal over the market's 6.0 total, with Colorado's Artturi Lehkonen offering the cleanest goal prop value at +249.
LAC +9.5, Amen Thompson Over 4.5 Ast Lead 19-Game Friday Slate
The model finds major disagreements in the Clippers-Lakers spread and several assist props across a busy opening weekend card.
Model Projects 8.6 Runs in Rays-Brewers, Likes Over and TB Props
Two-game card for Friday's MLB action. The model sees two runs more than the market in Milwaukee, driving a strong over play and a handful of Rays hitter props with juice.
Vegas-St. Louis Total and a Live Anaheim Dog Lead Thursday's 14-Game Slate
Model sees scoring edges in two matchups and backs the Ducks as a mid-sized road underdog in Jersey, with 12.7% EV on a Vegas total leading the card.
Hornets ML and Three Props Highlight Friday's Edge Board
The model sees Charlotte as a coin flip at home while the books disagree. Four props in Cleveland-Philly and Denver-OKC bring double-digit EV.
Over 6.5 and Three RBI Props: Model Sees Runs in Milwaukee Playoff Opener
A one-game slate to open the NLCS. Our model projects 8.6 runs in a matchup where the market sits at 6.5, plus three strong RBI angles on both sides.