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LIVE · 15 GAMES3 A-WEATHER

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Bet on insight, not instinct.

AI Slate Notes
  • 15-game slate · 3 games with A-grade weather
  • Best HR environment: PIT @ CHC (A+ wx · C park)
  • Top HR target: Munetaka Murakami (CWS) — CLUTCH 77.5 (Longshot)

Slate Ribbon

15 gamesALGO HR Engine™
Power · Vulnerability · Park · Weather · Opportunity
4:10 PM
ML refreshing
COL
COL
55-93
50HR· AVG
@
DET
69-79
DET
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
47/ 100
Gabriel Hughes
Gabriel Hughes(RHP)
COL SP
V 40
Jackson Jobe
Jackson Jobe(RHP)
DET SP
V 47
Pitcher's Duel
Comerica Park
PARK -2%WX —
5:35 PM
ML refreshing
LAA
LAA
56-92
50HR· AVG
@
WSH
69-81
WSH
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
62/ 100
Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez(RHP)
LAA SP
V 51
Jake Irvin
Jake Irvin(RHP)
WSH SP
V 67
No badges
Nationals Park
PARK +1%WX —
5:35 PM
ML refreshing
PHI
PHI
82-67
50HR· AVG
@
ATL
88-61
ATL
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
58/ 100
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter(RHP)
PHI SP
V 62
Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes(RHP)
ATL SP
V 49
No badges
Truist Park
PARK 0%WX —
5:35 PM
ML refreshing
NYM
NYM
69-79
50HR· AVG
@
NYY
85-63
NYY
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
45/ 100
Christian Scott
Christian Scott(RHP)
NYM SP
V 18
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler(RHP)
NYY SP
V 37
Pitcher's Duel
Yankee Stadium
PARK +3%WX —
5:37 PM
ML refreshing
BAL
BAL
72-77
50HR· AVG
@
TOR
74-75
TOR
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
46/ 100
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers(LHP)
BAL SP
V 50
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease(RHP)
TOR SP
V 22
No badges
Rogers Centre
PARK +3%DOMED
5:40 PM
ML refreshing
HOU
HOU
75-74
50HR· AVG
@
TB
89-59
TB
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
43/ 100
Hayden Wesneski
Hayden Wesneski(RHP)
HOU SP
V 24
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta(RHP)
TB SP
V 43
Pitcher's Duel
Tropicana Field
PARK -3%DOMED
5:40 PM
ML refreshing
LAD
LAD
90-58
50HR· AVG
@
MIA
73-76
MIA
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
59/ 100
Emmet Sheehan
Emmet Sheehan(RHP)
LAD SP
V 63
Eury Pérez
Eury Pérez(RHP)
MIA SP
V 68
No badges
loanDepot park
PARK -5%DOMED
6:10 PM
ML refreshing
CLE
CLE
75-74
50HR· AVG
@
MIN
70-78
MIN
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
48/ 100
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee(RHP)
CLE SP
V 38
SP
TBD
MIN SP
V 50
No badges
Target Field
PARK +1%WX —
6:10 PM
ML refreshing
CIN
CIN
69-79
50HR· AVG
@
MIL
93-56
MIL
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
60/ 100
Chase Burns
Chase Burns(RHP)
CIN SP
V 20
Robert Gasser
Robert Gasser(LHP)
MIL SP
V 72
Target Pitcher
American Family Field
PARK +2%DOMED
6:15 PM
ML refreshing
CWS
CWS
76-72
50HR· AVG
@
STL
73-76
STL
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
49/ 100
SP
TBD
CWS SP
V 50
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy(RHP)
STL SP
V 45
No badges
Busch Stadium
PARK 0%WX —
6:20 PM
ML refreshing
PIT
PIT
74-75
50HR· AVG
@
CHC
83-66
CHC
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
55/ 100
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler(RHP)
PIT SP
V 19
Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd(LHP)
CHC SP
V 67
No badges
Wrigley Field
PARK 0%WX —
7:05 PM
ML refreshing
KC
KC
66-83
50HR· AVG
@
BOS
81-68
BOS
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
47/ 100
Noah Cameron
Noah Cameron(LHP)
KC SP
V 35
Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle(LHP)
BOS SP
V 36
Pitcher's Duel
Fenway Park
PARK 0%WX —
8:05 PM
ML refreshing
SEA
SEA
70-79
50HR· AVG
@
ATH
60-89
ATH
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
66/ 100
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller(RHP)
SEA SP
V 65
Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez(LHP)
ATH SP
V 76
Target Pitcher
Sutter Health Park
PARK -2%WX —
8:10 PM
ML refreshing
TEX
TEX
73-76
50HR· AVG
@
ARI
79-70
ARI
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
47/ 100
Cal Quantrill
Cal Quantrill(RHP)
TEX SP
V 40
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez(LHP)
ARI SP
V 35
Pitcher's Duel
Chase Field
PARK 0%DOMED
11:20 PM
ML refreshing
SD
SD
80-68
50HR· AVG
@
SF
62-87
SF
50HR· AVG
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
43/ 100
Nick Pivetta
Nick Pivetta(RHP)
SD SP
V 50
Logan Webb
Logan Webb(RHP)
SF SP
V 27
No badges
Oracle Park
PARK -6%WX —
Moneyline refreshing — EDGE Score still live

Highest Confidence Plays

Cross-market · Top by CLUTCH Score
Eduardo Valencia
85
#1HitHits
DETDETvsCOLCOLRHBvs Tanner GordonCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Juan Soto
82
#2HitHits
NYMNYMvsNYYNYYLHBvs Gerrit ColeCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Oneil Cruz
82
#3HitHits
PITPITvsCHCCHCLHBvs Clay HolmesCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Elly De La Cruz
82
#4HitHits
CINCINvsMILMILSHBvs Shane DrohanCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Shea Langeliers
81
#5HitHits
ATHATHvsSEASEARHBvs Bryan WooCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
James Wood
80
#6HitHits
WSHWSHvsLAALAALHBvs Walbert UreñaCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat

Top 10 HR Targets

Ranked by CLUTCH Score
Full HR Board
Munetaka Murakami
78
Longshot
#1HRHome Run
+424
CWSCWSvsSTLSTLLHBvs Kyle LeahyCSI 0.30
Edge+5.6%
CLUTCH78
Longshot
Why this play
Barrel Rate19.0%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %38.8%fly-ball lean
Hard-Hit %56.9%elite contact
ISO.267elite
Pull-Air %17.6%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+5.6%market mispriced
Barrel MonsterFly Ball HunterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WaveMarket MispricedBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Kyle Schwarber
72
Pass
#2HRHome Run
+424
PHIPHIvsATLATLLHBvs Tyler MahleCSI 0.30
Edge+4.1%
CLUTCH72
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate17.0%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %32.6%balanced
Hard-Hit %49.5%above avg
ISO.284elite
Pull-Air %17.8%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+4.1%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Eugenio Suárez
70
Pass
#3HRHome Run
+424
CINCINvsMILMILRHBvs Shane DrohanCSI 0.30
Edge+2.9%
CLUTCH70
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.9%top 15%
Fly Ball %34.0%balanced
Hard-Hit %52.3%elite contact
ISO.298elite
Pull-Air %14.8%spread hitter
Park Factor102neutral
Edge vs Vegas+2.9%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
James Wood
69
Pass
#4HRHome Run
+424
WSHWSHvsLAALAALHBvs Walbert UreñaCSI 0.30
Edge+1.6%
CLUTCH69
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate20.4%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %26.2%ground-ball tilt
Hard-Hit %58.6%elite contact
ISO.260elite
Pull-Air %8.7%spread hitter
Park Factor101neutral
Edge vs Vegas+1.6%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Matt Olson
69
Pass
#5HRHome Run
+424
ATLATLvsPHIPHILHBvs Tim MayzaCSI 0.30
Edge+2.6%
CLUTCH69
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.8%top 15%
Fly Ball %35.5%balanced
Hard-Hit %51.4%elite contact
ISO.257elite
Pull-Air %13.8%spread hitter
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+2.6%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Eduardo Valencia
68
Pass
#6HRHome Run
+424
DETDETvsCOLCOLRHBvs Tanner GordonCSI 0.30
Edge+3.5%
CLUTCH68
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate13.9%top 15%
Fly Ball %33.6%balanced
Hard-Hit %50.9%elite contact
ISO.278elite
Pull-Air %14.4%spread hitter
Park Factor98neutral
Edge vs Vegas+3.5%trim juice
Hard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Pete Crow-Armstrong
67
Pass
#7HRHome Run
+424
CHCCHCvsPITPITLHBvs Paul SkenesCSI 0.30
Edge+1.6%
CLUTCH67
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate13.2%top 15%
Fly Ball %34.8%balanced
Hard-Hit %49.0%above avg
ISO.289elite
Pull-Air %17.5%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+1.6%trim juice
Hard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat Wave
Off-Platoon
Juan Soto
66
Pass
#8HRHome Run
+424
NYMNYMvsNYYNYYLHBvs Gerrit ColeCSI 0.30
Edge+3.5%
CLUTCH66
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate13.1%top 15%
Fly Ball %33.2%balanced
Hard-Hit %49.7%above avg
ISO.262elite
Pull-Air %14.2%spread hitter
Park Factor103neutral
Edge vs Vegas+3.5%trim juice
Hard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Hunter Goodman
65
Pass
#9HRHome Run
+424
COLCOLvsDETDETRHBvs Andrew SearsCSI 0.30
Edge+2.5%
CLUTCH65
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.9%top 15%
Fly Ball %33.5%balanced
Hard-Hit %44.5%above avg
ISO.276elite
Pull-Air %16.2%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor98neutral
Edge vs Vegas+2.5%trim juice
Barrel MonsterPull-Power MatchHeat Wave
Off-Platoon
Rafael Devers
65
Pass
#10HRHome Run
+424
SFSFvsSDSDLHBvs Michael KingCSI 0.30
Edge+2.0%
CLUTCH65
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate12.3%top 15%
Fly Ball %35.2%balanced
Hard-Hit %51.8%elite contact
ISO.264elite
Pull-Air %11.9%spread hitter
Park Factor94pitcher-friendly
Edge vs Vegas+2.0%trim juice
Hard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Tough Park

Top 10 Hit Targets

1+ / 2+ Hits — ranked by hit probability
Full Hits Generator
Eduardo Valencia
85
#1HitHits
DETDETvsCOLCOLRHBvs Tanner GordonCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Juan Soto
82
#2HitHits
NYMNYMvsNYYNYYLHBvs Gerrit ColeCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Oneil Cruz
82
#3HitHits
PITPITvsCHCCHCLHBvs Clay HolmesCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Elly De La Cruz
82
#4HitHits
CINCINvsMILMILSHBvs Shane DrohanCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Shea Langeliers
81
#5HitHits
ATHATHvsSEASEARHBvs Bryan WooCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
James Wood
80
#6HitHits
WSHWSHvsLAALAALHBvs Walbert UreñaCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Miguel Vargas
79
#7HitHits
CWSCWSvsSTLSTLRHBvs Kyle LeahyCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Pete Crow-Armstrong
78
#8HitHits
CHCCHCvsPITPITLHBvs Paul SkenesCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Kyle Schwarber
78
#9HitHits
PHIPHIvsATLATLLHBvs Tyler MahleCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat
Jake Bauers
77
#10HitHits
MILMILvsCINCINLHBvs Brady SingerCSI 0.30
Multi-Hit Threat

Top Pitcher Props

K props · Edge Locked
Pitcher Cheatsheet
No pitcher edges flagged yet.

Top Team Stacks

Attack spots · Vegas + park + weather

Best Weather Games

Wind boost + park-friendly
#1
PITTSBURGH PIRATES@CHICAGO CUBS
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field
A+WX
C Park
#2
COLORADO ROCKIES@DETROIT TIGERS
Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park
A+WX
C- Park
#3
SAN DIEGO PADRES@SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park
A+WX
D+ Park
#4
KANSAS CITY ROYALS@BOSTON RED SOX
Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park
B+WX
C Park
#5
NEW YORK METS@NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium
B-WX
C+ Park

Attackable Pitchers

HR-prone starters today
KL
C
#1
Kyle Leahy
STLSTLRHPvsCWSCWS
GC
C
#2
Gerrit Cole
NYYNYYRHPvsNYMNYM
BS
C
#3
Brady Singer
CINCINRHPvsMILMIL
TG
C
#4
Tanner Gordon
COLCOLRHPvsDETDET
TP
C
#5
Tyler Phillips
MIAMIARHPvsLADLAD

Premium Intelligence

Backtesting · Daily Report · Performance Trends
62.4%
Win Rate · L30
+24.7%
ROI · L30
Premium
Backtesting Center
Win rate · ROI · Tier accuracy
▸ Aaron Judge HR ✓
▸ Ohtani 2+ Hits ✓
▸ Skubal 7+ K ✗
▸ ATL Stack ✓
3/4 Hit · +12.3u
Premium
Daily Clutch Report
Why we won · Why we lost
Nuclear82%
Elite68%
Strong54%
Viable41%
Premium
Tier Accuracy
Nuclear · Elite · Strong · Viable
Process over emotion · Filtration over volume · Value over name
Slate refreshed 9/13/2026, 12:17:09 AM
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026