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MLB Research Terminal

MLB Edge Terminal

Model projections vs the best price across your sportsbooks · edge % · expected value · line movement — refreshed continuously.

Refreshing · Updated 14m ago
Games
1/2
Props Modeled
66
+EV Edges
40
Best EV
+30.4%
Lines Moving
47

Games: Team ratings (PF/PA per game, prior season regressed + current season) → normal win/cover/over probabilities, blended 45% model / 55% no-vig market. Props: Per-game player rates (prior season blended with current) → Poisson/normal over probabilities, blended 35% model / 65% no-vig market. Unpriced lines assume -110.

00 · Game Slate

Today's Games

2 games · tap a game for its full research view — markets by book, every player prop, AI read

Today + Next
Fri 7:00 PM CTDraftKings
TBTB98-64+165BR
MILMIL103-59-179CZR
Run Line MIL -1.5O/U 6.566 propsTop EV +30.4%
Sat 7:00 PM CTNo line
TBTB98-64—
MILMIL103-59—
0 props
01 · +EV Edge Board

Best +EV Right Now

40 positive-EV opportunities · 3 game markets · 37 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV

TierMarket / PlayerTypeGameModel ProjBest OddsModel %ImpliedFairEdgeEVMoveSlip
ELITE
Liam Hicks
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.56+359DK28.421.8+252+6.6%+30.4%-0.6pp
ELITE
Jonathan Aranda
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.58+332DK29.523.1+239+6.3%+27.4%+0.3pp
ELITE
Brice Turang
Total Bases · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.72-167UD74.962.5-299+12.4%+19.8%0—
ELITE
Christian Yelich
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.69+227DK35.930.6+179+5.3%+17.4%+1.3pp
ELITE
Junior Caminero
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.26+587DK17.014.6+488+2.4%+16.8%-1.3pp
ELITE
Christian Yelich
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.19+780DK13.111.4+663+1.7%+15.3%+0.7pp
ELITE
Junior Caminero
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.64+225UD35.330.8+183+4.5%+14.7%+2.6pp
ELITE
Brice Turang
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.64+225UD35.230.8+184+4.4%+14.4%+4.1pp
ELITE
Over 6.5
Total
game
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 8.6-105FD58.451.2-140+7.2%+14.0%+0.5
ELITE
Yandy Diaz
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.55+249DK32.328.7+210+3.6%+12.7%+4.9pp
ELITE
Sal Frelick
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.44+300DK27.825.0+260+2.8%+11.2%0
ELITE
Liam Hicks
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.12+1180DK8.67.8+1063+0.8%+10.1%-0.5pp
STRONG
William Contreras
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.62+203UD36.333.0+175+3.3%+10.0%+2.8pp
STRONG
Sal Frelick
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.05+135DK46.842.6+114+4.3%+10.0%+0.5pp
STRONG
Nick Martinez
Pitcher Ks · Over 3.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 3.92+124UD48.744.6+105+4.1%+9.1%-1.7pp
STRONG
Yandy Diaz
Total Bases · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.79+149DK43.240.2+131+3.0%+7.6%0—
STRONG
Jackson Chourio
Total Bases · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.99+123UD48.144.8+108+3.3%+7.3%+2.2pp
STRONG
Garrett Mitchell
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.46+261DK29.727.7+237+2.0%+7.2%+0.8pp
STRONG
Jackson Chourio
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.59+198DK35.933.6+179+2.3%+7.0%+2.4pp
STRONG
Junior Caminero
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.3+126DK47.244.2+112+3.0%+6.7%+0.3pp
STRONG
Liam Hicks
Runs · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.47+245DK30.729.0+226+1.7%+5.9%-2.0pp
STRONG
Christian Yelich
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.28+117DK48.646.1+106+2.5%+5.5%-0.1pp
GOOD
Sal Frelick
Runs · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.54+198DK34.833.6+187+1.2%+3.7%+0.9pp
GOOD
Yandy Diaz
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.31+104DK50.649.0-102+1.6%+3.2%+3.3pp
GOOD
Jake Bauers
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.02+102DK51.049.5-104+1.5%+3.0%+4.3pp
Showing 25 of 40
02 · Full-Slate Projections

Moneyline · Run Line · Total

Model win / cover / over probability vs the best price across all books · fair odds · edge % · tap a game to research it

TimeMatchupProj Score · TotalBest ML · Model %Fair MLML EdgeRun Line · Cover %Fair LineATS EdgeTotal O / UTotal EdgeBest BetLine Move
Fri 7:00 PM CT
DraftKings
TBTB98-64
MILMIL103-59
3.9
4.8
8.6
+165BR38.8%
-179CZR61.2%
+157
-157
+1.1%
-3.0%
+1.5-143BR56.3%
-1.5+130CZR43.7%
MIL -1
-2.5%
+0.2%
o6.5-105FD58.4%
u6.5-108DK41.6%
+7.2%
-10.3%
Over 6.5 FD
+14.0%
ML+4.7ppSPR+3.4ppTOT+0.5
Sat 7:00 PM CT
No line
TBTB98-64
MILMIL103-59
3.9
4.8
8.6
—
—
+140
-140
—
—
—
—
MIL -1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Showing 2 of 2
03 · Player Props

Projection vs Market

66 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research

PlayerStatusPropLineModel ProjDiffOver / YesUnderModel SideModel %ImpliedFairEdgeEVMoveSlip
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
RBI0.50.56+0.06+359DK-547DKOver 0.528.421.8+252+6.6%+30.4%-0.6pp
Jonathan Aranda
TB 1B · vs MIL
RBI0.50.58+0.08+332DK-500DKOver 0.529.523.1+239+6.3%+27.4%+0.3pp
Brice Turang
MIL 2B · vs TB
Total Bases1.51.72+0.22o0.5-167UD-176DKOver 0.574.962.5-299+12.4%+19.8%0—
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
RBI0.50.69+0.19+227DK-327DKOver 0.535.930.6+179+5.3%+17.4%+1.3pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.26-0.74+587DK—1+ Home Runs17.014.6+488+2.4%+16.8%-1.3pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
Home Runs1+0.19-0.81+780DK—1+ Home Runs13.111.4+663+1.7%+15.3%+0.7pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
RBI0.50.64+0.14+225UD-321DKOver 0.535.330.8+183+4.5%+14.7%+2.6pp
Brice Turang
MIL 2B · vs TB
RBI0.50.64+0.14+225UD-322DKOver 0.535.230.8+184+4.4%+14.4%+4.1pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
RBI0.50.55+0.05+249DK-362DKOver 0.532.328.7+210+3.6%+12.7%+4.9pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
RBI0.50.44-0.06+300DK-446DKOver 0.527.825.0+260+2.8%+11.2%0
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.12-0.88+1180DK—1+ Home Runs8.67.8+1063+0.8%+10.1%-0.5pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
RBI0.50.62+0.12+203UD-285DKOver 0.536.333.0+175+3.3%+10.0%+2.8pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.05+0.55+135DK-180DKOver 1.546.842.6+114+4.3%+10.0%+0.5pp
Nick Martinez
TB SP · vs MIL
Pitcher Ks3.53.92+0.42+124UD-156DKOver 3.548.744.6+105+4.1%+9.1%-1.7pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
Total Bases1.51.79+0.29+149DK-197UDOver 1.543.240.2+131+3.0%+7.6%0—
Jackson Chourio
MIL LF · vs TB
Total Bases1.51.99+0.49+123UD-162DKOver 1.548.144.8+108+3.3%+7.3%+2.2pp
Garrett Mitchell
MIL CF · vs TB
RBI0.50.46-0.04+261DK-381DKOver 0.529.727.7+237+2.0%+7.2%+0.8pp
Jackson Chourio
MIL LF · vs TB
RBI0.50.59+0.09+198DK-282DKOver 0.535.933.6+179+2.3%+7.0%+2.4pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
H+R+RBI1.52.3+0.8+126DK-168DKOver 1.547.244.2+112+3.0%+6.7%+0.3pp
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
Runs0.50.47-0.03+245DK-356DKOver 0.530.729.0+226+1.7%+5.9%-2.0pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.28+0.78+117DK-156DKOver 1.548.646.1+106+2.5%+5.5%-0.1pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
Runs0.50.54+0.04+198DK-282DKOver 0.534.833.6+187+1.2%+3.7%+0.9pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
H+R+RBI1.52.31+0.81+104DK-138DKOver 1.550.649.0-102+1.6%+3.2%+3.3pp
Jake Bauers
MIL 1B · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.02+0.52+102DK-135DKOver 1.551.049.5-104+1.5%+3.0%+4.3pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
Runs0.50.62+0.12+164DK-230DKOver 0.539.037.9+156+1.1%+3.0%+1.2pp
Brice Turang
MIL 2B · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.35+0.85-107UD-120DKOver 1.553.151.7-113+1.4%+2.7%+5.9pp
Jake Bauers
MIL 1B · vs TB
RBI0.50.58+0.08+173DK-245DKOver 0.537.536.6+167+0.9%+2.4%+4.8pp
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL SP · vs TB
Pitcher Ks6.57.45+0.95-131DK+102DKOver 6.558.056.7-138+1.3%+2.3%-0.3pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
Home Runs1+0.08-0.92+1360DK—1+ Home Runs7.06.8+1329+0.1%+2.2%+0.9pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
Runs0.50.59+0.09+167DK-235DKOver 0.538.237.5+162+0.8%+2.0%-0.1pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.21+0.71-107DK-124DKOver 1.552.651.7-111+0.9%+1.8%+2.5pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
Runs0.50.59+0.09+162DK-228DKOver 0.538.738.2+158+0.5%+1.4%+2.9pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
Total Bases1.51.59+0.09+145DK-186UDOver 1.541.340.8+142+0.5%+1.2%+0.8pp
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
Hits0.50.88+0.38-114UD-108DKOver 0.553.853.3-116+0.5%+1.0%-1.8pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.15-0.85+740DK—1+ Home Runs12.011.9+733+0.1%+0.8%+1.9pp
Chandler Simpson
TB LF · vs MIL
Runs0.50.45-0.05+219DK-315DKOver 0.531.631.3+216+0.3%+0.8%-1.2pp
Chandler Simpson
TB LF · vs MIL
H+R+RBI1.51.79+0.29+111DK-148DKOver 1.547.547.4+111+0.1%+0.2%-1.9pp
Jonathan Aranda
TB 1B · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.14-0.86+770DK—1+ Home Runs11.511.5+770+0.0%+0.1%-0.7pp
Jackson Chourio
MIL LF · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.52+1.02-127DK-103UDOver 1.555.855.9-126-0.1%-0.3%+2.6pp
Garrett Mitchell
MIL CF · vs TB
Runs0.50.51+0.01+176DK-248DKOver 0.535.936.2+179-0.3%-0.9%+0.9pp
Showing 40 of 66
04 · Market Movement

Line Movement Tracker

Opening → current · 36 up · 11 down · snapshots stored every refresh

MarketSelectionOpenCurrentPriceΔΔ ImpliedTrendMove Size
propH+R+RBI
B. Turang H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5-110+5.9pp+5.9pp69 snapshots2.35
propRuns
B. Turang Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+121+5.3pp+5.3pp67 snapshots2.12
propH+R+RBI
G. Mitchell H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.50.5-180-1line moved71 snapshots2
propRBI
Y. Diaz RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+249+4.9pp+4.9pp74 snapshots1.98
propRBI
J. Bauers RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+173+4.8pp+4.8pp68 snapshots1.92
gameMoneyline
MIL ML
TB @ MIL
-160-198-198+4.7pp+4.7pp69 snapshots1.88
propHome Runs
J. Bauers Home Runs
TB @ MIL
11+381+4.7pp+4.7pp73 snapshots1.86
propRuns
J. Bauers Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+119+4.6pp+4.6pp66 snapshots1.84
propHits
B. Turang Hits
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-211+4.4pp+4.4pp73 snapshots1.76
propHome Runs
B. Turang Home Runs
TB @ MIL
11+600+4.3pp+4.3pp76 snapshots1.72
propH+R+RBI
J. Bauers H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5+102+4.3pp+4.3pp69 snapshots1.72
propRBI
B. Turang RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+224+4.1pp+4.1pp72 snapshots1.64
propHits
J. Aranda Hits
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-146+4.0pp+4.0pp68 snapshots1.59
propRuns
W. Contreras Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+132+3.5pp+3.5pp72 snapshots1.39
gameRun Line
MIL -1.5
TB @ MIL
-1.5-1.5+122+3.4pp+3.4pp72 snapshots1.36
propH+R+RBI
Y. Diaz H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5+104+3.3pp+3.3pp72 snapshots1.33
propH+R+RBI
J. Aranda H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-177+2.9pp+2.9pp70 snapshots1.18
propRuns
Y. Diaz Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+162+2.9pp+2.9pp70 snapshots1.16
propHome Runs
J. Chourio Home Runs
TB @ MIL
11+457+2.9pp+2.9pp71 snapshots1.14
propRBI
W. Contreras RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+200+2.8pp+2.8pp68 snapshots1.14
propRuns
J. Chourio Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+108+2.6pp+2.6pp70 snapshots1.05
propH+R+RBI
J. Chourio H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5-127+2.6pp+2.6pp70 snapshots1.05
propRBI
J. Caminero RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+223+2.6pp+2.6pp70 snapshots1.04
propH+R+RBI
L. Hicks H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-144-2.6pp-2.6pp78 snapshots1.03
gameTotal
O/U 6.5
TB @ MIL
66.5-112+0.5line moved68 snapshots1
Showing 25 of 47
05 · Power Ratings

Team Power Ratings

Model offense / defense in runs per game vs league average (4.45) · 2026 season, prior season regressed in

#TeamRecordNet runs/gOffDefWin% vs AvgL10Streak
1MILMIL103-59+1.19+0.61+0.5760.9%8-2W5
2LADLAD100-62+1.10+0.48+0.6260.1%8-2W3
3CHCCHC89-73+0.83+0.69+0.1457.7%5-5W1
4NYYNYY93-68+0.81+0.21+0.6057.4%5-5W1
5ATLATL94-68+0.57+0.11+0.4655.2%5-5L1
6BOSBOS87-75+0.47-0.11+0.5754.3%5-5L1
7TBTB98-64+0.45+0.07+0.3854.2%5-5L1
8DETDET76-86+0.40+0.04+0.3653.7%4-6L1
9SDSD91-71+0.26-0.01+0.2752.4%8-2W2
10CHWCHW84-78+0.21+0.22-0.0151.9%7-3W1
11PHIPHI88-74+0.17+0.01+0.1651.6%4-6W1
12PITPIT82-80+0.09+0.13-0.0450.9%7-3W1
14ARIARI86-76+0.05+0.14-0.0950.5%6-4L2
13CLECLE85-77+0.05-0.27+0.3250.5%8-2L1
15MIAMIA80-82-0.05-0.04-0.0149.5%5-5W1
16NYMNYM74-88-0.12-0.07-0.0548.9%5-5L1
17WSHWSH77-85-0.13+0.47-0.6048.8%6-4W1
18HOUHOU81-81-0.14+0.04-0.1848.7%5-5W2
20TORTOR79-83-0.17-0.30+0.1348.4%4-6W1
19TEXTEX80-82-0.17-0.26+0.0948.4%4-6L1
22STLSTL77-85-0.19-0.03-0.1748.2%2-8L4
21BALBAL79-82-0.19-0.02-0.1648.3%6-4L1
23SEASEA76-86-0.23-0.25+0.0147.8%6-4W2
24MINMIN77-85-0.36+0.06-0.4246.7%6-4W1
25SFSF65-97-0.44-0.27-0.1746%2-8L5
26KCKC69-93-0.58-0.20-0.3844.6%2-8W1
27LAALAA62-100-0.60-0.36-0.2444.4%4-6L2
28CINCIN75-87-0.77-0.27-0.4942.9%4-6L1
29ATHATH64-98-1.24-0.10-1.1438.7%3-7L2
30COLCOL58-104-1.26+0.07-1.3338.5%2-8L1
Showing 30 of 30
05 · MLB Research Tools

The HR Lab

Every specialized MLB tool from the CLUTCH Game Intelligence Center — unchanged.

Command Center
The original CLUTCH home — slate ribbon, top HR threats, AI notes
HR Tools
HR matchups ranked by edge · HR filter · hot / cold bats
Game Intelligence
Per-game heatmap · pitcher vulnerability · analyst report
Edge Engine
Best bets, parlays and the accountability tracker
Hit & TB Props
1+ / 2+ hits and total bases probability boards
Pitcher Props
K matchups · weak spots · bullpen
V12 Cheat Sheet
Full slate research sheet
Tracker
ROI and hit rate · 7 / 30 / 90 days
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Multi-sport betting research terminal for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL — +EV edges, full-slate projections, player prop models and line movement, plus the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 MLB HR lab. Lines via DraftKings / ESPN; data from ESPN, MLB StatsAPI, Savant and Open-Meteo.

21+ Only · Clutch Algorithm is an analytics research platform for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not a sportsbook. No wagers are accepted, processed, or facilitated on this site. Projected probabilities, edges, EV and fair odds are model outputs — not guaranteed outcomes. Past performance does not predict future results.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Oct 2026