MLB · Edge Board / Props
+EV Edge Board
The best positive-EV MLB plays right now, plus every modeled player prop — projection vs line, best price at your books, live and final results.
Updated 5m ago
01 · +EV Edge Board
Best +EV Right Now
41 positive-EV opportunities · 3 game markets · 38 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELITE |  Liam Hicks RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.56 | +374DK | 27.9 | 21.1 | +258 | +6.8% | +32.3% | -1.3pp | |
ELITE |  Jonathan Aranda RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.58 | +332DK | 29.5 | 23.1 | +239 | +6.3% | +27.4% | +0.3pp | |
ELITE |  Christian Yelich RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.69 | +249DK | 34.8 | 28.7 | +187 | +6.2% | +21.4% | -0.5pp | |
ELITE |  Brice Turang Total Bases · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 1.72 | -167UD | 74.9 | 62.5 | -299 | +12.4% | +19.8% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Junior Caminero RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.64 | +233DK | 34.7 | 30.0 | +188 | +4.7% | +15.6% | +1.8pp | |
ELITE | Brice Turang RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.64 | +225UD | 35.2 | 30.8 | +184 | +4.4% | +14.4% | +4.1pp | |
ELITE | Over 6.5 Total | game | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 8.6 | -105FD | 58.5 | 51.2 | -141 | +7.3% | +14.2% | +0.5 | |
ELITE |  Yandy Diaz RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.55 | +259DK | 31.8 | 27.9 | +214 | +3.9% | +14.2% | +4.2pp | |
ELITE | Junior Caminero Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.26 | +546DK | 17.5 | 15.5 | +471 | +2.0% | +13.1% | -0.4pp | |
ELITE | Christian Yelich Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.19 | +750DK | 13.3 | 11.8 | +652 | +1.5% | +13.1% | +1.1pp | |
ELITE |  Nick Martinez Pitcher Ks · Over 3.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 3.92 | +143DK | 46.4 | 41.2 | +116 | +5.3% | +12.8% | -5.4pp | |
ELITE |  Sal Frelick RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.44 | +300DK | 27.8 | 25.0 | +260 | +2.8% | +11.2% | 0 | |
ELITE |  William Contreras RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.62 | +209DK | 35.7 | 32.4 | +180 | +3.3% | +10.3% | +1.9pp | |
STRONG | Sal Frelick H+R+RBI · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 2.05 | +135DK | 46.8 | 42.6 | +114 | +4.3% | +10.0% | +0.5pp | |
STRONG | Liam Hicks Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.12 | +1160DK | 8.7 | 7.9 | +1049 | +0.8% | +9.6% | -0.4pp | |
STRONG | Junior Caminero H+R+RBI · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 2.3 | +135DK | 46.1 | 42.6 | +117 | +3.5% | +8.3% | -1.2pp | |
STRONG | Yandy Diaz Total Bases · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 1.79 | +149DK | 43.2 | 40.2 | +131 | +3.0% | +7.6% | 0— | |
STRONG |  Jackson Chourio Total Bases · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 1.99 | +123UD | 48.1 | 44.8 | +108 | +3.3% | +7.3% | +2.2pp | |
STRONG |  Garrett Mitchell RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.46 | +261DK | 29.7 | 27.7 | +237 | +2.0% | +7.2% | +0.8pp | |
STRONG | Jackson Chourio RBI · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.59 | +198DK | 35.9 | 33.6 | +179 | +2.3% | +7.0% | +2.4pp | |
STRONG | Christian Yelich H+R+RBI · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 2.28 | +122DK | 47.9 | 45.0 | +109 | +2.9% | +6.3% | -1.0pp | |
STRONG | Junior Caminero Runs · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.62 | +183DK | 37.5 | 35.3 | +167 | +2.2% | +6.1% | -1.2pp | |
STRONG | Liam Hicks Runs · Over 0.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.47 | +245DK | 30.7 | 29.0 | +226 | +1.7% | +5.9% | -2.0pp | |
GOOD |  Jake Bauers H+R+RBI · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 2.02 | +104UD | 51.0 | 49.0 | -104 | +2.0% | +4.0% | +4.3pp | |
GOOD | Yandy Diaz H+R+RBI · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ MIL Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 2.31 | +108DK | 50.0 | 48.1 | -100 | +1.9% | +4.0% | +2.5pp |
Showing 25 of 41
02 · Player Props
Projection vs Market
66 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liam Hicks TB C · vs MIL | RBI | 0.5 | 0.56 | +0.06 | +374DK | -573DK | Over 0.5 | 27.9 | 21.1 | +258 | +6.8% | +32.3% | -1.3pp | ||
Jonathan Aranda TB 1B · vs MIL | RBI | 0.5 | 0.58 | +0.08 | +332DK | -500DK | Over 0.5 | 29.5 | 23.1 | +239 | +6.3% | +27.4% | +0.3pp | ||
Christian Yelich MIL DH · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.69 | +0.19 | +249DK | -362DK | Over 0.5 | 34.8 | 28.7 | +187 | +6.2% | +21.4% | -0.5pp | ||
Brice Turang MIL 2B · vs TB | Total Bases | 1.5 | 1.72 | +0.22 | o0.5-167UD | -176DK | Over 0.5 | 74.9 | 62.5 | -299 | +12.4% | +19.8% | 0— | ||
Junior Caminero TB 3B · vs MIL | RBI | 0.5 | 0.64 | +0.14 | +233DK | -337DK | Over 0.5 | 34.7 | 30.0 | +188 | +4.7% | +15.6% | +1.8pp | ||
Brice Turang MIL 2B · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.64 | +0.14 | +225UD | -322DK | Over 0.5 | 35.2 | 30.8 | +184 | +4.4% | +14.4% | +4.1pp | ||
Yandy Diaz TB DH · vs MIL | RBI | 0.5 | 0.55 | +0.05 | +259DK | -378DK | Over 0.5 | 31.8 | 27.9 | +214 | +3.9% | +14.2% | +4.2pp | ||
Christian Yelich MIL DH · vs TB | Home Runs | 1+ | 0.19 | -0.81 | +750DK | — | 1+ Home Runs | 13.3 | 11.8 | +652 | +1.5% | +13.1% | +1.1pp | ||
Junior Caminero TB 3B · vs MIL | Home Runs | 1+ | 0.26 | -0.74 | +546DK | — | 1+ Home Runs | 17.5 | 15.5 | +471 | +2.0% | +13.1% | -0.4pp | ||
Nick Martinez TB SP · vs MIL | Pitcher Ks | 3.5 | 3.92 | +0.42 | +143DK | -184DK | Over 3.5 | 46.4 | 41.2 | +116 | +5.3% | +12.8% | -5.4pp | ||
Sal Frelick MIL RF · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.44 | -0.06 | +300DK | -446DK | Over 0.5 | 27.8 | 25.0 | +260 | +2.8% | +11.2% | 0 | ||
William Contreras MIL C · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.62 | +0.12 | +209DK | -300DK | Over 0.5 | 35.7 | 32.4 | +180 | +3.3% | +10.3% | +1.9pp | ||
Sal Frelick MIL RF · vs TB | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.05 | +0.55 | +135DK | -180DK | Over 1.5 | 46.8 | 42.6 | +114 | +4.3% | +10.0% | +0.5pp | ||
Liam Hicks TB C · vs MIL | Home Runs | 1+ | 0.12 | -0.88 | +1160DK | — | 1+ Home Runs | 8.7 | 7.9 | +1049 | +0.8% | +9.6% | -0.4pp | ||
Junior Caminero TB 3B · vs MIL | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.8 | +135DK | -180DK | Over 1.5 | 46.1 | 42.6 | +117 | +3.5% | +8.3% | -1.2pp | ||
Yandy Diaz TB DH · vs MIL | Total Bases | 1.5 | 1.79 | +0.29 | +149DK | -197UD | Over 1.5 | 43.2 | 40.2 | +131 | +3.0% | +7.6% | 0— | ||
Jackson Chourio MIL LF · vs TB | Total Bases | 1.5 | 1.99 | +0.49 | +123UD | -162DK | Over 1.5 | 48.1 | 44.8 | +108 | +3.3% | +7.3% | +2.2pp | ||
Garrett Mitchell MIL CF · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.46 | -0.04 | +261DK | -381DK | Over 0.5 | 29.7 | 27.7 | +237 | +2.0% | +7.2% | +0.8pp | ||
Jackson Chourio MIL LF · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.59 | +0.09 | +198DK | -282DK | Over 0.5 | 35.9 | 33.6 | +179 | +2.3% | +7.0% | +2.4pp | ||
Christian Yelich MIL DH · vs TB | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.28 | +0.78 | +122DK | -162DK | Over 1.5 | 47.9 | 45.0 | +109 | +2.9% | +6.3% | -1.0pp | ||
Junior Caminero TB 3B · vs MIL | Runs | 0.5 | 0.62 | +0.12 | +183DK | -259DK | Over 0.5 | 37.5 | 35.3 | +167 | +2.2% | +6.1% | -1.2pp | ||
Liam Hicks TB C · vs MIL | Runs | 0.5 | 0.47 | -0.03 | +245DK | -356DK | Over 0.5 | 30.7 | 29.0 | +226 | +1.7% | +5.9% | -2.0pp | ||
Jake Bauers MIL 1B · vs TB | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.02 | +0.52 | +104UD | -135DK | Over 1.5 | 51.0 | 49.0 | -104 | +2.0% | +4.0% | +4.3pp | ||
Yandy Diaz TB DH · vs MIL | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.31 | +0.81 | +108DK | -143DK | Over 1.5 | 50.0 | 48.1 | -100 | +1.9% | +4.0% | +2.5pp | ||
 Chandler Simpson TB LF · vs MIL | Total Bases | 1.5 | 1.37 | -0.13 | o0.5-223UD | -222DK | Over 0.5 | 71.7 | 69.0 | -253 | +2.7% | +3.9% | -1.9pp | ||
Sal Frelick MIL RF · vs TB | Runs | 0.5 | 0.54 | +0.04 | +198DK | -282DK | Over 0.5 | 34.8 | 33.6 | +187 | +1.2% | +3.7% | +0.9pp | ||
Garrett Mitchell MIL CF · vs TB | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 1.74 | +0.24 | +135DK | -181DK | Over 1.5 | 44.1 | 42.6 | +127 | +1.6% | +3.6% | -0.1pp | ||
Jake Bauers MIL 1B · vs TB | RBI | 0.5 | 0.58 | +0.08 | +179DK | -253DK | Over 0.5 | 37.1 | 35.8 | +170 | +1.3% | +3.5% | +4.1pp | ||
Sal Frelick MIL RF · vs TB | Home Runs | 1+ | 0.08 | -0.92 | +1420DK | — | 1+ Home Runs | 6.8 | 6.6 | +1371 | +0.2% | +3.4% | +0.6pp | ||
William Contreras MIL C · vs TB | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.21 | +0.71 | +102DK | -136DK | Over 1.5 | 51.0 | 49.5 | -104 | +1.5% | +3.0% | +0.4pp | ||
 Jacob Misiorowski MIL SP · vs TB | Pitcher Ks | 6.5 | 7.45 | +0.95 | -131DK | +102DK | Over 6.5 | 58.0 | 56.7 | -138 | +1.3% | +2.3% | -0.3pp | ||
Christian Yelich MIL DH · vs TB | Runs | 0.5 | 0.59 | +0.09 | +167DK | -235DK | Over 0.5 | 38.2 | 37.5 | +162 | +0.8% | +2.0% | -0.1pp | ||
Brice Turang MIL 2B · vs TB | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 2.35 | +0.85 | -106DK | -125DK | Over 1.5 | 52.4 | 51.5 | -110 | +0.9% | +1.8% | +5.0pp | ||
Yandy Diaz TB DH · vs MIL | Runs | 0.5 | 0.59 | +0.09 | +162DK | -228DK | Over 0.5 | 38.7 | 38.2 | +158 | +0.5% | +1.4% | +2.9pp | ||
Jonathan Aranda TB 1B · vs MIL | Home Runs | 1+ | 0.14 | -0.86 | +810DK | — | 1+ Home Runs | 11.1 | 11.0 | +801 | +0.1% | +1.0% | -1.2pp | ||
Yandy Diaz TB DH · vs MIL | Home Runs | 1+ | 0.15 | -0.85 | +740DK | — | 1+ Home Runs | 12.0 | 11.9 | +733 | +0.1% | +0.8% | +1.9pp | ||
Chandler Simpson TB LF · vs MIL | Runs | 0.5 | 0.45 | -0.05 | +219DK | -315DK | Over 0.5 | 31.6 | 31.3 | +216 | +0.3% | +0.8% | -1.2pp | ||
Chandler Simpson TB LF · vs MIL | H+R+RBI | 1.5 | 1.79 | +0.29 | +111DK | -148DK | Over 1.5 | 47.5 | 47.4 | +111 | +0.1% | +0.2% | -1.9pp | ||
Liam Hicks TB C · vs MIL | Hits | 0.5 | 0.88 | +0.38 | -114UD | -112DK | Over 0.5 | 53.1 | 53.3 | -113 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -2.7pp | ||
Jonathan Aranda TB 1B · vs MIL | Runs | 0.5 | 0.48 | -0.02 | +194DK | -276DK | Over 0.5 | 33.8 | 34.0 | +196 | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.5pp |
Showing 40 of 66