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MLB · Player Prop Research · L5 / L10 Hit Rates · Heat-Mapped Stats

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MLB · HR · Today's slate · vs probable pitcherProp Lines · Demo (live game odds available on Lineups)
#PlayerTeamvs PitcherMatchupLineOverUnderxwOBABarrel%K%L5L10Hit%L10 Trend
1Kyle SchwarberPHICionel Pérez98%0.5-90-980.39020.633.72/56/1060%
2Byron BuxtonMINRyan Feltner91%0.5-111-800.35619.125.03/57/1070%
3Yordan AlvarezHOUJack Flaherty100%0.5-102-1190.47618.617.20/50/100%
4Hunter GoodmanCOLConnor Prielipp74%0.5-99-940.32016.432.92/54/1040%
5Ben RiceNYYSonny Gray84%0.5-95-980.37914.423.31/54/1040%
6James WoodWSHKyle Bradish92%0.5-110-1070.41723.030.32/54/1040%
7Junior CamineroTBMerrill Kelly93%0.5-124-1040.36913.017.61/53/1030%
8Colson MontgomeryCWSLuinder Avila72%0.5-98-1090.32914.531.64/57/1070%
9Matt OlsonATLRobbie Ray82%0.5-121-1230.36413.322.94/56/1060%
10Shea LangeliersATHSam Aldegheri84%0.5-117-1380.36614.419.55/57/1070%
11Brandon LowePITBrady Singer81%0.5-127-1250.34512.025.34/56/1060%
12Dillon DinglerDETHunter Brown76%0.5-115-1090.39513.121.44/55/1050%
13Nick KurtzATHSam Aldegheri90%0.5-90-1200.39318.630.51/55/1050%
14Kazuma OkamotoTORKumar Rocker77%0.5-109-1040.33614.931.70/53/1030%
15Bryce HarperPHICionel Pérez95%0.5-87-1340.40812.318.72/55/1050%
16Jordan WalkerSTLTyler Phillips81%0.5-107-1040.36013.425.43/55/1050%
17Pete AlonsoBALZack Littell91%0.5-131-880.37712.223.71/53/1030%
18Christian WalkerHOUJack Flaherty70%0.5-103-1240.30310.322.00/53/1030%
19Miguel VargasCWSLuinder Avila85%0.5-97-870.39614.317.21/53/1030%
20Juan SotoNYMJesús Luzardo87%0.5-105-950.42114.613.10/50/100%
21CJ AbramsWSHKyle Bradish73%0.5-86-1040.34510.220.81/55/1050%
22Willson ContrerasBOSCarlos Rodón78%0.5-119-1160.37513.325.85/58/1080%
23Zach NetoLAAAaron Civale72%0.5-85-1240.31413.132.55/59/1090%
24Shohei OhtaniLADMichael King93%0.5-92-1390.42017.223.02/57/1070%
25Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCBrandon Woodruff72%0.5-126-1240.36411.326.02/54/1040%
26Casey SchmittSFChris Sale73%0.5-127-1100.36012.319.41/53/1030%
27Gunnar HendersonBALZack Littell75%0.5-92-1300.3078.323.74/56/1060%
28Max MuncyLADMichael King82%0.5-112-1370.37615.224.23/56/1060%
29Ian HappCHCBrandon Woodruff64%0.5-140-1340.32613.531.40/52/1020%
30Andy PagesLADMichael King73%0.5-122-930.3398.419.92/56/1060%
31Jake BauersMILRyan Rolison77%0.5-93-1190.36013.325.04/57/1070%
32Willy AdamesSFChris Sale56%0.5-90-850.2919.427.24/57/1070%
33Jake BurgerTEXShane Bieber100%0.5-90-870.31410.226.12/54/1040%
34Sal StewartCINMitch Keller79%0.5-105-940.35515.021.63/55/1050%
35Manny MachadoSDEmmet Sheehan65%0.5-135-980.3159.622.02/55/1050%
36Julio RodríguezSEAGavin Williams73%0.5-113-1230.3459.121.23/55/1050%
37Jac CaglianoneKCAnthony Kay88%0.5-119-820.37917.130.41/56/1060%
38Brooks LeeMINRyan Feltner64%0.5-93-1130.2764.615.33/57/1070%
39Michael Harris IIATLRobbie Ray85%0.5-100-1050.37815.120.41/53/1030%
40Drake BaldwinATLRobbie Ray84%0.5-135-970.37917.424.91/54/1040%
41Ketel MarteARIDrew Rasmussen73%0.5-128-1300.36810.613.93/56/1060%
42Corbin CarrollARIDrew Rasmussen75%0.5-137-1070.36312.821.32/53/1030%
43Spencer SteerCINMitch Keller77%0.5-126-830.34914.123.33/55/1050%
44Tyler SoderstromATHSam Aldegheri77%0.5-109-1290.33810.017.42/55/1050%
45Alec BurlesonSTLTyler Phillips84%0.5-118-1170.38710.514.70/52/1020%
46Freddie FreemanLADMichael King82%0.5-100-870.38411.616.82/55/1050%
47Luis García Jr.WSHKyle Bradish75%0.5-109-1010.3359.315.81/55/1050%
48Kody ClemensMINRyan Feltner81%0.5-82-880.33712.821.44/55/1050%
49Spencer TorkelsonDETHunter Brown55%0.5-112-1070.31513.632.81/54/1040%
50Ozzie AlbiesATLRobbie Ray63%0.5-112-1150.3044.011.43/54/1040%
51TJ RumfieldCOLConnor Prielipp67%0.5-139-1030.3206.014.74/57/1070%
52Elly De La CruzCINMitch Keller82%0.5-127-990.36114.429.32/54/1040%
53Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYYSonny Gray60%0.5-106-1380.2998.927.84/57/1070%
54Yandy DíazTBMerrill Kelly88%0.5-107-1090.3727.713.21/54/1040%
55Joc PedersonTEXShane Bieber100%0.5-89-1280.35610.920.63/57/1070%
56Jonathan ArandaTBMerrill Kelly84%0.5-127-990.36710.422.93/56/1060%
57Jarren DuranBOSCarlos Rodón59%0.5-101-1280.29110.829.45/510/10100%
58Gavin SheetsSDEmmet Sheehan67%0.5-138-800.3268.223.44/55/1050%
59Brandon MarshPHICionel Pérez79%0.5-114-840.3308.725.22/56/1060%
60JJ WetherholtSTLTyler Phillips72%0.5-82-1080.3517.115.82/53/1030%
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026