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MLB · Matchup score ≥ 110 · Tap a card for AI edge analysis

eliteMLBWSH @ DET
James Wood
WSH · vs Framber Valdez
OVER 1.5
-99
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+14.7
Matchup
91%
xwOBA 0.406xBA 0.272Barrel% 19.1vs Framber Valdez
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Pete Alonso
BAL · vs Max Scherzer
OVER 0.5
-170
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+13.7
Matchup
88%
xwOBA 0.397xBA 0.283Barrel% 14.7vs Max Scherzer
eliteMLBSTL @ PIT
Oneil Cruz
PIT · vs Matthew Liberatore
OVER 0.5
-195
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+13.4
Matchup
87%
xwOBA 0.378xBA 0.283Barrel% 16.3vs Matthew Liberatore
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Pete Alonso
BAL · vs TBD
OVER 0.5
-170
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+13.1
Matchup
87%
xwOBA 0.397xBA 0.283Barrel% 14.7vs TBD
eliteMLBSTL @ PIT
Rafael Flores Jr.
PIT · vs Matthew Liberatore
OVER 1.5
-98
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+11.7
Matchup
82%
xwOBA 0.379xBA 0.301Barrel% 11.6vs Matthew Liberatore
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
Jake Bauers
MIL · vs Aaron Nola
OVER 1.5
-132
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+11.1
Matchup
81%
xwOBA 0.378xBA 0.257Barrel% 14.2vs Aaron Nola
eliteMLBMIN @ SF
Kody Clemens
MIN · vs Cesar Perdomo
OVER 0.5
+283
HR
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+9.9
Matchup
77%
xwOBA 0.331xBA 0.250Barrel% 11.2vs Cesar Perdomo
eliteMLBSTL @ PIT
Bryan Reynolds
PIT · vs Matthew Liberatore
OVER 0.5
+282
HR
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+9.4
Matchup
76%
xwOBA 0.354xBA 0.254Barrel% 11.4vs Matthew Liberatore
eliteMLBSTL @ PIT
Alec Burleson
STL · vs Lake Bachar
OVER 0.5
+341
HR
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+9.3
Matchup
76%
xwOBA 0.371xBA 0.289Barrel% 10.9vs Lake Bachar
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Kazuma Okamoto
TOR · vs Chris Bassitt
OVER 0.5
-158
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.9
Matchup
75%
xwOBA 0.328xBA 0.224Barrel% 13.2vs Chris Bassitt
eliteMLBSTL @ PIT
Brandon Lowe
PIT · vs Matthew Liberatore
OVER 1.5
-111
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.7
Matchup
74%
xwOBA 0.330xBA 0.240Barrel% 12.2vs Matthew Liberatore
eliteMLBWSH @ DET
Kevin McGonigle
DET · vs Richard Lovelady
OVER 1.5
-111
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.7
Matchup
74%
xwOBA 0.357xBA 0.266Barrel% 7.1vs Richard Lovelady
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
Jackson Chourio
MIL · vs Aaron Nola
OVER 0.5
-177
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.7
Matchup
74%
xwOBA 0.339xBA 0.261Barrel% 12.2vs Aaron Nola
eliteMLBMIN @ SF
Josh Bell
MIN · vs Cesar Perdomo
OVER 0.5
-196
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.6
Matchup
74%
xwOBA 0.333xBA 0.256Barrel% 9.6vs Cesar Perdomo
eliteMLBWSH @ DET
CJ Abrams
WSH · vs Framber Valdez
OVER 0.5
+350
HR
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.6
Matchup
74%
xwOBA 0.331xBA 0.247Barrel% 10.3vs Framber Valdez
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
Kyle Schwarber
PHI · vs Logan Henderson
OVER 0.5
-123
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.1
Matchup
73%
xwOBA 0.364xBA 0.235Barrel% 16.0vs Logan Henderson
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
Bryce Harper
PHI · vs Logan Henderson
OVER 1.5
-113
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8.1
Matchup
72%
xwOBA 0.381xBA 0.270Barrel% 10.5vs Logan Henderson
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
Garrett Mitchell
MIL · vs Aaron Nola
OVER 1.5
-145
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+8
Matchup
72%
xwOBA 0.353xBA 0.267Barrel% 11.9vs Aaron Nola
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR · vs Chris Bassitt
OVER 0.5
-120
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+7.8
Matchup
72%
xwOBA 0.335xBA 0.283Barrel% 7.0vs Chris Bassitt
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
William Contreras
MIL · vs Aaron Nola
OVER 0.5
+307
HR
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+7.7
Matchup
72%
xwOBA 0.335xBA 0.261Barrel% 8.5vs Aaron Nola
eliteMLBSTL @ PIT
Jordan Walker
STL · vs Lake Bachar
OVER 0.5
+341
HR
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+7.7
Matchup
71%
xwOBA 0.342xBA 0.266Barrel% 13.3vs Lake Bachar
eliteMLBWSH @ DET
Daylen Lile
WSH · vs Framber Valdez
OVER 0.5
-169
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+7.6
Matchup
71%
xwOBA 0.327xBA 0.258Barrel% 9.8vs Framber Valdez
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Kazuma Okamoto
TOR · vs TBD
OVER 0.5
-158
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+7.5
Matchup
71%
xwOBA 0.328xBA 0.224Barrel% 13.2vs TBD
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Josh Smith
TOR · vs Chris Bassitt
OVER 1.5
-123
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+7.4
Matchup
71%
xwOBA 0.318xBA 0.237Barrel% 11.5vs Chris Bassitt
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Gunnar Henderson
BAL · vs Max Scherzer
OVER 1.5
-140
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+6.8
Matchup
69%
xwOBA 0.323xBA 0.248Barrel% 7.8vs Max Scherzer
eliteMLBMIL @ PHI
Brice Turang
MIL · vs Aaron Nola
OVER 1.5
-129
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+6.7
Matchup
69%
xwOBA 0.342xBA 0.253Barrel% 7.5vs Aaron Nola
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR · vs TBD
OVER 0.5
-120
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+6.4
Matchup
68%
xwOBA 0.335xBA 0.283Barrel% 7.0vs TBD
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Gunnar Henderson
BAL · vs TBD
OVER 1.5
-140
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+6.2
Matchup
67%
xwOBA 0.323xBA 0.248Barrel% 7.8vs TBD
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
Josh Smith
TOR · vs TBD
OVER 1.5
-123
Total Bases
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+6
Matchup
67%
xwOBA 0.318xBA 0.237Barrel% 11.5vs TBD
eliteMLBTOR @ BAL
George Springer
TOR · vs Chris Bassitt
OVER 0.5
-151
1+ Hits
Demo Odds
Conf
92%
EV
+5.9
Matchup
66%
xwOBA 0.304xBA 0.235Barrel% 6.4vs Chris Bassitt
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026