Clutch Algorithm
Clutch.Algorithm
ResearchCheat SheetGamesEdge Board / PropsTrendsPower RatingsMLB BlogHit Rate MatrixHR ScorersInjury ReportTeam StatsPlayersSearch
Joined The Discord https://discord.gg/SjztzK55Gz
MLB Research Terminal

MLB Edge Terminal

Model projections vs the best price across your sportsbooks · edge % · expected value · line movement — refreshed continuously.

Updated 5m ago
Games
1/2
Props Modeled
66
+EV Edges
41
Best EV
+32.3%
Lines Moving
46

Games: Team ratings (PF/PA per game, prior season regressed + current season) → normal win/cover/over probabilities, blended 45% model / 55% no-vig market. Props: Per-game player rates (prior season blended with current) → Poisson/normal over probabilities, blended 35% model / 65% no-vig market. Unpriced lines assume -110.

00 · Game Slate

Today's Games

2 games · tap a game for its full research view — markets by book, every player prop, AI read

Today + Next
Fri 7:00 PM CTDraftKings
TBTB98-64+165BR
MILMIL103-59-179CZR
Run Line MIL -1.5O/U 6.566 propsTop EV +32.3%
Sat 7:00 PM CTNo line
TBTB98-64—
MILMIL103-59—
0 props
01 · +EV Edge Board

Best +EV Right Now

41 positive-EV opportunities · 3 game markets · 38 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV

TierMarket / PlayerTypeGameModel ProjBest OddsModel %ImpliedFairEdgeEVMoveSlip
ELITE
Liam Hicks
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.56+374DK27.921.1+258+6.8%+32.3%-1.3pp
ELITE
Jonathan Aranda
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.58+332DK29.523.1+239+6.3%+27.4%+0.3pp
ELITE
Christian Yelich
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.69+249DK34.828.7+187+6.2%+21.4%-0.5pp
ELITE
Brice Turang
Total Bases · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.72-167UD74.962.5-299+12.4%+19.8%0—
ELITE
Junior Caminero
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.64+233DK34.730.0+188+4.7%+15.6%+1.8pp
ELITE
Brice Turang
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.64+225UD35.230.8+184+4.4%+14.4%+4.1pp
ELITE
Over 6.5
Total
game
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 8.6-105FD58.551.2-141+7.3%+14.2%+0.5
ELITE
Yandy Diaz
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.55+259DK31.827.9+214+3.9%+14.2%+4.2pp
ELITE
Junior Caminero
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.26+546DK17.515.5+471+2.0%+13.1%-0.4pp
ELITE
Christian Yelich
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.19+750DK13.311.8+652+1.5%+13.1%+1.1pp
ELITE
Nick Martinez
Pitcher Ks · Over 3.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 3.92+143DK46.441.2+116+5.3%+12.8%-5.4pp
ELITE
Sal Frelick
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.44+300DK27.825.0+260+2.8%+11.2%0
ELITE
William Contreras
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.62+209DK35.732.4+180+3.3%+10.3%+1.9pp
STRONG
Sal Frelick
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.05+135DK46.842.6+114+4.3%+10.0%+0.5pp
STRONG
Liam Hicks
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.12+1160DK8.77.9+1049+0.8%+9.6%-0.4pp
STRONG
Junior Caminero
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.3+135DK46.142.6+117+3.5%+8.3%-1.2pp
STRONG
Yandy Diaz
Total Bases · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.79+149DK43.240.2+131+3.0%+7.6%0—
STRONG
Jackson Chourio
Total Bases · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.99+123UD48.144.8+108+3.3%+7.3%+2.2pp
STRONG
Garrett Mitchell
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.46+261DK29.727.7+237+2.0%+7.2%+0.8pp
STRONG
Jackson Chourio
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.59+198DK35.933.6+179+2.3%+7.0%+2.4pp
STRONG
Christian Yelich
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.28+122DK47.945.0+109+2.9%+6.3%-1.0pp
STRONG
Junior Caminero
Runs · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.62+183DK37.535.3+167+2.2%+6.1%-1.2pp
STRONG
Liam Hicks
Runs · Over 0.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.47+245DK30.729.0+226+1.7%+5.9%-2.0pp
GOOD
Jake Bauers
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.02+104UD51.049.0-104+2.0%+4.0%+4.3pp
GOOD
Yandy Diaz
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
TB @ MIL
Fri 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.31+108DK50.048.1-100+1.9%+4.0%+2.5pp
Showing 25 of 41
02 · Full-Slate Projections

Moneyline · Run Line · Total

Model win / cover / over probability vs the best price across all books · fair odds · edge % · tap a game to research it

TimeMatchupProj Score · TotalBest ML · Model %Fair MLML EdgeRun Line · Cover %Fair LineATS EdgeTotal O / UTotal EdgeBest BetLine Move
Fri 7:00 PM CT
DraftKings
TBTB98-64
MILMIL103-59
3.9
4.8
8.6
+165BR38.8%
-179CZR61.2%
+158
-158
+1.1%
-3.0%
+1.5-143BR56.3%
-1.5+130CZR43.7%
MIL -1
-2.5%
+0.2%
o6.5-105FD58.5%
u6.5-107DK41.5%
+7.3%
-10.2%
Over 6.5 FD
+14.2%
ML+4.8ppSPR+3.4ppTOT+0.5
Sat 7:00 PM CT
No line
TBTB98-64
MILMIL103-59
3.9
4.8
8.6
—
—
+140
-140
—
—
—
—
MIL -1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Showing 2 of 2
03 · Player Props

Projection vs Market

66 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research

PlayerStatusPropLineModel ProjDiffOver / YesUnderModel SideModel %ImpliedFairEdgeEVMoveSlip
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
RBI0.50.56+0.06+374DK-573DKOver 0.527.921.1+258+6.8%+32.3%-1.3pp
Jonathan Aranda
TB 1B · vs MIL
RBI0.50.58+0.08+332DK-500DKOver 0.529.523.1+239+6.3%+27.4%+0.3pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
RBI0.50.69+0.19+249DK-362DKOver 0.534.828.7+187+6.2%+21.4%-0.5pp
Brice Turang
MIL 2B · vs TB
Total Bases1.51.72+0.22o0.5-167UD-176DKOver 0.574.962.5-299+12.4%+19.8%0—
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
RBI0.50.64+0.14+233DK-337DKOver 0.534.730.0+188+4.7%+15.6%+1.8pp
Brice Turang
MIL 2B · vs TB
RBI0.50.64+0.14+225UD-322DKOver 0.535.230.8+184+4.4%+14.4%+4.1pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
RBI0.50.55+0.05+259DK-378DKOver 0.531.827.9+214+3.9%+14.2%+4.2pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
Home Runs1+0.19-0.81+750DK—1+ Home Runs13.311.8+652+1.5%+13.1%+1.1pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.26-0.74+546DK—1+ Home Runs17.515.5+471+2.0%+13.1%-0.4pp
Nick Martinez
TB SP · vs MIL
Pitcher Ks3.53.92+0.42+143DK-184DKOver 3.546.441.2+116+5.3%+12.8%-5.4pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
RBI0.50.44-0.06+300DK-446DKOver 0.527.825.0+260+2.8%+11.2%0
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
RBI0.50.62+0.12+209DK-300DKOver 0.535.732.4+180+3.3%+10.3%+1.9pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.05+0.55+135DK-180DKOver 1.546.842.6+114+4.3%+10.0%+0.5pp
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.12-0.88+1160DK—1+ Home Runs8.77.9+1049+0.8%+9.6%-0.4pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
H+R+RBI1.52.3+0.8+135DK-180DKOver 1.546.142.6+117+3.5%+8.3%-1.2pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
Total Bases1.51.79+0.29+149DK-197UDOver 1.543.240.2+131+3.0%+7.6%0—
Jackson Chourio
MIL LF · vs TB
Total Bases1.51.99+0.49+123UD-162DKOver 1.548.144.8+108+3.3%+7.3%+2.2pp
Garrett Mitchell
MIL CF · vs TB
RBI0.50.46-0.04+261DK-381DKOver 0.529.727.7+237+2.0%+7.2%+0.8pp
Jackson Chourio
MIL LF · vs TB
RBI0.50.59+0.09+198DK-282DKOver 0.535.933.6+179+2.3%+7.0%+2.4pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.28+0.78+122DK-162DKOver 1.547.945.0+109+2.9%+6.3%-1.0pp
Junior Caminero
TB 3B · vs MIL
Runs0.50.62+0.12+183DK-259DKOver 0.537.535.3+167+2.2%+6.1%-1.2pp
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
Runs0.50.47-0.03+245DK-356DKOver 0.530.729.0+226+1.7%+5.9%-2.0pp
Jake Bauers
MIL 1B · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.02+0.52+104UD-135DKOver 1.551.049.0-104+2.0%+4.0%+4.3pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
H+R+RBI1.52.31+0.81+108DK-143DKOver 1.550.048.1-100+1.9%+4.0%+2.5pp
Chandler Simpson
TB LF · vs MIL
Total Bases1.51.37-0.13o0.5-223UD-222DKOver 0.571.769.0-253+2.7%+3.9%-1.9pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
Runs0.50.54+0.04+198DK-282DKOver 0.534.833.6+187+1.2%+3.7%+0.9pp
Garrett Mitchell
MIL CF · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.51.74+0.24+135DK-181DKOver 1.544.142.6+127+1.6%+3.6%-0.1pp
Jake Bauers
MIL 1B · vs TB
RBI0.50.58+0.08+179DK-253DKOver 0.537.135.8+170+1.3%+3.5%+4.1pp
Sal Frelick
MIL RF · vs TB
Home Runs1+0.08-0.92+1420DK—1+ Home Runs6.86.6+1371+0.2%+3.4%+0.6pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.21+0.71+102DK-136DKOver 1.551.049.5-104+1.5%+3.0%+0.4pp
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL SP · vs TB
Pitcher Ks6.57.45+0.95-131DK+102DKOver 6.558.056.7-138+1.3%+2.3%-0.3pp
Christian Yelich
MIL DH · vs TB
Runs0.50.59+0.09+167DK-235DKOver 0.538.237.5+162+0.8%+2.0%-0.1pp
Brice Turang
MIL 2B · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.35+0.85-106DK-125DKOver 1.552.451.5-110+0.9%+1.8%+5.0pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
Runs0.50.59+0.09+162DK-228DKOver 0.538.738.2+158+0.5%+1.4%+2.9pp
Jonathan Aranda
TB 1B · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.14-0.86+810DK—1+ Home Runs11.111.0+801+0.1%+1.0%-1.2pp
Yandy Diaz
TB DH · vs MIL
Home Runs1+0.15-0.85+740DK—1+ Home Runs12.011.9+733+0.1%+0.8%+1.9pp
Chandler Simpson
TB LF · vs MIL
Runs0.50.45-0.05+219DK-315DKOver 0.531.631.3+216+0.3%+0.8%-1.2pp
Chandler Simpson
TB LF · vs MIL
H+R+RBI1.51.79+0.29+111DK-148DKOver 1.547.547.4+111+0.1%+0.2%-1.9pp
Liam Hicks
TB C · vs MIL
Hits0.50.88+0.38-114UD-112DKOver 0.553.153.3-113-0.2%-0.3%-2.7pp
Jonathan Aranda
TB 1B · vs MIL
Runs0.50.48-0.02+194DK-276DKOver 0.533.834.0+196-0.2%-0.6%-0.5pp
Showing 40 of 66
04 · Market Movement

Line Movement Tracker

Opening → current · 33 up · 13 down · snapshots stored every refresh

MarketSelectionOpenCurrentPriceΔΔ ImpliedTrendMove Size
propPitcher Ks
N. Martinez Pitcher Ks
TB @ MIL
3.53.5+143-5.4pp-5.4pp14 snapshots2.16
propRuns
B. Turang Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+121+5.3pp+5.3pp60 snapshots2.12
propH+R+RBI
B. Turang H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5-106+5.0pp+5.0pp62 snapshots1.98
gameMoneyline
MIL ML
TB @ MIL
-160-198-198+4.8pp+4.8pp62 snapshots1.92
propRuns
J. Bauers Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+119+4.6pp+4.6pp61 snapshots1.84
propHits
B. Turang Hits
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-211+4.4pp+4.4pp66 snapshots1.76
propHome Runs
B. Turang Home Runs
TB @ MIL
11+600+4.3pp+4.3pp71 snapshots1.72
propH+R+RBI
J. Bauers H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5+102+4.3pp+4.3pp64 snapshots1.72
propRBI
Y. Diaz RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+259+4.2pp+4.2pp69 snapshots1.68
propHome Runs
J. Bauers Home Runs
TB @ MIL
11+393+4.2pp+4.2pp67 snapshots1.66
propRBI
B. Turang RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+224+4.1pp+4.1pp67 snapshots1.64
propRBI
J. Bauers RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+179+4.1pp+4.1pp61 snapshots1.64
propHits
J. Aranda Hits
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-146+4.0pp+4.0pp63 snapshots1.59
propRuns
J. Chourio Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+104+3.5pp+3.5pp64 snapshots1.38
propH+R+RBI
J. Chourio H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5-132+3.4pp+3.4pp65 snapshots1.36
gameRun Line
MIL -1.5
TB @ MIL
-1.5-1.5+122+3.4pp+3.4pp65 snapshots1.36
propH+R+RBI
J. Aranda H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-177+2.9pp+2.9pp63 snapshots1.18
propRuns
Y. Diaz Runs
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+162+2.9pp+2.9pp65 snapshots1.16
propHome Runs
J. Chourio Home Runs
TB @ MIL
11+457+2.9pp+2.9pp66 snapshots1.14
propHits
L. Hicks Hits
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-118-2.7pp-2.7pp71 snapshots1.08
propHits
Y. Diaz Hits
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-217+2.6pp+2.6pp62 snapshots1.06
propH+R+RBI
L. Hicks H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5-144-2.6pp-2.6pp71 snapshots1.03
gameTotal
O/U 6.5
TB @ MIL
66.5-112+0.5line moved61 snapshots1
propH+R+RBI
Y. Diaz H+R+RBI
TB @ MIL
1.51.5+108+2.5pp+2.5pp66 snapshots0.99
propRBI
J. Chourio RBI
TB @ MIL
0.50.5+198+2.4pp+2.4pp61 snapshots0.95
Showing 25 of 46
05 · Power Ratings

Team Power Ratings

Model offense / defense in runs per game vs league average (4.45) · 2026 season, prior season regressed in

#TeamRecordNet runs/gOffDefWin% vs AvgL10Streak
1MILMIL103-59+1.19+0.61+0.5760.9%8-2W5
2LADLAD100-62+1.10+0.48+0.6260.1%8-2W3
3CHCCHC89-73+0.83+0.69+0.1457.7%5-5W1
4NYYNYY93-68+0.81+0.21+0.6057.4%5-5W1
5ATLATL94-68+0.57+0.11+0.4655.2%5-5L1
6BOSBOS87-75+0.47-0.11+0.5754.3%5-5L1
7TBTB98-64+0.45+0.07+0.3854.2%5-5L1
8DETDET76-86+0.40+0.04+0.3653.7%4-6L1
9SDSD91-71+0.26-0.01+0.2752.4%8-2W2
10CHWCHW84-78+0.21+0.22-0.0151.9%7-3W1
11PHIPHI88-74+0.17+0.01+0.1651.6%4-6W1
12PITPIT82-80+0.09+0.13-0.0450.9%7-3W1
14ARIARI86-76+0.05+0.14-0.0950.5%6-4L2
13CLECLE85-77+0.05-0.27+0.3250.5%8-2L1
15MIAMIA80-82-0.05-0.04-0.0149.5%5-5W1
16NYMNYM74-88-0.12-0.07-0.0548.9%5-5L1
17WSHWSH77-85-0.13+0.47-0.6048.8%6-4W1
18HOUHOU81-81-0.14+0.04-0.1848.7%5-5W2
20TORTOR79-83-0.17-0.30+0.1348.4%4-6W1
19TEXTEX80-82-0.17-0.26+0.0948.4%4-6L1
22STLSTL77-85-0.19-0.03-0.1748.2%2-8L4
21BALBAL79-82-0.19-0.02-0.1648.3%6-4L1
23SEASEA76-86-0.23-0.25+0.0147.8%6-4W2
24MINMIN77-85-0.36+0.06-0.4246.7%6-4W1
25SFSF65-97-0.44-0.27-0.1746%2-8L5
26KCKC69-93-0.58-0.20-0.3844.6%2-8W1
27LAALAA62-100-0.60-0.36-0.2444.4%4-6L2
28CINCIN75-87-0.77-0.27-0.4942.9%4-6L1
29ATHATH64-98-1.24-0.10-1.1438.7%3-7L2
30COLCOL58-104-1.26+0.07-1.3338.5%2-8L1
Showing 30 of 30
05 · MLB Research Tools

The HR Lab

Every specialized MLB tool from the CLUTCH Game Intelligence Center — unchanged.

Command Center
The original CLUTCH home — slate ribbon, top HR threats, AI notes
HR Tools
HR matchups ranked by edge · HR filter · hot / cold bats
Game Intelligence
Per-game heatmap · pitcher vulnerability · analyst report
Edge Engine
Best bets, parlays and the accountability tracker
Hit & TB Props
1+ / 2+ hits and total bases probability boards
Pitcher Props
K matchups · weak spots · bullpen
V12 Cheat Sheet
Full slate research sheet
Tracker
ROI and hit rate · 7 / 30 / 90 days
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Multi-sport betting research terminal for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL — +EV edges, full-slate projections, player prop models and line movement, plus the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 MLB HR lab. Lines via DraftKings / ESPN; data from ESPN, MLB StatsAPI, Savant and Open-Meteo.

21+ Only · Clutch Algorithm is an analytics research platform for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not a sportsbook. No wagers are accepted, processed, or facilitated on this site. Projected probabilities, edges, EV and fair odds are model outputs — not guaranteed outcomes. Past performance does not predict future results.

Gamble responsibly. If gambling becomes a problem, call the National Council on Problem Gambling helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Self-exclusion programs and time-limit tools are available via your state lottery commission.

© 2026 Clutch Algorithm · All rights reserved

Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Oct 2026