NFL · First Scorer
First TD Board
First TD and Anytime TD scorers — DraftKings / Underdog prices vs the model's per-game touchdown rate.
Updated 21s ago
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First TD
14 games · top 12 per game · model probability, fair odds and the best price at your books · live/final games show HIT/MISS
NE @ CHI
FinalFinal1
D'Andre Swift
CHI RB · 0.85/g
18.4%
fair +444
+351UD
hit1-17.1%
2
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE RB · 0.46/g
11.4%
fair +775
+572UD
miss0-23.2%
3
A.J. Brown
NE WR · 0.31/g
8.4%
fair +1092
+785UD
miss0-25.8%
4
Colston Loveland
CHI TE · 0.25/g
7.5%
fair +1230
+846UD
miss0-28.9%
5
Caleb Williams
CHI QB · 0.42/g
7.2%
fair +1283
+1250UD
miss0-2.4%
6
DeMario Douglas
NE WR · 0.5/g
7.1%
fair +1303
+1420UD
miss0+8.3%
7
Hunter Henry
NE TE · 0.36/g
7.1%
fair +1303
+1140UD
miss0-11.6%
8
Rome Odunze
CHI WR · 0.2/g
6.9%
fair +1349
+884UD
miss0-32.1%
9
Luther Burden III
CHI WR · 0.15/g
6.7%
fair +1383
+846UD
miss0-36.2%
10
TreVeyon Henderson
NE RB · 0.37/g
6.1%
fair +1537
+1570UD
miss0+2.0%
11
Drake Maye
NE QB · 0.19/g
5%
fair +1905
+1420UD
miss0-24.2%
12
Kalif Raymond
CHI WR · 0.17/g
4.1%
fair +2350
+1800UD
miss0-22.5%
PIT @ NO
Sun 8:30 AM CT1
Jaylen Warren
PIT RB · 0.4/g
13.7%
fair +630
+402UD
-31.2%
2
Kendre Miller
NO RB · 0.29/g
9.8%
fair +921
+602UD
-31.2%
3
Pat Freiermuth
PIT TE · 0.49/g
9.4%
fair +967
+910UD
-5.3%
4
Chris Olave
NO WR · 0.42/g
8.7%
fair +1053
+930UD
-10.7%
5
DK Metcalf
PIT WR · 0.29/g
8.7%
fair +1052
+729UD
-28.0%
6
Germie Bernard
PIT WR · 0.17/g
7.1%
fair +1306
+806UD
-35.5%
7
Darnell Washington
PIT TE · 0.23/g
7%
fair +1321
+910UD
-28.9%
8
Rico Dowdle
PIT RB · 0.24/g
6.8%
fair +1371
+980UD
-26.6%
9
Juwan Johnson
NO TE · 0.37/g
6.5%
fair +1437
+1460UD
+1.5%
10
Tyler Shough
NO QB · 0.31/g
6.5%
fair +1442
+1250UD
-12.4%
11
Alvin Kamara
NO RB · 0.37/g
6.4%
fair +1454
+1510UD
+3.6%
12
Devaughn Vele
NO WR · 0.26/g
5.7%
fair +1663
+1410UD
-14.4%
SF @ ATL
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Christian McCaffrey
SF RB · 1.1/g
25.9%
fair +286
+314UD
+7.2%
2
Bijan Robinson
ATL RB · 0.76/g
24.4%
fair +310
+275UD
-8.6%
3
George Kittle
SF TE · 0.75/g
14.9%
fair +571
+720UD
+22.3%
4
Drake London
ATL WR · 0.23/g
10.4%
fair +863
+691UD
-17.9%
5
Brock Purdy
SF QB · 0.23/g
7.7%
fair +1204
+1080UD
-9.5%
6
Kyle Pitts Sr.
ATL TE · 0.42/g
7.5%
fair +1227
+1670UD
+33.4%
7
Kaelon Black
SF RB · 0/g
5.6%
fair +1698
+1700UD
+0.1%
8
Christian Kirk
SF WR · 0.08/g
3.7%
fair +2616
+2090UD
-19.4%
CLE @ TEN
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Quinshon Judkins
CLE RB · 0.33/g
13.1%
fair +665
+477UD
-24.5%
2
Tony Pollard
TEN RB · 0.22/g
12.9%
fair +674
+409UD
-34.2%
3
Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE TE · 0.47/g
12%
fair +731
+723UD
-0.9%
4
Denzel Boston
CLE WR · 0.5/g
10.8%
fair +825
+910UD
+9.2%
5
KC Concepcion
CLE WR · 0/g
9.1%
fair +994
+785UD
-19.1%
6
Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN WR · 0.3/g
7.6%
fair +1219
+1210UD
-0.7%
7
Cam Ward
TEN QB · 0.25/g
7.1%
fair +1313
+1170UD
-10.1%
8
Deshaun Watson
CLE QB · 0/g
6.9%
fair +1358
+1080UD
-19.1%
9
Carnell Tate
TEN WR · 0.17/g
6.9%
fair +1340
+960UD
-26.4%
10
Gunnar Helm
TEN TE · 0.12/g
5.4%
fair +1758
+1250UD
-27.4%
11
Tyjae Spears
TEN RB · 0.06/g
4.5%
fair +2141
+1310UD
-37.1%
12
Jerry Jeudy
CLE WR · 0.05/g
3.4%
fair +2866
+1770UD
-37.0%
IND @ MIN
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Jonathan Taylor
IND RB · 1.17/g
20%
fair +400
+391UD
-1.7%
2
Jordan Mason
MIN RB · 0.5/g
12.3%
fair +715
+541UD
-21.4%
3
Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN RB · 0.33/g
12.3%
fair +714
+443UD
-33.3%
4
Justin Jefferson
MIN WR · 0.43/g
11.3%
fair +782
+572UD
-23.8%
5
Jauan Jennings
MIN WR · 0.6/g
8.6%
fair +1068
+1140UD
+6.2%
6
Jordan Addison
MIN WR · 0.27/g
8.5%
fair +1075
+723UD
-29.9%
7
T.J. Hockenson
MIN TE · 0.2/g
7.5%
fair +1234
+785UD
-33.7%
8
Keenan Allen
IND WR · 0.22/g
5.4%
fair +1751
+1340UD
-22.2%
9
Kyler Murray
MIN QB · 0.1/g
4.9%
fair +1934
+1160UD
-38.0%
10
Josh Downs
IND WR · 0.1/g
4.3%
fair +2243
+1400UD
-36.0%
11
Laquon Treadwell
IND WR · 0/g
3.8%
fair +2544
+1980UD
-21.3%
MIA @ NYJ
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Braelon Allen
NYJ RB · 0.33/g
14.6%
fair +583
+355UD
-33.4%
2
Ollie Gordon II
MIA RB · 0.6/g
13.4%
fair +645
+594UD
-6.8%
3
Breece Hall
NYJ RB · 0.32/g
12.4%
fair +709
+463UD
-30.4%
4
Garrett Wilson
NYJ WR · 0.53/g
12%
fair +732
+666UD
-8.0%
5
Malik Willis
MIA QB · 0.4/g
7.1%
fair +1314
+1410UD
+6.8%
6
Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ TE · 0.33/g
6.5%
fair +1430
+1510UD
+5.2%
7
Caleb Douglas
MIA WR
5.5%
fair +1708
+1330UD
-20.9%
8
Malik Washington
MIA WR · 0.1/g
4.9%
fair +1923
+1220UD
-34.7%
9
Omar Cooper Jr.
NYJ WR
4.7%
fair +2011
+1570UD
-20.9%
10
Jaylen Wright
MIA RB · 0.2/g
4.1%
fair +2367
+2410UD
+1.8%
11
Geno Smith
NYJ QB · 0/g
4.1%
fair +2315
+1810UD
-20.9%
12
Adonai Mitchell
NYJ WR · 0.08/g
4%
fair +2406
+1530UD
-35.0%
TB @ CAR
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Chuba Hubbard
CAR RB · 0.79/g
18.8%
fair +431
+394UD
-7.0%
2
Bucky Irving
TB RB · 0.46/g
13.5%
fair +639
+513UD
-17.0%
3
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR WR · 0.41/g
11.9%
fair +744
+602UD
-16.8%
4
Jalen Coker
CAR WR · 0.39/g
11.7%
fair +757
+602UD
-18.0%
5
Darren Waller
CAR TE · 0.52/g
10.5%
fair +854
+910UD
+5.8%
6
Tommy Tremble
CAR TE · 0.4/g
8.8%
fair +1035
+1020UD
-1.3%
7
Kenny Gainwell
TB RB · 0.29/g
6.3%
fair +1496
+1490UD
-0.3%
8
Chris Godwin Jr.
TB WR · 0.09/g
5.4%
fair +1746
+1130UD
-33.4%
9
Cade Otton
TB TE · 0.03/g
4.8%
fair +1993
+1140UD
-40.8%
10
Bryce Young
CAR QB · 0.17/g
4.4%
fair +2148
+1860UD
-12.8%
11
Baker Mayfield
TB QB · 0.18/g
3.9%
fair +2456
+2410UD
-1.8%
CIN @ BAL
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Derrick Henry
BAL RB · 1.18/g
22.7%
fair +340
+283UD
-12.9%
2
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN WR · 0.67/g
12.6%
fair +695
+602UD
-11.7%
3
Chase Brown
CIN RB · 0.4/g
12.3%
fair +713
+477UD
-29.1%
4
Tee Higgins
CIN WR · 0.44/g
9%
fair +1009
+829UD
-16.2%
5
Zay Flowers
BAL WR · 0.38/g
8.9%
fair +1017
+776UD
-21.6%
6
Ja'Kobi Lane
BAL WR
7.1%
fair +1316
+1080UD
-16.7%
7
Mark Andrews
BAL TE · 0.24/g
6.8%
fair +1366
+970UD
-27.0%
8
Mike Gesicki
CIN TE · 0.51/g
6.5%
fair +1447
+1640UD
+12.5%
9
Rashod Bateman
BAL WR · 0.17/g
5.4%
fair +1758
+1200UD
-30.0%
10
Justice Hill
BAL RB · 0.3/g
4.6%
fair +2060
+2120UD
+2.8%
11
Dohnte Meyers
CIN WR · 0/g
3.7%
fair +2625
+2170UD
-16.7%
NYG @ HOU
Sun 12:00 PM CT1
Woody Marks
HOU RB · 0.33/g
14.2%
fair +602
+336UD
-37.9%
2
Nico Collins
HOU WR · 0.61/g
13.7%
fair +632
+477UD
-21.2%
3
Marvin Harrison Jr.
HOU WR · 0.33/g
8%
fair +1145
+846UD
-24.0%
4
Cam Skattebo
NYG RB · 0.45/g
7.9%
fair +1166
+1080UD
-6.8%
5
Jaylin Noel
HOU WR · 0.33/g
7.7%
fair +1200
+910UD
-22.3%
6
Malik Nabers
NYG WR · 0.4/g
7.3%
fair +1265
+1130UD
-9.9%
7
Dalton Schultz
HOU TE · 0.07/g
6.7%
fair +1385
+723UD
-44.6%
8
Isaiah Likely
NYG TE · 0.53/g
6.2%
fair +1521
+1610UD
+5.5%
9
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
NYG RB · 0.27/g
6%
fair +1556
+1200UD
-21.5%
10
J.J. McCarthy
NYG QB · 0.4/g
5.9%
fair +1588
+1680UD
+5.5%
11
Devin Singletary
NYG RB · 0.29/g
4.9%
fair +1961
+1930UD
-1.5%
12
Kayshon Boutte
HOU WR · 0.17/g
3.9%
fair +2475
+1920UD
-21.6%
DEN @ ARI
Sun 3:05 PM CT1
J.K. Dobbins
DEN RB · 0.36/g
12%
fair +732
+509UD
-26.8%
2
Trey McBride
ARI TE · 0.56/g
11.2%
fair +792
+764UD
-3.1%
3
Tyler Allgeier
ARI RB · 0.29/g
9.9%
fair +909
+631UD
-27.6%
4
RJ Harvey
DEN RB · 0.42/g
9.2%
fair +982
+887UD
-8.8%
5
Jaylen Waddle
DEN WR · 0.25/g
8.7%
fair +1043
+723UD
-28.0%
6
Bam Knight
ARI RB · 0.42/g
8.2%
fair +1124
+1110UD
-1.2%
7
Courtland Sutton
DEN WR · 0.26/g
8%
fair +1144
+846UD
-24.0%
8
Michael Wilson
ARI WR · 0.26/g
6.7%
fair +1394
+1140UD
-17.0%
9
Bo Nix
DEN QB · 0.22/g
6.5%
fair +1441
+1080UD
-23.4%
10
Kendrick Bourne
ARI WR · 0/g
6.1%
fair +1540
+1250UD
-17.7%
11
Troy Franklin
DEN WR · 0.35/g
4.6%
fair +2068
+2310UD
+11.1%
12
Evan Engram
DEN TE · 0.12/g
4.3%
fair +2221
+1580UD
-27.6%
GB @ DET
Sun 3:25 PM CT1
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET RB · 1.47/g
22.4%
fair +347
+259UD
-19.6%
2
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET WR · 0.84/g
13.1%
fair +665
+509UD
-20.4%
3
Josh Jacobs
GB RB · 0.93/g
12.7%
fair +686
+572UD
-14.5%
4
Christian Watson
GB WR · 0.84/g
10.1%
fair +891
+826UD
-6.6%
5
Jameson Williams
DET WR · 0.41/g
7.7%
fair +1200
+846UD
-27.2%
6
Sam LaPorta
DET TE · 0.48/g
7.2%
fair +1284
+1020UD
-19.1%
7
Tucker Kraft
GB TE · 0.4/g
7%
fair +1324
+970UD
-24.9%
8
Matthew Golden
GB WR · 0.3/g
7%
fair +1319
+863UD
-32.1%
9
MarShawn Lloyd
GB RB · 0.5/g
4.8%
fair +1999
+2200UD
+9.6%
10
Savion Williams
GB WR
4.6%
fair +2068
+1660UD
-18.8%
11
Pierre Strong Jr.
GB RB
3.2%
fair +3004
+2420UD
-18.8%
LAR @ LV
Sun 3:25 PM CT1
Kyren Williams
LAR RB · 0.81/g
19%
fair +426
+373UD
-10.0%
2
Ashton Jeanty
LV RB · 0.54/g
15.2%
fair +558
+443UD
-17.5%
3
Puka Nacua
LAR WR · 0.59/g
14.7%
fair +579
+496UD
-12.3%
4
Brock Bowers
LV TE · 0.67/g
13.2%
fair +657
+659UD
+0.3%
5
Blake Corum
LAR RB · 0.34/g
9.9%
fair +907
+723UD
-18.3%
6
Colby Parkinson
LAR TE · 0.53/g
9.1%
fair +1001
+1150UD
+13.5%
7
Tre Tucker
LV WR · 0.42/g
7%
fair +1321
+1530UD
+14.7%
8
Tyler Higbee
LAR TE · 0.22/g
6.7%
fair +1403
+1110UD
-19.5%
9
Michael Mayer
LV TE · 0.13/g
5.1%
fair +1844
+1340UD
-25.9%
KC @ SEA
Sun 7:20 PM CT1
Kenneth Walker III
KC RB · 1.02/g
17.2%
fair +482
+380UD
-17.5%
2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA WR · 0.94/g
14.5%
fair +591
+509UD
-11.8%
3
Zach Charbonnet
SEA RB · 0.75/g
14.1%
fair +609
+443UD
-23.4%
4
Emanuel Wilson
SEA RB · 0.37/g
10.9%
fair +819
+477UD
-37.2%
5
Rashee Rice
KC WR · 0.5/g
8.9%
fair +1019
+785UD
-20.9%
6
Travis Kelce
KC TE · 0.35/g
7.5%
fair +1229
+849UD
-28.6%
7
Xavier Worthy
KC WR · 0.14/g
6.8%
fair +1372
+723UD
-44.1%
8
AJ Barner
SEA TE · 0.26/g
6.6%
fair +1417
+910UD
-33.4%
9
Cooper Kupp
SEA WR · 0.15/g
4.9%
fair +1940
+1140UD
-39.2%
10
Rashid Shaheed
SEA WR · 0.14/g
4.4%
fair +2148
+1290UD
-38.2%
11
Patrick Mahomes
KC QB · 0.27/g
4.2%
fair +2305
+2030UD
-11.4%
DAL @ PHI
Mon 7:15 PM CT1
Javonte Williams
DAL RB · 1.12/g
21.5%
fair +365
+306UD
-12.7%
2
CeeDee Lamb
DAL WR · 0.49/g
11.5%
fair +768
+567UD
-23.1%
3
Saquon Barkley
PHI RB · 0.28/g
10.6%
fair +839
+509UD
-35.1%
4
Dallas Goedert
PHI TE · 0.62/g
9.9%
fair +906
+910UD
+0.4%
5
George Pickens
DAL WR · 0.31/g
9.5%
fair +955
+631UD
-30.7%
6
Jake Ferguson
DAL TE · 0.49/g
8.9%
fair +1020
+910UD
-9.8%
7
DeVonta Smith
PHI WR · 0.37/g
7.7%
fair +1199
+970UD
-17.6%
8
Ryan Flournoy
DAL WR · 0.2/g
5.3%
fair +1797
+1290UD
-26.7%
9
Dontayvion Wicks
PHI WR · 0.16/g
4.4%
fair +2158
+1510UD
-28.7%
10
Dameon Pierce
PHI RB
4.2%
fair +2305
+1800UD
-21.0%
11
Makai Lemon
PHI WR · 0/g
4%
fair +2419
+1890UD
-21.0%
12
Dak Prescott
DAL QB · 0.05/g
2.4%
fair +4024
+2400UD
-39.4%
Model-only rows have no posted book price — fair odds show what the model thinks the price should be.