NFL · Edge Board / Props
+EV Edge Board
The best positive-EV NFL plays right now, plus every modeled player prop — projection vs line, best price at your books, live and final results.
Updated 13m ago
01 · +EV Edge Board
Best +EV Right Now
370 positive-EV opportunities · 27 game markets · 343 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELITE |  Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | SF @ ATL Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.44 | +188UD | 52.3 | 34.7 | -110 | +17.6% | +50.6% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Elic Ayomanor Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | CLE @ TEN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.56 | +164UD | 52.3 | 37.9 | -110 | +14.4% | +38.1% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Xavier Hutchinson Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.62 | +160UD | 52.3 | 38.5 | -110 | +13.8% | +36.0% | 0— | |
ELITE | NYG ML Moneyline | game | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Win 26.6% | +410FD | 26.6 | 19.6 | +276 | +7.0% | +35.7% | +12.9pp | |
ELITE |  Daniel Jones Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | IND @ MIN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.98 | +178UD | 48.1 | 36.0 | +108 | +12.1% | +33.7% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Kyle Pitts Sr. First TD | prop | SF @ ATL Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 7.5 | +1670UD | 7.5 | 5.6 | +1227 | +1.9% | +33.4% | — | |
ELITE |  Malik Willis Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | MIA @ NYJ Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.44 | +151UD | 53.0 | 39.8 | -113 | +13.2% | +33.0% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Kayshon Boutte Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.34 | +153UD | 52.3 | 39.5 | -110 | +12.8% | +32.3% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Jared Goff Pass TDs · Over 2.5 | prop | GB @ DET Sun 3:25 PM CT | Proj 2.22 | +174UD | 47.5 | 36.5 | +111 | +11.0% | +30.1% | +1 | |
ELITE |  Patrick Mahomes Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | KC @ SEA Sun 7:20 PM CT | Proj 1.7 | +157UD | 50.1 | 38.9 | -100 | +11.2% | +28.8% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Cam Ward Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | CLE @ TEN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.75 | +160UD | 49.4 | 38.5 | +102 | +10.9% | +28.4% | 0— | |
ELITE |  J.J. McCarthy Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.1 | +164UD | 48.0 | 37.9 | +108 | +10.1% | +26.7% | 0— | |
ELITE |  J.K. Dobbins Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | DEN @ ARI Sun 3:05 PM CT | Proj 1.24 | +167UD | 46.9 | 37.5 | +113 | +9.4% | +25.2% | 0— | |
ELITE |  C.J. Stroud Pass TDs · Under 1.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.44 | +141UD | 51.6 | 41.5 | -107 | +10.1% | +24.4% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Tommy Tremble Receptions · Under 1.5 | prop | TB @ CAR Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.33 | +157UD | 47.7 | 38.9 | +110 | +8.8% | +22.6% | -1 | |
ELITE |  George Kittle First TD | prop | SF @ ATL Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 14.9 | +720UD | 14.9 | 12.2 | +571 | +2.7% | +22.3% | — | |
ELITE | J.J. McCarthy Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.4 | +477UD | 21.1 | 17.3 | +374 | +3.8% | +21.8% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Bam Knight Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | DEN @ ARI Sun 3:05 PM CT | Proj 0.42 | +436UD | 22.7 | 18.7 | +341 | +4.0% | +21.7% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Theo Johnson Anytime TD · 2+ Anytime TD | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.33 | +6640UD | 1.8 | 1.5 | +5456 | +0.3% | +21.3% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Jauan Jennings Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | IND @ MIN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.6 | +509UD | 19.9 | 16.4 | +403 | +3.5% | +21.2% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Troy Franklin Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | DEN @ ARI Sun 3:05 PM CT | Proj 0.35 | +477UD | 20.9 | 17.3 | +378 | +3.6% | +20.6% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Tyler Shough Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | PIT @ NO Sun 8:30 AM CT | Proj 1.56 | +145UD | 49.2 | 40.8 | +103 | +8.4% | +20.5% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Baker Mayfield Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ CAR Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.16 | +160UD | 46.3 | 38.5 | +116 | +7.8% | +20.4% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Kirk Cousins Rush Yds · Over 9.5 | prop | LAR @ LV Sun 3:25 PM CT | Proj 0.08 | +362UD | 25.9 | 21.6 | +286 | +4.3% | +19.8% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Deshaun Watson Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | CLE @ TEN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.3 | +153UD | 47.3 | 39.5 | +111 | +7.8% | +19.7% | 0— |
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02 · Player Props
Projection vs Market
761 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · * unpriced lines use standard -110 · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL WR · vs SF | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.44 | +0.94 | +188UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 34.7 | -110 | +17.6% | +50.6% | 0— | ||
 Cole Kmet CHI TE · vs NE | Finalhit3 | Receptions | 1.5 | 1.88 | +0.38 | +184UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 51.2 | 35.2 | -105 | +16.0% | +45.4% | — | |
Elic Ayomanor TEN WR · vs CLE | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.56 | +1.06 | +164UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 37.9 | -110 | +14.4% | +38.1% | 0— | ||
Xavier Hutchinson HOU WR · vs NYG | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.62 | +1.12 | +160UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 38.5 | -110 | +13.8% | +36.0% | 0— | ||
Daniel Jones IND QB · vs MIN | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.98 | +0.48 | -110*DK | +178UD | Under 0.5 | 48.1 | 36.0 | +108 | +12.1% | +33.7% | 0— | ||
Kyle Pitts Sr. ATL TE · vs SF | First TD | 1st | 7.5% | +1.9pp | +1670UD | — | First TD | 7.5 | 5.6 | +1227 | +1.9% | +33.4% | — | ||
Malik Willis MIA QB · vs NYJ | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.44 | -0.06 | -110*DK | +151UD | Under 0.5 | 53.0 | 39.8 | -113 | +13.2% | +33.0% | 0— | ||
Kayshon Boutte HOU WR · vs NYG | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.34 | +0.84 | +153UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 39.5 | -110 | +12.8% | +32.3% | 0— | ||
Jared Goff DET QB · vs GB | Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.22 | -0.28 | +174UD | -110*DK | Over 2.5 | 47.5 | 36.5 | +111 | +11.0% | +30.1% | +1 | ||
Patrick Mahomes KC QB · vs SEA | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | +157UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 50.1 | 38.9 | -100 | +11.2% | +28.8% | 0— | ||
Cam Ward TEN QB · vs CLE | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.75 | +0.25 | -110*DK | +160UD | Under 0.5 | 49.4 | 38.5 | +102 | +10.9% | +28.4% | 0— | ||
J.J. McCarthy NYG QB · vs HOU | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1.1 | +0.6 | -110*DK | +164UD | Under 0.5 | 48.0 | 37.9 | +108 | +10.1% | +26.7% | 0— | ||
J.K. Dobbins DEN RB · vs ARI | Receptions | 1.5 | 1.24 | -0.26 | +167UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 46.9 | 37.5 | +113 | +9.4% | +25.2% | 0— | ||
C.J. Stroud HOU QB · vs NYG | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.44 | -0.06 | -110*DK | +141UD | Under 1.5 | 51.6 | 41.5 | -107 | +10.1% | +24.4% | 0— | ||
 TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss2 | Receptions | 0.5 | 1.25 | +0.75 | -110*DK | +157UD | Under 0.5 | 47.9 | 38.9 | +109 | +9.0% | +23.1% | — | |
Tommy Tremble CAR TE · vs TB | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.33 | +0.83 | -110*DK | +157UD | Under 1.5 | 47.7 | 38.9 | +110 | +8.8% | +22.6% | -1 | ||
George Kittle SF TE · vs ATL | First TD | 1st | 14.9% | +2.7pp | +720UD | — | First TD | 14.9 | 12.2 | +571 | +2.7% | +22.3% | — | ||
J.J. McCarthy NYG QB · vs HOU | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.4 | -0.6 | +477UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 21.1 | 17.3 | +374 | +3.8% | +21.8% | 0— | ||
Bam Knight ARI RB · vs DEN | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.42 | -0.58 | +436UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 22.7 | 18.7 | +341 | +4.0% | +21.7% | 0 | ||
Theo Johnson NYG TE · vs HOU | Anytime TD | 2+ | 0.33 | -1.67 | +6640UD | — | 2+ Anytime TD | 1.8 | 1.5 | +5456 | +0.3% | +21.3% | 0— | ||
Jauan Jennings MIN WR · vs IND | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.6 | -0.4 | +509UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 19.9 | 16.4 | +403 | +3.5% | +21.2% | 0 | ||
Troy Franklin DEN WR · vs ARI | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.35 | -0.65 | +477UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 20.9 | 17.3 | +378 | +3.6% | +20.6% | 0— | ||
Tyler Shough NO QB · vs PIT | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.56 | +0.06 | +145UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 49.2 | 40.8 | +103 | +8.4% | +20.5% | 0— | ||
Baker Mayfield TB QB · vs CAR | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.16 | -0.34 | +160UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 46.3 | 38.5 | +116 | +7.8% | +20.4% | 0— | ||
Kirk Cousins LV QB · vs LAR | Rush Yds | 1.5 | 0.08 | -1.42 | o9.5+362UD | -110*DK | Over 9.5 | 25.9 | 21.6 | +286 | +4.3% | +19.8% | 0 | ||
Deshaun Watson CLE QB · vs TEN | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.3 | -0.2 | +153UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 47.3 | 39.5 | +111 | +7.8% | +19.7% | 0— | ||
 Jordan Love GB QB · vs DET | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.71 | +0.21 | -110*DK | +139UD | Under 1.5 | 49.8 | 41.8 | +101 | +8.0% | +19.0% | 0 | ||
J.J. McCarthy NYG QB · vs HOU | Completions | 18.5 | 14 | -4.5 | -110*DK | +105UD | Under 18.5 | 58.0 | 48.8 | -138 | +9.2% | +18.9% | 0— | ||
 Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalhit5 | Carries | 4.5 | 5.3 | +0.8 | +125UD | -110*DK | Over 4.5 | 52.3 | 44.4 | -110 | +7.9% | +17.7% | — | |
 Kendre Miller NO RB · vs PIT | Carries | 12.5 | 8.43 | -4.07 | -110*DK | +100UD | Under 12.5 | 58.0 | 50.0 | -138 | +8.0% | +16.0% | 0 | ||
 Tanner McKee PHI QB · vs DAL | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.4 | -0.1 | +141UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 48.1 | 41.5 | +108 | +6.6% | +15.9% | 0— | ||
 Bucky Irving TB RB · vs CAR | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | -110*DK | +137UD | Under 2.5 | 48.9 | 42.2 | +104 | +6.7% | +15.9% | 0— | ||
 Germie Bernard PIT WR · vs NO | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.2 | -0.3 | -110*DK | +123UD | Under 4.5 | 51.9 | 44.8 | -108 | +7.1% | +15.7% | 0 | ||
 Gunnar Helm TEN TE · vs CLE | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.75 | +1.25 | -110*DK | u2.5-164UD | Under 2.5 | 71.9 | 62.1 | -256 | +9.8% | +15.7% | 0 | ||
 Wan'Dale Robinson TEN WR · vs CLE | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.8 | +0.3 | +129UD | -110*DK | Over 4.5 | 50.5 | 43.7 | -102 | +6.8% | +15.6% | 0 | ||
 Devin Singletary NYG RB · vs HOU | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.29 | -0.71 | +509UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 18.9 | 16.4 | +429 | +2.5% | +15.1% | 0— | ||
 Tre Tucker LV WR · vs LAR | First TD | 1st | 7.1% | +1.5pp | +1530UD | — | First TD | 7.1 | 6.1 | +1317 | +0.9% | +15.1% | — | ||
 Cade Otton TB TE · vs CAR | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.38 | -0.12 | -110*DK | +124UD | Under 3.5 | 51.3 | 44.6 | -105 | +6.7% | +14.9% | 0— | ||
 Tyler Allgeier ARI RB · vs DEN | Carries | 12.5 | 8.66 | -3.84 | -110*DK | -102UD | Under 12.5 | 58.0 | 50.5 | -138 | +7.5% | +14.9% | -1 | ||
Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalmiss2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.34 | -0.16 | -110*DK | +119UD | Under 1.5 | 52.4 | 45.7 | -110 | +6.7% | +14.8% | — |
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