NFL Edge Terminal
Model projections vs the best price across your sportsbooks · edge % · expected value · line movement — refreshed continuously.
Games: Team ratings (PF/PA per game, prior season regressed + current season) → normal win/cover/over probabilities, blended 45% model / 55% no-vig market. Props: Per-game player rates (prior season blended with current) → Poisson/normal over probabilities, blended 35% model / 65% no-vig market. Unpriced lines assume -110.
Today's Games
14 games · tap a game for its full research view — markets by book, every player prop, AI read
Best +EV Right Now
369 positive-EV opportunities · 27 game markets · 342 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELITE | ![]() Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | SF @ ATL Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.44 | +188UD | 52.3 | 34.7 | -110 | +17.6% | +50.6% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Elic Ayomanor Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | CLE @ TEN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.56 | +164UD | 52.3 | 37.9 | -110 | +14.4% | +38.1% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Xavier Hutchinson Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.62 | +160UD | 52.3 | 38.5 | -110 | +13.8% | +36.0% | 0— | |
ELITE | NYG ML Moneyline | game | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Win 26.6% | +410FD | 26.6 | 19.6 | +276 | +7.0% | +35.7% | +12.9pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Daniel Jones Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | IND @ MIN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.98 | +178UD | 48.1 | 36.0 | +108 | +12.1% | +33.7% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Kyle Pitts Sr. First TD | prop | SF @ ATL Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 7.5 | +1670UD | 7.5 | 5.6 | +1227 | +1.9% | +33.4% | — | |
ELITE | ![]() Malik Willis Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | MIA @ NYJ Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.44 | +151UD | 53.0 | 39.8 | -113 | +13.2% | +33.0% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Kayshon Boutte Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.34 | +153UD | 52.3 | 39.5 | -110 | +12.8% | +32.3% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Jared Goff Pass TDs · Over 2.5 | prop | GB @ DET Sun 3:25 PM CT | Proj 2.22 | +174UD | 47.5 | 36.5 | +111 | +11.0% | +30.1% | +1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Patrick Mahomes Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | KC @ SEA Sun 7:20 PM CT | Proj 1.7 | +157UD | 50.1 | 38.9 | -100 | +11.2% | +28.8% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Cam Ward Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | CLE @ TEN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.75 | +160UD | 49.4 | 38.5 | +102 | +10.9% | +28.4% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() J.J. McCarthy Pass TDs · Under 0.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.1 | +164UD | 48.0 | 37.9 | +108 | +10.1% | +26.7% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() J.K. Dobbins Receptions · Over 1.5 | prop | DEN @ ARI Sun 3:05 PM CT | Proj 1.24 | +167UD | 46.9 | 37.5 | +113 | +9.4% | +25.2% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() C.J. Stroud Pass TDs · Under 1.5 | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.44 | +141UD | 51.6 | 41.5 | -107 | +10.1% | +24.4% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Tommy Tremble Receptions · Under 1.5 | prop | TB @ CAR Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 2.33 | +157UD | 47.7 | 38.9 | +110 | +8.8% | +22.6% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() George Kittle First TD | prop | SF @ ATL Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 14.9 | +720UD | 14.9 | 12.2 | +571 | +2.7% | +22.3% | — | |
ELITE | ![]() J.J. McCarthy Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.4 | +477UD | 21.1 | 17.3 | +374 | +3.8% | +21.8% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Bam Knight Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | DEN @ ARI Sun 3:05 PM CT | Proj 0.42 | +436UD | 22.7 | 18.7 | +341 | +4.0% | +21.7% | 0 | |
ELITE | ![]() Theo Johnson Anytime TD · 2+ Anytime TD | prop | NYG @ HOU Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.33 | +6640UD | 1.8 | 1.5 | +5456 | +0.3% | +21.3% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Jauan Jennings Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | IND @ MIN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 0.6 | +509UD | 19.9 | 16.4 | +403 | +3.5% | +21.2% | 0 | |
ELITE | ![]() Troy Franklin Anytime TD · 1+ Anytime TD | prop | DEN @ ARI Sun 3:05 PM CT | Proj 0.35 | +477UD | 20.9 | 17.3 | +378 | +3.6% | +20.6% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Tyler Shough Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | PIT @ NO Sun 8:30 AM CT | Proj 1.56 | +145UD | 49.2 | 40.8 | +103 | +8.4% | +20.5% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Baker Mayfield Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | TB @ CAR Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.16 | +160UD | 46.3 | 38.5 | +116 | +7.8% | +20.4% | 0— | |
ELITE | ![]() Kirk Cousins Rush Yds · Over 9.5 | prop | LAR @ LV Sun 3:25 PM CT | Proj 0.08 | +362UD | 25.9 | 21.6 | +286 | +4.3% | +19.8% | 0 | |
ELITE | ![]() Deshaun Watson Pass TDs · Over 1.5 | prop | CLE @ TEN Sun 12:00 PM CT | Proj 1.3 | +153UD | 47.3 | 39.5 | +111 | +7.8% | +19.7% | 0— |
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Model win / cover / over probability vs the best price across all books · fair odds · edge % · tap a game to research it
| Time | Matchup | Proj Score · Total | Best ML · Model % | Fair ML | ML Edge | Spread · Cover % | Fair Line | ATS Edge | Total O / U | Total Edge | Best Bet | Line Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Final FINAL | 22.7 23.5 | — — | +110 -110 | — — | — — | CHI -1 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sun 8:30 AM CT Draft Kings | 26.2 21.8 | -174FD62% +154CZR38% | -163 +163 | -1.5% -1.4% | -3.5+10236551.5% +3+100MGM47% | NO +4.5 | +2.0% -3.0% | o44-114BR56.3% u44.5-10736545.2% | +3.0% -6.5% | Over 44 BR +5.6% | ML-5.8ppSPR+0.5TOT+2 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 27.7 20.8 | -146FD62.9% +133BR37.1% | -170 +170 | +3.5% -5.8% | -3-105BR55.4% +2.5+104UNI43.2% | ATL +7 | +4.1% -5.8% | o49.5-113BR49.1% u50-110MGM52.4% | -4.0% +0.1% | SF -3 BR +8.1% | ML+8.5ppSPR-2TOT+2 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 18.3 15.9 | -125CZR55.7% +110DK44.3% | -126 +126 | +0.1% -3.3% | -1.5-108DK51.1% +2.5-111UNI51.9% | TEN +2.5 | -0.8% -0.7% | o37.5-102DK44.5% u37.5-110BR55.5% | -6.0% +3.1% | Under 37.5 BR +6.0% | ML-10.6ppSPR+4TOT-3 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 18.3 24.9 | +235FD30.1% -278DK69.9% | +232 -232 | +0.3% -3.6% | +6.5-110MGM50.1% -6.5-105FD49.9% | MIN -6.5 | -2.3% -1.3% | o41.5-108MGM52.2% u41.5-107CZR47.8% | +0.3% -3.9% | IND ML FD +0.8% | ML+11.2ppSPR-3.5TOT-6 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 17.9 22.2 | +194FD35.3% -225DK64.7% | +184 -184 | +1.3% -4.5% | +4.5-104FD49.7% -4.5-110MGM50.3% | NYJ -4.5 | -1.3% -2.1% | o39-110MGM52.1% u39.5-110CZR49.4% | -0.3% -3.0% | MIA ML FD +3.8% | ML+10.0ppSPR-2TOT-2 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 20.9 25.4 | +136DK38.9% -152BR61.1% | +157 -157 | -3.5% +0.8% | +2.5+10636545.9% -3+105CZR52.6% | CAR -4.5 | -2.6% +3.8% | o44-112BR54.1% u44.5-110DK47.4% | +1.3% -5.0% | CAR -3 CZR +7.8% | ML+11.1ppSPR-4.5TOT-1 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 23.4 27.3 | +103CZR43.9% -118DK56.1% | +128 -128 | -5.4% +2.0% | +1.5-110FD47.5% -1-109BR54% | BAL -4 | -4.9% +1.8% | o48.5-108BR53.6% u48.5-105DK46.4% | +1.7% -4.8% | BAL ML DK +3.6% | ML-11.4ppSPR+2TOT-4 | |
Sun 12:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 20.6 25.5 | +410FD26.6% -480CZR73.4% | +276 -276 | +7.0% -9.4% | +10.5-110MGM57.5% -10.5-105FD42.5% | HOU -5 | +5.1% -8.7% | o42.5-110MGM55.1% u43.5-120FD47.9% | +2.7% -6.7% | NYG ML FD +35.7% | ML+12.9ppSPR-5TOT-1 | |
Sun 3:05 PM CT Draft Kings | 25.4 19.7 | -220FD66.9% +190DK33.1% | -202 +202 | -1.9% -1.4% | -4.5-108FD51.8% +4.5-109BR48.2% | ARI +6 | -0.1% -4.0% | o43.5-104BR52.4% u43.5-108DK47.6% | +1.4% -4.3% | Over 43.5 BR +2.8% | ML+8.2ppSPR-3TOT+0.4pp | |
Sun 3:25 PM CT Draft Kings | 24.7 28.3 | +15536539.5% -162BR60.5% | +153 -153 | +0.3% -1.3% | +3-100FD48.6% -3.5-103CZR49.9% | DET -3.5 | -1.4% -0.8% | o52.5-120FD53% u53.5-105DK50.1% | -1.6% -1.1% | GB ML 365 +0.7% | ML+7.1ppSPR-1.5TOT+3 | |
Sun 3:25 PM CT Draft Kings | 26.9 22.4 | -192DK63.3% +180BR36.7% | -173 +173 | -2.5% +1.0% | -3.5-110DK51.5% +4-110BR50% | LV +4.5 | -0.9% -2.4% | o48-110MGM52.6% u48.5-110DK48.9% | +0.3% -3.5% | LV ML BR +2.8% | ML+12.0ppSPR-4TOT+2 | |
Sun 7:20 PM CT Draft Kings | 20.8 22.1 | +126CZR44.7% -142DK55.3% | +123 -123 | +0.5% -3.4% | +2.5-100UNI52% -3+100DK46.5% | SEA -1.5 | +2.0% -3.5% | o42.5-107CZR50.7% u42.5-108FD49.3% | -1.0% -2.6% | KC +2.5 UNI +4.0% | ML-1.9ppSPR-1.1ppTOT-3 | |
Mon 7:15 PM CT Draft Kings | 23.4 24.8 | -198FD57.7% +180DK42.3% | -137 +137 | -8.7% +6.6% | -4-108MGM44% +4.5-108DK57.4% | PHI -1.5 | -7.9% +5.5% | o44-110CZR56.5% u44.5-110DK45% | +4.1% -7.4% | PHI ML DK +18.4% | ML-25.1ppSPR+7.5TOT-4 |
Projection vs Market
760 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · * unpriced lines use standard -110 · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Olamide Zaccheaus ATL WR · vs SF | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.44 | +0.94 | +188UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 34.7 | -110 | +17.6% | +50.6% | 0— | ||
![]() Cole Kmet CHI TE · vs NE | Finalhit3 | Receptions | 1.5 | 1.88 | +0.38 | +184UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 51.2 | 35.2 | -105 | +16.0% | +45.4% | — | |
![]() Elic Ayomanor TEN WR · vs CLE | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.56 | +1.06 | +164UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 37.9 | -110 | +14.4% | +38.1% | 0— | ||
![]() Xavier Hutchinson HOU WR · vs NYG | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.62 | +1.12 | +160UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 38.5 | -110 | +13.8% | +36.0% | 0— | ||
![]() Daniel Jones IND QB · vs MIN | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.98 | +0.48 | -110*DK | +178UD | Under 0.5 | 48.1 | 36.0 | +108 | +12.1% | +33.7% | 0— | ||
![]() Kyle Pitts Sr. ATL TE · vs SF | First TD | 1st | 7.5% | +1.9pp | +1670UD | — | First TD | 7.5 | 5.6 | +1227 | +1.9% | +33.4% | — | ||
![]() Malik Willis MIA QB · vs NYJ | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.44 | -0.06 | -110*DK | +151UD | Under 0.5 | 53.0 | 39.8 | -113 | +13.2% | +33.0% | 0— | ||
![]() Kayshon Boutte HOU WR · vs NYG | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.34 | +0.84 | +153UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 52.3 | 39.5 | -110 | +12.8% | +32.3% | 0— | ||
![]() Jared Goff DET QB · vs GB | Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.22 | -0.28 | +174UD | -110*DK | Over 2.5 | 47.5 | 36.5 | +111 | +11.0% | +30.1% | +1 | ||
![]() Patrick Mahomes KC QB · vs SEA | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | +157UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 50.1 | 38.9 | -100 | +11.2% | +28.8% | 0— | ||
![]() Cam Ward TEN QB · vs CLE | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.75 | +0.25 | -110*DK | +160UD | Under 0.5 | 49.4 | 38.5 | +102 | +10.9% | +28.4% | 0— | ||
![]() J.J. McCarthy NYG QB · vs HOU | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1.1 | +0.6 | -110*DK | +164UD | Under 0.5 | 48.0 | 37.9 | +108 | +10.1% | +26.7% | 0— | ||
![]() J.K. Dobbins DEN RB · vs ARI | Receptions | 1.5 | 1.24 | -0.26 | +167UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 46.9 | 37.5 | +113 | +9.4% | +25.2% | 0— | ||
![]() C.J. Stroud HOU QB · vs NYG | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.44 | -0.06 | -110*DK | +141UD | Under 1.5 | 51.6 | 41.5 | -107 | +10.1% | +24.4% | 0— | ||
![]() TreVeyon Henderson NE RB · vs CHI | Finalmiss2 | Receptions | 0.5 | 1.25 | +0.75 | -110*DK | +157UD | Under 0.5 | 47.9 | 38.9 | +109 | +9.0% | +23.1% | — | |
![]() Tommy Tremble CAR TE · vs TB | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.33 | +0.83 | -110*DK | +157UD | Under 1.5 | 47.7 | 38.9 | +110 | +8.8% | +22.6% | -1 | ||
![]() George Kittle SF TE · vs ATL | First TD | 1st | 14.9% | +2.7pp | +720UD | — | First TD | 14.9 | 12.2 | +571 | +2.7% | +22.3% | — | ||
![]() J.J. McCarthy NYG QB · vs HOU | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.4 | -0.6 | +477UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 21.1 | 17.3 | +374 | +3.8% | +21.8% | 0— | ||
![]() Bam Knight ARI RB · vs DEN | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.42 | -0.58 | +436UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 22.7 | 18.7 | +341 | +4.0% | +21.7% | 0 | ||
![]() Theo Johnson NYG TE · vs HOU | Anytime TD | 2+ | 0.33 | -1.67 | +6640UD | — | 2+ Anytime TD | 1.8 | 1.5 | +5456 | +0.3% | +21.3% | 0— | ||
![]() Jauan Jennings MIN WR · vs IND | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.6 | -0.4 | +509UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 19.9 | 16.4 | +403 | +3.5% | +21.2% | 0 | ||
![]() Troy Franklin DEN WR · vs ARI | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.35 | -0.65 | +477UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 20.9 | 17.3 | +378 | +3.6% | +20.6% | 0— | ||
![]() Tyler Shough NO QB · vs PIT | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.56 | +0.06 | +145UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 49.2 | 40.8 | +103 | +8.4% | +20.5% | 0— | ||
![]() Baker Mayfield TB QB · vs CAR | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.16 | -0.34 | +160UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 46.3 | 38.5 | +116 | +7.8% | +20.4% | 0— | ||
![]() Kirk Cousins LV QB · vs LAR | Rush Yds | 1.5 | 0.08 | -1.42 | o9.5+362UD | -110*DK | Over 9.5 | 25.9 | 21.6 | +286 | +4.3% | +19.8% | 0 | ||
![]() Deshaun Watson CLE QB · vs TEN | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.3 | -0.2 | +153UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 47.3 | 39.5 | +111 | +7.8% | +19.7% | 0— | ||
![]() Jordan Love GB QB · vs DET | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.71 | +0.21 | -110*DK | +139UD | Under 1.5 | 49.8 | 41.8 | +101 | +8.0% | +19.0% | 0 | ||
![]() J.J. McCarthy NYG QB · vs HOU | Completions | 18.5 | 14 | -4.5 | -110*DK | +105UD | Under 18.5 | 58.0 | 48.8 | -138 | +9.2% | +18.9% | 0— | ||
![]() Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalhit5 | Carries | 4.5 | 5.3 | +0.8 | +125UD | -110*DK | Over 4.5 | 52.3 | 44.4 | -110 | +7.9% | +17.7% | — | |
![]() Patrick Mahomes KC QB · vs SEA | Carries | 3.5 | 3.92 | +0.42 | +127UD | -110*DK | Over 3.5 | 51.1 | 44.1 | -104 | +7.0% | +16.0% | 0— | ||
![]() Kendre Miller NO RB · vs PIT | Carries | 12.5 | 8.43 | -4.07 | -110*DK | +100UD | Under 12.5 | 58.0 | 50.0 | -138 | +8.0% | +16.0% | 0 | ||
![]() Tanner McKee PHI QB · vs DAL | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.4 | -0.1 | +141UD | -110*DK | Over 1.5 | 48.1 | 41.5 | +108 | +6.6% | +15.9% | 0— | ||
![]() Bucky Irving TB RB · vs CAR | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | -110*DK | +137UD | Under 2.5 | 48.9 | 42.2 | +104 | +6.7% | +15.9% | 0— | ||
![]() Germie Bernard PIT WR · vs NO | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.2 | -0.3 | -110*DK | +123UD | Under 4.5 | 51.9 | 44.8 | -108 | +7.1% | +15.7% | 0 | ||
![]() Gunnar Helm TEN TE · vs CLE | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.75 | +1.25 | -110*DK | u2.5-164UD | Under 2.5 | 71.9 | 62.1 | -256 | +9.8% | +15.7% | 0 | ||
![]() Wan'Dale Robinson TEN WR · vs CLE | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.8 | +0.3 | +129UD | -110*DK | Over 4.5 | 50.5 | 43.7 | -102 | +6.8% | +15.6% | 0 | ||
![]() Devin Singletary NYG RB · vs HOU | Anytime TD | 1+ | 0.29 | -0.71 | +509UD | — | 1+ Anytime TD | 18.9 | 16.4 | +429 | +2.5% | +15.1% | 0— | ||
![]() Cade Otton TB TE · vs CAR | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.38 | -0.12 | -110*DK | +124UD | Under 3.5 | 51.3 | 44.6 | -105 | +6.7% | +14.9% | 0— | ||
![]() Tyler Allgeier ARI RB · vs DEN | Carries | 12.5 | 8.66 | -3.84 | -110*DK | -102UD | Under 12.5 | 58.0 | 50.5 | -138 | +7.5% | +14.9% | -1 | ||
![]() Caleb Williams CHI QB · vs NE | Finalmiss2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.34 | -0.16 | -110*DK | +119UD | Under 1.5 | 52.4 | 45.7 | -110 | +6.7% | +14.8% | — |
Line Movement Tracker
Opening → current · 100 up · 110 down · snapshots stored every refresh
| Market | Selection | Open | Current | Price | Δ | Δ Implied | Trend | Move Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
propRec Yds | D. Meyers Rec Yds CIN @ BAL | 21.5 | 12.5 | -110 | -9 | line moved | 42 snapshots | 14.4 |
propRush Yds | M. Lloyd Rush Yds GB @ DET | 16.5 | 10.5 | -110 | -6 | line moved | 40 snapshots | 11.43 |
gameMoneyline | PHI ML DAL @ PHI | -162 | +180 | +180 | -25.1pp | -25.1pp | 61 snapshots | 10.03 |
propRec Yds | B. Corum Rec Yds LAR @ LV | 6.5 | 11.5 | -110 | +5 | line moved | 58 snapshots | 8.7 |
gameSpread | PHI +4.5 DAL @ PHI | -3 | 4.5 | -108 | +7.5 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 7.5 |
gameTotal | O/U 41.5 IND @ MIN | 47.5 | 41.5 | -110 | -6 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 6 |
propRec Yds | A. Kamara Rec Yds PIT @ NO | 14.5 | 11.5 | -110 | -3 | line moved | 57 snapshots | 5.22 |
gameMoneyline | HOU ML NYG @ HOU | -238 | -520 | -520 | +12.9pp | +12.9pp | 64 snapshots | 5.17 |
gameSpread | HOU -10.5 NYG @ HOU | -5.5 | -10.5 | -108 | -5 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 5 |
propRec Yds | X. Hutchinson Rec Yds NYG @ HOU | 9.5 | 12.5 | -110 | +3 | line moved | 51 snapshots | 4.8 |
gameMoneyline | LV ML LAR @ LV | +285 | +160 | +160 | +12.0pp | +12.0pp | 61 snapshots | 4.8 |
gameMoneyline | BAL ML CIN @ BAL | -192 | -118 | -118 | -11.4pp | -11.4pp | 67 snapshots | 4.54 |
gameSpread | CAR -3 TB @ CAR | 1.5 | -3 | -115 | -4.5 | line moved | 57 snapshots | 4.5 |
gameMoneyline | MIN ML IND @ MIN | -162 | -278 | -278 | +11.2pp | +11.2pp | 60 snapshots | 4.47 |
gameMoneyline | CAR ML TB @ CAR | -102 | -162 | -162 | +11.1pp | +11.1pp | 60 snapshots | 4.43 |
gameMoneyline | TEN ML CLE @ TEN | -142 | +110 | +110 | -10.6pp | -10.6pp | 59 snapshots | 4.25 |
gameMoneyline | NYJ ML MIA @ NYJ | -142 | -225 | -225 | +10.0pp | +10.0pp | 61 snapshots | 4.01 |
propCarries | J. Jacobs Carries GB @ DET | 10.5 | 12.5 | -110 | +2 | line moved | 39 snapshots | 4 |
propCarries | W. Marks Carries NYG @ HOU | 14.5 | 16.5 | -110 | +2 | line moved | 35 snapshots | 4 |
propCarries | J. Warren Carries PIT @ NO | 15.5 | 13.5 | -110 | -2 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 4 |
gameTotal | O/U 44.5 DAL @ PHI | 48.5 | 44.5 | -110 | -4 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 4 |
gameSpread | LV +3.5 LAR @ LV | 7.5 | 3.5 | -110 | -4 | line moved | 59 snapshots | 4 |
gameTotal | O/U 48.5 CIN @ BAL | 52.5 | 48.5 | -115 | -4 | line moved | 62 snapshots | 4 |
gameSpread | TEN +1.5 CLE @ TEN | -2.5 | 1.5 | -112 | +4 | line moved | 58 snapshots | 4 |
propRush Yds | B. Nix Rush Yds DEN @ ARI | 12.5 | 10.5 | -110 | -2 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 3.81 |
Team Power Ratings
Model offense / defense in pts per game vs league average (23.01) · 2026 season, prior season regressed in
| # | Team | Record | Net pts/g | Off | Def | Win% vs Avg | L10 | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6-0 | +6.75 | +4.05 | +2.70 | 69.5% | — | W6 | |
| 2 | 4-2 | +6.60 | +2.79 | +3.81 | 69.2% | — | L1 | |
| 3 | 5-0 | +5.84 | +1.70 | +4.13 | 67.1% | — | W5 | |
| 4 | 3-3 | +5.54 | +2.45 | +3.09 | 66.3% | — | L2 | |
| 5 | 5-0 | +4.30 | -1.46 | +5.76 | 62.8% | — | W5 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | +4.21 | +6.49 | -2.28 | 62.5% | — | W2 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | +4.08 | +1.53 | +2.55 | 62.1% | — | L1 | |
| 8 | 5-2 | +3.27 | +2.27 | +1.00 | 59.8% | — | W2 | |
| 9 | 2-4 | +2.79 | +1.98 | +0.80 | 58.4% | — | L2 | |
| 10 | 3-2 | +2.76 | +6.18 | -3.41 | 58.3% | — | W1 | |
| 11 | 4-2 | +2.46 | +2.07 | +0.39 | 57.4% | — | L1 | |
| 12 | 2-4 | +2.01 | +0.72 | +1.29 | 56% | — | W2 | |
| 13 | 4-2 | +0.93 | +0.01 | +0.91 | 52.8% | — | W2 | |
| 14 | 3-2 | +0.76 | +1.27 | -0.51 | 52.3% | — | W2 | |
| 15 | 4-2 | +0.71 | -0.93 | +1.64 | 52.2% | — | W3 | |
| 16 | 4-2 | +0.67 | -1.83 | +2.51 | 52% | — | W2 | |
| 17 | 3-2 | +0.23 | +1.61 | -1.39 | 50.7% | — | W1 | |
| 18 | 2-4 | -0.71 | +1.81 | -2.53 | 47.8% | — | L2 | |
| 19 | 3-2-1 | -1.36 | -0.35 | -1.00 | 45.9% | — | L1 | |
| 20 | 2-4 | -1.37 | +2.48 | -3.86 | 45.9% | — | L2 | |
| 21 | 2-4 | -1.63 | -2.89 | +1.26 | 45.1% | — | L4 | |
| 22 | 2-4 | -1.76 | -0.35 | -1.42 | 44.7% | — | L2 | |
| 23 | 1-5 | -2.13 | -1.79 | -0.34 | 43.6% | — | L1 | |
| 24 | 4-2 | -3.10 | -4.65 | +1.56 | 40.7% | — | W1 | |
| 25 | 3-3 | -3.37 | -0.66 | -2.71 | 39.9% | — | L3 | |
| 26 | 2-4 | -3.53 | -0.34 | -3.18 | 39.5% | — | W1 | |
| 27 | 2-4 | -4.42 | -3.78 | -0.63 | 36.9% | — | L1 | |
| 28 | 0-6 | -4.59 | -4.42 | -0.17 | 36.4% | — | L6 | |
| 29 | 1-4-1 | -5.01 | -1.13 | -3.88 | 35.2% | — | L1 | |
| 30 | 2-4 | -6.68 | -1.65 | -5.03 | 30.6% | — | W1 | |
| 31 | 0-5 | -7.12 | -4.95 | -2.17 | 29.5% | — | L5 | |
| 32 | 1-5 | -7.17 | -6.40 | -0.77 | 29.3% | — | W1 |



































