Clutch Algorithm — Props · Lineups

NHL Terminal

Game 15 of 15

PrevNJ @ COL

Last game

Wed, Oct 28 · 9:00 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 8 feeds

TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs · 7-5-2

Model 3.4

Proj total 6.9

SEA

Seattle Kraken · 7-4-1

Model 3.5

No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· Climate Pledge Arena

Markets

Moneyline · Puck Line · Total

Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line

Moneyline

TOR ML

Fair +104 · Model 49.1%

-110

CZR

Edge -3.3% · EV -6.3%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

SEA ML

Fair -104 · Model 50.9%

-100

Edge +0.9% · EV +1.8%

Kelly ¼: 0.45% of bankroll ($4.50 of $1000)

Puck Line

TOR -1.5

Fair +252 · Model 28.4%

+195

Edge -5.5% · EV -16.2%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

SEA +1.5

Fair -252 · Model 71.6%

-235

Edge +1.4% · EV +2.1%

Kelly ¼: 1.21% of bankroll ($12.15 of $1000)

Total

Over 6.5

Fair -119 · Model 54.4%

+108

UNI

Edge +6.3% · EV +13.2%

Kelly ¼: 3.04% of bankroll ($30.44 of $1000)

Under 6.5

Fair +119 · Model 45.6%

+100

Edge -4.4% · EV -8.8%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

Line shopping · every book

Book	TOR ML	SEA ML	TOR Puck Line	SEA Puck Line	Over	Under
DraftKings	-115	-105	-1.5+195	+1.5-238	o6.5-120	u6.5+100
FanDuel	-120	-100	-1.5+186	+1.5-235	o6.5-120	u6.5-102
BetMGM	-118	-102	-1.5+190	+1.5-235	o6.5-118	u6.5-102
Caesars	-110	-108	—	—	o6.5-118	u6.5-104
bet365	-118	-102	-1.5+190	+1.5-235	o6.5-119	u6.5-101
Unibet	-119	-105	-1.5+190	+1.5-250	o6.5+108	u6.5-133
Consensus	-118	-102	-1.5+190	+1.5-235	o6.5-119	u6.5-101
Opening Line	-111	-111	+1.5-286	-1.5+225	o6.5-105	u6.5-116

AI AnalysisModel-generated · verify before betting

Projection leans Seattle in high-total coin flip

This profiles as a near pick'em, with Seattle projected to win by just 0.2 goals and the combined score landing at 6.9. The clearest value from the numbers is on Over 6.5, while Seattle carries a small edge on the moneyline despite Toronto entering on a stronger recent run.

Model score is SEA 3.5, TOR 3.4, with fair total 7.0 and a 37-game sample behind the projection.
SEA ML at -100 shows a 50.9% model win probability and +1.8% EV; TOR ML at -110 is priced above the model at -6.26% EV.
Over 6.5 at +108 is the strongest market edge on the board: 54.4% model probability and +13.15% EV.
Seattle +1.5 is safer but expensive at -235, with 71.6% cover probability and only +2.07% EV.
Injuries matter on both sides: Seattle is without Jared McCann, while Toronto has John Tavares on IR and Kirill Marchenko listed day-to-day.

Lean: Over 6.5

Injury Report

TOR

Kirill Marchenko RWDay-To-Day · Lower Body
Nick Blankenburg DInjured Reserve · Upper Body
Marshall Rifai DInjured Reserve · Lower Body
John Tavares CInjured Reserve · Lower Body
Dakota Joshua CInjured Reserve · Abdomen

SEA

Jared McCann LWInjured Reserve · Lower Body
Jacob Melanson RWInjured Reserve · Chest
Ryan Lindgren DInjured Reserve · Upper Body
Jake O'Brien CInjured Reserve · Lower Body

Recent Form · Series

TOR

WWWWL

SEA

LLWWL

Regular Season Series: Series starts 10/28

Game Props

TOR @ SEA · Player Props

0 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research

Player	Status	Prop	Line	Model Proj	Diff	Over / Yes	Under	Model Side	Model %	Implied	Fair	Edge	EV	Move	Slip
No player props posted for this slate yet. Books usually post them on game day, so check back closer to start time.

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