NHL · Edge Board / Props
+EV Edge Board
The best positive-EV NHL plays right now, plus every modeled player prop — projection vs line, best price at your books, live and final results.
Updated 4m ago
01 · +EV Edge Board
Best +EV Right Now
338 positive-EV opportunities · 31 game markets · 307 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELITE |  Noah Dobson Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | MTL @ STL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.09 | +4170UD | 6.6 | 2.3 | +1424 | +4.2% | +180.3% | +0.9pp | |
ELITE |  Neal Pionk Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | FLA @ WPG Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.07 | +5410UD | 5.1 | 1.8 | +1874 | +3.3% | +179.1% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Phillip Danault Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | MTL @ STL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.05 | +5410UD | 4.8 | 1.8 | +1986 | +3.0% | +164.1% | +0.7pp | |
ELITE |  Lars Eller Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | FLA @ WPG Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.08 | +4420UD | 4.1 | 2.2 | +2342 | +1.9% | +85.1% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Adam Lowry Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | FLA @ WPG Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.08 | +5410UD | 2.9 | 1.8 | +3298 | +1.1% | +62.2% | -0.8pp | |
ELITE |  Seth Jones Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | FLA @ WPG Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.11 | +3670UD | 4.3 | 2.7 | +2225 | +1.6% | +62.1% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Viggo Bjorck Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | FLA @ WPG Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.1 | +3160UD | 4.5 | 3.1 | +2102 | +1.5% | +48.0% | +1.3pp | |
ELITE |  Alexandre Texier Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | MTL @ STL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.13 | +4170UD | 3.5 | 2.3 | +2787 | +1.1% | +47.9% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Mike Matheson Goals · 2+ Goals | prop | MTL @ STL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.11 | +5410UD | 2.6 | 1.8 | +3725 | +0.8% | +44.0% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Brock Boeser PP Points · 1+ PP Points | prop | VAN @ ANA Tue 9:00 PM CT | Proj 0.35 | +361UD | 29.0 | 21.7 | +245 | +7.3% | +33.7% | -1.5pp | |
ELITE |  Alexandre Carrier Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | MTL @ STL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.09 | +1770UD | 6.9 | 5.3 | +1349 | +1.6% | +29.0% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Jake DeBrusk PP Points · 1+ PP Points | prop | VAN @ ANA Tue 9:00 PM CT | Proj 0.25 | +377UD | 25.8 | 21.0 | +288 | +4.8% | +23.1% | -1.9pp | |
ELITE |  Mario Ferraro Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | FLA @ WPG Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.09 | +2500DK | 4.7 | 3.8 | +2028 | +0.8% | +22.2% | -0.5pp | |
ELITE |  Will Borgen Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | BOS @ CAR Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.11 | +2500DK | 4.7 | 3.8 | +2028 | +0.8% | +22.2% | -0.5pp | |
ELITE |  Matthew Poitras Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | BOS @ CAR Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.27 | +700DK | 15.2 | 12.5 | +558 | +2.7% | +21.6% | +1.4pp | |
ELITE |  Mark Kastelic Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | BOS @ CAR Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.16 | +1100DK | 10.1 | 8.3 | +890 | +1.8% | +21.2% | +0.6pp | |
ELITE |  Noah Warren Assists · Over 0.5 | prop | VAN @ ANA Tue 9:00 PM CT | Proj 0.4 | +337UD | 27.6 | 22.9 | +262 | +4.7% | +20.6% | +2.1pp | |
ELITE |  Nolan Allan Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | BUF @ SJ Tue 9:30 PM CT | Proj 0.13 | +1700DK | 6.7 | 5.6 | +1393 | +1.1% | +20.6% | -0.3pp | |
ELITE |  Elias N. Pettersson Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | VAN @ ANA Tue 9:00 PM CT | Proj 0.13 | +1300DK | 8.6 | 7.1 | +1063 | +1.5% | +20.4% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Juuso Valimaki Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | BOS @ CAR Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.1 | +1600DK | 7.0 | 5.9 | +1329 | +1.1% | +19.0% | +0.9pp | |
ELITE |  Nico Hischier PP Points · 1+ PP Points | prop | NJ @ DAL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.35 | +336UD | 26.9 | 22.9 | +272 | +4.0% | +17.3% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Kirill Kaprizov Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | MIN @ UTA Tue 8:00 PM CT | Proj 0.77 | +130UD | 50.7 | 43.5 | -103 | +7.2% | +16.6% | -1.1pp | |
ELITE |  Marat Khusnutdinov Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | BOS @ CAR Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.22 | +700DK | 14.5 | 12.5 | +590 | +2.0% | +16.0% | -0.8pp | |
ELITE |  Mikey Anderson Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | LA @ CHI Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.07 | +2200DK | 5.0 | 4.3 | +1900 | +0.7% | +15.0% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Connor Brown Goals · 1+ Goals | prop | NJ @ DAL Tue 7:00 PM CT | Proj 0.2 | +750DK | 13.5 | 11.8 | +641 | +1.7% | +14.8% | 0 |
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02 · Player Props
Projection vs Market
1301 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Dobson MTL D · vs STL | Goals | 1+ | 0.09 | -0.91 | 2+ Goals+4170UD | — | 2+ Goals | 6.6 | 2.3 | +1424 | +4.2% | +180.3% | +0.9pp | ||
Neal Pionk WPG D · vs FLA | Goals | 1+ | 0.07 | -0.93 | 2+ Goals+5410UD | — | 2+ Goals | 5.1 | 1.8 | +1874 | +3.3% | +179.1% | 0— | ||
Phillip Danault MTL C · vs STL | Goals | 1+ | 0.05 | -0.95 | 2+ Goals+5410UD | — | 2+ Goals | 4.8 | 1.8 | +1986 | +3.0% | +164.1% | +0.7pp | ||
 Cam Fowler STL D · vs MTL | Goals | 1+ | 0.03 | -0.97 | 2+ Goals+5410UD | — | 2+ Goals | 4.7 | 1.8 | +2044 | +2.9% | +157.0% | -1.2pp | ||
Lars Eller FLA C · vs WPG | Goals | 1+ | 0.08 | -0.92 | 2+ Goals+4420UD | — | 2+ Goals | 4.1 | 2.2 | +2342 | +1.9% | +85.1% | 0 | ||
Adam Lowry WPG C · vs FLA | Goals | 1+ | 0.08 | -0.92 | 2+ Goals+5410UD | — | 2+ Goals | 2.9 | 1.8 | +3298 | +1.1% | +62.2% | -0.8pp | ||
Seth Jones FLA D · vs WPG | Goals | 1+ | 0.11 | -0.89 | 2+ Goals+3670UD | — | 2+ Goals | 4.3 | 2.7 | +2225 | +1.6% | +62.1% | 0 | ||
Viggo Bjorck WPG C · vs FLA | Goals | 1+ | 0.1 | -0.9 | 2+ Goals+3160UD | — | 2+ Goals | 4.5 | 3.1 | +2102 | +1.5% | +48.0% | +1.3pp | ||
Alexandre Texier MTL LW · vs STL | Goals | 1+ | 0.13 | -0.87 | 2+ Goals+4170UD | — | 2+ Goals | 3.5 | 2.3 | +2787 | +1.1% | +47.9% | 0 | ||
Mike Matheson MTL D · vs STL | Goals | 1+ | 0.11 | -0.89 | 2+ Goals+5410UD | — | 2+ Goals | 2.6 | 1.8 | +3725 | +0.8% | +44.0% | 0 | ||
Brock Boeser VAN RW · vs ANA | PP Points | 1+ | 0.35 | -0.65 | +361UD | — | 1+ PP Points | 29.0 | 21.7 | +245 | +7.3% | +33.7% | -1.5pp | ||
Alexandre Carrier MTL D · vs STL | Goals | 1+ | 0.09 | -0.91 | +1770UD | — | 1+ Goals | 6.9 | 5.3 | +1349 | +1.6% | +29.0% | 0— | ||
Jake DeBrusk VAN LW · vs ANA | PP Points | 1+ | 0.25 | -0.75 | +377UD | — | 1+ PP Points | 25.8 | 21.0 | +288 | +4.8% | +23.1% | -1.9pp | ||
Mario Ferraro WPG D · vs FLA | Goals | 1+ | 0.09 | -0.91 | +2500DK | — | 1+ Goals | 4.7 | 3.8 | +2028 | +0.8% | +22.2% | -0.5pp | ||
Will Borgen BOS D · vs CAR | Goals | 1+ | 0.11 | -0.89 | +2500DK | — | 1+ Goals | 4.7 | 3.8 | +2028 | +0.8% | +22.2% | -0.5pp | ||
Matthew Poitras BOS C · vs CAR | Goals | 1+ | 0.27 | -0.73 | +700DK | — | 1+ Goals | 15.2 | 12.5 | +558 | +2.7% | +21.6% | +1.4pp | ||
Mark Kastelic BOS C · vs CAR | Goals | 1+ | 0.16 | -0.84 | +1100DK | — | 1+ Goals | 10.1 | 8.3 | +890 | +1.8% | +21.2% | +0.6pp | ||
Noah Warren ANA D · vs VAN | Assists | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.1 | +337UD | -400DK | Over 0.5 | 27.6 | 22.9 | +262 | +4.7% | +20.6% | +2.1pp | ||
Nolan Allan SJ D · vs BUF | Goals | 1+ | 0.13 | -0.87 | +1700DK | — | 1+ Goals | 6.7 | 5.6 | +1393 | +1.1% | +20.6% | -0.3pp | ||
Elias N. Pettersson VAN D · vs ANA | Goals | 1+ | 0.13 | -0.87 | +1300DK | — | 1+ Goals | 8.6 | 7.1 | +1063 | +1.5% | +20.4% | 0 | ||
Juuso Valimaki CAR D · vs BOS | Goals | 1+ | 0.1 | -0.9 | +1600DK | — | 1+ Goals | 7.0 | 5.9 | +1329 | +1.1% | +19.0% | +0.9pp | ||
Nico Hischier NJ C · vs DAL | PP Points | 1+ | 0.35 | -0.65 | +336UD | — | 1+ PP Points | 26.9 | 22.9 | +272 | +4.0% | +17.3% | 0— | ||
Kirill Kaprizov MIN LW · vs UTA | Goals | 1+ | 0.77 | -0.23 | +130UD | — | 1+ Goals | 50.7 | 43.5 | -103 | +7.2% | +16.6% | -1.1pp | ||
Marat Khusnutdinov BOS C · vs CAR | Goals | 1+ | 0.22 | -0.78 | +700DK | — | 1+ Goals | 14.5 | 12.5 | +590 | +2.0% | +16.0% | -0.8pp | ||
Mikey Anderson LA D · vs CHI | Goals | 1+ | 0.07 | -0.93 | +2200DK | — | 1+ Goals | 5.0 | 4.3 | +1900 | +0.7% | +15.0% | 0 | ||
Connor Brown NJ RW · vs DAL | Goals | 1+ | 0.2 | -0.8 | +750DK | — | 1+ Goals | 13.5 | 11.8 | +641 | +1.7% | +14.8% | 0 | ||
 Mattias Samuelsson BUF D · vs SJ | Goals | 1+ | 0.17 | -0.83 | +850DK | — | 1+ Goals | 12.0 | 10.5 | +733 | +1.5% | +14.0% | 0 | ||
 Pavel Zacha BOS C · vs CAR | Goals | 1+ | 0.3 | -0.7 | +354UD | — | 1+ Goals | 25.0 | 22.0 | +300 | +3.0% | +13.5% | +3.1pp | ||
 Andrew Peeke UTA D · vs MIN | Goals | 1+ | 0.07 | -0.93 | +2000DK | — | 1+ Goals | 5.4 | 4.8 | +1752 | +0.6% | +13.4% | -0.2pp | ||
 JJ Peterka BOS RW · vs CAR | Goals | 1+ | 0.32 | -0.68 | +338UD | — | 1+ Goals | 25.7 | 22.8 | +289 | +2.9% | +12.6% | +2.3pp | ||
 Anthony Mantha NJ RW · vs DAL | Goals | 1+ | 0.35 | -0.65 | +400DK | — | 1+ Goals | 22.5 | 20.0 | +344 | +2.5% | +12.5% | -0.4pp | ||
 Cam Talbot CBJ G · vs PHI | Saves | 22.5 | 20.43 | -2.07 | -120DK | +102UD | Under 22.5 | 55.6 | 49.5 | -125 | +6.1% | +12.3% | 0— | ||
 Wyatt Johnston DAL C · vs NJ | PP Points | 1+ | 0.4 | -0.6 | +227UD | — | 1+ PP Points | 34.1 | 30.6 | +193 | +3.5% | +11.5% | -0.7pp | ||
 Olli Maatta MIN D · vs UTA | Goals | 1+ | 0.07 | -0.93 | +2000DK | — | 1+ Goals | 5.3 | 4.8 | +1787 | +0.5% | +11.3% | -0.2pp | ||
 Cole Knuble PHI RW · vs CBJ | Goals | 1+ | 0.23 | -0.77 | +600DK | — | 1+ Goals | 15.9 | 14.3 | +529 | +1.6% | +11.3% | -1.1pp | ||
Cole Knuble PHI RW · vs CBJ | First Goal | 1st | 4.6% | +1.1pp | +2300UD | — | First Goal | 4.6 | 4.2 | +2057 | +0.5% | +11.3% | — | ||
 Max Sasson VAN C · vs ANA | Goals | 1+ | 0.21 | -0.79 | +650DK | — | 1+ Goals | 14.8 | 13.3 | +576 | +1.5% | +11.0% | -0.9pp | ||
Mattias Samuelsson BUF D · vs SJ | Points | 0.5 | 0.57 | +0.07 | +209UD | -264UD | Over 0.5 | 35.9 | 32.4 | +179 | +3.5% | +10.9% | -0.1pp | ||
 Barrett Hayton UTA C · vs MIN | Assists | 0.5 | 0.38 | -0.12 | +313UD | -417UD | Over 0.5 | 26.8 | 24.2 | +273 | +2.6% | +10.7% | -0.5pp | ||
 Elias Pettersson VAN C · vs ANA | Goals | 1+ | 0.25 | -0.75 | +327UD | — | 1+ Goals | 25.9 | 23.4 | +286 | +2.5% | +10.6% | +1.3pp |
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