Clutch Algorithm — Props · Lineups

NHL Terminal

Game 10 of 15

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Tue, Oct 27 · 9:00 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 9 feeds

VAN

Vancouver Canucks · 2-10-1

Model 3

Proj total 7

ANA

Anaheim Ducks · 5-6-0

Model 4.1

No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· Honda Center

Markets

Moneyline · Puck Line · Total

Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line

Moneyline

VAN ML

Fair +201 · Model 33.2%

+180

Edge -2.5% · EV -7.0%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

ANA ML

Fair -201 · Model 66.8%

-208

UNI

Edge -0.7% · EV -1.1%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

Puck Line

VAN +1.5

Fair -127 · Model 55.9%

-128

Edge -0.2% · EV -0.4%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

ANA -1.5

Fair +127 · Model 44.1%

+115

Edge -2.4% · EV -5.2%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

Total

Over 6.5

Fair -126 · Model 55.7%

+105

UNI

Edge +6.9% · EV +14.2%

Kelly ¼: 3.38% of bankroll ($33.77 of $1000)

Under 6.5

Fair +126 · Model 44.3%

+107

Edge -4.0% · EV -8.3%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

Line shopping · every book

Book	VAN ML	ANA ML	VAN Puck Line	ANA Puck Line	Over	Under
DraftKings	+180	-218	+1.5-135	-1.5+114	o6.5-125	u6.5+105
FanDuel	+172	-210	+1.5-128	-1.5+104	o6.5-122	u6.5-100
BetMGM	+180	-220	+1.5-130	-1.5+105	o6.5-125	u6.5+105
Caesars	+174	-209	—	—	o6.5-124	u6.5+101
bet365	+180	-220	+1.5-134	-1.5+114	o6.5-122	u6.5+102
BetRivers	+180	-215	+1.5-143	-1.5+115	o6.5-130	u6.5+107
Unibet	+170	-208	+1.5-133	-1.5+112	o6.5+105	u6.5-125
Consensus	+180	-220	+1.5-130	-1.5+108	o6.5-125	u6.5+105
Opening Line	+140	-167	+1.5-182	-1.5+150	o6.5-116	u6.5-105

AI AnalysisModel-generated · verify before betting

Over stands out in Ducks-Canucks matchup

Anaheim is projected to win 4.1-3.0 at home, but the moneyline and puckline prices both come back negative EV against the model. The clearest edge is on Over 6.5, with a 55.7% model hit rate and +14.19% EV, in a game featuring a projected total of 7.0 and two teams on losing stretches.

Model projection is ANA 4.1, VAN 3.0 for a 7.0 total, lining up with value on Over 6.5 at +105.
Over 6.5 shows the best listed market edge: 55.7% model probability and +14.19% EV.
Anaheim is the better side by projection (66.8% win probability), but ANA ML at -208 still grades -1.08% EV.
Puckline pricing is also thin: ANA -1.5 has 44.1% cover probability and -5.19% EV, while VAN +1.5 is 55.9% but still slightly negative EV (-0.43%).
Vancouver is 2-10-1 and on a five-game skid, while Anaheim is also cold at 1-4 in its last five; Thatcher Demko and Troy Terry are among the notable absences listed.

Props to watch

Brock Boeser 1+ PP Points (+361): model gives it 29.0% with +33.69% EV, the top prop edge listed.
Jake DeBrusk 1+ PP Points (+377): 25.8% model probability and +23.07% EV in a game the model expects to produce goals.
Noah Warren Over 0.5 Assists (+337): 27.6% model probability with +20.61% EV, supported by the 7.0 projected total.

Lean: Over 6.5

Injury Report

VAN

Akil Thomas CInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
Mackenzie MacEachern LWInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
Thatcher Demko GInjured Reserve · Hip

ANA

Pavel Mintyukov DInjured Reserve · Lower Body
Ian Moore DInjured Reserve · Lower Body
Ryan Poehling CInjured Reserve · Lower Body
Troy Terry RWInjured Reserve · Hip

Recent Form · Series

VAN

LLLLL

ANA

LLLLW

Game Props

VAN @ ANA · Player Props

124 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research

Player	Prop	Line	Model Proj	Diff	Over / Yes	Under	Model Side	Model %	Implied	Fair	Edge	EV	Move
Brock Boeser VAN RW · vs ANA	PP Points	1+	0.35	-0.65	+361UD	—	1+ PP Points	29.0	21.7	+245	+7.3%	+33.7%	-1.5pp
Jake DeBrusk VAN LW · vs ANA	PP Points	1+	0.25	-0.75	+377UD	—	1+ PP Points	25.8	21.0	+288	+4.8%	+23.1%	-1.9pp
Noah Warren ANA D · vs VAN	Assists	0.5	0.4	-0.1	+337UD	-400DK	Over 0.5	27.6	22.9	+262	+4.7%	+20.6%	+2.1pp
Elias N. Pettersson VAN D · vs ANA	Goals	1+	0.13	-0.87	+1300DK	—	1+ Goals	8.6	7.1	+1063	+1.5%	+20.4%	0
Max Sasson VAN C · vs ANA	Goals	1+	0.21	-0.79	+650DK	—	1+ Goals	14.8	13.3	+576	+1.5%	+11.0%	-0.9pp
Elias Pettersson VAN C · vs ANA	Goals	1+	0.25	-0.75	+327UD	—	1+ Goals	25.9	23.4	+286	+2.5%	+10.6%	+1.3pp
Judd Caulfield ANA RW · vs VAN	Assists	0.5	0.4	-0.1	+287UD	-370DK	Over 0.5	28.4	25.8	+252	+2.6%	+9.9%	+1.6pp
Jamie Oleksiak VAN D · vs ANA	Goals	1+	0.08	-0.92	+1800DK	—	1+ Goals	5.7	5.3	+1654	+0.4%	+8.3%	0
Jackson LaCombe ANA D · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.34	-0.16	-139UD	+114UD	Under 1.5	50.5	46.7	-102	+3.8%	+8.1%	-2.4pp
Elias Pettersson VAN C · vs ANA	Points	0.5	0.83	+0.33	-107UD	+110DK	Over 0.5	55.8	51.7	-126	+4.1%	+8.0%	+1.9pp
A.J. Greer ANA LW · vs VAN	Goals	1+	0.21	-0.79	+600DK	—	1+ Goals	15.3	14.3	+554	+1.0%	+7.1%	-2.4pp
Leo Carlsson ANA C · vs VAN	PP Points	1+	0.46	-0.54	+218UD	—	1+ PP Points	33.1	31.4	+202	+1.6%	+5.3%	0—
Cutter Gauthier ANA LW · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	3.5	3.61	+0.11	-155DK	+126UD	Under 3.5	46.1	44.2	+117	+1.9%	+4.2%	0
Tristan Luneau ANA D · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.23	-0.27	+125DK	-141UD	Under 1.5	60.9	58.5	-156	+2.4%	+4.1%	-5.2pp
Marco Rossi VAN C · vs ANA	Goals	1+	0.25	-0.75	+450DK	—	1+ Goals	18.9	18.2	+429	+0.7%	+4.0%	0
Jonathan Lekkerimaki VAN RW · vs ANA	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.14	-0.36	+110DK	-136UD	Under 1.5	59.9	57.6	-149	+2.3%	+3.9%	-0.6pp
Elias Pettersson VAN C · vs ANA	Assists	0.5	0.58	+0.08	+150UD	-180DK	Over 0.5	41.3	40.0	+142	+1.3%	+3.3%	+1.0pp
Cutter Gauthier ANA LW · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.78	+0.28	-193UD	+165DK	Under 0.5	38.9	37.7	+157	+1.2%	+3.1%	+2.2pp
Elias Pettersson VAN C · vs ANA	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.6	+0.1	-135DK	+112UD	Under 1.5	48.6	47.2	+106	+1.4%	+3.0%	0—
Beckett Sennecke ANA RW · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	2.5	2.46	-0.04	-148UD	+120DK	Under 2.5	46.8	45.5	+114	+1.4%	+3.0%	-0.6pp
Sam Colangelo ANA RW · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.18	-0.32	+109UD	-134UD	Under 1.5	58.8	57.3	-143	+1.5%	+2.7%	-0.6pp
Nikita Nesterenko ANA C · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.16	-0.34	+105UD	-130DK	Under 1.5	57.8	56.5	-137	+1.3%	+2.3%	+2.0pp
Leo Carlsson ANA C · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	2.5	2.13	-0.37	+100UD	-124UD	Under 2.5	56.6	55.4	-130	+1.2%	+2.3%	-1.4pp
Jackson LaCombe ANA D · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.75	+0.25	-182UD	+150DK	Under 0.5	40.8	40.0	+145	+0.8%	+2.0%	+1.2pp
Noah Warren ANA D · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.4	-0.1	+233UD	-304UD	Over 0.5	30.6	30.0	+227	+0.6%	+1.9%	+2.4pp
Sam Colangelo ANA RW · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.27	-0.23	+185DK	-223UD	Under 0.5	70.2	69.0	-236	+1.2%	+1.7%	+1.7pp
Filip Chytil VAN C · vs ANA	Points	0.5	0.33	-0.17	+170DK	-200UD	Under 0.5	67.7	66.7	-210	+1.0%	+1.6%	-1.3pp
Jeff Malott ANA LW · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.21	-0.29	+170DK	-230DK	Under 0.5	70.7	69.7	-241	+1.0%	+1.4%	0—
Beckett Sennecke ANA RW · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.77	+0.27	-179UD	+150DK	Under 0.5	40.5	40.0	+147	+0.5%	+1.3%	+6.9pp
Mikael Granlund ANA C · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.74	+0.24	-176UD	+141UD	Under 0.5	41.9	41.5	+139	+0.4%	+1.0%	+0.7pp
Nikita Nesterenko ANA C · vs VAN	Points	0.5	0.31	-0.19	+135DK	-180DK	Under 0.5	64.9	64.3	-185	+0.6%	+1.0%	0—
Filip Hronek VAN D · vs ANA	PP Points	1+	0.28	-0.72	+297UD	—	1+ PP Points	25.4	25.2	+294	+0.2%	+0.8%	+0.8pp
Tristan Luneau ANA D · vs VAN	Goals	1+	0.14	-0.86	+800DK	—	1+ Goals	11.2	11.1	+793	+0.1%	+0.8%	0
Nikita Nesterenko ANA C · vs VAN	First Goal	1st	3.8%	+0.2pp	+2560UD	—	First Goal	3.8	3.8	+2543	+0.0%	+0.7%	—
Elias Pettersson VAN C · vs ANA	First Goal	1st	6%	+0.4pp	+1580UD	—	First Goal	6.0	6.0	+1571	+0.0%	+0.5%	—
Judd Caulfield ANA RW · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	1.5	1.35	-0.15	-105UD	-118UD	Under 1.5	54.4	54.1	-119	+0.3%	+0.5%	+4.7pp
Tristan Luneau ANA D · vs VAN	Assists	0.5	0.42	-0.08	+187UD	-225DK	Over 0.5	35.0	34.8	+186	+0.2%	+0.5%	+2.3pp
Filip Chytil VAN C · vs ANA	Assists	0.5	0.17	-0.33	+320DK	-385UD	Under 0.5	79.7	79.4	-393	+0.3%	+0.4%	+0.6pp
Tim Washe ANA C · vs VAN	Shots on Goal	1.5	0.95	-0.55	+171UD	-213UD	Under 1.5	68.3	68.1	-215	+0.3%	+0.4%	+1
Jonathan Lekkerimaki VAN RW · vs ANA	First Goal	1st	5.1%	+0.3pp	+1880UD	—	First Goal	5.1	5.1	+1874	+0.0%	+0.3%	—

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