NBA Edge Terminal
Model projections vs the best price across your sportsbooks · edge % · expected value · line movement — refreshed continuously.
Games: Team ratings (PF/PA per game, prior season regressed + current season) → normal win/cover/over probabilities, blended 45% model / 55% no-vig market. Props: Per-game player rates (prior season blended with current) → Poisson/normal over probabilities, blended 35% model / 65% no-vig market. Unpriced lines assume -110.
Today's Games
20 games · tap a game for its full research view — markets by book, every player prop, AI read
Best +EV Right Now
496 positive-EV opportunities · 31 game markets · 465 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELITE | LAC ML Moneyline | game | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Win 32.1% | +300MGM | 32.1 | 25.0 | +212 | +7.1% | +28.4% | -0.3pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Leonard Miller Rebounds · Under 5.5 | prop | CHI @ MIL Fri 3:00 PM CT | Proj 4.12 | -132UD | 70.8 | 56.9 | -243 | +13.9% | +24.5% | -1 | |
ELITE | DAL ML Moneyline | game | DAL @ IND Fri 6:00 PM CT | Win 36.5% | +230365 | 36.5 | 30.3 | +174 | +6.2% | +20.4% | +5.1pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Brook Lopez Points · Under 11.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 9.23 | +100UD | 59.8 | 50.0 | -149 | +9.8% | +19.6% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() De'Aaron Fox Assists · Over 5.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 6.26 | +134UD | 50.9 | 42.7 | -104 | +8.2% | +19.1% | +0.9pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Jerami Grant PRA · Over 19.5 | prop | MEM @ GS Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 23.83 | -107UD | 61.1 | 51.7 | -157 | +9.4% | +18.3% | +1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Leonard Miller PRA · Under 16.5 | prop | CHI @ MIL Fri 3:00 PM CT | Proj 12.5 | -114UD | 63.0 | 53.3 | -170 | +9.7% | +18.3% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Brandon Miller Rebounds · Under 5.5 | prop | ATL @ CHA Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 4.73 | -136UD | 68.0 | 57.6 | -213 | +10.4% | +18.0% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Amen Thompson Assists · Over 4.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 5.2 | +135UD | 50.1 | 42.6 | -100 | +7.5% | +17.7% | -2.2pp | |
ELITE | ![]() De'Aaron Fox PRA · Over 23.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 28.44 | +102UD | 58.2 | 49.5 | -139 | +8.7% | +17.6% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Neemias Queta Points · Over 7.5 | prop | NY @ BOS Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 9.56 | -107UD | 60.7 | 51.7 | -154 | +9.0% | +17.4% | +2.3pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Quentin Grimes PRA · Over 15.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 19.92 | +100UD | 58.7 | 50.0 | -142 | +8.7% | +17.4% | +1.7pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Dylan Harper Points · Under 16.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 12.35 | +106UD | 56.8 | 48.5 | -131 | +8.3% | +17.0% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Darius Garland Points · Under 24.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 19.8 | -106UD | 60.0 | 51.5 | -150 | +8.5% | +16.6% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Saddiq Bey Rebounds · Over 3.5 | prop | NO @ UTAH Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 5.51 | +114UD | 54.4 | 46.7 | -119 | +7.7% | +16.4% | -0.2pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Kyrie Irving Steals · Under 0.5 | prop | DAL @ IND Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 0.55 | +181DK | 41.4 | 35.6 | +142 | +5.8% | +16.3% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Dylan Harper Rebounds · Under 4.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 3.72 | +124UD | 51.9 | 44.6 | -108 | +7.3% | +16.3% | +2.2pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Deni Avdija Assists · Over 5.5 | prop | POR @ SAC Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 6.45 | +130UD | 50.5 | 43.5 | -102 | +7.0% | +16.1% | +1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Daniss Jenkins Points · Over 6.5 | prop | DET @ MIA Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 8.74 | -125UD | 64.5 | 55.6 | -182 | +8.9% | +16.1% | -2.1pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Franz Wagner Assists · Under 4.5 | prop | MIN @ ORL Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 3.48 | +124UD | 51.8 | 44.6 | -107 | +7.2% | +16.0% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() Zach Edey Blocks · Over 1.5 | prop | MEM @ GS Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 1.92 | +176DK | 42.0 | 36.2 | +138 | +5.8% | +15.9% | -2.9pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Jrue Holiday Rebounds · Over 3.5 | prop | POR @ SAC Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 4.57 | +103UD | 57.1 | 49.3 | -133 | +7.8% | +15.9% | -0.8pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Fred VanVleet PRA · Under 21.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 20.36 | +102UD | 57.4 | 49.5 | -135 | +7.9% | +15.9% | -1 | |
ELITE | ![]() De'Aaron Fox Points · Over 14.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 18.14 | +103UD | 56.8 | 49.3 | -131 | +7.5% | +15.3% | +0.9pp | |
ELITE | ![]() Grayson Allen PRA · Over 20.5 | prop | ATL @ CHA Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 23.78 | +101UD | 57.3 | 49.8 | -134 | +7.5% | +15.2% | +1.6pp |
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Model win / cover / over probability vs the best price across all books · fair odds · edge % · tap a game to research it
| Time | Matchup | Proj Score · Total | Best ML · Model % | Fair ML | ML Edge | Spread · Cover % | Fair Line | ATS Edge | Total O / U | Total Edge | Best Bet | Line Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fri 3:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 115.1 118.3 | +100CZR44.3% -110FD55.7% | +126 -126 | -5.7% +3.3% | +1.5-110MGM48.4% -0.5-112BR54.9% | MIL -3 | -4.0% +2.0% | o239.5-105CZR45.2% u240.5-110DK56.9% | -6.0% +4.5% | Under 240.5 DK +8.6% | ML+1.7ppSPR+0.4ppTOT+1 | |
Fri 6:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 109.3 112.3 | +11636542.6% -132BR57.4% | +135 -135 | -3.7% +0.5% | +2.5-110DK49.1% -1.5-115BR54.2% | BOS -3 | -3.3% +0.7% | o221-105CZR51% u221.5-108BR50.1% | -0.2% -1.8% | BOS -1.5 BR +1.4% | ML0SPR0TOT-2 | |
Fri 6:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 113.7 117.5 | -134FD48.3% +122CZR51.7% | +107 -107 | -9.0% +6.7% | -2.5-106UNI43.1% +2.5-105DK56.9% | CHA -4 | -8.4% +5.7% | o225.5-113BR57.2% u227.5-114UNI47.1% | +4.2% -6.2% | CHA ML CZR +14.8% | ML-1.2ppSPR-1.1ppTOT+2.2pp | |
Fri 6:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 116.5 118.2 | +23036536.5% -265DK63.5% | +174 -174 | +6.2% -9.1% | +7.5-110DK58% -4.5-108BR51.4% | IND -2 | +5.6% -0.6% | o239.5-115DK45.9% u240.5-110MGM56.2% | -7.6% +3.8% | DAL ML 365 +20.4% | ML+5.1ppSPR-2TOT+5 | |
Fri 6:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 117.1 116.2 | -108DK51.1% -104FD48.9% | -105 +105 | -0.8% -2.1% | +1.5-115DK54.2% +1.5-114FD55.7% | ORL +1 | +0.7% +2.5% | o234.5-106UNI48.7% u234.5-109BR51.3% | -2.8% -0.8% | ORL +1.5 FD +4.6% | ML+2.2ppSPR-3TOT-3 | |
Fri 6:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 120.5 112.2 | -310FD74.7% +270DK25.3% | -296 +296 | -0.9% -1.7% | -8.5-106FD50.3% +9-110CZR51.4% | WSH +8.5 | -1.2% -1.0% | o236.5-113BR47.2% u237.5-110CZR55% | -5.9% +2.6% | Under 237.5 CZR +5.0% | ML-11.8ppSPR+4TOT+2 | |
Fri 7:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 118.6 115.7 | -112FD56.1% +105DK43.9% | -128 +128 | +3.3% -4.9% | -1.5-105FD52.1% +1.5-109BR47.9% | MIA +3 | +0.9% -4.3% | o235.5-105UNI48.6% u236.5-110FD53.6% | -2.6% +1.2% | DET ML FD +6.2% | ML-6.5ppSPR+3TOT+1 | |
Fri 8:30 PM CT Draft Kings | 112.3 115.1 | +168FD38.6% -185UNI61.4% | +159 -159 | +1.3% -3.5% | +5-105CZR53.5% -4.5-111UNI48.1% | SA -3 | +2.3% -4.5% | o224.5-105CZR52.9% u224.5-105UNI47.1% | +1.7% -4.1% | HOU +5 CZR +4.5% | ML-3.3ppSPR+1TOT-1 | |
Fri 8:30 PM CT Draft Kings | 121.4 120.5 | +102FD51.1% -110CZR48.9% | -105 +105 | +1.6% -3.5% | +1.5-106FD54.5% -0.5-112BR48.8% | UTAH +1 | +3.0% -4.0% | o239.5-112DK52.6% u240.5-11036549.6% | -0.2% -2.8% | NO +1.5 FD +5.9% | ML-14.0ppSPR+4TOT-2 | |
Fri 9:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 114.5 118.2 | +155BR38.5% -152FD61.5% | +159 -159 | -0.7% +1.2% | +4.5-105CZR51.4% -3.5-112FD51.9% | GS -3.5 | +0.2% -0.9% | o236.5-112FD47.5% u237.5-110DK54.7% | -5.4% +2.3% | Under 237.5 DK +4.4% | ML+2.6ppSPR-1TOT+2 | |
Fri 9:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 112.4 115.0 | +300MGM32.1% -355CZR67.9% | +211 -211 | +7.1% -10.1% | +9.5-112FD59.1% -9.5-102UNI40.9% | LAL -2.5 | +6.3% -9.6% | o226-105CZR51.4% u225.5-105DK47.5% | +0.2% -3.7% | LAC ML MGM +28.4% | ML-0.3ppSPR-1.1ppTOT-4 | |
Fri 9:00 PM CT Draft Kings | 118.4 111.5 | -400FD75.8% +360DK24.2% | -313 +313 | -4.2% +2.5% | -9.5-110FD47.7% +10.5-110CZR55.5% | SAC +7 | -4.7% +3.1% | o232.5-108BR48% u232.5-10536552% | -3.9% +0.8% | SAC ML DK +11.3% | ML-12.2ppSPR+4TOT+1 | |
Sat 5:00 PM CT No line | 113.9 119.3 | — — | +206 -206 | — — | — — | CHA -5.5 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 6:30 PM CT No line | 107.7 118.6 | — — | +457 -457 | — — | — — | CLE -11 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 6:30 PM CT No line | 110.5 117.8 | — — | +265 -265 | — — | — — | PHI -7 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 7:00 PM CT No line | 118.0 121.8 | — — | +168 -168 | — — | — — | CHI -4 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 7:00 PM CT No line | 119.6 113.1 | — — | -240 +240 | — — | — — | DAL +6.5 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 7:30 PM CT No line | 115.5 115.6 | — — | -100 -100 | — — | — — | ATL 0 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 8:00 PM CT No line | 114.5 122.3 | — — | +292 -292 | — — | — — | DEN -8 | — — | — — | — — | — | ||
Sat 9:00 PM CT No line | 111.0 113.6 | — — | +141 -141 | — — | — — | PHX -2.5 | — — | — — | — — | — |
Projection vs Market
810 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · * unpriced lines use standard -110 · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | First Basket | 1st | 8.8% | +0.8pp | +1040DK | — | First Basket | 8.8 | 8.8 | +1034 | +0.1% | +0.6% | -1.8pp | ||
![]() OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | Rebounds | 4.5 | 5.22 | +0.72 | -136DK | u5.5-170UD | Under 5.5 | 63.2 | 63.0 | -171 | +0.2% | +0.3% | -1 | ||
![]() OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | Assists | 1.5 | 1.97 | +0.47 | -133DK | +101DK | Over 1.5 | 56.8 | 57.1 | -131 | -0.3% | -0.5% | -2.4pp | ||
![]() OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | Threes | 2.5 | 2.22 | -0.28 | +148UD | -176DK | Over 2.5 | 39.6 | 40.3 | +153 | -0.7% | -1.8% | +0.3pp | ||
![]() OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | Points | 15.5 | 16.08 | +0.58 | -114DK | -105UD | Over 15.5 | 51.8 | 53.3 | -107 | -1.5% | -2.8% | -1 | ||
![]() OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | PRA | 22.5 | 23.26 | +0.76 | -116DK | +100UD | Over 22.5 | 52.0 | 53.7 | -108 | -1.7% | -3.2% | -1 |
Line Movement Tracker
Opening → current · 128 up · 172 down · snapshots stored every refresh
| Market | Selection | Open | Current | Price | Δ | Δ Implied | Trend | Move Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gameMoneyline | UTAH ML NO @ UTAH | -205 | -112 | -112 | -14.0pp | -14.0pp | 47 snapshots | 5.62 |
gameTotal | O/U 239.5 DAL @ IND | 234.5 | 239.5 | -115 | +5 | line moved | 52 snapshots | 5 |
gameMoneyline | SAC ML POR @ SAC | +190 | +360 | +360 | -12.2pp | -12.2pp | 45 snapshots | 4.9 |
gameMoneyline | WSH ML TOR @ WSH | +154 | +270 | +270 | -11.8pp | -11.8pp | 47 snapshots | 4.74 |
propThrees | D. Robinson Threes DET @ MIA | 2.5 | 2.5 | +105 | -10.4pp | -10.4pp | 31 snapshots | 4.17 |
propPoints | A. Drummond Points NY @ BOS | 7.5 | 5.5 | -109 | -2 | line moved | 56 snapshots | 4 |
gameSpread | SAC +10.5 POR @ SAC | 6.5 | 10.5 | -112 | +4 | line moved | 48 snapshots | 4 |
gameTotal | O/U 225.5 LAC @ LAL | 229.5 | 225.5 | -115 | -4 | line moved | 50 snapshots | 4 |
gameSpread | UTAH -1.5 NO @ UTAH | -5.5 | -1.5 | -102 | +4 | line moved | 47 snapshots | 4 |
gameSpread | WSH +8.5 TOR @ WSH | 4.5 | 8.5 | -105 | +4 | line moved | 47 snapshots | 4 |
propPoints | A. Sengun Points HOU @ SA | 20.5 | 17.5 | -113 | -3 | line moved | 35 snapshots | 3.43 |
propThrees | D. Schroder Threes ATL @ CHA | 1.5 | 1.5 | +176 | -8.3pp | -8.3pp | 17 snapshots | 3.34 |
propPoints | C. Wilson Points CHI @ MIL | 15.5 | 18.5 | -109 | +3 | line moved | 33 snapshots | 3.24 |
gameSpread | MIA +1.5 DET @ MIA | -1.5 | 1.5 | -110 | +3 | line moved | 49 snapshots | 3 |
gameTotal | O/U 234.5 MIN @ ORL | 237.5 | 234.5 | -108 | -3 | line moved | 55 snapshots | 3 |
gameSpread | ORL -1.5 MIN @ ORL | 1.5 | -1.5 | -105 | -3 | line moved | 46 snapshots | 3 |
propRebounds | F. Wagner Rebounds MIN @ ORL | 5.5 | 5.5 | +106 | -7.2pp | -7.2pp | 29 snapshots | 2.9 |
propAssists | Z. Risacher Assists DAL @ IND | 1.5 | 1.5 | +111 | -7.0pp | -7.0pp | 16 snapshots | 2.81 |
propThrees | J. Giddey Threes CHI @ MIL | 1.5 | 1.5 | +113 | -6.8pp | -6.8pp | 38 snapshots | 2.74 |
propAssists | D. Peterson Assists NO @ UTAH | 3.5 | 3.5 | -107 | +6.7pp | +6.7pp | 13 snapshots | 2.69 |
propAssists | N. Reid Assists ATL @ CHA | 3.5 | 3.5 | -106 | -6.5pp | -6.5pp | 17 snapshots | 2.61 |
gameMoneyline | MIA ML DET @ MIA | -125 | +105 | +105 | -6.5pp | -6.5pp | 49 snapshots | 2.6 |
propAssists | J. Smith Jr. Assists HOU @ SA | 1.5 | 1.5 | -109 | -6.4pp | -6.4pp | 30 snapshots | 2.58 |
propPoints | A. Thompson Points HOU @ SA | 17.5 | 15.5 | -103 | -2 | line moved | 36 snapshots | 2.58 |
propAssists | D. Garland Assists LAC @ LAL | 7.5 | 7.5 | +108 | -6.0pp | -6.0pp | 19 snapshots | 2.39 |
Team Power Ratings
Model offense / defense in pts per game vs league average (115.61) · 2027 season, prior season regressed in
| # | Team | Record | Net pts/g | Off | Def | Win% vs Avg | L10 | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2-0 | +7.68 | +1.15 | +6.53 | 73.9% | 2-0 | W2 | |
| 2 | 1-0 | +5.43 | +1.59 | +3.84 | 67.5% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 3 | 0-1 | +4.57 | +2.06 | +2.51 | 64.8% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 4 | 0-1 | +4.38 | -0.59 | +4.97 | 64.3% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 5 | 1-0 | +4.09 | +0.36 | +3.73 | 63.3% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 6 | 1-0 | +3.80 | +0.32 | +3.48 | 62.4% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 7 | 0-1 | +3.63 | -0.22 | +3.85 | 61.9% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 8 | 1-0 | +3.32 | -0.02 | +3.34 | 60.9% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 9 | 1-0 | +3.27 | +2.21 | +1.05 | 60.7% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 10 | 0-1 | +2.62 | +2.50 | +0.12 | 58.6% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 11 | 0-1 | +2.16 | +1.96 | +0.20 | 57.1% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 12 | 1-0 | +2.14 | +1.00 | +1.15 | 57.1% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 13 | 1-0 | +1.89 | -0.88 | +2.77 | 56.3% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 14 | 1-0 | +1.83 | +2.55 | -0.72 | 56.1% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 15 | 1-0 | +1.77 | +0.32 | +1.45 | 55.9% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 16 | 2-0 | +0.53 | -0.35 | +0.88 | 51.8% | 2-0 | W2 | |
| 17 | 0-1 | +0.25 | +2.80 | -2.55 | 50.8% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 18 | 0-1 | +0.06 | +0.53 | -0.47 | 50.2% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 19 | 0-1 | -1.05 | -3.42 | +2.38 | 46.5% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 20 | 0-1 | -1.39 | -1.12 | -0.27 | 45.4% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 21 | 1-0 | -2.77 | -0.23 | -2.54 | 40.9% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 22 | 0-1 | -2.93 | +0.16 | -3.09 | 40.4% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 23 | 0-1 | -4.27 | -1.19 | -3.08 | 36.1% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 24 | 0-1 | -4.41 | -3.06 | -1.35 | 35.6% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 25 | 1-0 | -4.80 | -1.62 | -3.19 | 34.5% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 26 | 0-1 | -5.27 | -0.69 | -4.58 | 33% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 27 | 0-1 | -6.18 | +0.62 | -6.79 | 30.3% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 28 | 0-1 | -6.52 | -6.59 | +0.08 | 29.4% | 0-1 | L1 | |
| 29 | 1-0 | -6.84 | -1.08 | -5.76 | 28.4% | 1-0 | W1 | |
| 30 | 0-1 | -7.38 | -3.79 | -3.60 | 26.9% | 0-1 | L1 |



















