NBA Terminal
Game 4 of 20
CHI @ MIL
Fri 3:00 PM CT
NY @ BOS
Fri 6:00 PM CT
ATL @ CHA
Fri 6:00 PM CT
DAL @ IND
Fri 6:00 PM CT
MIN @ ORL
Fri 6:00 PM CT
TOR @ WSH
Fri 6:00 PM CT
DET @ MIA
Fri 7:00 PM CT
HOU @ SA
Fri 8:30 PM CT
NO @ UTAH
Fri 8:30 PM CT
MEM @ GS
Fri 9:00 PM CT
LAC @ LAL
Fri 9:00 PM CT
POR @ SAC
Fri 9:00 PM CTMIA @ CHASat 5:00 PM CT
BKN @ CLE
Sat 6:30 PM CTMIL @ PHI
Sat 6:30 PM CTWSH @ CHISat 7:00 PM CTSA @ DALSat 7:00 PM CTHOU @ ATLSat 7:30 PM CTNO @ DEN
Sat 8:00 PM CTGS @ PHX
Sat 9:00 PM CTFri, Oct 23 · 6:00 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 9 feeds
DAL
Dallas Mavericks · 0-1
Model 116.5 · ESPN 30.7%
@
Proj total 234.7
IND
Indiana Pacers · 1-0
Model 118.2 · ESPN 69.3%
No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Markets
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line
Moneyline
DAL ML
Fair +163 · Model 38.0%
+190
DKEdge +3.5% · EV +10.2%
Kelly ¼: 1.34% of bankroll ($13.42 of $1000)
IND ML
Fair -163 · Model 62.0%
-215
FDEdge -6.3% · EV -9.2%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Spread
DAL +6.5
Fair -132 · Model 56.9%
-110
DKEdge +4.5% · EV +8.6%
Kelly ¼: 2.37% of bankroll ($23.73 of $1000)
IND -6.5
Fair +132 · Model 43.1%
-102
UNIEdge -7.4% · EV -14.7%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Total
Over 237.5
Fair +113 · Model 47.0%
-107
BREdge -4.7% · EV -9.1%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Under 238
Fair -113 · Model 54.1%
-110
CZREdge +1.7% · EV +3.3%
Kelly ¼: 0.90% of bankroll ($9.03 of $1000)
Line shopping · every book
| Book | DAL ML | IND ML | DAL Spread | IND Spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +190 | -230 | +6.5-110 | -6.5-110 | o237.5-108 | u237.5-112 |
| FanDuel | +180 | -215 | +6.5-115 | -6.5-105 | o237.5-110 | u237.5-110 |
| BetMGM | +180 | -220 | +6.5-115 | -6.5-105 | o237.5-110 | u237.5-110 |
| Caesars | +185 | -225 | +6.5-115 | -6.5-105 | o238-110 | u238-110 |
| bet365 | +185 | -230 | +6.5-112 | -6.5-108 | o237.5-110 | u237.5-110 |
| BetRivers | +180 | -230 | +5.5-104 | -5.5-120 | o237.5-107 | u237.5-114 |
| Unibet | +180 | -222 | +6.5-118 | -6.5-102 | o237.5-110 | u237.5-106 |
| Consensus | +180 | -220 | +6.5-114 | -6.5-106 | o237.5-110 | u237.5-110 |
| Opening Line | +170 | -205 | +6.5-116 | -6.5-105 | o235.5-111 | u235.5-116 |
Game Props
DAL @ IND · Player Props
5 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cooper Flagg DAL F · vs IND | Assists | 5.5 | 4.29 | -1.21 | +135UD | -130DK | Under 5.5 | 60.9 | 56.5 | -156 | +4.4% | +7.8% | 0— | ||
Cooper Flagg DAL F · vs IND | PRA | 36.5 | 32.83 | -3.67 | -113UD | -109UD | Under 36.5 | 55.8 | 52.2 | -126 | +3.6% | +7.0% | 0— | ||
Cooper Flagg DAL F · vs IND | Points | 24.5 | 22.04 | -2.46 | -110DK | -109UD | Under 24.5 | 55.4 | 52.2 | -124 | +3.3% | +6.2% | 0— | ||
Cooper Flagg DAL F · vs IND | Threes | 1.5 | 1.03 | -0.47 | +138DK | -159UD | Under 1.5 | 64.8 | 61.4 | -184 | +3.4% | +5.5% | 0— | ||
Cooper Flagg DAL F · vs IND | Rebounds | 6.5 | 6.51 | +0.01 | +107UD | -134UD | Over 6.5 | 47.2 | 48.3 | +112 | -1.1% | -2.3% | 0— |
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