Clutch Algorithm — Props · Lineups

Fri, Oct 23 · 9:00 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 9 feeds

POR

Portland Trail Blazers · 1-0

Model 118.4 · ESPN 76.7%

Proj total 229.9

SAC

Sacramento Kings · 0-1

Model 111.5 · ESPN 23.3%

No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· Golden 1 Center

Markets

Moneyline · Spread · Total

Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line

Moneyline

POR ML

Fair -265 · Model 72.6%

-303

UNI

Edge -2.6% · EV -3.4%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

SAC ML

Fair +265 · Model 27.4%

+260

Edge -0.4% · EV -1.4%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

Spread

POR -7.5

Fair -100 · Model 50.1%

-110

UNI

Edge -2.3% · EV -4.3%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

SAC +8.5

Fair +100 · Model 53.2%

-113

Edge +0.2% · EV +0.3%

Kelly ¼: 0.08% of bankroll ($0.79 of $1000)

Total

Over 232.5

Fair +112 · Model 47.2%

-106

UNI

Edge -4.3% · EV -8.3%

No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.

Under 232.5

Fair -112 · Model 52.8%

-108

Edge +0.9% · EV +1.7%

Kelly ¼: 0.46% of bankroll ($4.56 of $1000)

Line shopping · every book

Book	POR ML	SAC ML	POR Spread	SAC Spread	Over	Under
DraftKings	-325	+260	-7.5-118	+7.5-102	o232.5-108	u232.5-112
FanDuel	-320	+260	-7.5-115	+7.5-105	o232.5-112	u232.5-108
BetMGM	-325	+260	-7.5-115	+7.5-105	o232.5-110	u232.5-110
Caesars	-335	+260	-8-110	+8-110	o232.5-110	u232.5-110
bet365	-310	+250	-7.5-118	+7.5-102	o232.5-111	u232.5-109
BetRivers	-345	+260	-8.5-109	+8.5-113	o232.5-107	u232.5-113
Unibet	-303	+250	-7.5-110	+7.5-106	o232.5-106	u232.5-110
Consensus	-325	+260	-7.5-115	+7.5-105	o232.5-110	u232.5-110
Opening Line	-240	+198	-6.5-116	+6.5-105	o232.5-116	u232.5-111

AI AnalysisModel-generated · verify before betting

Model favors Portland; slight value on Sacramento spread

The model projects Portland 118.4-111.5, making the Blazers the more likely winner but with the market spread close to fair. Sacramento’s +8.5 is the only side showing even a small edge, while the total leans slightly under relative to the 229.9 projection.

Projection has Portland by 6.9 with a 229.9 total; market sits SAC +8.5 and 232.5 total.
Sacramento +8.5 carries a 53.2% model cover probability and +0.3% EV, while Portland -7.5 shows negative EV (-4.35).
Under 232.5 has the better totals signal: 52.8% model probability and +1.69% EV versus a 229.9 projected total.
Injuries are heavier on the Kings’ side with Malik Monk day-to-day and Ben Simmons out; Portland’s notable absence is Shaedon Sharpe.
Recent form points opposite directions: Sacramento is on a five-game skid (LLLLL) while Portland is 4-1 in its last five (WWWLW).

Lean: Under 232.5

Injury Report

POR

Branden Carlson COut · Concussion
Chris Youngblood GOut · Ankle
Shaedon Sharpe GOut · Knee

SAC

Malik Monk GDay-To-Day · Ankle
Ben Simmons GOut · Achilles
Dylan Cardwell COut · Calf
Maxime Raynaud COut · Knee

Recent Form · Series

POR

WWWLW

SAC

LLLLL

Regular Season Series: Series starts 10/23

Game Props

POR @ SAC · Player Props

0 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research

Player	Status	Prop	Line	Model Proj	Diff	Over / Yes	Under	Model Side	Model %	Implied	Fair	Edge	EV	Move	Slip
No player props posted for this slate yet. Books usually post them on game day, so check back closer to start time.

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