NBA · Edge Board / Props
+EV Edge Board
The best positive-EV NBA plays right now, plus every modeled player prop — projection vs line, best price at your books, live and final results.
Updated 6m ago
01 · +EV Edge Board
Best +EV Right Now
425 positive-EV opportunities · 29 game markets · 396 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV
| Tier | Market / Player | Type | Game | Model Proj | Best Odds | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELITE |  Jaxson Hayes Rebounds · Under 6.5 | prop | NO @ UTAH Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 4.19 | +109UD | 65.8 | 47.8 | -192 | +17.9% | +37.5% | 0— | |
ELITE | LAC ML Moneyline | game | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Win 32.0% | +320UNI | 32.0 | 23.8 | +213 | +8.2% | +34.4% | 0 | |
ELITE |  Brandon Williams Points · Over 9.5 | prop | MEM @ GS Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 13.1 | -102UD | 63.4 | 50.5 | -173 | +12.9% | +25.6% | +1 | |
ELITE |  Ausar Thompson Assists · Under 4.5 | prop | DET @ MIA Fri 7:00 PM CT | Proj 3.29 | -108UD | 63.8 | 51.9 | -176 | +11.9% | +22.9% | -1.0pp | |
ELITE |  Amen Thompson Assists · Over 4.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 5.2 | +135UD | 51.2 | 42.6 | -105 | +8.7% | +20.3% | -0.5pp | |
ELITE |  Tre Johnson Points · Over 8.5 | prop | TOR @ WSH Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 11.83 | -114UD | 63.4 | 53.3 | -173 | +10.1% | +18.9% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Dylan Harper Rebounds · Under 4.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 3.72 | +124UD | 52.8 | 44.6 | -112 | +8.2% | +18.3% | +1.3pp | |
ELITE |  Collin Sexton Points · Over 10.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 15.44 | +101UD | 58.8 | 49.8 | -143 | +9.1% | +18.2% | -1.6pp | |
ELITE |  Rui Hachimura Rebounds · Under 5.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 3.75 | +103UD | 58.1 | 49.3 | -139 | +8.8% | +17.9% | -1.7pp | |
ELITE |  Jalen Smith Points · Under 12.5 | prop | CHI @ MIL Fri 3:00 PM CT | Proj 10.64 | +104UD | 57.8 | 49.0 | -137 | +8.8% | +17.9% | +0.6pp | |
ELITE |  Gui Santos Points · Under 12.5 | prop | MEM @ GS Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 9.45 | -130UD | 66.4 | 56.5 | -198 | +9.9% | +17.6% | -2.0pp | |
ELITE |  Neemias Queta Points · Over 7.5 | prop | NY @ BOS Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 9.56 | -107UD | 60.4 | 51.7 | -153 | +8.7% | +16.9% | +1.9pp | |
ELITE |  Saddiq Bey Rebounds · Over 3.5 | prop | NO @ UTAH Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 5.51 | +114UD | 54.6 | 46.7 | -120 | +7.9% | +16.8% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Dennis Schroder Points · Under 13.5 | prop | ATL @ CHA Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 11.55 | -118UD | 63.1 | 54.1 | -171 | +9.0% | +16.6% | -0.7pp | |
ELITE | Jalen Smith Rebounds · Under 7.5 | prop | CHI @ MIL Fri 3:00 PM CT | Proj 6.82 | +121UD | 52.7 | 45.2 | -111 | +7.5% | +16.5% | -2.0pp | |
ELITE | Rui Hachimura Points · Under 16.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 11.34 | +109UD | 55.6 | 47.8 | -125 | +7.8% | +16.3% | +1 | |
ELITE |  Marcus Smart Points · Over 7.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 9.4 | -103UD | 59.0 | 50.7 | -144 | +8.3% | +16.3% | +0.9pp | |
ELITE |  Naji Marshall Points · Over 12.5 | prop | DAL @ IND Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 15.31 | -122UD | 63.8 | 55.0 | -177 | +8.9% | +16.2% | +2.8pp | |
ELITE |  De'Aaron Fox PRA · Over 23.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 28.44 | +102UD | 57.4 | 49.5 | -135 | +7.9% | +15.9% | -1 | |
ELITE | Dennis Schroder PRA · Under 22.5 | prop | ATL @ CHA Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 19.35 | -108UD | 60.1 | 51.9 | -151 | +8.2% | +15.8% | 0— | |
ELITE |  Sandro Mamukelashvili Points · Over 7.5 | prop | LAC @ LAL Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 10.6 | -139UD | 67.2 | 58.2 | -205 | +9.0% | +15.5% | -3.1pp | |
ELITE | De'Aaron Fox Assists · Over 5.5 | prop | HOU @ SA Fri 8:30 PM CT | Proj 6.26 | +134UD | 49.3 | 42.7 | +103 | +6.6% | +15.4% | -1.5pp | |
ELITE | Gui Santos PRA · Under 20.5 | prop | MEM @ GS Fri 9:00 PM CT | Proj 15.58 | -108UD | 59.8 | 51.9 | -149 | +7.9% | +15.2% | -0.8pp | |
ELITE |  Kyle Kuzma Points · Over 10.5 | prop | CHI @ MIL Fri 3:00 PM CT | Proj 12.26 | -118UD | 62.3 | 54.1 | -165 | +8.2% | +15.1% | -1 | |
ELITE |  Brandon Miller Points · Under 24.5 | prop | ATL @ CHA Fri 6:00 PM CT | Proj 19.97 | -102UD | 58.1 | 50.5 | -139 | +7.6% | +15.1% | 0— |
Showing 25 of 425
02 · Player Props
Projection vs Market
709 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · * unpriced lines use standard -110 · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaxson Hayes UTAH C · vs NO | Rebounds | 5.5 | 4.19 | -1.31 | -145DK | u6.5+109UD | Under 6.5 | 65.8 | 47.8 | -192 | +17.9% | +37.5% | 0— | ||
Brandon Williams GS G · vs MEM | Points | 10.5 | 13.1 | +2.6 | o9.5-102UD | -123DK | Over 9.5 | 63.4 | 50.5 | -173 | +12.9% | +25.6% | +1 | ||
Ausar Thompson DET G · vs MIA | Assists | 4.5 | 3.29 | -1.21 | +112DK | -108UD | Under 4.5 | 63.8 | 51.9 | -176 | +11.9% | +22.9% | -1.0pp | ||
Amen Thompson HOU G · vs SA | Assists | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | +135UD | -143DK | Over 4.5 | 51.2 | 42.6 | -105 | +8.7% | +20.3% | -0.5pp | ||
Tre Johnson WSH G · vs TOR | Points | 9.5 | 11.83 | +2.33 | o8.5-114UD | -127DK | Over 8.5 | 63.4 | 53.3 | -173 | +10.1% | +18.9% | 0— | ||
Dylan Harper SA G · vs HOU | Rebounds | 4.5 | 3.72 | -0.78 | -144DK | +124UD | Under 4.5 | 52.8 | 44.6 | -112 | +8.2% | +18.3% | +1.3pp | ||
Collin Sexton LAL G · vs LAC | Points | 10.5 | 15.44 | +4.94 | +101UD | -109DK | Over 10.5 | 58.8 | 49.8 | -143 | +9.1% | +18.2% | -1.6pp | ||
Rui Hachimura LAC F · vs LAL | Rebounds | 5.5 | 3.75 | -1.75 | -114DK | +103UD | Under 5.5 | 58.1 | 49.3 | -139 | +8.8% | +17.9% | -1.7pp | ||
Jalen Smith CHI F · vs MIL | Points | 12.5 | 10.64 | -1.86 | -112DK | +104UD | Under 12.5 | 57.8 | 49.0 | -137 | +8.8% | +17.9% | +0.6pp | ||
Gui Santos GS F · vs MEM | Points | 11.5 | 9.45 | -2.05 | -117DK | u12.5-130UD | Under 12.5 | 66.4 | 56.5 | -198 | +9.9% | +17.6% | -2.0pp | ||
Neemias Queta BOS C · vs NY | Points | 7.5 | 9.56 | +2.06 | -107UD | -102DK | Over 7.5 | 60.4 | 51.7 | -153 | +8.7% | +16.9% | +1.9pp | ||
Saddiq Bey NO G · vs UTAH | Rebounds | 3.5 | 5.51 | +2.01 | +114UD | -133DK | Over 3.5 | 54.6 | 46.7 | -120 | +7.9% | +16.8% | 0— | ||
Dennis Schroder CHA G · vs ATL | Points | 12.5 | 11.55 | -0.95 | -122DK | u13.5-118UD | Under 13.5 | 63.1 | 54.1 | -171 | +9.0% | +16.6% | -0.7pp | ||
Jalen Smith CHI F · vs MIL | Rebounds | 7.5 | 6.82 | -0.68 | -124DK | +121UD | Under 7.5 | 52.7 | 45.2 | -111 | +7.5% | +16.5% | -2.0pp | ||
Rui Hachimura LAC F · vs LAL | Points | 17.5 | 11.34 | -6.16 | -110DK | u16.5+109UD | Under 16.5 | 55.6 | 47.8 | -125 | +7.8% | +16.3% | +1 | ||
Marcus Smart HOU G · vs SA | Points | 7.5 | 9.4 | +1.9 | -103UD | -108DK | Over 7.5 | 59.0 | 50.7 | -144 | +8.3% | +16.3% | +0.9pp | ||
Naji Marshall DAL F · vs IND | Points | 13.5 | 15.31 | +1.81 | o12.5-122UD | -107DK | Over 12.5 | 63.8 | 55.0 | -177 | +8.9% | +16.2% | +2.8pp | ||
De'Aaron Fox SA G · vs HOU | PRA | 23.5 | 28.44 | +4.94 | +102UD | -118DK | Over 23.5 | 57.4 | 49.5 | -135 | +7.9% | +15.9% | -1 | ||
Dennis Schroder CHA G · vs ATL | PRA | 22.5 | 19.35 | -3.15 | -103DK | -108UD | Under 22.5 | 60.1 | 51.9 | -151 | +8.2% | +15.8% | 0— | ||
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL F · vs LAC | Points | 8.5 | 10.6 | +2.1 | o7.5-139UD | -112DK | Over 7.5 | 67.2 | 58.2 | -205 | +9.0% | +15.5% | -3.1pp | ||
De'Aaron Fox SA G · vs HOU | Assists | 5.5 | 6.26 | +0.76 | +134UD | -158DK | Over 5.5 | 49.3 | 42.7 | +103 | +6.6% | +15.4% | -1.5pp | ||
Gui Santos GS F · vs MEM | PRA | 20.5 | 15.58 | -4.92 | -106DK | -108UD | Under 20.5 | 59.8 | 51.9 | -149 | +7.9% | +15.2% | -0.8pp | ||
Kyle Kuzma MIL F · vs CHI | Points | 11.5 | 12.26 | +0.76 | o10.5-118UD | -119DK | Over 10.5 | 62.3 | 54.1 | -165 | +8.2% | +15.1% | -1 | ||
Brandon Miller CHA F · vs ATL | Points | 24.5 | 19.97 | -4.53 | -112DK | -102UD | Under 24.5 | 58.1 | 50.5 | -139 | +7.6% | +15.1% | 0— | ||
Saddiq Bey NO G · vs UTAH | Threes | 1.5 | 2.09 | +0.59 | +163DK | -197UD | Over 1.5 | 43.7 | 38.0 | +129 | +5.7% | +14.9% | -0.7pp | ||
 CJ McCollum ATL G · vs CHA | Assists | 3.5 | 3.78 | +0.28 | +144UD | -165DK | Over 3.5 | 47.1 | 41.0 | +112 | +6.1% | +14.9% | +1 | ||
 Tim Hardaway Jr. MIA G · vs DET | Points | 8.5 | 12.53 | +4.03 | -112UD | -101DK | Over 8.5 | 60.6 | 52.8 | -154 | +7.8% | +14.7% | 0 | ||
 Jerami Grant MEM F · vs GS | PRA | 19.5 | 23.83 | +4.33 | -107UD | -109DK | Over 19.5 | 59.2 | 51.7 | -145 | +7.5% | +14.5% | -0.8pp | ||
 Sion James CHA G · vs ATL | Points | 7.5 | 5.16 | -2.34 | -107DK | -107UD | Under 7.5 | 59.2 | 51.7 | -145 | +7.5% | +14.5% | -0.8pp | ||
De'Aaron Fox SA G · vs HOU | Points | 14.5 | 18.14 | +3.64 | -102UD | -114DK | Over 14.5 | 57.8 | 50.5 | -137 | +7.3% | +14.5% | +2.0pp | ||
 Mikal Bridges NY G · vs BOS | Points | 11.5 | 13.46 | +1.96 | -104UD | +100DK | Over 11.5 | 58.3 | 51.0 | -140 | +7.3% | +14.4% | +0.8pp | ||
 Darryn Peterson UTAH G · vs NO | Points | 12.5 | 12.18 | -0.32 | -106DK | u13.5-122UD | Under 13.5 | 62.8 | 55.0 | -169 | +7.9% | +14.3% | 0— | ||
 Al Horford GS C · vs MEM | PRA | 13.5 | 14.83 | +1.33 | o12.5-122UD | -121DK | Over 12.5 | 62.8 | 55.0 | -169 | +7.8% | +14.2% | 0— | ||
 Collin Murray-Boyles TOR F · vs WSH | Points | 9.5 | 8.26 | -1.24 | -106DK | +102UD | Under 9.5 | 56.5 | 49.5 | -130 | +7.0% | +14.1% | -0.4pp | ||
 Tyler Herro MIL G · vs CHI | Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.53 | +0.03 | o3.5-150UD | -158DK | Over 3.5 | 68.3 | 60.0 | -216 | +8.3% | +13.9% | -1.2pp | ||
 Leonard Miller CHI F · vs MIL | PRA | 16.5 | 12.5 | -4 | -113DK | -105UD | Under 16.5 | 58.3 | 51.2 | -140 | +7.1% | +13.8% | -0.8pp | ||
 Anthony Davis WSH F · vs TOR | Threes | 0.5 | 0.55 | +0.05 | -158DK | +137UD | Under 0.5 | 48.0 | 42.2 | +108 | +5.8% | +13.8% | -2.0pp | ||
 Yaxel Lendeborg GS F · vs MEM | Points | 14.5 | 14.27 | -0.23 | -119DK | u15.5-108UD | Under 15.5 | 59.1 | 51.9 | -144 | +7.1% | +13.8% | -1 | ||
 Tre Jones CHI G · vs MIL | Points | 8.5 | 13.97 | +5.47 | -108UD | -106DK | Over 8.5 | 59.0 | 51.9 | -144 | +7.1% | +13.6% | +1.6pp | ||
 Dejounte Murray NO G · vs UTAH | Points | 17.5 | 17.29 | -0.21 | o16.5+102UD | -120DK | Over 16.5 | 56.2 | 49.5 | -128 | +6.7% | +13.5% | 0— |
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