NBA Terminal
Game 2 of 20
CHI @ MIL
Fri 3:00 PM CT
NY @ BOS
Fri 6:00 PM CT
ATL @ CHA
Fri 6:00 PM CT
DAL @ IND
Fri 6:00 PM CT
MIN @ ORL
Fri 6:00 PM CT
TOR @ WSH
Fri 6:00 PM CT
DET @ MIA
Fri 7:00 PM CT
HOU @ SA
Fri 8:30 PM CT
NO @ UTAH
Fri 8:30 PM CT
MEM @ GS
Fri 9:00 PM CT
LAC @ LAL
Fri 9:00 PM CT
POR @ SAC
Fri 9:00 PM CTMIA @ CHASat 5:00 PM CT
BKN @ CLE
Sat 6:30 PM CTMIL @ PHI
Sat 6:30 PM CTWSH @ CHISat 7:00 PM CTSA @ DALSat 7:00 PM CTHOU @ ATLSat 7:30 PM CTNO @ DEN
Sat 8:00 PM CTGS @ PHX
Sat 9:00 PM CTFri, Oct 23 · 6:00 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 9 feeds
NY
New York Knicks · 0-1
Model 109.3 · ESPN 43.7%
@
Proj total 221.6
BOS
Boston Celtics · 0-1
Model 112.3 · ESPN 56.3%
No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· TD Garden
Markets
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line
Moneyline
NY ML
Fair +139 · Model 41.9%
+120
DKEdge -3.5% · EV -7.8%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
BOS ML
Fair -139 · Model 58.1%
-130
CZREdge +1.6% · EV +2.8%
Kelly ¼: 0.91% of bankroll ($9.07 of $1000)
Spread
NY +2.5
Fair +101 · Model 49.7%
-111
UNIEdge -2.9% · EV -5.5%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
BOS -1.5
Fair -101 · Model 53.6%
-117
BREdge -0.3% · EV -0.6%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Total
Over 223.5
Fair +110 · Model 47.5%
-105
DKEdge -3.7% · EV -7.3%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Under 223.5
Fair -110 · Model 52.5%
-109
BREdge +0.3% · EV +0.7%
Kelly ¼: 0.18% of bankroll ($1.81 of $1000)
Line shopping · every book
| Book | NY ML | BOS ML | NY Spread | BOS Spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +120 | -142 | +2.5-115 | -2.5-105 | o223.5-105 | u223.5-115 |
| FanDuel | +112 | -132 | +2.5-115 | -2.5-105 | o223.5-108 | u223.5-112 |
| BetMGM | +115 | -140 | +2.5-115 | -2.5-105 | o223.5-110 | u223.5-110 |
| Caesars | +110 | -130 | +2.5-115 | -2.5-105 | o223.5-110 | u223.5-110 |
| bet365 | +119 | -139 | +2.5-113 | -2.5-107 | o223.5-108 | u223.5-112 |
| BetRivers | +110 | -136 | +1.5-105 | -1.5-117 | o223.5-113 | u223.5-109 |
| Unibet | +115 | -133 | +2.5-111 | -2.5-106 | o223.5-105 | u223.5-111 |
| Consensus | +115 | -140 | +2.5-115 | -2.5-105 | o223.5-108 | u223.5-111 |
| Opening Line | +110 | -130 | +2.5-110 | -2.5-110 | o223.5-110 | u223.5-110 |
Game Props
NY @ BOS · Player Props
69 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Neemias Queta BOS C · vs NY | Points | 7.5 | 9.56 | +2.06 | -110UD | +100DK | Over 7.5 | 60.7 | 52.4 | -154 | +8.3% | +15.9% | +2.4pp | ||
 Karl-Anthony Towns NY C · vs BOS | Assists | 4.5 | 2.83 | -1.67 | +114DK | -132UD | Under 4.5 | 64.2 | 56.9 | -179 | +7.3% | +12.8% | +0.4pp | ||
 Paul George BOS F · vs NY | PRA | 26.5 | 28.01 | +1.51 | o25.5-110UD | -111DK | Over 25.5 | 59.0 | 52.4 | -144 | +6.6% | +12.6% | +1 | ||
Paul George BOS F · vs NY | Rebounds | 4.5 | 5.27 | +0.77 | +104UD | -118DK | Over 4.5 | 55.1 | 49.0 | -123 | +6.1% | +12.4% | +6.9pp | ||
 Mikal Bridges NY G · vs BOS | Points | 11.5 | 13.46 | +1.96 | -109UD | +100DK | Over 11.5 | 58.3 | 52.2 | -140 | +6.2% | +11.8% | +0.8pp | ||
 Jayson Tatum BOS F · vs NY | Points | 25.5 | 20.95 | -4.55 | -117UD | -104UD | Under 25.5 | 56.8 | 51.0 | -131 | +5.8% | +11.4% | -1 | ||
 Mitchell Robinson BOS C · vs NY | Rebounds | 7.5 | 8.23 | +0.73 | +120UD | -138DK | Over 7.5 | 50.6 | 45.5 | -102 | +5.2% | +11.3% | +1.1pp | ||
 Andre Drummond NY C · vs BOS | Rebounds | 6.5 | 8.95 | +2.45 | o7.5+127UD | u7.5-157UD | Over 7.5 | 48.9 | 44.1 | +104 | +4.9% | +11.0% | -3.6pp | ||
 Sam Hauser BOS F · vs NY | Points | 6.5 | 9.38 | +2.88 | +102DK | -130DK | Over 6.5 | 54.7 | 49.5 | -121 | +5.2% | +10.5% | -3.5pp | ||
Mikal Bridges NY G · vs BOS | Rebounds | 3.5 | 3.73 | +0.23 | +136UD | -162DK | Over 3.5 | 46.8 | 42.4 | +114 | +4.4% | +10.4% | +0.1pp | ||
 Landry Shamet NY G · vs BOS | Points | 6.5 | 8.92 | +2.42 | -113DK | -112DK | Over 6.5 | 58.1 | 53.1 | -139 | +5.0% | +9.5% | -2.1pp | ||
Mikal Bridges NY G · vs BOS | Assists | 2.5 | 3.46 | +0.96 | -109DK | -105UD | Over 2.5 | 56.8 | 52.2 | -131 | +4.7% | +8.9% | -2.0pp | ||
Sam Hauser BOS F · vs NY | PRA | 10.5 | 14.66 | +4.16 | -120DK | u11.5-125UD | Over 10.5 | 59.1 | 54.5 | -144 | +4.5% | +8.3% | -0.2pp | ||
 Miles McBride NY G · vs BOS | PRA | 9.5 | 15.91 | +6.41 | -119DK | -110DK | Over 9.5 | 58.8 | 54.3 | -143 | +4.5% | +8.2% | -1 | ||
Jayson Tatum BOS F · vs NY | PRA | 41.5 | 36.24 | -5.26 | o40.5-122UD | -114DK | Under 41.5 | 57.6 | 53.3 | -136 | +4.3% | +8.1% | +1.7pp | ||
Paul George BOS F · vs NY | Points | 18.5 | 19.2 | +0.7 | o17.5-120UD | -109DK | Over 17.5 | 59.0 | 54.5 | -144 | +4.4% | +8.1% | +1 | ||
Mikal Bridges NY G · vs BOS | PRA | 17.5 | 20.65 | +3.15 | -125UD | +102UD | Over 17.5 | 59.5 | 55.6 | -147 | +3.9% | +7.1% | -1 | ||
Jayson Tatum BOS F · vs NY | Rebounds | 8.5 | 9.45 | +0.95 | -108UD | -102DK | Over 8.5 | 55.6 | 51.9 | -125 | +3.7% | +7.1% | +6.8pp | ||
 Jalen Brunson NY G · vs BOS | Threes | 2.5 | 2.49 | -0.01 | +153UD | -175DK | Over 2.5 | 42.1 | 39.5 | +138 | +2.6% | +6.5% | -1.1pp | ||
 Payton Pritchard BOS G · vs NY | Rebounds | 3.5 | 3.95 | +0.45 | +107UD | -132UD | Over 3.5 | 51.4 | 48.3 | -106 | +3.1% | +6.4% | -0.7pp | ||
Jayson Tatum BOS F · vs NY | Threes | 2.5 | 2.67 | +0.17 | -161DK | +135UD | Under 2.5 | 45.0 | 42.6 | +122 | +2.5% | +5.8% | -0.4pp | ||
 Derrick White BOS G · vs NY | First Basket | 1st | 8.5% | +1.3pp | +1140DK | — | First Basket | 8.5 | 8.1 | +1079 | +0.4% | +5.2% | -0.1pp | ||
Derrick White BOS G · vs NY | Rebounds | 3.5 | 4.09 | +0.59 | -110UD | -112UD | Over 3.5 | 55.0 | 52.4 | -122 | +2.6% | +5.0% | -1.3pp | ||
Payton Pritchard BOS G · vs NY | Assists | 3.5 | 4.79 | +1.29 | -157UD | +127UD | Over 3.5 | 63.7 | 61.1 | -175 | +2.6% | +4.3% | -0.2pp | ||
Payton Pritchard BOS G · vs NY | PRA | 23.5 | 25.76 | +2.26 | -108UD | -114UD | Over 23.5 | 54.1 | 51.9 | -118 | +2.2% | +4.2% | -1.0pp | ||
Neemias Queta BOS C · vs NY | Rebounds | 6.5 | 7.97 | +1.47 | -131DK | +108UD | Over 6.5 | 58.9 | 56.7 | -143 | +2.2% | +3.9% | -1 | ||
 Josh Hart NY G · vs BOS | Assists | 3.5 | 4.64 | +1.14 | -147DK | +131UD | Over 3.5 | 61.8 | 59.5 | -162 | +2.3% | +3.8% | -0.3pp | ||
Derrick White BOS G · vs NY | Assists | 4.5 | 5.62 | +1.12 | -145UD | +119DK | Over 4.5 | 61.4 | 59.2 | -159 | +2.2% | +3.7% | +2.1pp | ||
Miles McBride NY G · vs BOS | Points | 5.5 | 11.16 | +5.66 | -121DK | -106DK | Over 5.5 | 56.8 | 54.8 | -131 | +2.0% | +3.7% | -1 | ||
Sam Hauser BOS F · vs NY | Rebounds | 2.5 | 3.86 | +1.36 | -139DK | +120UD | Over 2.5 | 60.2 | 58.2 | -151 | +2.0% | +3.5% | +1.4pp | ||
Jayson Tatum BOS F · vs NY | Assists | 6.5 | 5.83 | -0.67 | +103DK | -121UD | Under 6.5 | 56.5 | 54.8 | -130 | +1.8% | +3.2% | +1 | ||
Derrick White BOS G · vs NY | Threes | 2.5 | 2.74 | +0.24 | -107DK | +104UD | Under 2.5 | 50.5 | 49.0 | -102 | +1.5% | +3.0% | -3.5pp | ||
Mikal Bridges NY G · vs BOS | Threes | 1.5 | 1.73 | +0.23 | +117UD | -143DK | Over 1.5 | 47.2 | 46.1 | +112 | +1.1% | +2.4% | -0.6pp | ||
Andre Drummond NY C · vs BOS | Points | 5.5 | 6.91 | +1.41 | -139DK | +109DK | Over 5.5 | 59.5 | 58.2 | -147 | +1.3% | +2.3% | -2 | ||
Payton Pritchard BOS G · vs NY | Points | 15.5 | 17.02 | +1.52 | -112DK | -112UD | Over 15.5 | 54.0 | 52.8 | -117 | +1.2% | +2.2% | +1 | ||
Jalen Brunson NY G · vs BOS | Rebounds | 2.5 | 3.49 | +0.99 | -157DK | u3.5-150UD | Under 3.5 | 61.2 | 60.0 | -158 | +1.3% | +2.1% | -1 | ||
Paul George BOS F · vs NY | Assists | 2.5 | 3.54 | +1.04 | -171DK | +143UD | Over 2.5 | 64.3 | 63.1 | -180 | +1.2% | +1.9% | -1 | ||
Josh Hart NY G · vs BOS | Points | 11.5 | 12.18 | +0.68 | -104DK | -115UD | Over 11.5 | 51.3 | 51.0 | -105 | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1 | ||
Karl-Anthony Towns NY C · vs BOS | Rebounds | 11.5 | 11.87 | +0.37 | -104UD | -115DK | Over 11.5 | 51.1 | 51.0 | -104 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1 | ||
 OG Anunoby NY F · vs BOS | Threes | 2.5 | 2.22 | -0.28 | +148UD | -166DK | Over 2.5 | 40.4 | 40.3 | +148 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.6pp |
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