NBA Terminal
Game 11 of 20
CHI @ MIL
Fri 3:00 PM CT
NY @ BOS
Fri 6:00 PM CT
ATL @ CHA
Fri 6:00 PM CT
DAL @ IND
Fri 6:00 PM CT
MIN @ ORL
Fri 6:00 PM CT
TOR @ WSH
Fri 6:00 PM CT
DET @ MIA
Fri 7:00 PM CT
HOU @ SA
Fri 8:30 PM CT
NO @ UTAH
Fri 8:30 PM CT
MEM @ GS
Fri 9:00 PM CT
LAC @ LAL
Fri 9:00 PM CT
POR @ SAC
Fri 9:00 PM CTMIA @ CHASat 5:00 PM CT
BKN @ CLE
Sat 6:30 PM CTMIL @ PHI
Sat 6:30 PM CTWSH @ CHISat 7:00 PM CTSA @ DALSat 7:00 PM CTHOU @ ATLSat 7:30 PM CTNO @ DEN
Sat 8:00 PM CTGS @ PHX
Sat 9:00 PM CTFri, Oct 23 · 9:00 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 9 feeds
LAC
LA Clippers · 1-0
Model 112.4 · ESPN 25.5%
@
Proj total 227.4
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers · 1-0
Model 115 · ESPN 74.5%
No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· crypto.com Arena
Markets
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line
Moneyline
LAC ML
Fair +213 · Model 32.0%
+320
UNIEdge +8.2% · EV +34.4%
Kelly ¼: 2.69% of bankroll ($26.88 of $1000)
LAL ML
Fair -213 · Model 68.0%
-375
MGMEdge -10.9% · EV -13.9%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Spread
LAC +9.5
Fair -129 · Model 59.2%
-106
FDEdge +7.7% · EV +15.0%
Kelly ¼: 3.99% of bankroll ($39.88 of $1000)
LAL -8.5
Fair +129 · Model 43.7%
-118
DKEdge -10.4% · EV -19.3%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Total
Over 228.5
Fair +104 · Model 48.9%
-110
DKEdge -3.5% · EV -6.7%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Under 229.5
Fair -104 · Model 53.3%
-114
BREdge +0.0% · EV +0.1%
Kelly ¼: 0.02% of bankroll ($0.15 of $1000)
Line shopping · every book
| Book | LAC ML | LAL ML | LAC Spread | LAL Spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +300 | -380 | +8.5-102 | -8.5-118 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| FanDuel | +310 | -390 | +9.5-106 | -9.5-114 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| BetMGM | +300 | -375 | +9.5-115 | -9.5-105 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| Caesars | +310 | -400 | +9.5-115 | -9.5-105 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| bet365 | +310 | -390 | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| BetRivers | +300 | -400 | +9.5-112 | -9.5-112 | o229.5-108 | u229.5-114 |
| Unibet | +320 | -400 | +9.5-110 | -9.5-106 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| Consensus | +300 | -380 | +9.5-112 | -9.5-109 | o228.5-110 | u228.5-110 |
| Opening Line | +320 | -405 | +9.5-105 | -9.5-116 | o228.5-111 | u228.5-116 |
Game Props
LAC @ LAL · Player Props
66 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Collin Sexton LAL G · vs LAC | Points | 10.5 | 15.44 | +4.94 | +101UD | -111DK | Over 10.5 | 58.4 | 49.8 | -140 | +8.7% | +17.4% | -2.1pp | ||
 Rui Hachimura LAC F · vs LAL | PRA | 25.5 | 16.03 | -9.47 | -107DK | u24.5-102UD | Under 24.5 | 58.8 | 50.5 | -143 | +8.3% | +16.4% | +2 | ||
Rui Hachimura LAC F · vs LAL | Points | 17.5 | 11.34 | -6.16 | -110DK | u16.5+109UD | Under 16.5 | 55.6 | 47.8 | -125 | +7.8% | +16.3% | +1 | ||
 Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL F · vs LAC | Points | 8.5 | 10.6 | +2.1 | o7.5-139UD | -116DK | Over 7.5 | 66.4 | 58.2 | -197 | +8.2% | +14.1% | -3.9pp | ||
 Quentin Grimes LAL G · vs LAC | PRA | 15.5 | 19.92 | +4.42 | -107UD | -110DK | Over 15.5 | 58.9 | 51.7 | -143 | +7.2% | +13.9% | +1.9pp | ||
Quentin Grimes LAL G · vs LAC | Points | 9.5 | 13.1 | +3.6 | -113UD | -104DK | Over 9.5 | 60.0 | 53.1 | -150 | +7.0% | +13.1% | +1.6pp | ||
 Ziaire Williams LAL F · vs LAC | Points | 7.5 | 10.12 | +2.62 | -108UD | -110DK | Over 7.5 | 58.6 | 51.9 | -142 | +6.7% | +12.9% | -1 | ||
Rui Hachimura LAC F · vs LAL | Rebounds | 5.5 | 3.75 | -1.75 | -127UD | +106DK | Under 5.5 | 53.5 | 48.5 | -115 | +5.0% | +10.2% | +2.9pp | ||
 Darius Garland LAC G · vs LAL | Points | 25.5 | 19.8 | -5.7 | -107UD | -115UD | Under 25.5 | 58.8 | 53.5 | -143 | +5.3% | +9.9% | -1.4pp | ||
Quentin Grimes LAL G · vs LAC | Assists | 2.5 | 3.32 | +0.82 | -101DK | -108UD | Over 2.5 | 55.0 | 50.2 | -122 | +4.8% | +9.5% | +0.8pp | ||
 Brook Lopez LAC C · vs LAL | Rebounds | 5.5 | 4.31 | -1.19 | -109UD | -113UD | Under 5.5 | 58.0 | 53.1 | -138 | +5.0% | +9.3% | +0.4pp | ||
 Isaiah Jackson LAC F · vs LAL | Points | 9.5 | 7.3 | -2.2 | o8.5-132UD | -121DK | Under 9.5 | 59.7 | 54.8 | -148 | +5.0% | +9.0% | 0— | ||
Darius Garland LAC G · vs LAL | PRA | 36.5 | 28.49 | -8.01 | o35.5-121UD | -111DK | Under 36.5 | 57.2 | 52.6 | -134 | +4.6% | +8.7% | -1 | ||
Brook Lopez LAC C · vs LAL | Points | 12.5 | 9.23 | -3.27 | +104UD | -126DK | Under 12.5 | 60.6 | 55.8 | -154 | +4.8% | +8.7% | -1.4pp | ||
 Kris Dunn LAC G · vs LAL | Threes | 0.5 | 1.07 | +0.57 | -210DK | u1.5-209UD | Under 1.5 | 72.7 | 67.6 | -266 | +5.1% | +7.5% | +4.5pp | ||
Kris Dunn LAC G · vs LAL | Rebounds | 4.5 | 3.46 | -1.04 | o3.5-145UD | -132DK | Under 4.5 | 60.6 | 56.9 | -154 | +3.7% | +6.5% | +1.8pp | ||
Ziaire Williams LAL F · vs LAC | Threes | 1.5 | 1.49 | -0.01 | o0.5-209UD | -220DK | Over 0.5 | 72.0 | 67.6 | -257 | +4.4% | +6.5% | +0.1pp | ||
Darius Garland LAC G · vs LAL | First Basket | 1st | 10.4% | +2.1pp | +920DK | — | First Basket | 10.4 | 9.8 | +859 | +0.6% | +6.4% | 0— | ||
Isaiah Jackson LAC F · vs LAL | Rebounds | 6.5 | 5.25 | -1.25 | +129UD | -136DK | Under 6.5 | 61.2 | 57.6 | -158 | +3.6% | +6.2% | 0— | ||
 Luka Doncic LAL G · vs LAC | Points | 32.5 | 32.99 | +0.49 | o31.5-104UD | -117DK | Over 31.5 | 54.1 | 51.0 | -118 | +3.1% | +6.1% | -1.3pp | ||
Luka Doncic LAL G · vs LAC | Threes | 3.5 | 4.06 | +0.56 | -108UD | +102DK | Over 3.5 | 55.1 | 51.9 | -123 | +3.2% | +6.1% | -1.2pp | ||
Darius Garland LAC G · vs LAL | Rebounds | 3.5 | 2.25 | -1.25 | +141UD | -152DK | Under 3.5 | 63.9 | 60.3 | -177 | +3.6% | +5.9% | +1.3pp | ||
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL F · vs LAC | Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.85 | +0.35 | -114UD | +110DK | Over 4.5 | 56.4 | 53.3 | -129 | +3.1% | +5.9% | +5.8pp | ||
 Keaton Wagler LAC G · vs LAL | Threes | 1.5 | 1.64 | +0.14 | -138DK | +121UD | Under 1.5 | 47.7 | 45.2 | +110 | +2.5% | +5.4% | -0.3pp | ||
Brook Lopez LAC C · vs LAL | Threes | 1.5 | 1.47 | -0.03 | -106DK | -104UD | Under 1.5 | 53.5 | 51.0 | -115 | +2.5% | +4.9% | -0.7pp | ||
 Matisse Thybulle LAL G · vs LAC | Threes | 1.5 | 1.21 | -0.29 | +205UD | -230DK | Over 1.5 | 34.4 | 32.8 | +191 | +1.6% | +4.9% | -1.5pp | ||
Rui Hachimura LAC F · vs LAL | Threes | 2.5 | 1.73 | -0.77 | +130UD | -153DK | Under 2.5 | 63.0 | 60.5 | -170 | +2.5% | +4.2% | +0.9pp | ||
Darius Garland LAC G · vs LAL | Assists | 7.5 | 6.44 | -1.06 | +104UD | -114DK | Under 7.5 | 55.5 | 53.3 | -125 | +2.2% | +4.2% | -0.9pp | ||
Kris Dunn LAC G · vs LAL | PRA | 16.5 | 14.61 | -1.89 | o15.5-115UD | -123DK | Under 16.5 | 57.4 | 55.2 | -135 | +2.2% | +4.1% | -0.2pp | ||
Keaton Wagler LAC G · vs LAL | Assists | 3.5 | 3.64 | +0.14 | +126DK | -154UD | Over 3.5 | 45.7 | 44.2 | +119 | +1.4% | +3.3% | +0.7pp | ||
Keaton Wagler LAC G · vs LAL | Rebounds | 3.5 | 3.64 | +0.14 | -136DK | +123UD | Under 3.5 | 46.3 | 44.8 | +116 | +1.5% | +3.3% | 0— | ||
Luka Doncic LAL G · vs LAC | Assists | 7.5 | 8.16 | +0.66 | +109DK | -124UD | Over 7.5 | 49.4 | 47.8 | +102 | +1.6% | +3.3% | -7.0pp | ||
 Austin Reaves LAL G · vs LAC | Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.64 | +0.14 | +102UD | -117DK | Over 4.5 | 50.9 | 49.5 | -104 | +1.4% | +2.8% | +2.6pp | ||
Quentin Grimes LAL G · vs LAC | Threes | 1.5 | 1.54 | +0.04 | +162DK | -200UD | Over 1.5 | 39.2 | 38.2 | +155 | +1.0% | +2.7% | +0.4pp | ||
Luka Doncic LAL G · vs LAC | Rebounds | 7.5 | 7.76 | +0.26 | -108UD | -101DK | Over 7.5 | 53.2 | 51.9 | -114 | +1.3% | +2.5% | +4.5pp | ||
Austin Reaves LAL G · vs LAC | Assists | 5.5 | 5.54 | +0.04 | +121UD | -148UD | Over 5.5 | 46.3 | 45.2 | +116 | +1.1% | +2.3% | -4.9pp | ||
Ziaire Williams LAL F · vs LAC | Rebounds | 2.5 | 2.45 | -0.05 | -112UD | +117DK | Over 2.5 | 54.0 | 52.8 | -117 | +1.2% | +2.2% | +0.3pp | ||
Darius Garland LAC G · vs LAL | Threes | 2.5 | 2.74 | +0.24 | -154DK | +127UD | Under 2.5 | 45.0 | 44.1 | +122 | +0.9% | +2.1% | +1.8pp | ||
Keaton Wagler LAC G · vs LAL | Points | 12.5 | 12.73 | +0.23 | +104UD | -121DK | Over 12.5 | 49.7 | 49.0 | +101 | +0.7% | +1.4% | +0.2pp | ||
Matisse Thybulle LAL G · vs LAC | Rebounds | 2.5 | 2.06 | -0.44 | +112UD | -111DK | Under 2.5 | 53.3 | 52.6 | -114 | +0.7% | +1.3% | +1.0pp |
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