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MLB Research Terminal

MLB Edge Terminal

Model projections vs the best price across your sportsbooks · edge % · expected value · line movement — refreshed continuously.

Updated 3m ago
Games
1/2
Props Modeled
67
+EV Edges
37
Best EV
+16.8%
Lines Moving
33

Games: Team ratings (PF/PA per game, prior season regressed + current season) → normal win/cover/over probabilities, blended 45% model / 55% no-vig market. Props: Per-game player rates (prior season blended with current) → Poisson/normal over probabilities, blended 35% model / 65% no-vig market. Unpriced lines assume -110.

00 · Game Slate

Today's Games

2 games · tap a game for its full research view — markets by book, every player prop, AI read

Today + Next
Tue 7:00 PM CTDraftKings
MILMIL103-59-124DK
TBTB98-64+111CZR
Run Line TB +1.5O/U 7.567 propsTop EV +16.8%
Wed 7:00 PM CTNo line
MILMIL103-59—
TBTB98-64—
0 props
01 · +EV Edge Board

Best +EV Right Now

37 positive-EV opportunities · 1 game markets · 36 player props · best price across all books · ranked by EV

TierMarket / PlayerTypeGameModel ProjBest OddsModel %ImpliedFairEdgeEVMoveSlip
ELITE
Jonathan Aranda
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.58+265DK32.027.4+212+4.6%+16.8%+2.5pp
ELITE
Yandy Diaz
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.55+276DK31.026.6+223+4.4%+16.6%-0.8pp
ELITE
Christian Yelich
Total Bases · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.73-176UD74.363.8-289+10.6%+16.5%+1.4pp
ELITE
Christian Yelich
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.69+216DK36.631.6+173+5.0%+15.7%+0.8pp
ELITE
Brice Turang
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.64+227DK35.130.6+185+4.5%+14.8%-0.3pp
ELITE
Jake Bauers
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.58+236DK33.529.8+199+3.7%+12.6%-1.4pp
ELITE
Junior Caminero
Total Bases · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.01-189UD73.465.4-277+8.1%+12.3%+0.3pp
ELITE
Jonathan Aranda
Total Bases · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.61-189UD73.465.4-276+8.0%+12.3%+0.9pp
ELITE
Over 7.5
Total
game
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 8.6+112UNI52.647.2-111+5.4%+11.5%-0.1pp
ELITE
Christian Yelich
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.19+710DK13.712.3+630+1.4%+11.0%+1.1pp
ELITE
Liam Hicks
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.56+234DK33.229.9+201+3.3%+10.9%+2.0pp
STRONG
Sal Frelick
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.08+1600DK6.45.9+1462+0.5%+8.8%+0.1pp
STRONG
Liam Hicks
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.12+1120DK8.98.2+1024+0.7%+8.6%-1.4pp
STRONG
Sal Frelick
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.44+281DK28.526.2+251+2.3%+8.6%+0.2pp
STRONG
Sal Frelick
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.05+125DK48.044.4+108+3.6%+8.0%+0.6pp
STRONG
Liam Hicks
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.91+122UD48.645.0+106+3.5%+7.9%+2.1pp
STRONG
Yandy Diaz
Home Runs · 1+ Home Runs
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.15+880DK11.010.2+809+0.8%+7.8%-2.1pp
STRONG
Jackson Chourio
Total Bases · Over 1.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.99+114UD50.046.7-100+3.3%+7.0%+0.4pp
STRONG
Sal Frelick
Runs · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.54+219DK33.531.3+199+2.1%+6.9%-1.3pp
STRONG
Jake Bauers
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.02+114UD49.846.7+101+3.1%+6.6%-0.3pp
STRONG
Christian Yelich
H+R+RBI · Over 1.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 2.28+102UD52.749.5-111+3.2%+6.5%+2.4pp
STRONG
William Contreras
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.62+185DK37.335.1+168+2.2%+6.3%+1.3pp
STRONG
Garrett Mitchell
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.46+250DK30.228.6+231+1.6%+5.7%-0.5pp
STRONG
Yandy Diaz
Total Bases · Over 1.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 1.79+139DK44.241.8+126+2.4%+5.6%+0.8pp
STRONG
Jackson Chourio
RBI · Over 0.5
prop
MIL @ TB
Tue 7:00 PM CT
Proj 0.59+185UD36.935.1+171+1.8%+5.2%-0.3pp
Showing 25 of 37
02 · Full-Slate Projections

Moneyline · Run Line · Total

Model win / cover / over probability vs the best price across all books · fair odds · edge % · tap a game to research it

TimeMatchupProj Score · TotalBest ML · Model %Fair MLML EdgeRun Line · Cover %Fair LineATS EdgeTotal O / UTotal EdgeBest BetLine Move
Tue 7:00 PM CT
DraftKings
MILMIL103-59
TBTB98-64
4.6
4.0
8.6
-124DK54.1%
+111CZR45.9%
-118
+118
-1.3%
-1.5%
-1.5+143BR40.6%
+1.5-164FD59.4%
TB +0.5
-0.6%
-2.7%
o7.5+112UNI52.6%
u7+100MGM43.1%
+5.4%
-6.9%
Over 7.5 UNI
+11.5%
ML-2.7ppSPR-3.0ppTOT-0.1pp
Wed 7:00 PM CT
No line
MILMIL103-59
TBTB98-64
4.6
4.0
8.6
—
—
-125
+125
—
—
—
—
TB +0.5
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Showing 2 of 2
03 · Player Props

Projection vs Market

67 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research

PlayerStatusPropLineModel ProjDiffOver / YesUnderModel SideModel %ImpliedFairEdgeEVMoveSlip
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
RBI0.50.62+0.12+185DK-262DKOver 0.537.335.1+168+2.2%+6.3%+1.3pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
H+R+RBI1.52.21+0.71-106UD-120DKOver 1.553.151.5-113+1.6%+3.2%+1.9pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
Total Bases1.51.59+0.09+141DK-176UDOver 1.541.841.5+139+0.3%+0.7%+1.1pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
Runs0.50.56+0.06+133DK-185DKOver 0.541.042.9+144-1.9%-4.5%0
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
Hits0.51.03+0.53-214DK+159DKOver 0.563.968.2-177-4.3%-6.2%+2.2pp
William Contreras
MIL C · vs TB
Home Runs1+0.12-0.88+498DK—1+ Home Runs14.116.7+609-2.6%-15.7%+2.1pp
Showing 6 of 6
04 · Market Movement

Line Movement Tracker

Opening → current · 23 up · 10 down · snapshots stored every refresh

MarketSelectionOpenCurrentPriceΔΔ ImpliedTrendMove Size
propHits
J. Aranda Hits
MIL @ TB
0.50.5-218+5.1pp+5.1pp6 snapshots2.03
propH+R+RBI
J. Aranda H+R+RBI
MIL @ TB
1.51.5-101+5.0pp+5.0pp7 snapshots1.99
gameRun Line
TB +1.5
MIL @ TB
1.51.5-171-3.0pp-3.0pp21 snapshots1.21
gameMoneyline
TB ML
MIL @ TB
-109+103+103-2.7pp-2.7pp21 snapshots1.08
propRuns
J. Aranda Runs
MIL @ TB
0.50.5+142+2.6pp+2.6pp7 snapshots1.05
propRBI
J. Aranda RBI
MIL @ TB
0.50.5+265+2.5pp+2.5pp6 snapshots1.01
propH+R+RBI
C. Yelich H+R+RBI
MIL @ TB
1.51.5-108+2.4pp+2.4pp17 snapshots0.96
propHome Runs
J. Aranda Home Runs
MIL @ TB
11+760-2.3pp-2.3pp21 snapshots0.9
propHits
W. Contreras Hits
MIL @ TB
0.50.5-214+2.2pp+2.2pp15 snapshots0.89
propHome Runs
Y. Diaz Home Runs
MIL @ TB
11+880-2.1pp-2.1pp20 snapshots0.86
propH+R+RBI
L. Hicks H+R+RBI
MIL @ TB
1.51.5+112+2.1pp+2.1pp6 snapshots0.84
propHome Runs
W. Contreras Home Runs
MIL @ TB
11+498+2.1pp+2.1pp19 snapshots0.83
propHits
C. Yelich Hits
MIL @ TB
0.50.5-227+2.1pp+2.1pp15 snapshots0.83
propHits
L. Hicks Hits
MIL @ TB
0.50.5-187+2.0pp+2.0pp5 snapshots0.8
propRBI
L. Hicks RBI
MIL @ TB
0.50.5+234+2.0pp+2.0pp7 snapshots0.79
propHome Runs
J. Caminero Home Runs
MIL @ TB
11+416-1.9pp-1.9pp21 snapshots0.76
propH+R+RBI
W. Contreras H+R+RBI
MIL @ TB
1.51.5-110+1.9pp+1.9pp15 snapshots0.76
propHits
B. Turang Hits
MIL @ TB
0.50.5-199+1.7pp+1.7pp16 snapshots0.66
propTotal Bases
C. Simpson Total Bases
MIL @ TB
1.51.5+152+1.6pp+1.6pp5 snapshots0.62
propRuns
Y. Diaz Runs
MIL @ TB
0.50.5+125+1.5pp+1.5pp5 snapshots0.61
propH+R+RBI
C. Simpson H+R+RBI
MIL @ TB
1.51.5-107+1.5pp+1.5pp5 snapshots0.6
propTotal Bases
C. Yelich Total Bases
MIL @ TB
1.51.5+138+1.4pp+1.4pp14 snapshots0.58
propHome Runs
L. Hicks Home Runs
MIL @ TB
11+1120-1.4pp-1.4pp19 snapshots0.57
propRBI
C. Simpson RBI
MIL @ TB
0.50.5+286+1.3pp+1.3pp6 snapshots0.54
propRBI
J. Bauers RBI
MIL @ TB
0.50.5+236-1.4pp-1.4pp14 snapshots0.54
Showing 25 of 33
05 · Power Ratings

Team Power Ratings

Model offense / defense in runs per game vs league average (4.45) · 2026 season, prior season regressed in

#TeamRecordNet runs/gOffDefWin% vs AvgL10Streak
1MILMIL103-59+1.19+0.61+0.5760.9%8-2W5
2LADLAD100-62+1.10+0.48+0.6260.1%8-2W3
3CHCCHC89-73+0.83+0.69+0.1457.7%5-5W1
4NYYNYY93-68+0.81+0.21+0.6057.4%5-5W1
5ATLATL94-68+0.57+0.11+0.4655.2%5-5L1
6BOSBOS87-75+0.47-0.11+0.5754.3%5-5L1
7TBTB98-64+0.45+0.07+0.3854.2%5-5L1
8DETDET76-86+0.40+0.04+0.3653.7%4-6L1
9SDSD91-71+0.26-0.01+0.2752.4%8-2W2
10CHWCHW84-78+0.21+0.22-0.0151.9%7-3W1
11PHIPHI88-74+0.17+0.01+0.1651.6%4-6W1
12PITPIT82-80+0.09+0.13-0.0450.9%7-3W1
14ARIARI86-76+0.05+0.14-0.0950.5%6-4L2
13CLECLE85-77+0.05-0.27+0.3250.5%8-2L1
15MIAMIA80-82-0.05-0.04-0.0149.5%5-5W1
16NYMNYM74-88-0.12-0.07-0.0548.9%5-5L1
17WSHWSH77-85-0.13+0.47-0.6048.8%6-4W1
18HOUHOU81-81-0.14+0.04-0.1848.7%5-5W2
20TORTOR79-83-0.17-0.30+0.1348.4%4-6W1
19TEXTEX80-82-0.17-0.26+0.0948.4%4-6L1
22STLSTL77-85-0.19-0.03-0.1748.2%2-8L4
21BALBAL79-82-0.19-0.02-0.1648.3%6-4L1
23SEASEA76-86-0.23-0.25+0.0147.8%6-4W2
24MINMIN77-85-0.36+0.06-0.4246.7%6-4W1
25SFSF65-97-0.44-0.27-0.1746%2-8L5
26KCKC69-93-0.58-0.20-0.3844.6%2-8W1
27LAALAA62-100-0.60-0.36-0.2444.4%4-6L2
28CINCIN75-87-0.77-0.27-0.4942.9%4-6L1
29ATHATH64-98-1.24-0.10-1.1438.7%3-7L2
30COLCOL58-104-1.26+0.07-1.3338.5%2-8L1
Showing 30 of 30
05 · MLB Research Tools

The HR Lab

Every specialized MLB tool from the CLUTCH Game Intelligence Center — unchanged.

Command Center
The original CLUTCH home — slate ribbon, top HR threats, AI notes
HR Tools
HR matchups ranked by edge · HR filter · hot / cold bats
Game Intelligence
Per-game heatmap · pitcher vulnerability · analyst report
Edge Engine
Best bets, parlays and the accountability tracker
Hit & TB Props
1+ / 2+ hits and total bases probability boards
Pitcher Props
K matchups · weak spots · bullpen
V12 Cheat Sheet
Full slate research sheet
Tracker
ROI and hit rate · 7 / 30 / 90 days
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Multi-sport betting research terminal for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL — +EV edges, full-slate projections, player prop models and line movement, plus the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 MLB HR lab. Lines via DraftKings / ESPN; data from ESPN, MLB StatsAPI, Savant and Open-Meteo.

21+ Only · Clutch Algorithm is an analytics research platform for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not a sportsbook. No wagers are accepted, processed, or facilitated on this site. Projected probabilities, edges, EV and fair odds are model outputs — not guaranteed outcomes. Past performance does not predict future results.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Oct 2026