NBA Terminal
Game 11 of 16
Mon, Oct 26 · 6:30 PM CTLines: Draft Kings + 9 feeds
DAL
Dallas Mavericks · 1-2
Model 116 · ESPN 30.1%
@
Proj total 237.5
MIA
Miami Heat · 0-3
Model 121.5 · ESPN 69.9%
No weather posted (indoor or not yet available)· Kaseya Center
Markets
Moneyline · Spread · Total
Best price across all books · model probability re-scored at each book's line
Moneyline
DAL ML
Fair +237 · Model 29.6%
+290
BREdge +4.0% · EV +15.4%
Kelly ¼: 1.33% of bankroll ($13.31 of $1000)
MIA ML
Fair -237 · Model 70.4%
-310
DKEdge -5.2% · EV -6.9%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Spread
DAL +7.5
Fair -110 · Model 52.4%
+117
BREdge +6.3% · EV +13.7%
Kelly ¼: 2.93% of bankroll ($29.29 of $1000)
MIA -7.5
Fair +110 · Model 47.6%
-115
DKEdge -5.9% · EV -11.0%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Total
Over 235.5
Fair -109 · Model 52.2%
-112
DKEdge -0.6% · EV -1.2%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Under 235.5
Fair +109 · Model 47.8%
+107
BREdge -0.5% · EV -1.1%
No Kelly stake — price is not +EV.
Line shopping · every book
| Book | DAL ML | MIA ML | DAL Spread | MIA Spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +260 | -325 | +8.5-115 | -8.5-105 | o235.5-112 | u235.5-108 |
| FanDuel | +265 | -330 | +8.5-106 | -8.5-114 | o236.5-112 | u236.5-108 |
| BetMGM | +260 | -325 | +8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | o236.5-110 | u236.5-110 |
| Caesars | +270 | -345 | +8.5-115 | -8.5-105 | o236.5-110 | u236.5-110 |
| bet365 | +275 | -350 | +8.5-109 | -8.5-111 | o235.5-112 | u235.5-108 |
| BetRivers | +290 | -385 | +7.5+117 | -7.5-148 | o235.5-130 | u235.5+107 |
| Unibet | +275 | -345 | +8.5-106 | -8.5-110 | o236.5-110 | u236.5-106 |
| Consensus | +260 | -325 | +8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | o236.5-110 | u236.5-109 |
| Opening Line | +235 | -290 | +8.5-109 | -8.5-114 | o233.5-111 | u233.5-116 |
Game Props
DAL @ MIA · Player Props
0 props modeled · best price across DraftKings + Underdog · tap a row for full research
| Player | Status | Prop | Line | Model Proj | Diff | Over / Yes | Under | Model Side | Model % | Implied | Fair | Edge | EV | Move | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No player props posted for this slate yet. Books usually post them on game day, so check back closer to start time. | |||||||||||||||
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