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SEA
SEA@ATH
FIRST PITCH
ATH
Game 13 of 15 Sun · Sep 13, 8:05 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · SEA vs Jacob Lopez · ATH vs Bryce Miller

#1Michael Arroyo
Michael ArroyoRHB#7 · Secondary Power
SEA· 2Bvs ATH LHP Lopez
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
107
Likely
80
kHR
90
Zone
54
Form
100%
EV
94.0
Brl%
20.0%
ISO
.500
xwOBA
.556
xwOBAc
.812
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
9.4%
SwtSp%
37.5%
HH%
60.0%
elite Barrel 20%, elite ISO .500, 94.0 EV+424MODEL
#2Max Muncy
Max MuncyRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
ATH· DHvs SEA RHP Miller
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
115
Likely
81
kHR
82
Zone
59
Form
100%
EV
90.6
Brl%
13.2%
ISO
.245
xwOBA
.351
xwOBAc
.478
SwStr%
13.0%
PullBrl
6.8%
SwtSp%
35.3%
HH%
47.3%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .245, pull-side power+424MODEL
#3Cal Raleigh
Cal RaleighSHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
SEA· DHvs ATH LHP Lopez
🟢 Strong
Test
75
Ceil
86
Likely
67
kHR
81
Zone
44
Form
89%
EV
89.8
Brl%
14.5%
ISO
.187
xwOBA
.312
xwOBAc
.387
SwStr%
15.5%
PullBrl
7.7%
SwtSp%
34.0%
HH%
38.5%
elite Barrel 14%, pull-air 23%, off-platoon but elite power+424MODEL
#4Carlos Cortes
Carlos CortesLHB#7 · Secondary Power
ATH· LFvs SEA RHP Miller
🟢 Strong
Test
75
Ceil
117
Likely
79
kHR
78
Zone
54
Form
81%
EV
91.8
Brl%
11.7%
ISO
.234
xwOBA
.388
xwOBAc
.581
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.9%
SwtSp%
33.5%
HH%
47.5%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .234, on-platoon+424MODEL
#5Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
SEA· RFvs ATH LHP Lopez
🟢 Strong
Test
67
Ceil
68
Likely
57
kHR
73
Zone
37
Form
88%
EV
91.2
Brl%
12.3%
ISO
.224
xwOBA
.352
xwOBAc
.509
SwStr%
12.8%
PullBrl
5.0%
SwtSp%
34.0%
HH%
44.8%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .224+497MODEL
#6Julio Rodríguez
Julio RodríguezRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
SEA· CFvs ATH LHP Lopez
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
63
Likely
48
kHR
56
Zone
30
Form
64%
EV
90.2
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.155
xwOBA
.335
xwOBAc
.486
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.1%
HH%
44.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+863MODEL
#7Weston Wilson
Weston WilsonRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
SEA· 3Bvs ATH LHP Lopez
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
63
Likely
48
kHR
56
Zone
34
Form
70%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.171
xwOBA
.333
xwOBAc
.383
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
42.8%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+873MODEL
#8Henry Bolte
Henry BolteRHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
ATH· CFvs SEA RHP Miller
🟠 Longshot
Test
43
Ceil
108
Likely
65
kHR
51
Zone
47
Form
47%
EV
89.1
Brl%
6.2%
ISO
.124
xwOBA
.365
xwOBAc
.478
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
2.5%
SwtSp%
31.9%
HH%
39.3%
no standout edge+1023MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — SEA
vs Jacob Lopez (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

SEASEA
vs Jacob Lopez (ATH)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — ATH
vs Bryce Miller (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

ATHATH
vs Bryce Miller (SEA)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
SEA + ATH · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
SEAvsATH

SEA + ATH hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
SEA Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
SEA hitters vsJacob Lopez(ATH)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1J.P. CrawfordJ.P. CrawfordLHB
.234.375.1416%37%14%
.241.354.1135%38%13%
.205.330.1255%33%19%
.168.271.1035%28%26%
.160.249.0894%27%28%
.174.281.1075%28%24%
.218.332.1146%33%19%
.197.289.0925%30%23%
#2Randy ArozarenaRandy ArozarenaRHB
.287.501.2148%45%23%
.295.473.1787%46%21%
.251.441.1907%39%31%
.235.414.1797%39%37%
.224.380.1566%37%40%
.244.429.1857%38%33%
.244.406.1627%36%34%
.220.353.1336%34%40%
#3Dominic CanzoneDominic CanzoneLHB
.271.521.25014%48%23%
.279.492.21311%49%22%
.237.458.22112%43%31%
.195.377.18210%37%42%
.185.346.1619%35%45%
.202.390.18810%36%38%
.252.461.20912%43%31%
.228.401.17311%40%36%
#4Cal RaleighCal RaleighSHB
.189.396.20716%42%26%
.194.374.18012%42%25%
.166.349.18314%37%36%
.148.312.16413%35%45%
.140.286.14612%33%48%
.153.323.17013%34%40%
.169.338.16914%35%37%
.153.294.14112%33%43%
#5Julio RodríguezJulio RodríguezRHB
.255.430.17510%48%23%
.262.406.1448%49%22%
.224.378.1549%42%31%
.209.355.1468%42%37%
.199.326.1278%40%40%
.217.368.1519%41%34%
.217.348.1318%39%34%
.196.302.1067%36%40%
#6Josh NaylorJosh NaylorLHB
.284.392.1085%39%15%
.292.370.0784%40%14%
.248.345.0974%34%20%
.204.284.0804%30%28%
.194.260.0663%28%30%
.211.294.0834%29%25%
.264.347.0835%35%20%
.239.302.0634%32%24%
#7Michael ArroyoMichael ArroyoRHB
.394.945.50016%62%13%
.405.893.48812%63%12%
.345.831.48614%54%17%
.323.781.45814%54%21%
.307.717.41012%51%22%
.335.809.47414%53%19%
.335.765.43013%50%19%
.303.665.36212%46%22%
#8Weston WilsonWeston WilsonRHB
.228.363.1355%38%29%
.234.343.1094%39%27%
.200.319.1194%34%39%
.187.300.1134%34%47%
.178.275.0974%32%51%
.194.310.1164%33%43%
.194.294.1004%31%43%
.175.255.0804%29%51%
#9Jhonny PeredaJhonny PeredaRHB
.294.382.0883%52%17%
.302.361.0593%53%16%
.258.336.0783%46%23%
.241.316.0753%46%28%
.229.290.0613%43%30%
.250.327.0773%45%25%
.250.309.0593%42%25%
.226.269.0433%39%30%
ATH Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
ATH hitters vsBryce Miller(SEA)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Henry BolteHenry BolteRHB
.291.433.1428%52%28%
.299.409.1106%53%26%
.255.381.1267%45%38%
.209.314.1056%40%52%
.199.288.0896%37%55%
.217.325.1086%39%47%
.271.384.1138%46%38%
.245.334.0897%42%44%
#2Jeff McNeilJeff McNeilLHB
.281.402.1212%33%13%
.289.379.0902%33%12%
.247.353.1062%29%18%
.231.332.1012%29%21%
.219.305.0862%27%22%
.239.344.1052%28%19%
.239.325.0862%27%19%
.216.283.0672%25%22%
#3Zack GelofZack GelofRHB
.261.487.22610%46%25%
.269.460.1918%46%24%
.229.428.1999%40%34%
.188.353.1658%35%46%
.179.324.1457%33%50%
.195.365.1708%34%42%
.243.432.1899%40%34%
.220.375.1558%37%40%
#4Lawrence ButlerLawrence ButlerLHB
.238.401.1639%49%23%
.245.378.1337%50%21%
.209.352.1437%43%31%
.195.331.1367%43%37%
.186.304.1187%40%40%
.203.343.1407%42%33%
.203.324.1217%40%34%
.183.282.0996%37%40%
#5Max MuncyMax MuncyRHB
.247.426.17912%48%27%
.254.402.1489%48%26%
.216.374.15810%42%37%
.177.308.1319%36%51%
.169.283.1148%34%54%
.184.319.1359%36%45%
.230.377.14711%42%37%
.208.328.12010%39%43%
#6Donovan WaltonDonovan WaltonLHB
.286.492.2066%36%22%
.294.465.1714%37%21%
.250.433.1835%32%30%
.234.407.1735%32%36%
.223.373.1504%30%38%
.243.421.1785%31%32%
.243.399.1565%29%33%
.220.347.1274%27%38%
#7Carlos CortesCarlos CortesLHB
.272.431.1597%39%19%
.280.407.1275%39%17%
.238.379.1416%34%25%
.223.356.1336%34%30%
.212.327.1155%32%32%
.231.369.1386%33%27%
.231.349.1186%31%28%
.209.303.0945%29%32%
#8Brian ServenBrian ServenRHB
.223.491.26811%36%26%
.229.464.2359%37%25%
.195.432.23710%32%36%
.160.356.1969%28%49%
.152.327.1758%26%52%
.166.368.2029%27%44%
.207.435.22810%32%36%
.187.379.1929%29%42%
#9Alika WilliamsAlika WilliamsRHB
.266.437.17177%35%19%
.273.413.14060%36%17%
.233.385.15267%31%25%
.191.317.12658%27%34%
.182.291.10952%26%37%
.198.328.13059%27%31%
.247.388.14170%31%25%
.224.337.11362%29%29%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHand★SpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Michael Arroyo
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+424M54.00010N/A1N/A.375.400.875.500.49010.0%94.0
Max Muncy
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+424M59.000279N/A9N/A.235.301.394.245.3067.5%90.6
Cal Raleigh
SHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M44.000477N/A21N/A.180.296.367.187.29713.6%89.8
Carlos Cortes
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+424M54.000352N/A9N/A.259.327.399.234.3218.2%91.8
Dominic Canzone
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+497M37.000474N/A22N/A.258.327.482.224.3498.4%91.2
Julio Rodríguez
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+863M30.000601N/A21N/A.243.303.398.155.3077.3%90.2
Weston Wilson
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+873M34.000160N/A4N/A.217.300.336.171.28710.0%90.3
Henry Bolte
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1023M47.000415N/A10N/A.277.358.401.124.3408.2%89.1
Zack Gelof
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1094M45.000381N/A17N/A.249.312.451.098.3337.1%88.5
Lawrence Butler
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+948M46.000483N/A14N/A.227.317.371.144.30711.6%89.6
Donovan Walton
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+960M48.000230N/A7N/A.272.377.456.000.36911.3%89.8
Jeff McNeil
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1229M47.000472N/A8N/A.268.317.372.104.3055.9%86.6
Brian Serven
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1175M44.00069N/A5N/A.212.246.455.063.3012.9%87.6
Alika Williams
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1125M44.000204N/A4N/A.253.289.405.092.3023.9%88.3
Randy Arozarena
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1109M32.000612N/A23N/A.273.371.464.191.36710.0%90.6
J.P. Crawford
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1267M30.000435N/A11N/A.223.343.347.105.31514.0%88.6
Josh Naylor
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1329M34.000594N/A10N/A.270.325.363.093.3066.9%87.1
Jhonny Pereda
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1329M28.00089N/A2N/A.280.337.354.087.3116.7%88.2
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEA · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season97.3397.226—.365.1391.15171.577.3%25.2%24.4%13.4%25.2%8.97——7.4%33.1%33.8%——
vs LHB56.0234.258.339.396.1381.30101.617.3%25.2%21.8%—25.2%8.20——7.4%33.1%33.8%——
vs RHB45.7181.189.281.331.1420.9681.586.6%25.2%27.6%—25.2%9.85——7.4%33.1%33.8%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3023.3109.295—.453.1581.8051.9312.8%25.2%20.2%—25.2%8.49——7.4%33.1%33.8%——
L1512.761.260—.440.1801.8932.1318.0%25.2%23.0%—25.2%9.95——7.4%33.1%33.8%——
Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ATH · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season102.3452.241—.383.1421.42191.6710.8%24.6%21.2%16.2%24.6%8.44——6.3%30.2%36.0%——
vs LHB30.7129.209.270.261.0521.2420.5910.9%24.6%23.3%—24.6%8.80——6.3%30.2%36.0%——
vs RHB79.3363.259.363.417.1581.55171.9310.7%24.6%20.4%—24.6%8.39——6.3%30.2%36.0%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3029.0120.218—.355.1371.1451.557.5%24.6%24.2%—24.6%9.00——6.3%30.2%36.0%——
L1517.073.242—.424.1821.2942.128.2%24.6%19.2%—24.6%7.41——6.3%30.2%36.0%——
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEA · RHP · 7 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball40.0%—.252.335.444.192—0.0%20.8%22.0%20.1%0.0%96.0——0.0%38.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Split-Finger24.4%—.185.242.352.167—0.0%33.3%37.6%22.0%0.0%84.7——0.0%35.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider10.7%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.3——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker7.5%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%95.2——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper6.7%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.7——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter6.2%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%91.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Knuckle Curve4.5%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ATH · LHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Slider34.2%—.208.296.327.119—0.0%29.5%28.3%19.5%0.0%76.2——0.0%22.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam Fastball34.1%—.212.309.394.182—0.0%20.8%22.2%16.1%0.0%90.4——0.0%32.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter20.3%—.275.369.475.200—0.0%24.6%16.0%20.0%0.0%86.1——0.0%39.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup8.3%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%82.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker3.2%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.7——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-09-13 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026