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WSH
WSH@BAL
FIRST PITCH
BAL
Game 8 of 15 Sat · Jun 27, 11:05 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · WSH vs Brandon Young · BAL vs Foster Griffin

#1James Wood
James WoodLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
WSH· RFvs BAL RHP Young
🟢 Strong
Test
68
Ceil
67
Likely
62
kHR
87
Zone
39
Form
100%
EV
95.3
Brl%
23.0%
ISO
.251
xwOBA
.417
xwOBAc
.567
SwStr%
12.4%
PullBrl
6.8%
SwtSp%
42.2%
HH%
59.3%
elite Barrel 23%, power ISO .251, 95.3 EV+424MODEL
#2Pete Alonso
Pete AlonsoRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
BAL· 1Bvs WSH LHP Griffin
🟡 Viable
Test
62
Ceil
59
Likely
54
kHR
71
Zone
42
Form
93%
EV
94.2
Brl%
12.2%
ISO
.219
xwOBA
.377
xwOBAc
.531
SwStr%
11.8%
PullBrl
4.4%
SwtSp%
32.8%
HH%
54.1%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .219 (matchup soft)+560MODEL
#3Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
WSH· 1Bvs BAL RHP Young
🟠 Longshot
Test
60
Ceil
48
Likely
48
kHR
65
Zone
38
Form
84%
EV
92.0
Brl%
9.3%
ISO
.230
xwOBA
.335
xwOBAc
.514
SwStr%
10.0%
PullBrl
3.8%
SwtSp%
31.7%
HH%
46.2%
power ISO .230 (matchup soft)+649MODEL
#4CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
WSH· SSvs BAL RHP Young
🟠 Longshot
Test
56
Ceil
45
Likely
45
kHR
64
Zone
31
Form
91%
EV
90.0
Brl%
10.2%
ISO
.238
xwOBA
.345
xwOBAc
.480
SwStr%
14.8%
PullBrl
4.6%
SwtSp%
33.0%
HH%
41.9%
strong Barrel 10%, power ISO .238 (matchup soft)+680MODEL
#5Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'NeillRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
BAL· RFvs WSH LHP Griffin
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
51
Likely
49
kHR
62
Zone
42
Form
79%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.7%
ISO
.193
xwOBA
.349
xwOBAc
.395
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.0%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.5%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+713MODEL
#6Chadwick Tromp
Chadwick TrompRHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
BAL· Cvs WSH LHP Griffin
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
48
Likely
48
kHR
62
Zone
42
Form
76%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.5%
ISO
.190
xwOBA
.272
xwOBAc
.309
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.2%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+713MODEL
#7Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar HendersonLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
BAL· SSvs WSH LHP Griffin
🟠 Longshot
Test
50
Ceil
46
Likely
45
kHR
58
Zone
38
Form
74%
EV
89.5
Brl%
8.3%
ISO
.194
xwOBA
.307
xwOBAc
.429
SwStr%
11.6%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
29.0%
HH%
45.2%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+816MODEL
#8Coby Mayo
Coby MayoRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
BAL· DHvs WSH LHP Griffin
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
49
Likely
45
kHR
56
Zone
40
Form
68%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.171
xwOBA
.345
xwOBAc
.411
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
42.8%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+863MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — WSH
vs Brandon Young (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

WSHWSH
vs Brandon Young (BAL)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — BAL
vs Foster Griffin (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

BALBAL
vs Foster Griffin (WSH)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
WSH vs Brandon Young
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
WSH

WSH hitters

vsBrandon Young(BALBAL)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M67.866.639.000100%87.31,505202.251.417.56712.4%6.8%95.323.0%42.2%29.4%59.3%10.662
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+649M59.847.638.00084%65.41,014207.230.335.51410.0%3.8%92.09.3%31.7%20.2%46.2%11.348
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#4 · Premium RBI/Power+680M55.845.331.00091%63.71,314224.238.345.48014.8%4.6%90.010.2%33.0%28.2%41.9%17.545
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#6 · Secondary Power+1175M33.838.232.00049%46.01,361258.148.315.45712.5%2.9%87.36.9%35.5%34.4%34.1%17.137
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M31.840.031.00022%43.6659115.112.330.42011.3%2.2%88.85.6%31.7%30.2%38.4%14.036
RHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M31.841.933.00056%45.61,256217.144.320.38411.3%2.9%89.67.2%32.2%30.9%40.8%14.638
SHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1192M31.843.633.00029%45.521442.143.374.53011.3%2.9%89.67.1%32.1%30.9%40.7%14.638
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#7 · Secondary Power+1329M29.837.329.00032%40.925743.089.287.28611.3%1.8%88.24.5%31.3%29.8%36.7%13.634
SHBWSHvs BAL RHP Young#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1555M29.830.030.0004%34.81,041170.043.272.36010.8%0.0%84.80.0%33.3%17.5%20.3%9.529
BAL vs Foster Griffin
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
BAL

BAL hitters

vsFoster Griffin(WSHWSH)LHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#3 · Premium RBI/Power+560M61.859.442.00093%70.61,400225.219.377.53111.8%4.4%94.212.2%32.8%30.1%54.1%13.854
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#5 · Premium RBI/Power+713M53.850.542.00079%62.1815130.193.349.39511.3%4.0%90.89.7%32.9%31.9%44.5%15.549
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+713M53.847.742.00076%61.88615.190.272.30911.3%3.9%90.89.5%32.9%31.8%44.2%15.448
LHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+816M49.845.938.00074%57.71,466251.194.307.42911.6%3.7%89.58.3%29.0%26.2%45.2%12.145
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#4 · Premium RBI/Power+863M45.848.740.00068%55.91,147179.171.345.41111.3%3.5%90.38.6%32.6%31.4%42.8%15.145
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+825M45.848.037.00055%57.51,268217.138.310.44915.3%3.9%90.010.0%37.3%26.8%46.4%13.645
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1248M31.845.338.00034%43.21,474230.107.349.4496.1%1.5%89.55.2%36.2%26.7%40.1%14.439
RHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#6 · Secondary Power+1175M31.847.539.00055%46.21,037144.153.354.42111.3%3.1%89.87.6%32.3%31.1%41.5%14.841
SHBBALvs WSH LHP Griffin#7 · Secondary Power+1329M29.839.434.00027%40.4998160.117.290.39312.0%1.4%87.34.2%33.3%22.0%31.0%15.135
WSH Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
WSH hitters vsBrandon Young(BAL)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1James WoodJames WoodLHB
.273.552.27926%65%28%
.281.521.24020%66%26%
.239.485.24622%57%37%
.224.456.23222%57%45%
.213.419.20620%54%48%
.232.472.24023%55%40%
.232.447.21521%52%41%
.210.388.17819%48%48%
#2Luis García Jr.Luis García Jr.LHB
.276.534.25810%50%16%
.284.504.2208%51%15%
.242.469.2279%44%21%
.226.441.2159%44%26%
.215.405.1908%41%28%
.235.456.2219%43%23%
.235.432.1979%41%24%
.212.375.1638%38%27%
#3José TenaJosé TenaLHB
.232.395.16311%56%31%
.239.373.1348%57%29%
.203.348.1459%49%42%
.190.327.1379%49%51%
.181.300.1198%46%54%
.197.338.1419%48%45%
.197.320.1239%45%46%
.178.278.1008%42%54%
#4CJ AbramsCJ AbramsLHB
.300.570.27011%45%24%
.309.539.2309%46%23%
.263.502.23910%40%33%
.246.471.22510%40%39%
.234.432.1989%38%42%
.255.488.23310%39%35%
.255.461.2069%37%36%
.231.401.1708%34%42%
#5Dylan CrewsDylan CrewsRHB
.242.416.17410%48%22%
.248.393.1458%49%21%
.212.366.1549%43%29%
.174.301.1278%37%40%
.165.276.1117%35%43%
.180.312.1328%36%36%
.225.368.1439%43%30%
.203.320.1178%40%35%
#6Daylen LileDaylen LileLHB
.265.433.1688%37%19%
.272.409.1376%38%18%
.232.381.1497%33%26%
.217.358.1417%33%32%
.206.328.1226%31%34%
.225.371.1467%32%28%
.225.350.1256%30%29%
.203.305.1026%28%34%
#7Jorbit VivasJorbit VivasLHB
.268.395.1275%29%15%
.275.373.0984%30%14%
.235.348.1135%26%21%
.220.327.1074%25%25%
.209.300.0914%24%26%
.228.338.1105%25%22%
.228.320.0924%23%23%
.206.278.0724%22%26%
#8Nasim NuñezNasim NuñezSHB
.252.307.0550%22%19%
.259.290.0310%23%18%
.221.270.0490%20%26%
.197.241.0440%18%33%
.187.222.0350%17%35%
.204.250.0460%18%29%
.226.261.0350%19%27%
.204.227.0230%17%31%
#9Drew MillasDrew MillasSHB
.186.286.1004%24%19%
.191.270.0793%25%18%
.163.252.0893%21%25%
.145.225.0803%20%32%
.138.207.0693%19%34%
.150.233.0833%20%29%
.166.244.0784%21%27%
.150.212.0623%19%31%
BAL Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
BAL hitters vsFoster Griffin(WSH)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Taylor WardTaylor WardRHB
.270.394.1246%44%16%
.278.372.0945%44%15%
.236.347.1115%38%21%
.221.326.1055%38%25%
.210.299.0895%36%27%
.229.337.1085%37%23%
.230.319.0895%35%23%
.208.277.0694%33%27%
#2Gunnar HendersonGunnar HendersonLHB
.238.458.2209%49%20%
.245.432.1877%50%19%
.209.403.1948%43%27%
.171.332.1617%37%38%
.163.304.1416%35%40%
.178.343.1657%37%34%
.222.406.1849%43%28%
.201.353.1528%40%32%
#3Pete AlonsoPete AlonsoRHB
.266.512.24613%58%23%
.273.483.21010%60%22%
.233.450.21712%51%31%
.218.423.20512%51%37%
.207.388.18110%48%40%
.226.438.21212%50%33%
.226.414.18811%47%34%
.204.360.15610%44%40%
#4Coby MayoCoby MayoRHB
.198.403.20511%52%27%
.204.380.1769%53%26%
.174.354.18010%46%37%
.163.333.17010%46%44%
.155.305.1509%43%47%
.169.345.17610%45%40%
.169.326.1579%42%40%
.153.283.1308%39%47%
#5Tyler O'NeillTyler O'NeillRHB
.192.288.0966%44%27%
.198.272.0745%45%26%
.168.254.0865%39%37%
.158.238.0805%39%45%
.150.219.0695%37%48%
.163.247.0845%38%40%
.163.233.0705%36%41%
.148.203.0555%33%48%
#6Blaze AlexanderBlaze AlexanderRHB
.320.472.1528%50%23%
.329.446.1176%51%22%
.281.415.1347%44%31%
.263.390.1277%43%37%
.250.358.1086%41%40%
.272.404.1327%42%34%
.272.382.1107%40%34%
.246.332.0866%37%40%
#7Leody TaverasLeody TaverasSHB
.269.404.1355%34%22%
.276.381.1054%34%21%
.236.355.1194%30%30%
.210.318.1084%28%38%
.200.292.0923%26%40%
.218.329.1114%27%34%
.241.344.1034%29%31%
.218.299.0814%26%36%
#8Jeremiah JacksonJeremiah JacksonRHB
.264.432.1688%42%22%
.271.408.1376%43%21%
.231.380.1497%37%30%
.216.357.1417%37%37%
.206.328.1226%35%39%
.224.370.1467%36%33%
.224.350.1266%34%33%
.203.304.1016%31%39%
#9Chadwick TrompChadwick TrompRHB
.210.259.0490%32%22%
.216.245.0290%33%21%
.184.228.0440%29%30%
.172.214.0420%28%36%
.164.197.0330%27%38%
.179.222.0430%28%32%
.179.210.0310%26%33%
.162.182.0200%24%38%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
James Wood
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M39.000382N/A20N/A.260.385.511.251.38316.0%95.3
Pete Alonso
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+560M42.000355N/A18N/A.253.341.474.219.35211.3%94.2
Luis García Jr.
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+649M38.000259N/A13N/A.263.293.494.230.3374.2%92.0
CJ Abrams
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+680M31.000333N/A17N/A.286.369.528.238.3869.0%90.0
Tyler O'Neill
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+713M42.000148N/A2N/A.183.277.267.193.25410.1%90.8
Chadwick Tromp
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+713M42.00027N/AN/AN/A.200.192.240.190.1860.0%90.8
Gunnar Henderson
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+816M38.000371N/A16N/A.227.299.424.194.3168.1%89.5
Coby Mayo
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+863M40.000220N/A10N/A.189.255.373.171.2767.3%90.3
Jeremiah Jackson
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+825M37.000202N/A7N/A.251.267.400.138.2892.0%90.0
Daylen Lile
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1175M32.000346N/A8N/A.252.309.401.148.3116.9%87.3
José Tena
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M31.000157N/A3N/A.221.280.366.112.2867.0%88.8
Dylan Crews
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M33.000128N/A5N/A.230.266.385.144.2861.6%89.6
Drew Millas
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1192M33.000130N/A2N/A.177.262.265.143.2457.7%89.6
Taylor Ward
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1248M38.000373N/A5N/A.257.389.365.107.34517.2%89.5
Blaze Alexander
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1175M39.000194N/A3N/A.305.358.437.153.3486.2%89.8
Jorbit Vivas
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1329M29.000168N/A3N/A.255.333.366.089.3148.3%88.2
Nasim Nuñez
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1555M30.000265N/AN/AN/A.240.324.284.043.28210.6%84.8
Leody Taveras
SHB#7 · Secondary Power+1329M34.000252N/A2N/A.256.331.374.117.3149.5%87.3
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
WSH · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season91.3374.215.355.1401.06161.586.1%24.7%23.8%12.9%24.7%8.7711.0%38.4%27.5%
vs LHB28.3113.159.250.271.1120.8141.275.3%24.7%29.2%24.7%10.4811.0%38.4%27.5%
vs RHB63.0261.234.320.381.1471.17121.716.5%24.7%21.5%24.7%8.0011.0%38.4%27.5%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3029.3115.211.376.1650.9261.843.5%24.7%25.2%24.7%8.9011.0%38.4%27.5%
L1519.377.216.297.0810.9320.932.6%24.7%26.0%24.7%9.3111.0%38.4%27.5%
Brandon Young
Brandon Young
BAL · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season67.3287.230.299.0691.2660.808.7%21.6%17.1%7.0%21.6%6.556.6%41.7%25.1%
vs LHB41.3170.204.278.283.0791.1940.8710.6%21.6%11.8%21.6%4.356.6%41.7%25.1%
vs RHB26.0117.264.294.318.0541.3820.696.0%21.6%24.8%21.6%10.046.6%41.7%25.1%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3031.0125.217.243.0261.1010.297.2%21.6%18.4%21.6%6.686.6%41.7%25.1%
L1518.073.169.169.0001.0600.0011.0%21.6%16.4%21.6%6.006.6%41.7%25.1%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
WSH · LHP · 7 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Cutter30.5%.220.304.431.2110.0%21.5%17.8%21.4%0.0%88.00.0%40.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam Fastball17.8%.176.332.412.2360.0%19.4%30.2%17.6%0.0%91.50.0%40.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper14.9%.255.308.431.1760.0%34.7%32.1%21.8%0.0%79.80.0%41.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker11.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%91.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball10.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%77.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup9.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%82.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Splitter5.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%81.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Brandon Young
Brandon Young
BAL · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball39.9%.152.240.261.1090.0%21.3%13.2%12.2%0.0%94.20.0%42.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Split-Finger20.3%.255.274.309.0540.0%15.3%11.7%10.6%0.0%85.20.0%53.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider14.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker13.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%93.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball11.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%74.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-27 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026