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WSH
WSH@BAL
FIRST PITCH
BAL
Game 1 of 15 Sun · Jun 28, 5:35 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · WSH vs Kyle Bradish · BAL vs Zack Littell

#1Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
WSH· 1Bvs BAL RHP Bradish
🟢 Strong
Test
73
Ceil
110
Likely
75
kHR
73
Zone
55
Form
84%
EV
92.0
Brl%
9.3%
ISO
.230
xwOBA
.335
xwOBAc
.514
SwStr%
10.0%
PullBrl
3.8%
SwtSp%
31.7%
HH%
46.2%
power ISO .230, on-platoon+501MODEL
#2Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
BAL· DHvs WSH RHP Littell
🟢 Strong
Test
71
Ceil
60
Likely
57
kHR
75
Zone
46
Form
86%
EV
91.3
Brl%
12.1%
ISO
.205
xwOBA
.339
xwOBAc
.494
SwStr%
16.1%
PullBrl
5.3%
SwtSp%
35.5%
HH%
45.2%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .205, off-platoon but elite power+462MODEL
#3CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
WSH· SSvs BAL RHP Bradish
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
108
Likely
72
kHR
71
Zone
48
Form
91%
EV
90.0
Brl%
10.2%
ISO
.238
xwOBA
.345
xwOBAc
.480
SwStr%
14.8%
PullBrl
4.6%
SwtSp%
33.0%
HH%
41.9%
strong Barrel 10%, power ISO .238, on-platoon+537MODEL
#4Pete Alonso
Pete AlonsoRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
BAL· 1Bvs WSH RHP Littell
🟡 Viable
Test
63
Ceil
49
Likely
51
kHR
71
Zone
42
Form
93%
EV
94.2
Brl%
12.2%
ISO
.219
xwOBA
.377
xwOBAc
.531
SwStr%
11.8%
PullBrl
4.4%
SwtSp%
32.8%
HH%
54.1%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .219 (matchup soft)+546MODEL
#5Colton Cowser
Colton CowserLHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
BAL· CFvs WSH RHP Littell
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
40
Likely
45
kHR
62
Zone
42
Form
77%
EV
90.7
Brl%
9.4%
ISO
.189
xwOBA
.332
xwOBAc
.389
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.8%
HH%
44.2%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+706MODEL
#6Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar HendersonLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
BAL· SSvs WSH RHP Littell
🟠 Longshot
Test
51
Ceil
37
Likely
42
kHR
58
Zone
38
Form
74%
EV
89.5
Brl%
8.3%
ISO
.194
xwOBA
.307
xwOBAc
.429
SwStr%
11.6%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
29.0%
HH%
45.2%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+798MODEL
#7Daylen Lile
Daylen LileLHB#6 · Secondary Power
WSH· LFvs BAL RHP Bradish
🟠 Longshot
Test
47
Ceil
99
Likely
65
kHR
54
Zone
56
Form
49%
EV
87.3
Brl%
6.9%
ISO
.148
xwOBA
.315
xwOBAc
.457
SwStr%
12.5%
PullBrl
2.9%
SwtSp%
35.5%
HH%
34.1%
no standout edge+937MODEL
#8Jeremiah Jackson
Jeremiah JacksonRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
BAL· 2Bvs WSH RHP Littell
🟠 Longshot
Test
47
Ceil
39
Likely
42
kHR
58
Zone
38
Form
55%
EV
90.0
Brl%
10.0%
ISO
.138
xwOBA
.310
xwOBAc
.449
SwStr%
15.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
37.3%
HH%
46.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+807MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — WSH
vs Kyle Bradish (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

WSHWSH
vs Kyle Bradish (BAL)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — BAL
vs Zack Littell (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

BALBAL
vs Zack Littell (WSH)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
WSH vs Kyle Bradish
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
WSH

WSH hitters

vsKyle Bradish(BALBAL)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+501M72.7110.055.00084%73.21,014207.230.335.51410.0%3.8%92.09.3%31.7%20.2%46.2%11.375
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#4 · Premium RBI/Power+537M68.7107.548.00091%71.51,314224.238.345.48014.8%4.6%90.010.2%33.0%28.2%41.9%17.572
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#6 · Secondary Power+937M46.799.156.00049%53.81,361258.148.315.45712.5%2.9%87.36.9%35.5%34.4%34.1%17.165
RHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+972M44.7101.954.00054%52.61,022196.151.303.4528.8%2.4%89.26.6%35.0%26.4%37.1%11.065
RHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#5 · Premium RBI/Power+948M44.7103.751.00056%53.41,256217.144.320.38411.3%2.9%89.67.2%32.2%30.9%40.8%14.665
SHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+948M44.7105.650.00029%53.321442.143.374.53011.3%2.9%89.67.1%32.1%30.9%40.7%14.665
RHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1109M42.798.747.00028%48.51,030177.088.309.39411.3%1.7%88.24.4%31.3%29.8%36.6%13.661
LHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#7 · Secondary Power+1109M42.797.947.00032%48.725743.089.287.28611.3%1.8%88.24.5%31.3%29.8%36.7%13.661
SHBWSHvs BAL RHP Bradish#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M42.787.248.0004%42.61,041170.043.272.36010.8%0.0%84.80.0%33.3%17.5%20.3%9.555
BAL vs Zack Littell
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
BAL

BAL hitters

vsZack Littell(WSHWSH)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#4 · Premium RBI/Power+462M70.759.946.00086%75.2987164.205.339.49416.1%5.3%91.312.1%35.5%27.7%45.2%12.657
RHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#3 · Premium RBI/Power+546M62.748.642.00093%71.11,400225.219.377.53111.8%4.4%94.212.2%32.8%30.1%54.1%13.851
LHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#5 · Premium RBI/Power+706M54.739.842.00077%62.21,404199.189.332.38911.3%3.9%90.79.4%32.8%31.8%44.2%15.445
LHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+798M50.736.738.00074%58.31,466251.194.307.42911.6%3.7%89.58.3%29.0%26.2%45.2%12.142
RHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+807M46.738.538.00055%58.01,268217.138.310.44915.3%3.9%90.010.0%37.3%26.8%46.4%13.642
RHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1229M32.736.138.00034%43.81,474230.107.349.4496.1%1.5%89.55.2%36.2%26.7%40.1%14.437
RHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#6 · Secondary Power+1158M32.738.139.00055%46.71,037144.153.354.42111.3%3.1%89.87.6%32.3%31.1%41.5%14.838
LHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1192M32.736.438.00050%45.52,531446.133.339.42911.3%2.7%89.36.7%32.0%30.7%40.0%14.437
SHBBALvs WSH RHP Littell#7 · Secondary Power+1329M30.731.134.00027%40.9998160.117.290.39312.0%1.4%87.34.2%33.3%22.0%31.0%15.133
WSH Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
WSH hitters vsKyle Bradish(BAL)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Jacob YoungJacob YoungRHB
.237.404.1677%40%17%
.244.381.1375%41%16%
.208.355.1476%35%23%
.170.292.1225%31%32%
.162.268.1065%29%34%
.177.303.1265%30%28%
.221.358.1376%35%23%
.200.311.1116%33%27%
#2Luis García Jr.Luis García Jr.LHB
.276.534.25810%50%16%
.284.504.2208%51%15%
.242.469.2279%44%21%
.226.441.2159%44%26%
.215.405.1908%41%28%
.235.456.2219%43%23%
.235.432.1979%41%24%
.212.375.1638%38%27%
#3Curtis MeadCurtis MeadRHB
.234.514.28013%47%14%
.241.486.24510%48%14%
.205.452.24711%41%19%
.168.372.20410%36%27%
.160.342.1829%34%29%
.174.385.21110%35%24%
.218.455.23712%41%20%
.197.396.19910%38%23%
#4CJ AbramsCJ AbramsLHB
.300.570.27011%45%24%
.309.539.2309%46%23%
.263.502.23910%40%33%
.246.471.22510%40%39%
.234.432.1989%38%42%
.255.488.23310%39%35%
.255.461.2069%37%36%
.231.401.1708%34%42%
#5Dylan CrewsDylan CrewsRHB
.242.416.17410%48%22%
.248.393.1458%49%21%
.212.366.1549%43%29%
.174.301.1278%37%40%
.165.276.1117%35%43%
.180.312.1328%36%36%
.225.368.1439%43%30%
.203.320.1178%40%35%
#6Daylen LileDaylen LileLHB
.265.433.1688%37%19%
.272.409.1376%38%18%
.232.381.1497%33%26%
.217.358.1417%33%32%
.206.328.1226%31%34%
.225.371.1467%32%28%
.225.350.1256%30%29%
.203.305.1026%28%34%
#7Jorbit VivasJorbit VivasLHB
.268.395.1275%29%15%
.275.373.0984%30%14%
.235.348.1135%26%21%
.220.327.1074%25%25%
.209.300.0914%24%26%
.228.338.1105%25%22%
.228.320.0924%23%23%
.206.278.0724%22%26%
#8Nasim NuñezNasim NuñezSHB
.252.307.0550%22%19%
.259.290.0310%23%18%
.221.270.0490%20%26%
.197.241.0440%18%33%
.187.222.0350%17%35%
.204.250.0460%18%29%
.226.261.0350%19%27%
.204.227.0230%17%31%
#9Drew MillasDrew MillasSHB
.186.286.1004%24%19%
.191.270.0793%25%18%
.163.252.0893%21%25%
.145.225.0803%20%32%
.138.207.0693%19%34%
.150.233.0833%20%29%
.166.244.0784%21%27%
.150.212.0623%19%31%
BAL Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
BAL hitters vsZack Littell(WSH)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Taylor WardTaylor WardRHB
.270.394.1246%44%16%
.278.372.0945%44%15%
.236.347.1115%38%21%
.194.285.0914%34%29%
.184.262.0784%32%31%
.201.296.0955%33%26%
.251.349.0985%39%21%
.227.304.0775%36%25%
#2Gunnar HendersonGunnar HendersonLHB
.238.458.2209%49%20%
.245.432.1877%50%19%
.209.403.1948%43%27%
.195.378.1838%43%33%
.186.347.1617%40%35%
.203.392.1898%42%30%
.203.371.1688%40%30%
.183.322.1397%37%35%
#3Pete AlonsoPete AlonsoRHB
.266.512.24613%58%23%
.273.483.21010%60%22%
.233.450.21712%51%31%
.191.371.18010%45%43%
.182.340.1589%42%46%
.198.384.18610%44%38%
.247.454.20712%52%31%
.224.394.17011%48%36%
#4Samuel BasalloSamuel BasalloLHB
.270.502.23214%48%26%
.278.474.19611%49%25%
.236.442.20612%43%35%
.221.415.19412%42%43%
.210.381.17110%40%46%
.229.430.20112%41%38%
.230.406.17611%39%39%
.208.353.14510%36%45%
#5Colton CowserColton CowserLHB
.240.414.17413%36%29%
.247.391.14410%37%27%
.211.364.15311%32%39%
.197.342.14511%32%46%
.188.314.12610%30%50%
.204.354.15011%31%42%
.204.335.13111%29%42%
.185.291.1069%27%49%
#6Blaze AlexanderBlaze AlexanderRHB
.320.472.1528%50%23%
.329.446.1176%51%22%
.281.415.1347%44%31%
.230.342.1126%38%43%
.219.314.0956%36%46%
.239.354.1156%37%38%
.298.418.1208%44%31%
.270.364.0947%41%37%
#7Leody TaverasLeody TaverasSHB
.269.404.1355%34%22%
.276.381.1054%34%21%
.236.355.1194%30%30%
.210.318.1084%28%38%
.200.292.0923%26%40%
.218.329.1114%27%34%
.241.344.1034%29%31%
.218.299.0814%26%36%
#8Jeremiah JacksonJeremiah JacksonRHB
.264.432.1688%42%22%
.271.408.1376%43%21%
.231.380.1497%37%30%
.189.313.1246%32%42%
.180.287.1075%30%45%
.196.324.1286%32%37%
.245.383.1387%37%31%
.222.333.1116%34%36%
#9Jackson HollidayJackson HollidayLHB
.208.415.20715%50%28%
.214.392.17812%51%27%
.182.365.18313%44%38%
.170.343.17313%44%46%
.162.314.15212%42%49%
.177.355.17813%43%41%
.177.336.15913%41%42%
.160.292.13211%38%49%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Luis García Jr.
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+501M55.000259N/A13N/A.263.293.494.230.3374.2%92.0
Samuel Basallo
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+462M46.000249N/A12N/A.257.317.465.205.3378.4%91.3
CJ Abrams
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+537M48.000333N/A17N/A.286.369.528.238.3869.0%90.0
Pete Alonso
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+546M42.000355N/A18N/A.253.341.474.219.35211.3%94.2
Colton Cowser
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+706M42.000201N/A8N/A.229.315.383.189.31110.9%90.7
Gunnar Henderson
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+798M38.000371N/A16N/A.227.299.424.194.3168.1%89.5
Daylen Lile
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+937M56.000346N/A8N/A.252.309.401.148.3116.9%87.3
Jeremiah Jackson
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+807M38.000202N/A7N/A.251.267.400.138.2892.0%90.0
Jacob Young
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+972M54.000260N/A8N/A.226.274.374.151.2864.6%89.2
Dylan Crews
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+948M51.000128N/A5N/A.230.266.385.144.2861.6%89.6
Drew Millas
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+948M50.000130N/A2N/A.177.262.265.143.2457.7%89.6
Curtis Mead
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1109M47.000237N/A14N/A.223.325.476.088.34911.4%88.2
Jorbit Vivas
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1109M47.000168N/A3N/A.255.333.366.089.3148.3%88.2
Nasim Nuñez
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M48.000265N/AN/AN/A.240.324.284.043.28210.6%84.8
Taylor Ward
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1229M38.000373N/A5N/A.257.389.365.107.34517.2%89.5
Blaze Alexander
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1158M39.000194N/A3N/A.305.358.437.153.3486.2%89.8
Jackson Holliday
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1192M38.00099N/A4N/A.198.283.384.133.29211.1%89.3
Leody Taveras
SHB#7 · Secondary Power+1329M34.000252N/A2N/A.256.331.374.117.3149.5%87.3
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Zack Littell
Zack Littell
WSH · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season51.3231.274.514.2401.46172.987.4%15.5%13.9%12.6%15.5%5.6111.3%46.7%35.8%
vs LHB39.3180.295.451.584.2891.60163.667.8%15.5%10.6%15.5%4.3511.3%46.7%35.8%
vs RHB35.0148.223.289.331.1081.1451.296.1%15.5%18.2%15.5%6.9411.3%46.7%35.8%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3022.797.256.456.2001.2862.386.2%15.5%14.4%15.5%5.5611.3%46.7%35.8%
L1511.753.271.583.3121.4553.867.5%15.5%11.3%15.5%4.6311.3%46.7%35.8%
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
BAL · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season89.0381.257.355.0981.45111.1111.0%26.5%24.7%21.9%26.5%9.519.5%38.5%20.9%
vs LHB54.3235.248.324.348.1001.4271.1610.6%26.5%23.8%26.5%9.289.5%38.5%20.9%
vs RHB33.0146.271.344.364.0931.5841.0911.6%26.5%26.0%26.5%10.369.5%38.5%20.9%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3030.7127.270.374.1041.4041.179.4%26.5%26.0%26.5%9.689.5%38.5%20.9%
L1519.779.247.370.1231.2231.377.6%26.5%32.9%26.5%11.909.5%38.5%20.9%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Zack Littell
Zack Littell
WSH · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Slider29.0%.214.296.371.1570.0%20.0%10.5%17.0%0.0%88.00.0%47.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam Fastball28.5%.325.469.687.3620.0%12.4%16.8%16.2%0.0%91.60.0%55.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Split-Finger19.1%.216.315.432.2160.0%18.1%20.0%16.0%0.0%83.90.0%42.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker13.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%91.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper9.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%79.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
BAL · RHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sinker33.1%.256.307.344.0880.0%11.5%27.0%25.9%0.0%94.80.0%38.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider26.9%.259.397.568.3090.0%35.3%27.4%18.6%0.0%87.20.0%34.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball22.0%.209.276.373.1640.0%42.1%35.2%24.8%0.0%84.50.0%47.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam Fastball17.9%.313.380.406.0930.0%14.6%6.8%16.1%0.0%94.00.0%35.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-28 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026