Clutch Algorithm
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CT
NYY
NYY@BOS
FINAL
BOS
Game 2 of 15 Sat · Jun 27, 5:10 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · NYY vs Jake Bennett · BOS vs Gerrit Cole

#1Ben Rice
Ben RiceLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
NYY· DHvs BOS LHP Bennett
🟢 Strong
Test
76
Ceil
64
Likely
62
kHR
81
Zone
51
Form
100%
EV
91.6
Brl%
14.4%
ISO
.302
xwOBA
.379
xwOBAc
.529
SwStr%
10.7%
PullBrl
6.7%
SwtSp%
39.4%
HH%
46.2%
elite Barrel 14%, elite ISO .302, park/wind suppresses+424MODEL
#2Willson Contreras
Willson ContrerasRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
BOS· 1Bvs NYY RHP Cole
🟢 Strong
Test
68
Ceil
58
Likely
56
kHR
75
Zone
42
Form
100%
EV
90.1
Brl%
13.3%
ISO
.244
xwOBA
.375
xwOBAc
.507
SwStr%
15.2%
PullBrl
6.5%
SwtSp%
32.0%
HH%
45.2%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .244, park/wind suppresses+475MODEL
#3Austin Wells
Austin WellsLHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
NYY· Cvs BOS LHP Bennett
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
42
Likely
45
kHR
63
Zone
38
Form
85%
EV
91.4
Brl%
10.8%
ISO
.217
xwOBA
.348
xwOBAc
.437
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.5%
SwtSp%
33.3%
HH%
46.3%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .217 (matchup soft)+686MODEL
#4Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.LHB#7 · Secondary Power
NYY· 2Bvs BOS LHP Bennett
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
38
Likely
39
kHR
56
Zone
27
Form
70%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.179
xwOBA
.299
xwOBAc
.398
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
4.8%
SwtSp%
28.0%
HH%
39.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+863MODEL
#5Anthony Volpe
Anthony VolpeRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
NYY· SSvs BOS LHP Bennett
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
39
Likely
41
kHR
56
Zone
35
Form
64%
EV
90.5
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.179
xwOBA
.330
xwOBAc
.407
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+853MODEL
#6Carlos Narváez
Carlos NarváezRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
BOS· Cvs NYY RHP Cole
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
39
Likely
41
kHR
56
Zone
36
Form
65%
EV
90.5
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.178
xwOBA
.353
xwOBAc
.451
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+853MODEL
#7Amed Rosario
Amed RosarioRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
NYY· 3Bvs BOS LHP Bennett
🟠 Longshot
Test
42
Ceil
38
Likely
39
kHR
53
Zone
34
Form
59%
EV
90.0
Brl%
8.0%
ISO
.160
xwOBA
.347
xwOBAc
.494
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.3%
SwtSp%
32.4%
HH%
42.0%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+972MODEL
#8Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
BOS· RFvs NYY RHP Cole
🟠 Longshot
Test
42
Ceil
39
Likely
43
kHR
57
Zone
40
Form
67%
EV
89.8
Brl%
11.7%
ISO
.173
xwOBA
.342
xwOBAc
.493
SwStr%
11.1%
PullBrl
4.1%
SwtSp%
34.9%
HH%
41.5%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+834MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — NYY
vs Jake Bennett (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

NYYNYY
vs Jake Bennett (BOS)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — BOS
vs Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

BOSBOS
vs Gerrit Cole (NYY)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
NYY vs Jake Bennett
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
NYY

NYY hitters

vsJake Bennett(BOSBOS)LHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M75.763.551.000100%81.01,271206.302.379.52910.7%6.7%91.614.4%39.4%27.9%46.2%14.262
LHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+686M53.742.038.00085%63.51,747283.217.348.43711.3%4.5%91.410.8%33.3%32.3%46.3%15.945
LHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#7 · Secondary Power+863M45.737.827.00070%56.21,232191.179.299.39814.0%4.8%90.38.9%28.0%28.5%39.4%16.139
RHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+853M45.739.035.00064%56.22,324389.179.330.40711.3%3.7%90.58.9%32.7%31.6%43.4%15.241
RHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#3 · Premium RBI/Power+972M41.738.234.00059%52.6745150.160.347.49411.3%3.3%90.08.0%32.4%31.2%42.0%14.939
LHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1109M35.737.241.00064%48.51,342246.188.368.5118.5%3.2%89.07.7%40.2%31.5%36.8%18.739
RHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1287M27.736.232.00042%42.32,083389.129.347.47611.3%2.6%89.26.5%31.9%30.6%39.7%14.335
SHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1267M27.736.532.00047%42.41,673266.131.350.45111.3%2.7%89.36.6%32.0%30.6%39.8%14.435
RHBNYYvs BOS LHP Bennett#6 · Secondary Power+1329M27.735.130.00035%41.01,443216.111.347.40911.3%2.2%88.85.5%31.7%30.2%38.3%14.033
BOS vs Gerrit Cole
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
BOS

BOS hitters

vsGerrit Cole(NYYNYY)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
RHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#4 · Premium RBI/Power+475M67.758.442.000100%74.61,268194.244.375.50715.2%6.5%90.113.3%32.0%25.9%45.2%17.356
RHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+853M45.738.736.00065%56.21,739292.178.353.45111.3%3.7%90.58.9%32.7%31.6%43.4%15.241
LHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#3 · Premium RBI/Power+834M41.738.940.00067%57.01,314237.173.342.49311.1%4.1%89.811.7%34.9%35.7%41.5%18.043
LHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#5 · Premium RBI/Power+863M41.736.531.00070%55.91,271203.164.291.41817.6%4.6%89.510.8%32.0%19.9%38.3%13.339
LHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M27.729.334.00015%43.6274.000.065.00011.3%3.1%89.87.5%32.2%31.0%41.2%14.733
RHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1422M25.732.729.00027%38.235162.087.343.48711.3%1.7%88.24.3%31.3%29.7%36.5%13.631
RHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1374M25.729.230.00047%39.21,182220.160.287.41813.2%2.0%86.15.5%36.7%24.4%35.3%10.831
RHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#6 · Secondary Power+1499M25.726.733.00042%36.01,010199.157.281.4047.3%1.3%85.03.0%26.6%16.3%30.5%10.330
SHBBOSvs NYY RHP Cole#7 · Secondary Power+1527M25.727.628.0006%35.128546.016.273.29911.3%0.8%86.42.0%30.2%28.3%31.2%12.328
NYY Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
NYY hitters vsJake Bennett(BOS)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Paul GoldschmidtPaul GoldschmidtRHB
.316.617.30114%43%21%
.325.582.25711%44%19%
.277.542.26512%38%28%
.259.510.25112%38%33%
.247.468.22110%36%36%
.269.528.25912%37%30%
.269.499.23011%35%31%
.243.434.19110%32%36%
#2Ben RiceBen RiceLHB
.295.631.33616%50%21%
.303.596.29312%51%20%
.259.555.29614%44%29%
.212.457.24512%38%39%
.202.419.21711%36%42%
.220.473.25312%38%35%
.275.559.28415%44%29%
.248.486.23813%41%33%
#3Amed RosarioAmed RosarioRHB
.260.509.24913%43%22%
.268.480.21210%44%21%
.228.447.21911%38%30%
.214.420.20611%38%36%
.203.386.18310%36%39%
.221.435.21411%37%32%
.221.412.19111%35%33%
.200.358.1589%32%39%
#4Cody BellingerCody BellingerLHB
.280.495.2159%40%16%
.288.467.1797%41%15%
.246.435.1897%35%22%
.201.358.1577%31%30%
.192.329.1376%29%32%
.209.371.1627%30%27%
.261.438.1778%35%22%
.236.381.1457%33%25%
#5Jasson DomínguezJasson DomínguezSHB
.242.467.2254%42%26%
.248.441.1933%43%25%
.212.410.1983%37%35%
.189.367.1783%35%44%
.179.337.1583%33%47%
.196.380.1843%34%40%
.216.397.1813%36%37%
.196.346.1503%33%43%
#6José CaballeroJosé CaballeroRHB
.272.444.1724%28%23%
.280.419.1393%28%22%
.238.390.1523%24%31%
.223.367.1443%24%37%
.212.337.1253%23%40%
.231.380.1493%24%33%
.231.359.1283%23%34%
.209.312.1033%21%40%
#7Jazz Chisholm Jr.Jazz Chisholm Jr.LHB
.239.442.20310%42%27%
.246.417.1718%43%26%
.210.389.1799%37%37%
.172.320.1487%33%50%
.164.293.1297%31%54%
.178.331.1538%32%45%
.223.391.1689%38%37%
.202.340.1388%35%43%
#8Anthony VolpeAnthony VolpeRHB
.273.384.1114%39%23%
.281.363.0823%40%21%
.239.338.0994%35%31%
.224.318.0944%34%37%
.213.292.0793%33%40%
.232.329.0974%34%33%
.232.311.0794%32%34%
.210.271.0613%29%40%
#9Austin WellsAustin WellsLHB
.173.273.1007%48%25%
.178.258.0805%48%24%
.152.240.0886%42%34%
.124.198.0745%36%47%
.118.182.0645%34%50%
.129.205.0765%36%42%
.161.242.0816%42%34%
.146.210.0646%39%40%
BOS Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
BOS hitters vsGerrit Cole(NYY)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Nate EatonNate EatonRHB
.263.608.34517%50%23%
.270.574.30413%51%21%
.230.535.30515%44%31%
.189.440.25113%38%42%
.179.404.22511%36%45%
.196.456.26013%37%37%
.244.539.29515%44%31%
.221.468.24714%41%36%
#2Ceddanne RafaelaCeddanne RafaelaRHB
.299.484.1856%39%21%
.308.457.1495%40%20%
.262.426.1645%34%29%
.215.350.1355%30%39%
.205.321.1164%28%42%
.223.363.1405%29%35%
.279.429.1506%34%29%
.252.373.1215%32%34%
#3Wilyer AbreuWilyer AbreuLHB
.286.475.18913%45%19%
.294.449.15510%45%18%
.250.418.16811%39%26%
.234.393.15911%39%31%
.223.360.13710%37%33%
.243.407.16411%38%28%
.243.385.14210%36%28%
.220.334.1149%33%33%
#4Willson ContrerasWillson ContrerasRHB
.290.554.26414%49%26%
.298.523.22511%50%24%
.254.487.23312%43%35%
.208.401.19311%37%48%
.198.368.17010%35%51%
.216.415.19911%37%43%
.270.491.22113%43%35%
.244.427.18312%40%41%
#5Jarren DuranJarren DuranLHB
.210.395.18512%42%30%
.216.373.1579%43%28%
.184.348.16410%37%41%
.172.327.15510%37%49%
.164.300.1369%35%52%
.179.338.15911%36%44%
.179.320.14110%34%45%
.162.278.1169%31%52%
#6Caleb DurbinCaleb DurbinRHB
.235.409.1743%32%13%
.242.387.1453%33%13%
.206.360.1543%29%18%
.169.296.1273%25%25%
.161.272.1112%24%27%
.175.307.1323%24%22%
.219.363.1443%29%18%
.198.315.1173%27%21%
#7Anthony SeiglerAnthony SeiglerSHB
.350.495.1450%45%28%
.360.467.1070%45%26%
.306.435.1290%39%37%
.273.389.1160%37%47%
.260.357.0970%35%50%
.283.403.1200%36%42%
.313.421.1080%38%39%
.283.366.0830%35%46%
#8Carlos NarváezCarlos NarváezRHB
.215.319.1049%43%26%
.221.301.0807%44%25%
.189.280.0918%38%35%
.155.231.0767%33%48%
.147.212.0656%31%52%
.160.239.0797%32%43%
.200.282.0828%38%35%
.181.245.0647%35%41%
#9Tsung-Che ChengTsung-Che ChengLHB
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Ben Rice
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M51.000325N/A22N/A.281.372.584.302.40512.3%91.6
Willson Contreras
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+475M42.000321N/A16N/A.276.371.513.244.3829.0%90.1
Austin Wells
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+686M38.000182N/A4N/A.165.269.253.217.24012.6%91.4
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+863M27.000313N/A12N/A.228.313.409.179.31910.9%90.3
Anthony Volpe
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+853M35.000121N/A1N/A.260.364.356.179.32814.0%90.5
Carlos Narváez
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+853M36.000149N/A2N/A.205.279.295.178.2627.4%90.5
Amed Rosario
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+972M34.000132N/A7N/A.248.288.471.160.3236.1%90.0
Wilyer Abreu
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+834M40.000333N/A10N/A.272.335.440.173.3389.0%89.8
Jarren Duran
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+863M31.000322N/A12N/A.200.258.366.164.2746.5%89.5
Cody Bellinger
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1109M41.000340N/A11N/A.267.365.458.188.36013.8%89.0
Paul Goldschmidt
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1287M32.000216N/A14N/A.301.361.571.129.3997.4%89.2
Jasson Domínguez
SHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1267M32.00078N/A3N/A.230.260.432.131.2992.6%89.3
José Caballero
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1329M30.000246N/A8N/A.259.317.411.111.3216.1%88.8
Tsung-Che Cheng
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M34.000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A.000N/AN/A89.8
Nate Eaton
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1422M29.00021N/A1N/A.250.429.563.087.42919.0%88.2
Ceddanne Rafaela
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1374M30.000299N/A7N/A.285.336.448.160.3435.0%86.1
Caleb Durbin
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1499M33.000255N/A6N/A.224.281.379.157.2905.9%85.0
Anthony Seigler
SHB#7 · Secondary Power+1527M28.00026N/AN/AN/A.333.385.458.016.3717.7%86.4
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season37.7160.242.383.1411.2271.676.2%18.6%21.2%10.8%18.6%8.126.8%35.2%32.6%
vs LHB25.7107.220.326.400.1801.1362.106.5%18.6%22.4%18.6%8.426.8%35.2%32.6%
vs RHB11.753.280.309.340.0601.4610.775.7%18.6%18.9%18.6%7.716.8%35.2%32.6%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3025.0115.280.477.1971.4872.526.1%18.6%19.1%18.6%7.926.8%35.2%32.6%
L1515.771.284.463.1791.4642.305.6%18.6%22.5%18.6%9.196.8%35.2%32.6%
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
BOS · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season33.0129.231.281.0501.0620.555.4%24.9%19.4%24.9%6.826.4%34.6%17.9%
vs LHB9.332.161.250.161.0000.6400.003.1%24.9%18.8%24.9%5.796.4%34.6%17.9%
vs RHB23.797.253.292.319.0661.2320.766.2%24.9%19.6%24.9%7.236.4%34.6%17.9%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3028.0109.223.252.0291.0010.324.6%24.9%20.2%24.9%7.076.4%34.6%17.9%
L1517.764.164.213.0490.6810.513.1%24.9%26.6%24.9%8.666.4%34.6%17.9%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball42.7%.212.299.365.1530.0%18.8%27.1%25.4%0.0%92.80.0%33.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider18.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup15.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Knuckle Curve14.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker9.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%90.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
BOS · LHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam33.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker28.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup25.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper5.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%79.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball4.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%79.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter3.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-27 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026