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CWS
CWS@BOS
IN PROGRESS
BOS
Game 1 of 15 Tue · Aug 4, 11:10 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · CWS vs Patrick Sandoval · BOS vs Davis Martin

#1Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CWS· 1Bvs BOS LHP Sandoval
🔥 Elite
Test
83
Ceil
107
Likely
77
kHR
86
Zone
50
Form
100%
EV
93.5
Brl%
14.9%
ISO
.299
xwOBA
.454
xwOBAc
.517
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
6.5%
SwtSp%
34.5%
HH%
52.4%
elite Barrel 15%, elite ISO .299, 93.5 EV+424MODEL
#2Miguel Vargas
Miguel VargasRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
CWS· 3Bvs BOS LHP Sandoval
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
99
Likely
75
kHR
83
Zone
54
Form
100%
EV
90.8
Brl%
14.6%
ISO
.242
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.533
SwStr%
9.5%
PullBrl
6.5%
SwtSp%
40.4%
HH%
47.0%
elite Barrel 15%, power ISO .242, pull-side power+424MODEL
#3Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryLHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
CWS· DHvs BOS LHP Sandoval
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
92
Likely
67
kHR
80
Zone
38
Form
99%
EV
89.2
Brl%
12.7%
ISO
.234
xwOBA
.308
xwOBAc
.421
SwStr%
19.4%
PullBrl
6.3%
SwtSp%
32.4%
HH%
42.1%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .234, pull-side power+424MODEL
#4Braden Montgomery
Braden MontgomerySHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
CWS· RFvs BOS LHP Sandoval
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
92
Likely
67
kHR
80
Zone
38
Form
99%
EV
89.2
Brl%
12.7%
ISO
.234
xwOBA
.308
xwOBAc
.421
SwStr%
19.4%
PullBrl
6.3%
SwtSp%
32.4%
HH%
42.1%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .234, pull-side power+424MODEL
#5Willson Contreras
Willson ContrerasRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
BOS· 1Bvs CWS RHP Martin
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
81
Likely
66
kHR
83
Zone
43
Form
100%
EV
90.7
Brl%
14.4%
ISO
.255
xwOBA
.387
xwOBAc
.518
SwStr%
15.3%
PullBrl
6.9%
SwtSp%
32.1%
HH%
46.0%
elite Barrel 14%, power ISO .255, pull-side power+424MODEL
#6Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
BOS· RFvs CWS RHP Martin
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
76
Likely
62
kHR
74
Zone
47
Form
76%
EV
89.8
Brl%
12.3%
ISO
.189
xwOBA
.339
xwOBAc
.483
SwStr%
12.2%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
35.1%
HH%
41.8%
strong Barrel 12%, park/wind boost, off-platoon but elite power+482MODEL
#7Randal Grichuk
Randal GrichukRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
CWS· LFvs BOS LHP Sandoval
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
72
Likely
52
kHR
58
Zone
33
Form
61%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.173
xwOBA
.328
xwOBAc
.428
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
43.0%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+816MODEL
#8Jarren Duran
Jarren DuranLHB#7 · Secondary Power
BOS· LFvs CWS RHP Martin
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
52
Likely
45
kHR
59
Zone
29
Form
63%
EV
89.3
Brl%
10.0%
ISO
.145
xwOBA
.295
xwOBAc
.420
SwStr%
16.9%
PullBrl
4.0%
SwtSp%
31.8%
HH%
38.2%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+774MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — CWS
vs Patrick Sandoval (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

CWSCWS
vs Patrick Sandoval (BOS)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — BOS
vs Davis Martin (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

BOSBOS
vs Davis Martin (CWS)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
CWS + BOS · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
CWSvsBOS

CWS + BOS hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
CWS Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
CWS hitters vsPatrick Sandoval(BOS)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Chase MeidrothChase MeidrothRHB
.287.422.1355%37%16%
.295.399.1044%38%15%
.251.371.1205%33%22%
.235.349.1144%33%26%
.224.320.0964%31%28%
.244.361.1175%32%23%
.244.342.0984%30%24%
.220.297.0774%28%28%
#2Munetaka MurakamiMunetaka MurakamiLHB
.256.590.33422%64%36%
.264.557.29317%66%34%
.224.519.29519%57%49%
.184.427.24317%49%67%
.175.392.21715%47%71%
.191.442.25117%48%60%
.239.522.28320%57%49%
.216.454.23818%53%57%
#3Miguel VargasMiguel VargasRHB
.249.517.26816%51%18%
.256.489.23312%52%17%
.218.455.23714%45%24%
.204.428.22414%44%29%
.194.392.19812%42%31%
.212.443.23114%43%26%
.212.419.20713%41%27%
.191.364.17312%38%31%
#4Randal GrichukRandal GrichukRHB
.272.561.28913%50%21%
.280.529.24910%51%20%
.238.493.25511%44%29%
.223.463.24011%44%34%
.212.425.21310%42%37%
.231.480.24911%43%31%
.231.454.22311%41%31%
.209.394.1859%38%37%
#5Colson MontgomeryColson MontgomeryLHB
.226.485.25914%46%32%
.232.458.22611%46%30%
.198.427.22912%40%43%
.162.351.18911%35%59%
.154.322.1689%33%63%
.168.364.19611%34%53%
.210.430.22013%40%43%
.190.374.18411%37%50%
#6Joey BartJoey BartRHB
.237.407.1709%37%23%
.244.385.1417%38%22%
.208.358.1508%33%32%
.195.336.1418%32%38%
.185.309.1247%31%40%
.202.348.1468%32%34%
.202.329.1277%30%35%
.182.287.1056%28%40%
#7Sam AntonacciSam AntonacciLHB
.288.440.1527%40%13%
.296.415.1196%41%12%
.252.387.1356%35%17%
.207.318.1115%31%24%
.197.292.0955%29%25%
.214.330.1166%30%21%
.268.389.1217%35%17%
.242.339.0976%33%20%
#8Braden MontgomeryBraden MontgomerySHB
.251.415.1644%45%25%
.258.392.1343%46%23%
.220.365.1453%39%33%
.196.326.1303%37%42%
.186.300.1143%35%45%
.203.338.1353%37%37%
.225.353.1283%38%35%
.203.307.1043%35%40%
#9Tristan PetersTristan PetersLHB
.280.450.1705%33%19%
.288.425.1374%34%18%
.246.396.1505%29%26%
.201.326.1254%25%36%
.192.299.1074%24%38%
.209.338.1294%25%32%
.261.399.1385%29%26%
.236.347.1114%27%31%
BOS Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
BOS hitters vsDavis Martin(CWS)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Nick SogardNick SogardSHB
.252.346.0940%19%19%
.259.326.0670%19%18%
.221.304.0830%17%26%
.197.272.0750%16%32%
.187.250.0630%15%35%
.204.282.0780%15%29%
.226.294.0680%16%27%
.204.256.0520%15%31%
#2Ceddanne RafaelaCeddanne RafaelaRHB
.303.515.2127%36%21%
.312.487.1755%37%20%
.266.453.1876%32%28%
.218.373.1555%28%39%
.207.342.1354%26%41%
.226.386.1605%27%35%
.283.456.1736%32%28%
.255.397.1425%30%33%
#3Wilyer AbreuWilyer AbreuLHB
.260.472.21214%45%21%
.268.446.17811%46%20%
.228.415.18712%40%28%
.214.390.17612%40%34%
.203.358.15510%37%36%
.221.404.18312%39%31%
.221.382.16111%37%31%
.200.332.13210%34%36%
#4Willson ContrerasWillson ContrerasRHB
.298.582.28416%50%27%
.307.550.24312%51%25%
.261.512.25114%44%36%
.214.421.20712%38%50%
.204.387.18311%36%53%
.222.436.21412%37%44%
.278.516.23814%44%36%
.251.448.19713%41%42%
#5Masataka YoshidaMasataka YoshidaLHB
.277.419.1424%40%13%
.285.396.1113%41%12%
.243.369.1263%35%17%
.227.346.1193%35%21%
.216.318.1023%33%22%
.236.359.1233%35%19%
.236.339.1033%33%19%
.213.295.0823%30%22%
#6Caleb DurbinCaleb DurbinRHB
.255.426.1713%29%13%
.262.402.1402%30%12%
.224.374.1502%26%17%
.183.308.1252%22%24%
.174.283.1092%21%25%
.190.319.1292%22%21%
.238.377.1392%26%17%
.215.328.1132%24%20%
#7Jarren DuranJarren DuranLHB
.210.373.16311%41%29%
.216.352.1369%42%27%
.184.328.14410%36%39%
.172.308.13610%36%47%
.164.283.1198%34%50%
.179.319.14010%35%42%
.179.302.1239%33%43%
.162.262.1008%31%50%
#8Andruw MonasterioAndruw MonasterioRHB
.272.489.21710%44%15%
.280.462.1828%44%15%
.238.430.1929%38%21%
.195.354.1598%33%29%
.186.325.1397%32%31%
.203.367.1648%33%26%
.253.433.1809%39%21%
.229.377.1488%36%24%
#9Connor WongConnor WongRHB
.268.391.1235%41%21%
.275.369.0944%42%20%
.235.344.1095%36%29%
.192.283.0914%32%39%
.183.260.0774%30%42%
.199.293.0944%31%35%
.249.346.0975%37%29%
.225.301.0764%34%33%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Munetaka Murakami
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M50.000331N/A24N/A.244.378.546.299.39117.5%93.5
Miguel Vargas
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+424M54.000481N/A24N/A.237.342.479.242.35512.5%90.8
Colson Montgomery
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+424M38.000442N/A25N/A.215.294.449.234.3218.1%89.2
Braden Montgomery
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M38.000178N/A3N/A.239.315.384.234.3099.0%89.2
Willson Contreras
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M43.000424N/A23N/A.284.392.539.255.40010.8%90.7
Wilyer Abreu
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+482M47.000473N/A17N/A.248.321.437.189.3289.5%89.8
Randal Grichuk
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+816M33.000167N/A9N/A.259.293.519.173.3434.2%90.3
Jarren Duran
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+774M29.000442N/A14N/A.200.257.345.145.2636.6%89.3
Andruw Monasterio
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+825M34.000221N/A6N/A.259.318.453.167.3347.2%90.2
Ceddanne Rafaela
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1158M29.000441N/A15N/A.289.328.477.188.3494.1%86.7
Tristan Peters
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1125M32.000333N/A6N/A.267.325.417.000.3256.9%89.8
Masataka Yoshida
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M31.000255N/A5N/A.264.341.388.122.3259.4%89.0
Chase Meidroth
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1248M32.000452N/A9N/A.273.348.391.118.3299.5%87.9
Joey Bart
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1267M27.000119N/A4N/A.226.303.377.091.3035.0%88.3
Sam Antonacci
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1192M37.000366N/A8N/A.274.364.407.133.3457.1%87.8
Nick Sogard
SHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1267M28.00060N/AN/AN/A.240.356.320.084.31215.0%88.1
Caleb Durbin
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1374M33.000388N/A10N/A.243.313.394.151.3137.0%84.1
Connor Wong
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1351M28.000166N/A2N/A.255.346.362.048.3199.6%87.2
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWS · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season122.0513.262.326.0641.31100.747.2%24.3%20.9%7.1%24.3%7.896.3%44.5%20.2%
vs LHB69.0288.245.295.303.0581.3250.659.4%24.3%20.5%24.3%7.706.3%44.5%20.2%
vs RHB47.0200.255.266.286.0311.2120.384.0%24.3%23.5%24.3%9.006.3%44.5%20.2%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3025.7116.295.410.1151.5241.406.9%24.3%14.7%24.3%5.966.3%44.5%20.2%
L1516.073.318.500.1821.5642.255.5%24.3%13.7%24.3%5.626.3%44.5%20.2%
Patrick Sandoval
Patrick Sandoval
BOS · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season24.0109.306.398.0921.6731.129.2%25.6%22.9%5.1%25.6%9.385.1%35.6%22.0%
vs LHB3.021.500.500.800.3003.6726.004.8%25.6%23.8%25.6%15.005.1%35.6%22.0%
vs RHB15.765.233.274.283.0501.2110.577.7%25.6%23.1%25.6%8.625.1%35.6%22.0%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3024.0109.306.398.0921.6731.129.2%25.6%22.9%25.6%9.385.1%35.6%22.0%
L1514.767.276.379.1031.6321.2311.9%25.6%22.4%25.6%9.205.1%35.6%22.0%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWS · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball26.7%.270.322.351.0810.0%25.8%25.4%19.4%0.0%92.80.0%35.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker18.5%.292.350.360.0680.0%7.5%6.8%10.6%0.0%91.20.0%50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball14.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup13.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%88.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider13.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter13.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Patrick Sandoval
Patrick Sandoval
BOS · LHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Slider29.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam23.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%93.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup23.4%.208.264.292.0840.0%39.0%31.3%21.8%0.0%84.00.0%19.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker18.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%94.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball3.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%75.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper2.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-08-04 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Aug 2026