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LAD
LAD@CHC
IN PROGRESS
CHC
Game 1 of 15 Wed · Aug 5, 12:05 AM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · LAD vs Javier Assad · CHC vs Tarik Skubal

#1Shohei Ohtani
Shohei OhtaniLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
LAD· DHvs CHC RHP Assad
🔥 Elite
Test
80
Ceil
70
Likely
66
kHR
87
Zone
51
Form
100%
EV
93.5
Brl%
16.5%
ISO
.248
xwOBA
.412
xwOBAc
.588
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
8.1%
SwtSp%
39.7%
HH%
53.4%
elite Barrel 16%, power ISO .248, 93.5 EV+424MODEL
#2Max Muncy
Max MuncyLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
LAD· 3Bvs CHC RHP Assad
🟢 Strong
Test
76
Ceil
59
Likely
59
kHR
80
Zone
47
Form
100%
EV
90.4
Brl%
13.4%
ISO
.238
xwOBA
.351
xwOBAc
.481
SwStr%
12.4%
PullBrl
7.2%
SwtSp%
34.1%
HH%
45.1%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .238, pull-side power+424MODEL
#3Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-ArmstrongLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CHC· CFvs LAD LHP Skubal
🟡 Viable
Test
60
Ceil
57
Likely
52
kHR
68
Zone
38
Form
94%
EV
90.2
Brl%
11.5%
ISO
.254
xwOBA
.364
xwOBAc
.490
SwStr%
13.6%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
38.0%
HH%
49.5%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .254 (matchup soft)+604MODEL
#4Teoscar Hernández
Teoscar HernándezRHB#7 · Secondary Power
LAD· LFvs CHC RHP Assad
🟠 Longshot
Test
58
Ceil
42
Likely
46
kHR
65
Zone
38
Form
80%
EV
91.2
Brl%
10.3%
ISO
.207
xwOBA
.350
xwOBAc
.474
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.3%
SwtSp%
33.1%
HH%
45.5%
strong Barrel 10%, power ISO .207 (matchup soft)+649MODEL
#5Miguel Amaya
Miguel AmayaRHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
CHC· Cvs LAD LHP Skubal
🟠 Longshot
Test
58
Ceil
60
Likely
52
kHR
66
Zone
39
Form
77%
EV
91.5
Brl%
10.9%
ISO
.219
xwOBA
.376
xwOBAc
.531
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.6%
SwtSp%
33.3%
HH%
46.4%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .219 (matchup soft)+631MODEL
#6Seiya Suzuki
Seiya SuzukiRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CHC· RFvs LAD LHP Skubal
🟠 Longshot
Test
50
Ceil
53
Likely
47
kHR
60
Zone
37
Form
83%
EV
89.1
Brl%
10.1%
ISO
.209
xwOBA
.334
xwOBAc
.457
SwStr%
10.4%
PullBrl
4.4%
SwtSp%
39.3%
HH%
40.1%
strong Barrel 10%, power ISO .209 (matchup soft)+758MODEL
#7Michael Busch
Michael BuschLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
CHC· 1Bvs LAD LHP Skubal
🟠 Longshot
Test
50
Ceil
52
Likely
47
kHR
59
Zone
36
Form
61%
EV
88.5
Brl%
9.6%
ISO
.152
xwOBA
.336
xwOBAc
.438
SwStr%
10.9%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
34.5%
HH%
40.3%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+774MODEL
#8Freddie Freeman
Freddie FreemanLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
LAD· 1Bvs CHC RHP Assad
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
40
Likely
43
kHR
57
Zone
40
Form
65%
EV
90.0
Brl%
9.3%
ISO
.178
xwOBA
.379
xwOBAc
.546
SwStr%
11.1%
PullBrl
3.2%
SwtSp%
38.1%
HH%
43.9%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+843MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — LAD
vs Javier Assad (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

LADLAD
vs Javier Assad (CHC)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — CHC
vs Tarik Skubal (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

CHCCHC
vs Tarik Skubal (LAD)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
LAD + CHC · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
LADvsCHC

LAD + CHC hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LAD Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
LAD hitters vsJavier Assad(CHC)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Shohei OhtaniShohei OhtaniLHB
.307.585.27818%59%26%
.315.553.23814%60%24%
.269.515.24616%52%35%
.251.484.23316%51%42%
.239.444.20514%48%45%
.261.501.24016%50%38%
.261.474.21315%47%38%
.236.412.17614%44%45%
#2Andy PagesAndy PagesRHB
.284.496.2129%47%20%
.292.468.1767%48%19%
.248.436.1887%41%27%
.204.359.1556%36%36%
.194.329.1356%34%39%
.211.372.1617%35%33%
.264.439.1758%42%27%
.239.382.1437%39%31%
#3Freddie FreemanFreddie FreemanLHB
.326.528.20210%48%19%
.335.499.1648%48%17%
.285.465.1809%42%25%
.267.436.1699%42%30%
.254.400.1468%39%32%
.277.452.1759%41%27%
.277.427.1509%39%28%
.250.372.1228%36%32%
#4Max MuncyMax MuncyLHB
.268.532.26415%49%24%
.275.503.22811%50%22%
.235.468.23313%43%32%
.220.440.22013%43%38%
.209.404.19511%40%41%
.228.456.22813%42%34%
.228.431.20312%39%35%
.206.375.16911%36%41%
#5Mookie BettsMookie BettsRHB
.240.431.1919%42%11%
.247.407.1607%43%10%
.211.379.1687%37%15%
.173.312.1397%32%20%
.164.286.1226%30%21%
.179.323.1447%31%18%
.224.382.1588%37%15%
.202.332.1307%34%17%
#6Kyle TuckerKyle TuckerLHB
.249.397.1487%42%20%
.256.375.1196%43%18%
.218.350.1326%37%26%
.204.328.1246%37%32%
.194.301.1076%35%34%
.212.340.1286%36%28%
.212.322.1106%34%29%
.191.280.0895%31%34%
#7Teoscar HernándezTeoscar HernándezRHB
.268.442.17410%45%27%
.275.417.1428%46%25%
.235.389.1549%40%36%
.192.320.1288%35%49%
.183.293.1107%33%53%
.199.331.1328%34%44%
.249.391.1429%40%36%
.225.340.1158%37%42%
#8Tommy EdmanTommy EdmanSHB
.317.475.1587%41%19%
.326.449.1236%42%17%
.278.418.1406%36%25%
.248.374.1266%34%32%
.236.343.1075%32%34%
.257.387.1306%33%28%
.284.405.1216%35%26%
.257.352.0956%32%31%
#9Ben RortvedtBen RortvedtLHB
CHC Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
CHC hitters vsTarik Skubal(LAD)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Pete Crow-ArmstrongPete Crow-ArmstrongLHB
.296.581.28513%53%24%
.305.549.24410%54%22%
.259.511.25211%47%32%
.213.421.20810%41%44%
.202.386.1849%38%47%
.221.436.21510%40%39%
.276.515.23912%47%32%
.249.448.19910%43%38%
#2Seiya SuzukiSeiya SuzukiRHB
.287.514.22711%43%22%
.295.486.1918%44%21%
.251.452.2019%38%30%
.235.425.1909%38%36%
.224.390.1668%36%38%
.244.440.19610%37%32%
.244.416.1729%35%33%
.220.362.1428%32%38%
#3Alex BregmanAlex BregmanRHB
.259.407.1485%40%14%
.267.385.1184%41%13%
.227.358.1314%35%19%
.213.336.1234%35%23%
.202.309.1074%33%24%
.220.348.1284%34%20%
.221.329.1084%32%21%
.199.287.0883%30%24%
#4Michael BuschMichael BuschLHB
.253.418.16510%44%21%
.260.395.1358%44%20%
.222.368.1469%38%29%
.182.303.1218%33%40%
.173.278.1057%32%42%
.188.313.1258%33%36%
.236.370.1349%39%29%
.213.322.1098%36%34%
#5Nico HoernerNico HoernerRHB
.270.383.113110%31%10%
.278.362.08485%31%10%
.236.337.10195%27%14%
.221.317.09695%27%16%
.210.291.08184%25%18%
.229.328.09997%26%15%
.230.310.08091%25%15%
.208.270.06281%23%18%
#6Tyrone TaylorTyrone TaylorRHB
.253.543.29013%39%20%
.260.513.25310%40%19%
.222.478.25611%35%28%
.208.449.24111%34%33%
.197.412.21510%33%35%
.215.465.25012%34%30%
.215.440.22511%32%30%
.195.382.18710%29%35%
#7Dansby SwansonDansby SwansonRHB
.221.423.2028%45%26%
.227.400.1736%46%25%
.193.372.1797%39%35%
.181.350.1697%39%42%
.172.321.1496%37%45%
.187.362.1757%38%38%
.188.343.1557%36%39%
.170.298.1286%34%45%
#8Pedro RamírezPedro RamírezSHB
.324.478.1543%49%18%
.334.452.1182%50%17%
.284.421.1372%43%24%
.253.377.1242%41%31%
.241.346.1052%38%33%
.263.390.1272%40%28%
.290.408.1182%42%25%
.263.354.0912%38%30%
#9Miguel AmayaMiguel AmayaRHB
.251.383.1327%37%22%
.258.362.1045%38%21%
.220.337.1176%33%30%
.206.317.1116%32%36%
.196.291.0955%31%38%
.213.328.1156%32%32%
.213.310.0976%30%33%
.193.270.0775%28%38%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Shohei Ohtani
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M51.000470N/A24N/A.292.397.542.248.39414.3%93.5
Max Muncy
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M47.000390N/A21N/A.255.349.493.238.36311.8%90.4
Pete Crow-Armstrong
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+604M38.000492N/A24N/A.282.383.538.254.39412.0%90.2
Teoscar Hernández
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+649M38.000306N/A10N/A.255.324.409.207.3218.8%91.2
Miguel Amaya
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+631M39.000183N/A3N/A.239.348.355.219.3219.8%91.5
Seiya Suzuki
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+758M37.000415N/A18N/A.273.364.476.209.36411.8%89.1
Michael Busch
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+774M36.000500N/A13N/A.241.356.387.152.33313.4%88.5
Freddie Freeman
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+843M40.000470N/A15N/A.310.385.489.178.38010.6%90.0
Dansby Swanson
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1050M27.000414N/A16N/A.210.288.392.181.2989.9%89.4
Andy Pages
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1109M37.000479N/A18N/A.270.336.459.187.3458.1%88.9
Kyle Tucker
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1141M36.000433N/A9N/A.237.335.368.131.31512.5%89.0
Pedro Ramírez
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1175M40.000109N/A1N/A.309.370.443.155.3539.2%89.2
Mookie Betts
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M34.000318N/A13N/A.229.286.399.148.2987.2%89.7
Tommy Edman
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1158M35.000133N/A2N/A.302.382.440.157.3647.5%89.9
Tyrone Taylor
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1248M34.000159N/A10N/A.241.290.503.100.3405.7%89.1
Ben Rortvedt
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1397M30.000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A.053N/AN/A87.3
Alex Bregman
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1329M34.000499N/A11N/A.247.341.377.131.32011.2%88.0
Nico Hoerner
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1472M38.000486N/A6N/A.257.319.355.097.3017.6%86.1
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
LAD · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season101.7392.204.292.0880.89110.973.8%32.7%30.9%18.8%32.7%10.717.5%36.3%23.8%
vs LHB22.392.270.313.371.1011.2131.213.3%32.7%32.6%32.7%12.097.5%36.3%23.8%
vs RHB74.3282.185.250.262.0770.8270.853.9%32.7%30.5%32.7%10.417.5%36.3%23.8%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3031.0116.173.200.0270.7710.294.3%32.7%31.9%32.7%10.747.5%36.3%23.8%
L1519.071.149.194.0450.7410.475.6%32.7%32.4%32.7%10.897.5%36.3%23.8%
Javier Assad
Javier Assad
CHC · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season52.0207.242.397.1551.15101.736.3%14.0%16.9%7.4%14.0%6.067.5%45.8%28.5%
vs LHB33.7144.254.367.455.2011.3192.416.9%14.0%19.4%14.0%7.497.5%45.8%28.5%
vs RHB35.3138.223.267.292.0691.0530.765.8%14.0%14.5%14.0%5.097.5%45.8%28.5%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3024.799.264.429.1651.3051.828.1%14.0%20.2%14.0%7.307.5%45.8%28.5%
L1515.061.298.456.1581.4031.806.6%14.0%21.3%14.0%7.807.5%45.8%28.5%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
LAD · LHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball36.2%.218.297.387.1690.0%24.8%27.1%20.7%0.0%96.70.0%39.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup25.0%.183.241.346.1630.0%50.9%41.5%28.4%0.0%87.30.0%28.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker20.3%.277.320.323.0460.0%19.7%22.2%20.8%0.0%96.70.0%38.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider14.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball4.5%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Javier Assad
Javier Assad
CHC · RHP · 7 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sinker40.9%.260.305.350.0900.0%7.6%15.9%18.2%0.0%93.20.0%52.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam19.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%93.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter13.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%88.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup7.5%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball7.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%77.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper7.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%81.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider4.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-08-04 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Aug 2026