Clutch Algorithm
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KC
KC@CWS
IN PROGRESS
CWS
Game 6 of 15 Sat · Jun 27, 8:10 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · KC vs Davis Martin · CWS vs Michael Wacha

#1Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
CWS· SSvs KC RHP Wacha
🟢 Strong
Test
77
Ceil
53
Likely
56
kHR
82
Zone
42
Form
100%
EV
90.1
Brl%
14.5%
ISO
.263
xwOBA
.329
xwOBAc
.441
SwStr%
20.0%
PullBrl
7.3%
SwtSp%
35.0%
HH%
46.4%
elite Barrel 14%, elite ISO .263, pull-air 18%+424MODEL
#2Braden Montgomery
Braden MontgomerySHB#6 · Secondary Power
CWS· RFvs KC RHP Wacha
🟢 Strong
Test
77
Ceil
53
Likely
56
kHR
82
Zone
42
Form
100%
EV
90.1
Brl%
14.5%
ISO
.263
xwOBA
.329
xwOBAc
.441
SwStr%
20.0%
PullBrl
7.3%
SwtSp%
35.0%
HH%
46.4%
elite Barrel 14%, elite ISO .263, pull-air 18%+424MODEL
#3Miguel Vargas
Miguel VargasRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CWS· 3Bvs KC RHP Wacha
🟢 Strong
Test
71
Ceil
55
Likely
59
kHR
78
Zone
55
Form
100%
EV
90.0
Brl%
14.3%
ISO
.238
xwOBA
.396
xwOBAc
.543
SwStr%
9.0%
PullBrl
6.1%
SwtSp%
41.8%
HH%
45.5%
elite Barrel 14%, power ISO .238, pull-side power+424MODEL
#4Jac Caglianone
Jac CaglianoneLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
KC· 1Bvs CWS RHP Martin
🟡 Viable
Test
63
Ceil
32
Likely
47
kHR
77
Zone
39
Form
99%
EV
94.1
Brl%
17.1%
ISO
.220
xwOBA
.379
xwOBAc
.546
SwStr%
15.5%
PullBrl
7.2%
SwtSp%
38.9%
HH%
58.9%
elite Barrel 17%, power ISO .220 (matchup soft)+430MODEL
#5Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
KC· SSvs CWS RHP Martin
🟠 Longshot
Test
53
Ceil
29
Likely
42
kHR
65
Zone
41
Form
67%
EV
93.2
Brl%
12.0%
ISO
.169
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.568
SwStr%
11.2%
PullBrl
3.3%
SwtSp%
38.2%
HH%
52.0%
strong Barrel 12%, 93.2 EV (matchup soft)+661MODEL
#6Starling Marte
Starling MarteRHB#7 · Secondary Power
KC· PHvs CWS RHP Martin
🟠 Longshot
Test
53
Ceil
26
Likely
40
kHR
63
Zone
39
Form
74%
EV
91.3
Brl%
10.6%
ISO
.194
xwOBA
.368
xwOBAc
.547
SwStr%
9.9%
PullBrl
5.5%
SwtSp%
32.3%
HH%
45.9%
strong Barrel 11%, park/wind suppresses (matchup soft)+699MODEL
#7Carter Jensen
Carter JensenLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
KC· DHvs CWS RHP Martin
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
23
Likely
35
kHR
58
Zone
28
Form
70%
EV
90.9
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.190
xwOBA
.291
xwOBAc
.401
SwStr%
12.9%
PullBrl
3.4%
SwtSp%
31.2%
HH%
43.0%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+807MODEL
#8Andrew Benintendi
Andrew BenintendiLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
CWS· DHvs KC RHP Wacha
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
36
Likely
41
kHR
59
Zone
35
Form
76%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.6%
ISO
.191
xwOBA
.359
xwOBAc
.456
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.0%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.3%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+782MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — KC
vs Davis Martin (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

KCKC
vs Davis Martin (CWS)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — CWS
vs Michael Wacha (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

CWSCWS
vs Michael Wacha (KC)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
KC vs Davis Martin
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
KC

KC hitters

vsDavis Martin(CWSCWS)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#3 · Premium RBI/Power+430M62.932.139.00099%77.11,143175.220.379.54615.5%7.2%94.117.1%38.9%25.1%58.9%8.047
RHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+661M52.928.741.00067%64.81,330244.169.390.56811.2%3.3%93.212.0%38.2%27.2%52.0%17.242
RHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#7 · Secondary Power+699M52.925.539.00074%62.71,322263.194.368.5479.9%5.5%91.310.6%32.3%24.8%45.9%11.440
LHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+807M48.922.728.00070%57.81,135181.190.291.40112.9%3.4%90.98.6%31.2%33.9%43.0%20.135
RHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#6 · Secondary Power+937M40.920.830.00059%53.71,260238.130.284.41614.4%3.8%88.79.5%32.2%28.9%40.9%16.633
RHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1329M26.919.530.00048%40.655481.112.283.29611.3%2.2%88.85.6%31.7%30.2%38.4%14.028
RHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1351M26.919.829.00036%39.822239.100.329.47011.3%2.0%88.55.0%31.5%30.0%37.5%13.828
RHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M26.921.632.00049%43.0733141.149.321.38611.3%3.0%89.77.4%32.2%31.0%41.2%14.730
SHBKCvs CWS RHP Martin#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1351M24.919.729.00031%39.71,061165.091.309.3999.0%2.6%88.45.9%32.0%27.2%40.2%17.528
CWS vs Michael Wacha
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
CWS

CWS hitters

vsMichael Wacha(KCKC)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M76.953.142.000100%81.61,248180.263.329.44120.0%7.3%90.114.5%35.0%36.1%46.4%21.256
SHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#6 · Secondary Power+424M76.953.142.000100%81.61,248180.263.329.44120.0%7.3%90.114.5%35.0%36.1%46.4%21.256
RHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M70.955.255.000100%77.71,338230.238.396.5439.0%6.1%90.014.3%41.8%35.8%45.5%19.659
LHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#3 · Premium RBI/Power+782M48.936.135.00076%59.01,833338.191.359.45611.3%4.0%90.89.6%32.9%31.8%44.3%15.441
LHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1308M26.932.830.00040%41.4971173.123.389.50211.3%2.5%89.16.2%31.8%30.5%39.2%14.233
LHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#7 · Secondary Power+1248M26.926.432.00015%43.1475.000.065.00011.3%3.1%89.87.5%32.2%31.0%41.2%14.732
LHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1308M26.931.630.00053%41.425441.123.341.40311.3%2.5%89.16.2%31.8%30.5%39.2%14.232
SHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M26.926.432.00015%43.1120.000.065.00011.3%3.1%89.87.5%32.2%31.0%41.2%14.732
RHBCWSvs KC RHP Wacha#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1422M24.927.831.00037%38.11,291212.108.284.3938.3%1.9%87.74.7%33.9%20.2%34.6%7.030
KC Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
KC hitters vsDavis Martin(CWS)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Carter JensenCarter JensenLHB
.256.472.21610%47%25%
.264.446.1828%48%24%
.224.415.1918%41%34%
.210.390.1808%41%41%
.200.358.1587%39%43%
.218.404.1869%40%36%
.218.382.1648%38%37%
.197.332.1357%35%43%
#2Bobby Witt Jr.Bobby Witt Jr.RHB
.309.502.19313%57%20%
.318.474.15610%58%19%
.270.442.17212%50%27%
.222.364.14210%44%37%
.211.334.1239%41%39%
.230.376.14610%43%33%
.287.445.15812%50%27%
.260.387.12711%46%32%
#3Jac CaglianoneJac CaglianoneLHB
.281.522.24118%63%26%
.289.493.20414%65%24%
.247.459.21216%56%35%
.231.431.20016%55%42%
.219.396.17714%52%45%
.239.446.20716%54%38%
.239.422.18315%51%39%
.216.367.15114%47%45%
#4Lane ThomasLane ThomasRHB
.231.375.1445%38%16%
.238.354.1164%39%15%
.202.330.1284%34%22%
.166.271.1054%30%30%
.158.249.0913%28%32%
.172.281.1094%29%27%
.215.332.1175%34%22%
.194.289.0954%32%26%
#5Tyler TolbertTyler TolbertRHB
.253.260.0075%36%28%
.260.246.0004%37%26%
.222.229.0075%32%37%
.182.188.0064%28%51%
.173.173.0004%26%55%
.188.195.0074%27%46%
.236.231.0005%32%37%
.213.201.0004%29%44%
#6Salvador PerezSalvador PerezRHB
.211.359.14811%44%21%
.217.339.1228%45%20%
.185.315.1309%39%29%
.152.260.1088%34%39%
.144.238.0947%32%42%
.157.269.1128%33%35%
.196.318.12210%39%29%
.178.276.0988%36%34%
#7Starling MarteStarling MarteRHB
.274.368.09414%41%25%
.282.348.06611%41%24%
.240.324.08412%36%34%
.197.267.07010%31%47%
.187.245.0589%29%50%
.204.276.07211%30%42%
.255.326.07113%36%34%
.231.284.05311%33%40%
#8Nick LoftinNick LoftinRHB
.260.455.1958%37%12%
.268.429.1616%38%12%
.228.400.1727%33%17%
.187.329.1426%28%23%
.178.302.1245%27%24%
.194.341.1476%28%20%
.242.403.1617%33%17%
.219.350.1316%30%19%
#9Isaac CollinsIsaac CollinsSHB
.236.338.1027%43%20%
.243.319.0765%44%18%
.207.297.0906%38%26%
.184.266.0825%36%33%
.176.244.0685%34%36%
.191.275.0846%35%30%
.211.288.0776%37%28%
.191.250.0595%34%32%
CWS Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
CWS hitters vsMichael Wacha(KC)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Sam AntonacciSam AntonacciLHB
.300.446.1468%40%14%
.309.421.1127%41%13%
.263.392.1297%35%18%
.246.369.1237%35%22%
.234.338.1046%33%24%
.255.382.1277%34%20%
.255.361.1067%32%20%
.231.314.0836%30%23%
#2Miguel VargasMiguel VargasRHB
.252.508.25616%49%17%
.259.479.22012%50%16%
.221.446.22514%43%23%
.181.368.18712%37%32%
.172.337.16511%35%34%
.188.381.19312%37%29%
.235.450.21515%43%23%
.212.391.17913%40%27%
#3Andrew BenintendiAndrew BenintendiLHB
.244.451.20712%51%25%
.251.426.1759%52%23%
.213.397.18410%45%34%
.200.373.17310%45%40%
.190.342.1529%42%43%
.207.386.17910%44%36%
.207.365.15810%42%37%
.187.318.1319%38%43%
#4Colson MontgomeryColson MontgomeryLHB
.230.525.29516%50%33%
.237.496.25912%51%31%
.201.462.26114%44%44%
.189.434.24514%44%53%
.179.398.21912%42%56%
.195.449.25414%43%47%
.196.425.22913%41%48%
.177.369.19212%38%56%
#5Chase MeidrothChase MeidrothRHB
.279.407.1285%38%17%
.287.385.0984%39%16%
.245.358.1135%33%23%
.201.295.0944%29%32%
.191.271.0804%28%34%
.208.305.0974%29%29%
.260.361.1015%34%23%
.235.314.0794%31%27%
#6Braden MontgomeryBraden MontgomerySHB
.263.517.25410%43%26%
.270.489.2197%44%24%
.230.455.2258%38%35%
.205.407.2028%36%44%
.195.374.1797%34%47%
.212.422.2108%35%40%
.235.441.2068%37%37%
.212.383.1717%34%43%
#7Tristan PetersTristan PetersLHB
.300.474.1745%30%19%
.309.448.1394%30%18%
.263.417.1544%26%26%
.246.392.1464%26%31%
.234.360.1264%25%33%
.255.406.1514%25%28%
.255.384.1294%24%28%
.231.334.1034%22%33%
#8Jacob GonzalezJacob GonzalezLHB
.198.265.0673%42%20%
.204.250.0462%43%19%
.174.233.0593%37%28%
.163.219.0563%37%33%
.155.201.0462%35%35%
.169.226.0573%36%30%
.169.214.0453%34%30%
.153.186.0332%31%35%
#9Drew RomoDrew RomoSHB
.147.372.22510%33%26%
.151.351.2008%34%25%
.129.327.1988%29%35%
.115.292.1778%28%45%
.109.268.1597%26%48%
.119.303.1848%27%40%
.132.316.1848%28%37%
.119.275.1568%26%43%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Colson Montgomery
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M42.000316N/A20N/A.219.313.486.263.3449.2%90.1
Braden Montgomery
SHB#6 · Secondary Power+424M42.00053N/A2N/A.250.302.479.263.3347.5%90.1
Miguel Vargas
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M55.000337N/A17N/A.240.354.470.238.36013.6%90.0
Jac Caglianone
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+430M39.000289N/A14N/A.268.339.483.220.3588.3%94.1
Bobby Witt Jr.
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+661M41.000337N/A10N/A.294.368.465.169.36210.4%93.2
Starling Marte
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+699M39.00099N/A1N/A.261.323.341.194.2987.1%91.3
Carter Jensen
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+807M28.000287N/A11N/A.244.314.437.190.3259.4%90.9
Andrew Benintendi
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+782M35.000243N/A9N/A.232.289.418.191.3077.8%90.8
Salvador Perez
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+937M30.000320N/A10N/A.201.244.332.130.2523.8%88.7
Lane Thomas
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1329M30.000206N/A5N/A.220.335.347.112.31114.1%88.8
Tyler Tolbert
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1351M29.00035N/AN/AN/A.241.324.241.100.26611.4%88.5
Nick Loftin
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M32.000158N/A3N/A.248.344.421.149.33710.8%89.7
Sam Antonacci
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1308M30.000243N/A4N/A.286.386.413.123.3607.4%89.1
Tristan Peters
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1248M32.000220N/A3N/A.286.347.439.000.3457.3%89.8
Jacob Gonzalez
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1308M30.00060N/A1N/A.189.283.245.123.2518.3%89.1
Drew Romo
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M32.000106N/A5N/A.140.229.344.000.2539.4%89.8
Isaac Collins
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1351M29.000269N/A3N/A.225.333.313.091.29912.3%88.4
Chase Meidroth
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1422M31.000325N/A6N/A.266.331.377.108.3168.3%87.7
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha
KC · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season107.0429.230.306.0761.12100.846.8%22.3%18.9%15.9%22.3%6.815.4%35.8%25.8%
vs LHB55.3230.230.288.315.0851.1960.987.4%22.3%20.0%22.3%7.485.4%35.8%25.8%
vs RHB45.0179.234.281.305.0711.1340.806.7%22.3%17.3%22.3%6.205.4%35.8%25.8%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3031.7127.268.317.0491.1420.572.4%22.3%12.6%22.3%4.555.4%35.8%25.8%
L1519.073.229.229.0000.9500.002.7%22.3%16.4%22.3%5.685.4%35.8%25.8%
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWS · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season93.0378.246.297.0511.1860.586.3%27.6%23.8%9.8%27.6%8.715.9%45.4%20.9%
vs LHB53.7213.228.275.289.0611.1440.677.5%27.6%22.5%27.6%8.055.9%45.4%20.9%
vs RHB33.3145.268.287.312.0441.3220.544.8%27.6%26.9%27.6%10.535.9%45.4%20.9%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3025.3115.317.404.0871.7031.078.7%27.6%16.5%27.6%6.755.9%45.4%20.9%
L1514.765.293.448.1551.6331.8410.8%27.6%16.9%27.6%6.755.9%45.4%20.9%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha
KC · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball27.3%.198.274.354.1560.0%22.2%19.0%17.1%0.0%93.00.0%39.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup22.6%.188.252.323.1350.0%29.0%25.2%19.4%0.0%80.60.0%25.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter15.4%.349.428.619.2700.0%14.3%14.7%23.3%0.0%89.20.0%46.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker15.0%.169.287.288.1190.0%15.2%18.6%21.7%0.0%93.20.0%34.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball10.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%76.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider9.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWS · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball26.1%.309.365.407.0980.0%27.6%26.9%21.2%0.0%92.70.0%38.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker17.7%.259.315.328.0690.0%9.2%6.1%12.5%0.0%90.70.0%50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup15.0%.175.227.286.1110.0%16.7%15.2%13.5%0.0%88.70.0%54.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider14.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter13.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball13.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-27 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026