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ATH
ATH@CIN
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Game 1 of 15 Tue · Aug 4, 10:40 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · ATH vs Brady Singer · CIN vs J.T. Ginn

#1Max Muncy
Max MuncyRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
ATH· DHvs CIN RHP Singer
🟢 Strong
Test
75
Ceil
64
Likely
61
kHR
79
Zone
49
Form
100%
EV
90.4
Brl%
13.4%
ISO
.238
xwOBA
.351
xwOBAc
.481
SwStr%
12.4%
PullBrl
7.2%
SwtSp%
34.1%
HH%
45.1%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .238, pull-side power+424MODEL
#2Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzSHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CIN· SSvs ATH RHP Ginn
🟢 Strong
Test
67
Ceil
66
Likely
58
kHR
77
Zone
38
Form
91%
EV
94.3
Brl%
14.8%
ISO
.224
xwOBA
.370
xwOBAc
.522
SwStr%
11.7%
PullBrl
5.3%
SwtSp%
36.7%
HH%
53.1%
elite Barrel 15%, power ISO .224, 94.3 EV+436MODEL
#3Sal Stewart
Sal StewartRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CIN· 1Bvs ATH RHP Ginn
🟡 Viable
Test
63
Ceil
57
Likely
54
kHR
73
Zone
39
Form
97%
EV
90.5
Brl%
14.5%
ISO
.225
xwOBA
.349
xwOBAc
.486
SwStr%
12.9%
PullBrl
4.8%
SwtSp%
33.5%
HH%
40.1%
elite Barrel 14%, power ISO .225 (matchup soft)+501MODEL
#4JJ Bleday
JJ BledayLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
CIN· RFvs ATH RHP Ginn
🟠 Longshot
Test
59
Ceil
52
Likely
50
kHR
66
Zone
39
Form
97%
EV
88.7
Brl%
10.8%
ISO
.237
xwOBA
.366
xwOBAc
.487
SwStr%
11.9%
PullBrl
4.9%
SwtSp%
42.0%
HH%
41.3%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .237 (matchup soft)+637MODEL
#5Tyler Stephenson
Tyler StephensonRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
CIN· Cvs ATH RHP Ginn
🟠 Longshot
Test
53
Ceil
55
Likely
48
kHR
61
Zone
36
Form
73%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.5%
ISO
.190
xwOBA
.365
xwOBAc
.442
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.2%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+728MODEL
#6Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler SoderstromLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
ATH· LFvs CIN RHP Singer
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
43
Likely
45
kHR
59
Zone
40
Form
78%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.5%
ISO
.218
xwOBA
.331
xwOBAc
.459
SwStr%
10.1%
PullBrl
3.6%
SwtSp%
30.2%
HH%
45.6%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+782MODEL
#7Lawrence Butler
Lawrence ButlerLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
ATH· RFvs CIN RHP Singer
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
43
Likely
43
kHR
55
Zone
38
Form
64%
EV
90.2
Brl%
8.5%
ISO
.170
xwOBA
.349
xwOBAc
.436
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.5%
HH%
42.8%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+883MODEL
#8Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeilLHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
ATH· 1Bvs CIN RHP Singer
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
43
Likely
43
kHR
55
Zone
38
Form
58%
EV
90.2
Brl%
8.4%
ISO
.168
xwOBA
.368
xwOBAc
.449
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.4%
SwtSp%
32.5%
HH%
42.6%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+893MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — ATH
vs Brady Singer (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

ATHATH
vs Brady Singer (CIN)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — CIN
vs J.T. Ginn (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

CINCIN
vs J.T. Ginn (ATH)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
ATH + CIN · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
ATHvsCIN

ATH + CIN hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
ATH Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
ATH hitters vsBrady Singer(CIN)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Lawrence ButlerLawrence ButlerLHB
.221.351.1308%49%24%
.227.332.1056%50%23%
.193.309.1167%43%32%
.181.290.1097%43%39%
.172.266.0946%41%42%
.187.300.1137%42%35%
.188.284.0966%40%36%
.170.247.0776%37%42%
#2Jacob WilsonJacob WilsonRHB
.288.428.1403%30%12%
.296.404.1082%31%11%
.252.376.1242%27%16%
.207.310.1032%23%22%
.197.284.0872%22%24%
.214.321.1072%23%20%
.268.379.1112%27%16%
.242.329.0872%25%19%
#3Tyler SoderstromTyler SoderstromLHB
.254.497.24311%49%19%
.261.469.2088%50%18%
.223.437.2149%43%25%
.208.411.2039%43%30%
.198.377.1798%41%33%
.216.425.2099%42%27%
.216.402.1869%40%28%
.195.350.1558%37%32%
#4Jonah HeimJonah HeimSHB
.244.471.2278%34%20%
.251.445.1946%35%18%
.213.414.2017%30%26%
.190.371.1817%29%33%
.181.340.1596%27%36%
.197.384.1877%28%30%
.218.401.1837%29%28%
.197.349.1526%27%32%
#5Jeff McNeilJeff McNeilLHB
.264.359.0951%34%14%
.271.339.0681%35%13%
.231.315.0841%30%19%
.216.296.0801%30%22%
.206.272.0661%28%24%
.224.307.0831%29%20%
.224.290.0661%28%20%
.203.252.0491%26%24%
#6Tommy WhiteTommy WhiteRHB
.297.342.0457%39%17%
.306.323.0175%40%16%
.260.301.0416%34%23%
.213.248.0355%30%31%
.203.227.0244%28%33%
.221.257.0365%29%28%
.277.303.0266%34%23%
.250.264.0145%32%26%
#7Alika WilliamsAlika WilliamsRHB
.278.440.1621%37%19%
.286.415.1291%38%18%
.244.387.1431%32%26%
.200.318.1181%28%36%
.190.292.1021%27%38%
.207.330.1231%28%32%
.259.389.1301%33%26%
.234.339.1051%30%31%
#8Max MuncyMax MuncyRHB
.234.420.18612%52%29%
.241.397.1569%53%27%
.205.370.16511%46%39%
.168.304.1369%40%53%
.160.279.1198%38%56%
.174.315.1419%39%47%
.218.372.15411%46%39%
.197.324.12710%43%45%
#9Henry BolteHenry BolteRHB
.266.374.1088%52%29%
.273.353.0806%53%27%
.233.329.0967%46%39%
.191.271.0806%40%53%
.182.248.0665%38%56%
.198.280.0826%39%47%
.247.331.0847%46%39%
.224.288.0646%43%45%
CIN Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
CIN hitters vsJ.T. Ginn(ATH)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Elly De La CruzElly De La CruzSHB
.290.540.25016%57%24%
.298.510.21213%58%23%
.254.475.22114%50%33%
.226.425.19913%48%41%
.215.390.17512%45%44%
.235.440.20514%47%37%
.259.460.20114%49%34%
.235.400.16513%45%40%
#2Sal StewartSal StewartRHB
.267.517.25016%43%23%
.274.489.21512%44%22%
.234.455.22114%38%31%
.192.375.18312%33%43%
.182.344.16211%31%46%
.199.388.18912%33%38%
.248.458.21015%38%31%
.225.399.17413%35%37%
#3JJ BledayJJ BledayLHB
.238.501.26312%45%22%
.245.473.2289%45%21%
.209.441.23210%39%30%
.195.414.21910%39%36%
.186.380.1949%37%38%
.203.429.22610%38%32%
.203.406.20310%36%33%
.183.353.1709%33%38%
#4Tyler StephensonTyler StephensonRHB
.269.450.18114%50%22%
.276.425.14911%51%21%
.236.396.16012%44%30%
.193.326.13310%38%41%
.184.299.1159%36%44%
.200.338.13811%37%37%
.250.399.14912%44%30%
.226.347.12111%41%35%
#5Ivan JohnsonIvan JohnsonSHB
.105.108.0030%22%48%
.108.102.0000%22%45%
.092.095.0030%19%65%
.082.085.0030%18%82%
.078.078.0000%17%88%
.085.088.0030%18%74%
.094.092.0000%18%68%
.085.080.0000%17%79%
#6Dane MyersDane MyersRHB
.289.411.1226%37%16%
.297.389.0925%38%15%
.253.362.1095%33%22%
.207.298.0915%29%30%
.197.273.0764%27%32%
.215.308.0935%28%27%
.269.365.0966%33%22%
.243.317.0745%31%26%
#7TJ FriedlTJ FriedlLHB
.173.268.0953%30%21%
.178.253.0752%31%20%
.152.236.0843%26%29%
.142.221.0793%26%35%
.135.203.0682%25%37%
.147.229.0823%26%31%
.147.217.0703%24%32%
.133.188.0552%22%37%
#8Ke'Bryan HayesKe'Bryan HayesRHB
.152.270.1189%44%19%
.157.255.0987%45%18%
.133.237.1048%39%26%
.109.196.0877%34%35%
.104.179.0756%32%38%
.113.202.0897%33%32%
.142.239.0979%39%26%
.128.208.0808%36%30%
#9Matt McLainMatt McLainRHB
.198.346.14810%40%24%
.204.326.1228%40%22%
.174.304.1308%35%32%
.143.250.1077%30%44%
.136.230.0947%29%47%
.148.259.1117%30%39%
.185.306.1219%35%32%
.167.266.0998%32%38%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Max Muncy
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M49.000178N/A5N/A.223.298.389.238.3017.9%90.4
Elly De La Cruz
SHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+436M38.000414N/A18N/A.276.355.500.224.36910.6%94.3
Sal Stewart
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+501M39.000482N/A24N/A.254.334.479.225.34810.6%90.5
JJ Bleday
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+637M39.000350N/A19N/A.227.341.464.237.35014.3%88.7
Tyler Stephenson
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+728M36.000304N/A9N/A.256.342.417.190.33411.5%90.8
Tyler Soderstrom
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+782M40.000415N/A17N/A.242.335.460.218.34311.6%90.5
Lawrence Butler
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+883M38.000328N/A6N/A.210.306.325.170.28511.9%90.2
Jeff McNeil
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+893M38.000338N/A4N/A.251.309.332.168.2866.8%90.2
Jacob Wilson
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1210M36.000304N/A7N/A.274.307.396.133.3083.9%89.3
Jonah Heim
SHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M34.000241N/A11N/A.232.286.436.119.3126.6%89.0
Ivan Johnson
SHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M33.00012N/AN/AN/A.100.250.100.000.19016.7%89.8
TJ Friedl
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1248M31.000236N/A3N/A.165.251.248.117.2328.5%88.9
Matt McLain
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M31.000324N/A8N/A.189.289.320.123.27711.4%89.1
Tommy White
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1447M32.00062N/AN/AN/A.283.306.317.032.2783.2%86.8
Alika Williams
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1329M33.000121N/A2N/A.265.294.407.092.3043.3%88.3
Henry Bolte
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1329M33.000250N/A4N/A.253.339.346.091.3117.6%88.3
Dane Myers
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1329M29.000187N/A3N/A.275.374.381.091.34112.3%88.3
Ke'Bryan Hayes
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1374M28.000163N/A4N/A.145.202.250.071.2055.5%87.8
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
ATH · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season108.3453.209.299.0901.22121.0010.8%27.4%22.3%17.1%27.4%8.396.3%34.8%24.5%
vs LHB63.0287.234.330.343.1091.5491.2913.6%27.4%19.5%27.4%8.006.3%34.8%24.5%
vs RHB46.0170.163.250.237.0740.7840.785.9%27.4%25.9%27.4%8.616.3%34.8%24.5%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3026.7113.177.302.1251.2041.3513.3%27.4%23.9%27.4%9.116.3%34.8%24.5%
L1516.770.197.295.0981.2021.0811.4%27.4%27.1%27.4%10.266.3%34.8%24.5%
Brady Singer
Brady Singer
CIN · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season113.7503.270.408.1381.42211.667.8%25.7%19.3%15.1%25.7%7.689.3%40.1%27.9%
vs LHB66.7305.288.371.446.1581.53152.026.6%25.7%21.6%25.7%8.919.3%40.1%27.9%
vs RHB39.7174.228.309.342.1141.3161.369.2%25.7%14.4%25.7%5.679.3%40.1%27.9%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3031.3129.220.246.0261.1210.297.0%25.7%20.2%25.7%7.479.3%40.1%27.9%
L1517.075.269.269.0001.5300.0010.7%25.7%20.0%25.7%7.949.3%40.1%27.9%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
ATH · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sinker34.2%.196.291.301.1050.0%23.0%25.0%30.2%0.0%93.50.0%36.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup20.3%.186.230.233.0470.0%35.1%23.9%20.6%0.0%87.90.0%23.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter17.4%.241.355.463.2220.0%22.7%6.2%14.8%0.0%90.40.0%39.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider15.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam12.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%93.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Brady Singer
Brady Singer
CIN · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sinker47.7%.288.382.473.1850.0%15.9%18.1%19.5%0.0%91.30.0%45.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider29.8%.216.309.371.1550.0%34.4%20.6%19.4%0.0%82.60.0%37.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper12.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%81.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter7.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam2.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%90.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-08-04 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Aug 2026