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SEA
SEA@CLE
FIRST PITCH
CLE
Game 5 of 15 Sun · Jun 28, 5:40 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · SEA vs Gavin Williams · CLE vs Emerson Hancock

#1Cal Raleigh
Cal RaleighSHB#6 · Secondary Power
SEA· Cvs CLE RHP Williams
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
85
Likely
76
kHR
88
Zone
73
Form
100%
EV
94.0
Brl%
17.1%
ISO
.342
xwOBA
.460
xwOBAc
.541
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
7.6%
SwtSp%
35.1%
HH%
55.7%
elite Barrel 17%, elite ISO .342, 94.0 EV+424MODEL
#2Colt Emerson
Colt EmersonLHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
SEA· SSvs CLE RHP Williams
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
75
Likely
71
kHR
83
Zone
69
Form
100%
EV
92.5
Brl%
13.1%
ISO
.261
xwOBA
.379
xwOBAc
.440
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
5.6%
SwtSp%
33.9%
HH%
49.6%
strong Barrel 13%, elite ISO .261, pull-side power+424MODEL
#3Cooper Ingle
Cooper IngleLHB#6 · Secondary Power
CLE· DHvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
48
Likely
56
kHR
75
Zone
58
Form
100%
EV
90.6
Brl%
13.1%
ISO
.271
xwOBA
.395
xwOBAc
.577
SwStr%
10.7%
PullBrl
5.6%
SwtSp%
41.9%
HH%
49.8%
strong Barrel 13%, elite ISO .271, park/wind suppresses+465MODEL
#4Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
SEA· DHvs CLE RHP Williams
🟡 Viable
Test
63
Ceil
68
Likely
60
kHR
67
Zone
56
Form
72%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.0%
ISO
.181
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.540
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.6%
park/wind suppresses, on-platoon (matchup soft)+626MODEL
#5Julio Rodríguez
Julio RodríguezRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
SEA· CFvs CLE RHP Williams
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
66
Likely
56
kHR
62
Zone
51
Form
70%
EV
90.3
Brl%
9.1%
ISO
.174
xwOBA
.345
xwOBAc
.504
SwStr%
14.3%
PullBrl
3.3%
SwtSp%
32.0%
HH%
44.3%
park/wind suppresses, on-platoon (matchup soft)+713MODEL
#6Travis Bazzana
Travis BazzanaLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CLE· 2Bvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟠 Longshot
Test
47
Ceil
30
Likely
40
kHR
57
Zone
40
Form
65%
EV
90.5
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.178
xwOBA
.385
xwOBAc
.479
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+834MODEL
#7Kyle Manzardo
Kyle ManzardoLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
CLE· 1Bvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟠 Longshot
Test
47
Ceil
28
Likely
40
kHR
60
Zone
39
Form
72%
EV
88.9
Brl%
11.8%
ISO
.162
xwOBA
.317
xwOBAc
.423
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
5.2%
SwtSp%
34.7%
HH%
41.7%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+758MODEL
#8Randy Arozarena
Randy ArozarenaRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
SEA· LFvs CLE RHP Williams
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
67
Likely
54
kHR
54
Zone
53
Form
50%
EV
91.6
Brl%
7.3%
ISO
.153
xwOBA
.344
xwOBAc
.469
SwStr%
12.8%
PullBrl
2.6%
SwtSp%
38.0%
HH%
43.4%
no standout edge+925MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — SEA
vs Gavin Williams (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

SEASEA
vs Gavin Williams (CLE)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — CLE
vs Emerson Hancock (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

CLECLE
vs Emerson Hancock (SEA)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
SEA vs Gavin Williams
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
SEA

SEA hitters

vsGavin Williams(CLECLE)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
SHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#6 · Secondary Power+424M80.984.673.000100%87.92,750408.342.460.54111.3%7.6%94.017.1%35.1%34.8%55.7%18.276
LHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M80.975.169.000100%82.846868.261.379.44011.3%5.6%92.513.1%33.9%33.2%49.6%16.771
LHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#3 · Premium RBI/Power+626M62.968.456.00072%66.61,049184.181.390.54011.3%3.7%90.59.0%32.7%31.6%43.6%15.360
RHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+713M54.966.351.00070%61.91,396252.174.345.50414.3%3.3%90.39.1%32.0%25.3%44.3%13.356
RHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#4 · Premium RBI/Power+925M44.967.453.00050%54.01,236202.153.344.46912.8%2.6%91.67.3%38.0%19.5%43.4%7.654
LHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#7 · Secondary Power+1109M40.960.051.00039%48.9854119.109.332.35811.3%2.2%88.75.5%31.6%30.2%38.2%14.049
LHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1065M38.960.359.00066%50.41,061177.153.342.4446.5%2.7%87.77.9%37.1%23.0%34.3%12.752
LHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1141M38.957.854.00043%47.01,279256.114.322.4759.9%2.3%87.95.1%33.5%23.0%38.1%14.549
LHBSEAvs CLE RHP Williams#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1158M38.958.554.00040%46.91,295240.117.328.47910.0%2.2%88.24.9%34.4%25.8%38.5%15.749
CLE vs Emerson Hancock
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
CLE

CLE hitters

vsEmerson Hancock(SEASEA)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#6 · Secondary Power+465M68.947.758.000100%75.21,221213.271.395.57710.7%5.6%90.613.1%41.9%30.2%49.8%16.956
LHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+834M46.930.340.00065%56.9862147.178.385.47911.3%3.7%90.58.9%32.7%31.6%43.4%15.240
LHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#4 · Premium RBI/Power+758M46.928.139.00072%60.11,002142.162.317.42314.0%5.2%88.911.8%34.7%31.9%41.7%18.940
LHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1229M28.927.238.00055%44.21,646262.148.324.38311.3%3.0%89.77.4%32.2%31.0%41.1%14.734
RHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#7 · Secondary Power+1229M28.926.838.00049%43.81,837270.143.316.40111.3%2.9%89.67.1%32.1%30.9%40.7%14.634
SHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1308M28.924.535.00032%41.21,763276.103.300.38511.3%2.0%88.65.1%31.5%30.1%37.7%13.931
LHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M28.929.438.00015%44.3314.000.410.50011.3%3.1%89.87.5%32.2%31.0%41.2%14.735
LHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1615M26.917.938.0009%33.21,178222.047.306.4053.2%0.1%83.10.4%38.3%24.2%9.7%15.127
SHBCLEvs SEA RHP Hancock#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1472M26.921.634.00032%36.71,170223.117.310.43411.7%1.1%86.42.7%33.3%22.4%31.9%12.728
SEA Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
SEA hitters vsGavin Williams(CLE)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1J.P. CrawfordJ.P. CrawfordLHB
.234.409.1759%38%15%
.241.387.1467%38%14%
.205.360.1558%33%20%
.192.338.1468%33%24%
.183.310.1277%31%25%
.199.350.1518%32%21%
.199.331.1327%31%22%
.180.288.1087%28%25%
#2Julio RodríguezJulio RodríguezRHB
.259.457.19810%48%23%
.267.431.1648%49%22%
.227.402.1759%42%31%
.186.331.1458%37%43%
.177.304.1277%35%46%
.193.342.1498%36%38%
.241.405.1649%42%31%
.218.352.1348%39%37%
#3Dominic CanzoneDominic CanzoneLHB
.289.593.30418%53%24%
.297.560.26314%54%23%
.253.522.26915%47%33%
.237.490.25315%46%40%
.225.450.22514%44%42%
.245.507.26216%45%36%
.246.480.23415%43%36%
.222.417.19513%40%42%
#4Randy ArozarenaRandy ArozarenaRHB
.298.470.1728%47%23%
.307.444.1376%48%22%
.261.413.1527%41%31%
.214.340.1266%36%43%
.204.312.1085%34%46%
.222.352.1306%35%38%
.278.416.1387%41%31%
.251.362.1117%38%36%
#5Josh NaylorJosh NaylorLHB
.271.403.1326%41%16%
.279.380.1014%42%15%
.237.354.1175%36%21%
.222.333.1115%36%26%
.211.305.0944%34%28%
.230.345.1155%35%23%
.230.326.0965%33%24%
.208.283.0754%31%27%
#6Cal RaleighCal RaleighSHB
.176.345.16912%35%27%
.181.325.14410%35%25%
.155.303.14811%30%36%
.138.271.13310%29%45%
.131.249.1189%27%49%
.143.281.13810%28%41%
.158.293.13511%29%38%
.143.255.11210%27%44%
#7Luke RaleyLuke RaleyLHB
.250.529.27919%53%35%
.257.500.24315%54%33%
.219.465.24617%47%47%
.205.437.23216%47%56%
.195.401.20615%44%60%
.212.453.24117%46%51%
.213.428.21516%43%52%
.192.372.18014%40%60%
#8Cole YoungCole YoungLHB
.264.399.1356%42%18%
.271.376.1054%43%17%
.231.351.1205%37%24%
.216.329.1135%37%29%
.206.302.0964%35%31%
.224.341.1175%36%26%
.224.323.0995%34%26%
.203.280.0774%32%31%
#9Colt EmersonColt EmersonLHB
.216.487.2717%33%28%
.222.460.2385%33%27%
.190.428.2386%29%38%
.177.403.2266%29%46%
.169.369.2005%27%49%
.184.417.2336%28%41%
.184.394.2106%27%42%
.166.343.1775%25%49%
CLE Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
CLE hitters vsEmerson Hancock(SEA)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Steven KwanSteven KwanLHB
.222.280.05855%10%8%
.228.264.03643%10%7%
.194.246.05248%9%10%
.182.231.04947%9%12%
.173.212.03942%8%13%
.188.239.05148%9%11%
.188.226.03846%8%11%
.170.197.02740%8%13%
#2Travis BazzanaTravis BazzanaLHB
.274.482.2086%40%22%
.282.455.1734%41%21%
.240.424.1845%35%30%
.225.398.1735%35%36%
.214.365.1514%33%39%
.233.412.1795%34%33%
.233.390.1575%32%33%
.211.339.1284%30%39%
#3Brayan RocchioBrayan RocchioSHB
.282.419.1373%34%20%
.291.396.1052%35%19%
.247.369.1223%30%27%
.221.330.1092%29%34%
.210.303.0932%27%36%
.229.341.1123%28%30%
.253.357.1043%29%28%
.229.310.0812%27%33%
#4Kyle ManzardoKyle ManzardoLHB
.245.429.18413%46%26%
.252.405.15310%47%25%
.214.377.16312%41%35%
.201.354.15311%40%42%
.191.325.13410%38%45%
.208.367.15912%39%38%
.208.347.13911%37%39%
.188.302.11410%34%45%
#5Daniel SchneemannDaniel SchneemannLHB
.219.367.1487%41%27%
.226.347.1216%42%26%
.192.323.1316%36%37%
.180.303.1236%36%45%
.171.278.1076%34%48%
.187.314.1276%35%40%
.187.297.1106%33%41%
.169.258.0895%31%48%
#6Cooper IngleCooper IngleLHB
#7Gabriel AriasGabriel AriasRHB
.202.374.17212%52%41%
.207.353.1469%53%38%
.177.329.15211%46%55%
.145.271.1269%40%75%
.138.248.1108%38%80%
.150.280.1309%39%67%
.188.331.14311%46%55%
.170.288.11810%43%64%
#8Patrick BaileyPatrick BaileySHB
.190.275.0857%42%23%
.195.260.0656%42%22%
.167.242.0756%37%32%
.148.217.0696%35%40%
.141.199.0585%33%43%
.154.224.0706%34%36%
.170.235.0656%35%33%
.154.204.0506%33%39%
#9Petey HalpinPetey HalpinLHB
.197.270.07310%31%25%
.203.255.0527%32%24%
.173.237.0648%27%34%
.162.223.0618%27%41%
.154.205.0517%26%43%
.168.231.0638%26%36%
.168.218.0508%25%37%
.152.190.0387%23%43%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Cal Raleigh
SHB#6 · Secondary Power+424M73.000218N/A8N/A.168.261.319.342.26211.5%94.0
Colt Emerson
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M69.000112N/A6N/A.206.277.451.261.3157.1%92.5
Cooper Ingle
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+465M58.000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A.271N/AN/A90.6
Dominic Canzone
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+626M56.000205N/A12N/A.275.346.549.181.3838.8%90.5
Julio Rodríguez
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+713M51.000354N/A14N/A.247.308.423.174.3207.3%90.3
Travis Bazzana
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+834M40.000213N/A7N/A.261.357.446.178.35212.2%90.5
Kyle Manzardo
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+758M39.000253N/A9N/A.233.328.397.162.32311.1%88.9
Randy Arozarena
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+925M53.000313N/A7N/A.284.371.435.153.3579.3%91.6
Luke Raley
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1109M51.000222N/A14N/A.238.300.490.109.3405.4%88.7
J.P. Crawford
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1065M59.000268N/A10N/A.223.347.379.153.32914.2%87.7
Josh Naylor
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1141M54.000324N/A8N/A.258.319.373.114.3067.7%87.9
Cole Young
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1158M54.000328N/A7N/A.251.315.369.117.3056.7%88.2
Daniel Schneemann
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1229M38.000227N/A6N/A.209.282.340.148.2799.3%89.7
Gabriel Arias
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1229M38.00054N/A2N/A.192.222.346.143.2483.7%89.6
Patrick Bailey
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1308M35.000162N/A2N/A.181.241.255.103.2267.4%88.6
Petey Halpin
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M38.00051N/AN/AN/A.188.204.250.000.2002.0%89.8
Steven Kwan
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1615M38.000299N/A1N/A.211.322.259.047.27413.0%83.1
Brayan Rocchio
SHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1472M34.000296N/A5N/A.269.344.388.117.3278.1%86.4
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
SEA · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season85.0335.218.333.1151.02121.275.7%23.2%24.2%16.2%23.2%8.5810.5%44.6%29.0%
vs LHB48.0190.218.297.352.1341.0481.505.8%23.2%24.7%23.2%8.8110.5%44.6%29.0%
vs RHB36.7145.212.266.299.0871.0140.985.5%23.2%23.4%23.2%8.3510.5%44.6%29.0%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3026.3106.194.316.1220.9541.375.7%23.2%19.8%23.2%7.1810.5%44.6%29.0%
L1514.364.271.373.1021.4021.266.2%23.2%17.2%23.2%6.9110.5%44.6%29.0%
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season96.7389.222.348.1261.14151.408.0%30.5%28.5%21.2%30.5%10.3313.0%49.0%23.3%
vs LHB60.0242.204.290.338.1341.05101.507.0%30.5%29.8%30.5%10.8013.0%49.0%23.3%
vs RHB35.3147.248.327.361.1131.3351.279.5%30.5%26.5%30.5%9.9313.0%49.0%23.3%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3027.3112.225.402.1771.1761.988.0%30.5%24.1%30.5%8.8913.0%49.0%23.3%
L1515.065.271.475.2041.4742.409.2%30.5%26.2%30.5%10.2013.0%49.0%23.3%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
SEA · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball37.7%.174.267.380.2060.0%24.6%32.6%22.8%0.0%95.30.0%59.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker24.8%.309.351.423.1140.0%12.3%7.5%16.0%0.0%94.80.0%46.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper19.0%.130.171.174.0440.0%36.0%42.9%19.3%0.0%77.20.0%8.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter11.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup5.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball1.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%76.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sweeper25.7%.185.254.321.1360.0%42.7%39.8%23.6%0.0%85.40.0%26.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam Fastball23.3%.205.308.384.1790.0%31.8%29.8%21.2%0.0%93.10.0%45.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball22.7%.209.284.407.1980.0%29.7%29.8%20.4%0.0%81.50.0%55.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker19.0%.258.321.394.1360.0%14.0%19.2%29.2%0.0%95.10.0%67.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter9.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%91.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-28 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026