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COL@DET
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DET
Game 1 of 15 Sun · Sep 13, 4:10 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · COL vs Jackson Jobe · DET vs Gabriel Hughes

#1Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakLHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
COL· DHvs DET RHP Jobe
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
77
Likely
66
kHR
81
Zone
52
Form
94%
EV
92.2
Brl%
12.4%
ISO
.248
xwOBA
.383
xwOBAc
.529
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
5.3%
SwtSp%
33.7%
HH%
48.6%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .248, pull-side power+424MODEL
#2Vimael Machín
Vimael MachínLHB#7 · Secondary Power
COL· 3Bvs DET RHP Jobe
🟢 Strong
Test
79
Ceil
76
Likely
67
kHR
83
Zone
54
Form
100%
EV
92.8
Brl%
13.7%
ISO
.273
xwOBA
.298
xwOBAc
.273
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
5.9%
SwtSp%
34.1%
HH%
50.5%
strong Barrel 14%, elite ISO .273, pull-side power+424MODEL
#3Riley Greene
Riley GreeneLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
DET· LFvs COL RHP Hughes
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
93
Likely
69
kHR
78
Zone
46
Form
84%
EV
90.4
Brl%
15.3%
ISO
.199
xwOBA
.374
xwOBAc
.518
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
5.8%
SwtSp%
40.2%
HH%
48.0%
elite Barrel 15%, off-platoon but elite power+424MODEL
#4Spencer Torkelson
Spencer TorkelsonRHB#7 · Secondary Power
DET· 1Bvs COL RHP Hughes
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
85
Likely
64
kHR
74
Zone
41
Form
80%
EV
89.3
Brl%
12.2%
ISO
.187
xwOBA
.309
xwOBAc
.408
SwStr%
13.7%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
41.3%
HH%
41.0%
strong Barrel 12%, pull-side power, off-platoon but elite power+482MODEL
#5Cole Carrigg
Cole CarriggSHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
COL· SSvs DET RHP Jobe
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
52
Likely
47
kHR
58
Zone
39
Form
56%
EV
90.5
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.178
xwOBA
.372
xwOBAc
.482
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+798MODEL
#6Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
DET· Cvs COL RHP Hughes
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
64
Likely
51
kHR
59
Zone
38
Form
84%
EV
88.5
Brl%
10.1%
ISO
.214
xwOBA
.341
xwOBAc
.494
SwStr%
10.7%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
38.9%
HH%
42.5%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+774MODEL
#7Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstryLHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
DET· RFvs COL RHP Hughes
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
68
Likely
51
kHR
58
Zone
33
Form
57%
EV
90.5
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.179
xwOBA
.372
xwOBAc
.478
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+798MODEL
#8Max Clark
Max ClarkLHB#6 · Secondary Power
DET· CFvs COL RHP Hughes
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
68
Likely
49
kHR
56
Zone
32
Form
53%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.7%
ISO
.174
xwOBA
.382
xwOBAc
.497
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.6%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
43.0%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+873MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — COL
vs Jackson Jobe (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

COLCOL
vs Jackson Jobe (DET)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — DET
vs Gabriel Hughes (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

DETDET
vs Gabriel Hughes (COL)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
COL + DET · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
COLvsDET

COL + DET hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
COL Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
COL hitters vsJackson Jobe(DET)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Jake McCarthyJake McCarthyLHB
.311.522.2116%31%18%
.320.493.1735%32%17%
.272.459.1875%27%25%
.255.431.1765%27%29%
.242.396.1545%26%31%
.264.446.1825%26%26%
.264.422.1585%25%27%
.239.367.1284%23%31%
#2Adael AmadorAdael AmadorSHB
.350.669.3199%27%12%
.360.631.2717%28%11%
.306.588.2828%24%16%
.273.526.2538%23%20%
.260.483.2237%21%21%
.283.545.2628%22%18%
.313.569.2568%23%16%
.283.495.2127%21%19%
#3Cole CarriggCole CarriggSHB
.275.475.2006%37%21%
.283.449.1665%38%20%
.241.418.1775%33%28%
.215.374.1595%31%36%
.204.343.1394%29%38%
.223.387.1645%30%32%
.246.405.1595%32%29%
.223.352.1295%29%34%
#4TJ RumfieldTJ RumfieldLHB
.313.492.1796%30%16%
.322.465.1434%31%15%
.274.433.1595%26%22%
.257.407.1505%26%27%
.244.373.1294%25%29%
.266.421.1555%26%24%
.266.399.1335%24%24%
.241.347.1064%22%28%
#5Mickey MoniakMickey MoniakLHB
.256.527.27111%44%25%
.264.498.2348%45%24%
.224.464.2409%39%34%
.210.436.2269%39%41%
.200.400.2008%36%44%
.218.451.2339%38%37%
.218.427.2099%36%38%
.197.371.1748%33%44%
#6Troy JohnstonTroy JohnstonLHB
.296.430.1343%40%21%
.305.406.1012%41%19%
.259.378.1192%35%28%
.243.355.1122%35%33%
.231.326.0952%33%36%
.252.368.1162%35%30%
.252.348.0962%33%30%
.228.302.0742%30%36%
#7Vimael MachínVimael MachínLHB
.350.360.0100%108%43%
.360.340.0000%110%40%
.306.316.0100%95%58%
.287.297.0100%95%69%
.273.273.0000%89%74%
.297.308.0110%92%62%
.297.291.0000%87%63%
.269.253.0000%81%74%
#8Brett SullivanBrett SullivanLHB
.247.451.2045%35%15%
.254.426.1724%36%14%
.216.397.1814%31%21%
.202.373.1714%31%25%
.192.342.1504%29%26%
.210.386.1764%30%22%
.210.365.1554%28%23%
.190.318.1284%26%26%
#9Zac VeenZac VeenLHB
.280.528.24813%42%38%
.288.499.21110%42%36%
.246.465.21911%37%51%
.230.436.20611%36%61%
.219.400.18110%34%66%
.238.452.21411%36%55%
.238.427.18911%34%56%
.216.372.1569%31%65%
DET Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
DET hitters vsGabriel Hughes(COL)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Kevin McGonigleKevin McGonigleLHB
.286.456.1708%40%14%
.294.430.1366%41%13%
.250.401.1517%35%19%
.234.377.1437%35%22%
.223.346.1236%33%24%
.243.390.1477%34%20%
.243.369.1267%32%21%
.220.321.1016%30%24%
#2Hao-Yu LeeHao-Yu LeeRHB
.275.451.1769%45%24%
.283.426.1437%45%23%
.241.397.1568%39%33%
.198.327.1297%34%45%
.188.300.1126%32%48%
.205.338.1337%33%40%
.256.400.1448%39%33%
.232.348.1167%36%38%
#3Colt KeithColt KeithLHB
.270.433.1639%46%19%
.278.409.1317%46%18%
.236.381.1457%40%26%
.221.358.1377%40%31%
.210.328.1187%38%33%
.229.371.1428%39%28%
.230.350.1207%37%28%
.208.305.0976%34%33%
#4Riley GreeneRiley GreeneLHB
.295.515.22017%52%26%
.303.487.18413%53%24%
.259.453.19414%45%35%
.242.426.18414%45%42%
.230.391.16113%43%44%
.251.441.19015%44%37%
.251.417.16614%42%38%
.227.363.13612%39%44%
#5Dillon DinglerDillon DinglerRHB
.258.497.23911%46%19%
.266.469.2039%47%18%
.226.437.21110%40%25%
.186.360.1748%35%35%
.177.330.1537%33%37%
.192.372.1809%34%31%
.240.440.20010%41%26%
.217.383.1669%38%30%
#6Max ClarkMax ClarkLHB
.287.483.196110%43%14%
.295.456.16185%44%13%
.251.425.17495%38%19%
.235.399.16495%38%23%
.224.366.14284%36%24%
.244.413.16997%37%20%
.244.391.14791%35%21%
.220.340.12081%33%24%
#7Spencer TorkelsonSpencer TorkelsonRHB
.231.437.20613%44%27%
.238.413.17510%45%25%
.202.385.18312%39%36%
.166.317.15110%34%50%
.158.291.1339%32%53%
.172.328.15610%33%45%
.215.388.17312%39%37%
.194.337.14311%36%43%
#8Zach McKinstryZach McKinstryLHB
.221.335.1142%23%14%
.227.316.0892%24%14%
.193.294.1012%20%19%
.181.277.0962%20%23%
.172.254.0822%19%25%
.187.286.0992%20%21%
.188.271.0832%19%21%
.170.236.0662%17%25%
#9John PeckJohn PeckRHB
.237.279.04214%45%24%
.244.263.01911%46%22%
.208.245.03712%40%32%
.170.202.03211%35%44%
.162.185.02310%33%47%
.177.209.03211%34%39%
.221.247.02613%40%32%
.200.215.01512%37%37%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHand★SpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Mickey Moniak
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+424M52.000399N/A22N/A.244.283.488.248.3275.0%92.2
Vimael Machín
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+424M54.0003N/AN/AN/A.333.333.333.273.2970.0%92.8
Riley Greene
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M46.000536N/A19N/A.281.369.477.199.36711.9%90.4
Spencer Torkelson
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+482M41.000558N/A22N/A.220.312.405.187.31710.8%89.3
Cole Carrigg
SHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+798M39.000313N/A7N/A.262.334.440.178.3358.9%90.5
Dillon Dingler
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+774M38.000567N/A27N/A.246.306.460.214.3325.6%88.5
Zach McKinstry
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+798M33.000398N/A4N/A.210.291.310.179.2719.5%90.5
Max Clark
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+873M32.000150N/A3N/A.273.351.447.174.3488.7%90.3
Jake McCarthy
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1248M35.000538N/A15N/A.296.340.483.188.3545.2%85.4
Kevin McGonigle
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1175M36.000645N/A17N/A.272.372.422.146.35313.5%87.9
Troy Johnston
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1192M37.000421N/A4N/A.282.352.398.143.3338.6%89.6
Brett Sullivan
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1175M37.000214N/A7N/A.235.282.418.000.3026.1%89.8
Zac Veen
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M35.00054N/A2N/A.267.365.489.117.37211.1%88.9
Colt Keith
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M31.000410N/A10N/A.257.317.401.157.3167.1%89.9
Adael Amador
SHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1329M33.00049N/A3N/A.333.417.619.088.43810.2%88.2
TJ Rumfield
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1329M40.000583N/A15N/A.298.389.456.158.37411.7%84.2
Hao-Yu Lee
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1422M33.000303N/A8N/A.262.321.418.126.3238.3%87.6
John Peck
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1447M26.00038N/AN/AN/A.226.342.258.032.28610.5%86.8
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Gabriel Hughes
Gabriel Hughes
COL · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season54.3239.259—.329.0701.4050.838.4%20.0%19.7%8.1%20.0%7.79——4.5%29.2%26.4%——
vs LHB37.7164.243.285.303.0601.3030.727.3%20.0%15.9%—20.0%6.21——4.5%29.2%26.4%——
vs RHB19.086.273.333.351.0781.5820.9510.5%20.0%25.6%—20.0%10.42——4.5%29.2%26.4%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3023.7107.278—.371.0931.5231.148.4%20.0%15.9%—20.0%6.46——4.5%29.2%26.4%——
L1514.765.259—.310.0511.4310.619.2%20.0%20.0%—20.0%7.98——4.5%29.2%26.4%——
Jackson Jobe
Jackson Jobe
DET · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season29.3129.254—.412.1581.4061.849.3%19.2%21.7%—19.2%8.59——9.6%36.9%22.6%——
vs LHB20.084.213.327.373.1601.2541.8010.7%19.2%19.0%—19.2%7.20——9.6%36.9%22.6%——
vs RHB8.041.316.356.395.0791.8811.127.3%19.2%24.4%—19.2%11.25——9.6%36.9%22.6%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3020.790.241—.392.1511.4041.7411.1%19.2%22.2%—19.2%8.71——9.6%36.9%22.6%——
L1511.049.244—.511.2671.3643.278.2%19.2%26.5%—19.2%10.64——9.6%36.9%22.6%——
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Gabriel Hughes
Gabriel Hughes
COL · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball51.8%—.276.336.378.102—0.0%17.5%16.1%15.6%0.0%92.4——0.0%26.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup11.3%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.7——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball11.1%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%78.7——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker9.4%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.9——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper8.9%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.5——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider7.6%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jackson Jobe
Jackson Jobe
DET · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam36.3%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%97.7——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider22.7%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%90.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker17.5%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%96.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball11.6%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.9——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup11.0%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.1——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter1.0%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%94.5——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-09-13 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026