Clutch Algorithm
Clutch.Algorithm
Joined The Discord https://discord.gg/SjztzK55Gz
Command Center

Game View

MLB · Sticky nav for prev/next · Auto-refreshes
CT
TOR
TOR@HOU
IN PROGRESS
HOU
Game 1 of 15 Wed · Aug 5, 12:10 AM
Quick switch
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · TOR vs Hayden Wesneski · HOU vs Trey Yesavage

#1Yordan Alvarez
Yordan AlvarezLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
HOU· DHvs TOR RHP Yesavage
🔥 Elite
Test
80
Ceil
102
Likely
79
kHR
89
Zone
58
Form
100%
EV
94.5
Brl%
18.3%
ISO
.318
xwOBA
.474
xwOBAc
.692
SwStr%
8.4%
PullBrl
7.7%
SwtSp%
41.5%
HH%
53.8%
elite Barrel 18%, elite ISO .318, 94.5 EV+424MODEL
#2Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma OkamotoRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
TOR· 3Bvs HOU RHP Wesneski
🟢 Strong
Test
70
Ceil
53
Likely
54
kHR
76
Zone
41
Form
96%
EV
90.7
Brl%
13.1%
ISO
.217
xwOBA
.313
xwOBAc
.426
SwStr%
15.8%
PullBrl
6.7%
SwtSp%
31.1%
HH%
45.3%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .217, pull-side power+448MODEL
#3Christian Walker
Christian WalkerRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
HOU· 1Bvs TOR RHP Yesavage
🟠 Longshot
Test
56
Ceil
59
Likely
49
kHR
64
Zone
28
Form
85%
EV
89.4
Brl%
10.0%
ISO
.220
xwOBA
.304
xwOBAc
.420
SwStr%
15.4%
PullBrl
4.4%
SwtSp%
31.7%
HH%
42.3%
strong Barrel 10%, power ISO .220 (matchup soft)+680MODEL
#4Jeremy Peña
Jeremy PeñaRHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
HOU· SSvs TOR RHP Yesavage
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
63
Likely
49
kHR
56
Zone
34
Form
62%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.173
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.542
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
43.0%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+853MODEL
#5Yainer Diaz
Yainer DiazRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
HOU· Cvs TOR RHP Yesavage
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
60
Likely
47
kHR
56
Zone
34
Form
62%
EV
90.0
Brl%
8.1%
ISO
.161
xwOBA
.330
xwOBAc
.465
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.3%
SwtSp%
32.4%
HH%
42.1%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+873MODEL
#6Cam Smith
Cam SmithRHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
HOU· RFvs TOR RHP Yesavage
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
61
Likely
48
kHR
59
Zone
32
Form
66%
EV
89.4
Brl%
11.1%
ISO
.156
xwOBA
.325
xwOBAc
.458
SwStr%
13.7%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
29.9%
HH%
44.5%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+782MODEL
#7Isaac Paredes
Isaac ParedesRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
HOU· 3Bvs TOR RHP Yesavage
🔴 Fade
Test
34
Ceil
51
Likely
42
kHR
45
Zone
38
Form
59%
EV
86.2
Brl%
5.8%
ISO
.165
xwOBA
.324
xwOBAc
.435
SwStr%
6.9%
PullBrl
2.9%
SwtSp%
38.5%
HH%
29.1%
off-platoon+1210MODEL
#8Nathan Lukes
Nathan LukesLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
TOR· RFvs HOU RHP Wesneski
🔴 Fade
Test
32
Ceil
34
Likely
35
kHR
47
Zone
32
Form
55%
EV
89.8
Brl%
7.6%
ISO
.152
xwOBA
.353
xwOBAc
.459
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.1%
SwtSp%
32.3%
HH%
41.4%
off-platoon+1158MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — TOR
vs Hayden Wesneski (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

TORTOR
vs Hayden Wesneski (HOU)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — HOU
vs Trey Yesavage (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

HOUHOU
vs Trey Yesavage (TOR)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
TOR + HOU · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
TORvsHOU

TOR + HOU hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
TOR Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
TOR hitters vsHayden Wesneski(HOU)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Nathan LukesNathan LukesLHB
.290.414.124110%30%15%
.298.391.09385%31%14%
.254.364.11095%27%20%
.238.342.10495%26%24%
.226.314.08884%25%26%
.246.354.10897%26%21%
.246.335.08991%24%22%
.223.291.06881%23%26%
#2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Vladimir Guerrero Jr.RHB
.277.383.1068%48%17%
.285.362.0776%49%16%
.243.337.0947%42%23%
.199.278.0796%37%32%
.189.255.0665%35%34%
.206.287.0816%36%28%
.258.340.0827%42%23%
.233.295.0626%39%27%
#3Kazuma OkamotoKazuma OkamotoRHB
.240.483.24315%49%28%
.247.456.20911%50%27%
.211.425.21413%43%38%
.173.350.17711%37%53%
.164.321.15710%35%56%
.179.362.18311%37%47%
.224.428.20413%43%38%
.202.372.17012%40%45%
#4George SpringerGeorge SpringerRHB
.251.444.1938%44%20%
.258.419.1617%44%18%
.220.390.1707%38%26%
.180.321.1416%34%36%
.172.295.1236%32%39%
.187.333.1466%33%33%
.234.393.1598%39%27%
.211.342.1317%36%31%
#5Alejandro KirkAlejandro KirkRHB
.248.366.1183%43%16%
.255.346.0912%44%15%
.217.322.1053%38%21%
.178.265.0872%33%29%
.169.243.0742%31%31%
.185.274.0892%32%26%
.231.324.0933%38%21%
.209.282.0733%35%25%
#6Jesús SánchezJesús SánchezLHB
.286.468.18212%50%22%
.294.442.1489%51%21%
.250.411.16110%44%30%
.234.386.15210%44%36%
.223.355.1329%41%39%
.243.400.15710%43%32%
.243.378.13510%40%33%
.220.329.1099%37%39%
#7Ernie ClementErnie ClementRHB
.303.448.1453%23%14%
.312.423.1112%24%13%
.266.394.1282%20%19%
.218.325.1072%18%26%
.207.298.0912%17%28%
.226.336.1102%17%23%
.283.397.1142%21%19%
.255.345.0902%19%22%
#8Andrés GiménezAndrés GiménezLHB
.244.380.1364%25%21%
.251.359.1083%26%20%
.213.334.1214%22%28%
.200.314.1144%22%34%
.190.288.0983%21%36%
.207.325.1184%22%30%
.207.308.1014%20%31%
.187.268.0813%19%36%
#9Myles StrawMyles StrawRHB
.227.338.1114%26%10%
.233.319.0863%27%9%
.199.297.0984%23%13%
.163.245.0823%20%18%
.155.225.0703%19%19%
.169.253.0843%20%16%
.211.299.0884%23%13%
.191.260.0693%22%15%
HOU Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
HOU hitters vsTrey Yesavage(TOR)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Jeremy PeñaJeremy PeñaRHB
.338.571.2337%45%25%
.348.540.1925%46%23%
.296.503.2076%39%33%
.243.414.1715%34%46%
.231.380.1494%33%49%
.252.428.1765%34%41%
.315.506.1916%40%34%
.285.440.1555%37%39%
#2Yordan AlvarezYordan AlvarezLHB
.348.704.35620%58%17%
.357.665.30816%59%16%
.305.619.31418%51%22%
.285.582.29717%51%27%
.271.534.26316%48%29%
.295.602.30718%50%24%
.296.570.27417%47%25%
.267.496.22915%43%29%
#3Isaac ParedesIsaac ParedesRHB
.267.456.1896%32%13%
.274.430.1565%32%13%
.234.401.1676%28%18%
.192.330.1385%24%25%
.182.303.1214%23%27%
.199.342.1435%24%22%
.248.404.1566%28%18%
.225.351.1265%26%21%
#4Daulton VarshoDaulton VarshoLHB
.255.405.1507%39%17%
.262.383.1216%40%16%
.224.356.1326%35%23%
.209.335.1266%35%28%
.199.307.1086%33%30%
.217.347.1306%34%25%
.217.328.1116%32%26%
.196.285.0895%30%30%
#5Christian WalkerChristian WalkerRHB
.250.497.24711%46%26%
.257.469.2128%46%24%
.219.437.2189%40%35%
.180.360.1808%35%48%
.171.330.1597%33%51%
.186.372.1868%34%43%
.233.440.20710%40%35%
.210.383.1739%37%41%
#6Jose AltuveJose AltuveRHB
.245.415.1706%36%19%
.252.392.1405%36%18%
.214.365.1515%31%26%
.176.300.1244%27%35%
.167.276.1094%26%38%
.182.311.1295%27%32%
.228.367.1395%32%26%
.206.319.1135%29%30%
#7Taylor TrammellTaylor TrammellLHB
.253.432.17912%38%34%
.260.408.1489%38%32%
.222.380.15810%33%46%
.208.357.14910%33%55%
.197.328.1319%31%59%
.215.370.15510%32%49%
.215.350.13510%30%50%
.195.304.1099%28%59%
#8Yainer DiazYainer DiazRHB
.269.453.1846%37%19%
.276.427.1515%38%18%
.236.398.1626%33%26%
.193.328.1355%28%35%
.184.301.1174%27%37%
.200.339.1395%28%31%
.250.401.1516%33%26%
.226.349.1235%30%30%
#9Cam SmithCam SmithRHB
.224.401.17712%48%24%
.230.378.14810%49%23%
.196.352.15611%42%33%
.161.290.1299%37%45%
.153.266.1138%35%48%
.167.300.13310%36%41%
.208.355.14711%43%33%
.188.309.12110%39%39%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Yordan Alvarez
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M58.000488N/A35N/A.331.443.652.318.45115.8%94.5
Kazuma Okamoto
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+448M41.000444N/A24N/A.229.304.447.217.3278.6%90.7
Christian Walker
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+680M28.000451N/A22N/A.238.315.460.220.3358.4%89.4
Jeremy Peña
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+853M34.000280N/A13N/A.322.375.529.173.3906.1%90.3
Yainer Diaz
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+873M34.000213N/A8N/A.256.282.419.161.3023.3%90.0
Cam Smith
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+782M32.000411N/A13N/A.213.285.371.156.2908.0%89.4
Isaac Paredes
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1210M38.000453N/A15N/A.254.351.422.165.3429.7%86.2
Nathan Lukes
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1158M32.000269N/A5N/A.276.335.383.152.3196.3%89.8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1192M33.000448N/A6N/A.264.342.355.091.30910.0%90.3
George Springer
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M32.000356N/A12N/A.239.320.411.170.3229.8%88.8
Alejandro Kirk
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M32.000144N/A3N/A.236.319.339.139.29111.1%89.5
Jesús Sánchez
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1158M33.000236N/A7N/A.272.314.433.158.3224.2%90.0
Myles Straw
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M29.000196N/A3N/A.216.273.313.105.2617.1%88.6
Taylor Trammell
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1192M32.000165N/A5N/A.241.329.400.136.3249.1%89.4
Ernie Clement
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1422M30.000442N/A8N/A.289.314.415.125.3183.4%84.9
Andrés Giménez
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1351M22.000354N/A7N/A.232.276.352.118.2763.1%85.8
Daulton Varsho
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M33.000365N/A7N/A.243.307.375.131.3007.9%86.2
Jose Altuve
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1308M32.000378N/A12N/A.233.297.384.149.2998.2%85.6
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
TOR · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season93.7386.180.269.0891.14100.9611.9%30.2%23.6%19.4%30.2%8.746.2%34.0%27.8%
vs LHB51.0217.190.279.270.0801.2550.8812.9%30.2%21.2%30.2%8.126.2%34.0%27.8%
vs RHB40.7162.172.265.276.1041.0351.1110.5%30.2%27.8%30.2%9.966.2%34.0%27.8%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3020.388.189.311.1221.3831.3315.9%30.2%26.1%30.2%10.186.2%34.0%27.8%
L1512.751.174.304.1301.0221.429.8%30.2%25.5%30.2%9.246.2%34.0%27.8%
Hayden Wesneski
Hayden Wesneski
HOU · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season10.745.268.268.0001.3100.006.7%26.3%17.8%7.8%26.3%6.755.6%50.0%11.1%
vs LHB2.010.222.250.222.0001.5000.0010.0%26.3%0.0%26.3%0.005.6%50.0%11.1%
vs RHB3.715.357.347.357.0001.6400.006.7%26.3%26.7%26.3%9.825.6%50.0%11.1%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3010.745.268.268.0001.3100.006.7%26.3%17.8%26.3%6.755.6%50.0%11.1%
L1510.745.268.268.0001.3100.006.7%26.3%17.8%26.3%6.755.6%50.0%11.1%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
TOR · RHP · 3 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball46.6%.201.309.365.1640.0%20.1%18.6%19.2%0.0%94.30.0%39.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Split-Finger28.8%.138.220.234.0960.0%39.0%30.6%17.6%0.0%82.90.0%20.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider24.6%.225.335.451.2260.0%38.9%27.7%21.7%0.0%87.60.0%38.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Hayden Wesneski
Hayden Wesneski
HOU · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sweeper30.3%.174.258.348.1740.0%43.3%46.0%25.8%0.0%80.80.0%26.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam22.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%93.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker22.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter17.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%88.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup6.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball1.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%72.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-08-04 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

21+ Only · Clutch Algorithm is an analytics research platform for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not a sportsbook. No wagers are accepted, processed, or facilitated on this site. Projected probabilities, model HR%, and synthesized odds are model outputs — not guaranteed outcomes. Past performance does not predict future results.

Gamble responsibly. If gambling becomes a problem, call the National Council on Problem Gambling helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Self-exclusion programs and time-limit tools are available via your state lottery commission.

© 2026 Clutch Algorithm · All rights reserved

Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Aug 2026