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LAD
LAD@MIA
FIRST PITCH
MIA
Game 7 of 15 Sun · Sep 13, 5:40 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · LAD vs Eury Pérez · MIA vs Emmet Sheehan

#1Kyle Stowers
Kyle StowersLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
MIA· 1Bvs LAD RHP Sheehan
🟢 Strong
Test
78
Ceil
62
Likely
60
kHR
80
Zone
46
Form
85%
EV
92.5
Brl%
12.4%
ISO
.223
xwOBA
.331
xwOBAc
.449
SwStr%
19.0%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
35.3%
HH%
56.2%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .223, pull-side power+424MODEL
#2Max Muncy
Max MuncyLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
LAD· DHvs MIA RHP Pérez
🟢 Strong
Test
74
Ceil
60
Likely
59
kHR
78
Zone
49
Form
99%
EV
90.5
Brl%
13.1%
ISO
.241
xwOBA
.350
xwOBAc
.476
SwStr%
13.1%
PullBrl
6.8%
SwtSp%
35.4%
HH%
46.8%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .241, pull-side power+424MODEL
#3Will Smith
Will SmithRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
LAD· Cvs MIA RHP Pérez
🟠 Longshot
Test
48
Ceil
39
Likely
43
kHR
60
Zone
37
Form
76%
EV
89.2
Brl%
11.5%
ISO
.190
xwOBA
.324
xwOBAc
.460
SwStr%
14.1%
PullBrl
4.3%
SwtSp%
31.1%
HH%
44.9%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+750MODEL
#4Freddie Freeman
Freddie FreemanLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
LAD· 1Bvs MIA RHP Pérez
🟠 Longshot
Test
44
Ceil
39
Likely
42
kHR
54
Zone
42
Form
56%
EV
89.5
Brl%
8.2%
ISO
.156
xwOBA
.369
xwOBAc
.530
SwStr%
11.2%
PullBrl
2.7%
SwtSp%
38.7%
HH%
41.3%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+925MODEL
#5Heriberto Hernández
Heriberto HernándezRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
MIA· LFvs LAD RHP Sheehan
🟠 Longshot
Test
44
Ceil
40
Likely
42
kHR
55
Zone
40
Form
66%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.172
xwOBA
.378
xwOBAc
.485
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
42.9%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+904MODEL
#6Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
MIA· DHvs LAD RHP Sheehan
🟠 Longshot
Test
44
Ceil
39
Likely
41
kHR
54
Zone
39
Form
53%
EV
90.1
Brl%
8.2%
ISO
.165
xwOBA
.353
xwOBAc
.462
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.4%
SwtSp%
32.5%
HH%
42.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+914MODEL
#7Jared Serna
Jared SernaRHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
MIA· 2Bvs LAD RHP Sheehan
🟠 Longshot
Test
44
Ceil
39
Likely
41
kHR
54
Zone
39
Form
33%
EV
90.2
Brl%
8.3%
ISO
.167
xwOBA
.334
xwOBAc
.459
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.4%
SwtSp%
32.5%
HH%
42.5%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+914MODEL
#8Joe Mack
Joe MackLHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
MIA· Cvs LAD RHP Sheehan
🟠 Longshot
Test
44
Ceil
39
Likely
42
kHR
55
Zone
40
Form
72%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.6%
ISO
.172
xwOBA
.334
xwOBAc
.437
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
42.9%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+904MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — LAD
vs Eury Pérez (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

LADLAD
vs Eury Pérez (MIA)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — MIA
vs Emmet Sheehan (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

MIAMIA
vs Emmet Sheehan (LAD)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
LAD + MIA · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
LADvsMIA

LAD + MIA hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LAD Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
LAD hitters vsEury Pérez(MIA)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Mookie BettsMookie BettsRHB
.260.467.2079%41%11%
.268.441.1737%42%10%
.228.410.1828%36%15%
.187.338.1517%32%20%
.178.310.1326%30%21%
.194.350.1567%31%18%
.242.413.1718%37%15%
.219.359.1407%34%17%
#2Freddie FreemanFreddie FreemanLHB
.310.486.1769%44%19%
.319.459.1407%45%18%
.271.427.1568%39%26%
.254.402.1488%39%31%
.242.369.1277%37%33%
.263.416.1538%38%28%
.263.393.1307%36%28%
.238.342.1047%33%33%
#3Max MuncyMax MuncyLHB
.270.542.27215%51%25%
.278.512.23411%52%23%
.236.477.24113%45%34%
.221.448.22713%45%40%
.210.411.20111%42%43%
.229.464.23513%44%36%
.230.439.20912%41%37%
.208.382.17411%38%43%
#4Will SmithWill SmithRHB
.251.408.15714%43%14%
.258.386.12811%44%13%
.220.359.13912%38%19%
.180.296.11610%33%26%
.172.271.0999%31%28%
.187.306.11911%32%23%
.234.362.12813%38%19%
.211.314.10311%35%22%
#5Kyle TuckerKyle TuckerLHB
.239.402.1637%40%18%
.246.379.1335%41%17%
.210.353.1436%35%25%
.196.332.1366%35%30%
.187.305.1185%33%32%
.203.344.1416%34%27%
.204.325.1216%32%27%
.184.283.0995%30%32%
#6Josue De PaulaJosue De PaulaLHB
——————
——————
——————
——————
——————
——————
——————
——————
#7Alex CallAlex CallRHB
.255.341.0862%17%15%
.262.322.0601%17%14%
.224.300.0762%15%20%
.183.247.0641%13%28%
.174.227.0531%12%30%
.190.256.0661%13%25%
.238.302.0642%15%20%
.215.263.0482%14%24%
#8Miguel RojasMiguel RojasRHB
.285.423.1385%38%14%
.293.400.1074%38%13%
.249.372.1235%33%19%
.204.307.1034%29%26%
.194.281.0874%27%28%
.212.317.1054%28%24%
.265.375.1105%33%19%
.240.326.0864%31%23%
#9Alex FreelandAlex FreelandSHB
.236.327.0917%41%24%
.243.309.0665%42%23%
.207.288.0816%36%32%
.184.258.0745%34%41%
.176.236.0605%32%44%
.191.267.0766%33%37%
.211.279.0686%35%34%
.191.242.0515%32%40%
MIA Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
MIA hitters vsEmmet Sheehan(LAD)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Kyle StowersKyle StowersLHB
.254.499.24514%61%31%
.261.471.21011%62%29%
.223.439.21612%54%42%
.208.412.20412%53%50%
.198.378.18011%50%53%
.216.427.21112%52%45%
.216.404.18812%49%46%
.195.351.15610%46%53%
#2Heriberto HernándezHeriberto HernándezRHB
.236.488.25215%52%29%
.243.461.21812%53%27%
.207.429.22213%45%39%
.170.353.18311%40%53%
.161.324.16310%37%56%
.176.366.19012%39%47%
.220.432.21214%46%39%
.199.376.17712%42%45%
#3Griffin ConineGriffin ConineLHB
.278.526.24817%54%31%
.286.497.21113%55%29%
.244.463.21914%48%42%
.228.435.20714%48%51%
.217.399.18213%45%54%
.237.450.21315%47%46%
.237.426.18914%44%47%
.214.370.15612%41%54%
#4Otto LopezOtto LopezRHB
.326.482.1567%44%16%
.335.455.1205%45%15%
.285.424.1396%39%22%
.234.349.1155%34%30%
.222.320.0985%32%32%
.242.361.1195%33%27%
.303.427.1246%39%22%
.274.371.0975%36%25%
#5Jakob MarseeJakob MarseeLHB
.232.364.1324%38%16%
.239.344.1053%39%15%
.203.320.1173%33%21%
.190.301.1113%33%25%
.181.276.0953%31%27%
.197.311.1144%33%23%
.197.295.0983%31%23%
.178.256.0783%28%27%
#6Javier SanojaJavier SanojaRHB
.307.476.1692%34%10%
.315.450.1352%35%9%
.269.419.1502%30%13%
.220.345.1252%26%18%
.210.316.1062%25%20%
.228.357.1292%26%16%
.285.422.1372%30%13%
.258.367.1092%28%16%
#7Esteury RuizEsteury RuizRHB
.234.422.1889%29%28%
.241.399.1587%30%27%
.205.371.1668%26%38%
.168.306.1387%23%53%
.160.281.1216%21%56%
.174.317.1437%22%47%
.218.374.1568%26%38%
.197.325.1287%24%45%
#8Jared SernaJared SernaRHB
.263.450.18712%72%24%
.270.425.1559%73%23%
.230.396.16611%63%33%
.189.326.1379%55%45%
.179.299.1208%52%48%
.196.338.1429%54%40%
.244.399.15511%64%33%
.221.347.12610%59%39%
#9Joe MackJoe MackLHB
.246.438.1929%42%22%
.253.414.1617%42%20%
.215.386.1718%37%29%
.201.362.1618%36%35%
.192.333.1417%34%38%
.209.375.1668%36%31%
.209.355.1468%34%32%
.189.309.1207%31%37%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHand★SpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Kyle Stowers
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M46.000468N/A19N/A.242.332.462.223.34310.0%92.5
Max Muncy
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+424M49.000512N/A28N/A.257.354.502.241.36912.3%90.5
Will Smith
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+750M37.000235N/A7N/A.239.332.378.190.31711.5%89.2
Freddie Freeman
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+925M42.000604N/A16N/A.295.373.450.156.36010.8%89.5
Heriberto Hernández
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+904M40.000446N/A24N/A.225.309.452.172.33110.1%90.3
Griffin Conine
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+914M39.000276N/A15N/A.265.366.487.165.37412.0%90.1
Jared Serna
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+914M39.00014N/AN/AN/A.250.286.417.167.2947.1%90.2
Joe Mack
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+904M40.000302N/A13N/A.234.282.406.172.3015.6%90.3
Kyle Tucker
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M39.000571N/A14N/A.228.324.372.145.31012.3%88.8
Mookie Betts
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1192M46.000470N/A20N/A.248.313.432.179.3248.3%90.2
Josue De Paula
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1210M38.0008N/AN/AN/AN/A.375N/A.000.26237.5%89.8
Alex Call
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1267M36.000183N/A1N/A.243.361.316.118.31412.0%89.0
Miguel Rojas
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M37.000223N/A3N/A.271.312.392.135.3065.8%89.4
Alex Freeland
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M36.000251N/A3N/A.225.310.303.120.28110.8%89.0
Otto Lopez
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M41.000631N/A10N/A.310.350.446.137.3465.4%89.0
Javier Sanoja
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1192M38.000435N/A8N/A.292.332.441.153.3365.7%89.8
Esteury Ruiz
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1210M38.000220N/A6N/A.223.339.391.143.32910.0%89.6
Jakob Marsee
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1397M37.000568N/A9N/A.221.340.337.116.31012.9%87.4
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Emmet Sheehan
Emmet Sheehan
LAD · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season101.0433.244—.404.1601.26211.877.2%31.4%27.3%17.2%31.4%10.51——10.5%39.5%30.1%——
vs LHB54.0237.259.360.436.1771.37132.177.2%31.4%26.2%—31.4%10.33——10.5%39.5%30.1%——
vs RHB46.7196.214.298.346.1321.1481.547.1%31.4%28.6%—31.4%10.80——10.5%39.5%30.1%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3024.0104.242—.432.1901.2162.255.8%31.4%30.8%—31.4%12.00——10.5%39.5%30.1%——
L1513.358.231—.462.2311.2042.706.9%31.4%32.8%—31.4%12.82——10.5%39.5%30.1%——
Eury Pérez
Eury Pérez
MIA · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season139.3581.217—.317.1001.24171.1010.7%28.8%25.8%14.0%28.8%9.69——10.2%39.3%29.1%——
vs LHB79.3326.201.271.263.0621.2060.6811.3%28.8%28.8%—28.8%10.66——10.2%39.3%29.1%——
vs RHB59.0255.230.329.374.1441.32111.689.8%28.8%22.0%—28.8%8.54——10.2%39.3%29.1%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3022.7110.283—.413.1301.9441.5916.4%28.8%20.0%—28.8%8.74——10.2%39.3%29.1%——
L1511.766.375—.589.2142.6543.0915.2%28.8%19.7%—28.8%10.03——10.2%39.3%29.1%——
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Emmet Sheehan
Emmet Sheehan
LAD · RHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball42.7%—.250.391.614.364—0.0%30.2%25.6%20.9%0.0%94.4——0.0%49.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider29.7%—.223.302.432.209—0.0%38.4%34.2%27.7%0.0%86.6——0.0%33.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup16.1%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.5——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball11.5%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%77.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Eury Pérez
Eury Pérez
MIA · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball37.9%—.209.333.382.173—0.0%23.2%27.9%22.4%0.0%98.2——0.0%44.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker17.9%—.287.344.383.096—0.0%15.9%11.2%12.5%0.0%97.7——0.0%41.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider16.6%—.176.278.368.192—0.0%43.6%28.9%19.8%0.0%88.4——0.0%39.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper13.2%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.7——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup8.6%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%90.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball5.9%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.8——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-09-13 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026