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CIN
CIN@MIL
FIRST PITCH
MIL
Game 9 of 15 Sun · Sep 13, 6:10 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · CIN vs Robert Gasser · MIL vs Chase Burns

#1Eugenio Suárez
Eugenio SuárezRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
CIN· 3Bvs MIL LHP Gasser
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
98
Likely
75
kHR
85
Zone
52
Form
100%
EV
93.5
Brl%
14.9%
ISO
.298
xwOBA
.399
xwOBAc
.491
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
6.5%
SwtSp%
34.5%
HH%
52.3%
elite Barrel 15%, elite ISO .298, 93.5 EV+424MODEL
#2Jake Bauers
Jake BauersLHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
MIL· 1Bvs CIN RHP Burns
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
84
Likely
68
kHR
84
Zone
46
Form
96%
EV
92.5
Brl%
13.8%
ISO
.225
xwOBA
.378
xwOBAc
.496
SwStr%
11.6%
PullBrl
5.9%
SwtSp%
37.2%
HH%
53.2%
strong Barrel 14%, power ISO .225, off-platoon but elite power+424MODEL
#3Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzSHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
CIN· SSvs MIL LHP Gasser
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
80
Likely
64
kHR
79
Zone
40
Form
96%
EV
94.5
Brl%
15.9%
ISO
.226
xwOBA
.373
xwOBAc
.530
SwStr%
11.5%
PullBrl
5.3%
SwtSp%
36.5%
HH%
53.0%
elite Barrel 16%, power ISO .226, 94.5 EV+424MODEL
#4Jackson Chourio
Jackson ChourioRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
MIL· LFvs CIN RHP Burns
🟡 Viable
Test
63
Ceil
61
Likely
55
kHR
71
Zone
41
Form
84%
EV
91.7
Brl%
12.4%
ISO
.204
xwOBA
.342
xwOBAc
.502
SwStr%
11.7%
PullBrl
3.8%
SwtSp%
33.5%
HH%
47.5%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .204 (matchup soft)+551MODEL
#5Sal Stewart
Sal StewartRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
CIN· 1Bvs MIL LHP Gasser
🟠 Longshot
Test
59
Ceil
68
Likely
56
kHR
69
Zone
38
Form
91%
EV
90.2
Brl%
12.9%
ISO
.210
xwOBA
.350
xwOBAc
.499
SwStr%
13.2%
PullBrl
4.1%
SwtSp%
35.8%
HH%
39.7%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .210 (matchup soft)+594MODEL
#6Tyler Stephenson
Tyler StephensonRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
CIN· DHvs MIL LHP Gasser
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
68
Likely
53
kHR
62
Zone
36
Form
73%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.5%
ISO
.190
xwOBA
.365
xwOBAc
.442
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.2%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+706MODEL
#7Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezRHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
MIL· Cvs CIN RHP Burns
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
57
Likely
50
kHR
62
Zone
38
Form
81%
EV
90.7
Brl%
9.3%
ISO
.187
xwOBA
.350
xwOBAc
.440
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.8%
HH%
44.0%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+706MODEL
#8Christian Yelich
Christian YelichLHB#6 · Secondary Power
MIL· DHvs CIN RHP Burns
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
58
Likely
50
kHR
62
Zone
38
Form
78%
EV
90.7
Brl%
9.4%
ISO
.188
xwOBA
.383
xwOBAc
.490
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.8%
HH%
44.1%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+706MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — CIN
vs Robert Gasser (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

CINCIN
vs Robert Gasser (MIL)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — MIL
vs Chase Burns (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

MILMIL
vs Chase Burns (CIN)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
CIN + MIL · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
CINvsMIL

CIN + MIL hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
CIN Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
CIN hitters vsRobert Gasser(MIL)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Dane MyersDane MyersRHB
.284.410.1265%40%18%
.292.388.0964%41%17%
.248.361.1134%35%24%
.232.339.1074%35%29%
.221.311.0904%33%31%
.241.351.1104%34%26%
.241.332.0914%32%27%
.218.289.0714%30%31%
#2Elly De La CruzElly De La CruzSHB
.297.552.25518%57%24%
.306.521.21514%58%23%
.260.485.22515%50%32%
.232.434.20215%48%41%
.221.399.17813%45%44%
.241.450.20915%47%37%
.266.470.20416%49%34%
.241.409.16814%45%39%
#3Sal StewartSal StewartRHB
.281.514.23314%43%23%
.289.486.19711%44%22%
.247.452.20512%38%31%
.231.425.19412%38%38%
.219.390.17111%36%40%
.239.440.20113%37%34%
.239.416.17712%35%34%
.216.362.14610%32%40%
#4Eugenio SuárezEugenio SuárezRHB
.223.463.24013%39%29%
.229.438.20910%40%27%
.195.408.21312%34%39%
.183.383.20011%34%47%
.174.351.17710%32%51%
.189.396.20712%33%43%
.189.375.18611%32%43%
.171.326.15510%29%51%
#5Tyler StephensonTyler StephensonRHB
.260.455.19514%48%23%
.268.429.16111%49%21%
.228.400.17212%43%31%
.214.376.16212%42%37%
.203.345.14211%40%39%
.221.389.16812%41%33%
.221.368.14711%39%34%
.200.320.12010%36%39%
#6JJ BledayJJ BledayLHB
.226.450.22411%43%23%
.232.425.1938%44%22%
.198.396.1989%38%31%
.162.326.1648%33%43%
.154.299.1457%31%46%
.168.338.1708%32%38%
.210.399.18910%38%31%
.190.347.1579%35%36%
#7Juan BritoJuan BritoSHB
.240.417.1779%35%25%
.247.394.1477%35%24%
.211.367.1568%30%34%
.188.328.1407%29%43%
.179.301.1226%27%46%
.195.340.1457%28%39%
.215.355.1408%29%36%
.195.309.1147%27%42%
#8Jose TrevinoJose TrevinoRHB
.233.384.1513%34%19%
.240.363.1232%35%18%
.204.338.1343%30%26%
.191.318.1273%30%31%
.182.292.1102%28%33%
.198.329.1313%29%28%
.198.311.1133%28%28%
.179.271.0922%25%33%
#9Héctor RodríguezHéctor RodríguezLHB
.257.448.1917%37%24%
.265.423.1586%38%22%
.225.394.1696%33%32%
.185.325.1406%28%44%
.176.298.1225%27%47%
.192.336.1446%28%39%
.240.397.1577%33%32%
.217.345.1286%30%38%
MIL Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
MIL hitters vsChase Burns(CIN)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Garrett MitchellGarrett MitchellLHB
.282.467.18513%57%31%
.291.441.15010%58%29%
.247.410.16311%50%41%
.232.386.15411%50%50%
.220.354.13410%47%53%
.240.399.15912%49%44%
.240.378.13811%46%45%
.217.328.11110%43%53%
#2Jackson ChourioJackson ChourioRHB
.310.537.22714%51%21%
.319.507.18811%52%20%
.271.472.20112%45%28%
.223.389.16610%39%39%
.212.357.1459%37%41%
.231.402.17111%38%35%
.288.476.18812%45%28%
.261.414.15311%42%33%
#3Brice TurangBrice TurangLHB
.276.477.2019%44%19%
.284.451.1677%45%18%
.242.420.1787%39%26%
.226.394.1687%39%31%
.215.362.1477%37%33%
.235.408.1738%38%28%
.235.386.1517%36%28%
.212.336.1246%33%33%
#4Gary SánchezGary SánchezRHB
.221.463.2429%39%24%
.227.438.2117%40%22%
.193.408.2158%34%32%
.158.335.1777%30%44%
.151.308.1576%28%47%
.164.347.1837%29%39%
.205.410.2059%34%32%
.186.357.1718%32%38%
#5Jake BauersJake BauersLHB
.282.532.25015%57%25%
.291.503.21212%58%23%
.247.468.22113%50%33%
.232.440.20813%50%40%
.220.404.18412%47%43%
.240.456.21613%49%36%
.240.431.19113%46%37%
.217.375.15811%43%43%
#6Christian YelichChristian YelichLHB
.253.419.16611%47%25%
.260.396.1368%48%23%
.222.369.1479%41%34%
.208.346.1389%41%41%
.197.318.1218%39%43%
.215.359.1449%40%36%
.215.339.1249%38%37%
.195.295.1008%35%43%
#7Joey OrtizJoey OrtizRHB
.276.423.1474%40%16%
.284.400.1163%41%15%
.242.372.1304%35%22%
.198.307.1093%31%30%
.189.281.0923%29%32%
.206.317.1113%30%26%
.257.375.1184%35%22%
.232.326.0944%33%25%
#8Luis LaraLuis LaraSHB
.278.383.1055%48%15%
.286.362.0764%49%14%
.244.337.0934%42%20%
.217.302.0854%40%26%
.207.277.0703%38%27%
.225.312.0874%39%23%
.249.327.0784%41%21%
.225.284.0594%38%25%
#9Cooper PrattCooper PrattRHB
.286.399.1134%29%18%
.294.376.0823%30%17%
.250.351.1014%26%25%
.205.289.0843%22%34%
.195.265.0703%21%36%
.213.299.0863%22%30%
.266.353.0874%26%25%
.240.307.0673%24%29%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHand★SpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Eugenio Suárez
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M52.000455N/A23N/A.212.308.429.298.32211.0%93.5
Jake Bauers
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+424M46.000532N/A25N/A.269.395.493.225.38616.5%92.5
Elly De La Cruz
SHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M40.000576N/A26N/A.283.361.511.226.37710.8%94.5
Jackson Chourio
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+551M41.000520N/A23N/A.295.352.497.204.3657.9%91.7
Sal Stewart
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+594M38.000641N/A31N/A.268.339.476.210.3509.5%90.2
Tyler Stephenson
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+706M36.000427N/A15N/A.248.330.421.190.33010.8%90.8
Gary Sánchez
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+706M38.000254N/A11N/A.210.358.429.187.34917.7%90.7
Christian Yelich
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+706M38.000460N/A11N/A.241.318.388.188.3099.6%90.7
JJ Bleday
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+728M37.000498N/A22N/A.215.324.417.203.32713.5%88.4
Garrett Mitchell
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+686M34.000485N/A11N/A.269.357.432.155.34711.1%93.3
Héctor Rodríguez
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+834M30.000114N/A5N/A.245.298.415.155.3136.1%90.2
Juan Brito
SHB#7 · Secondary Power+1141M34.00078N/A2N/A.229.295.386.157.2997.7%89.9
Jose Trevino
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M31.000139N/A5N/A.222.226.356.113.25070.0%88.8
Brice Turang
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1158M38.000626N/A19N/A.263.361.442.175.35213.1%90.2
Dane Myers
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1308M29.000302N/A6N/A.270.358.380.091.33211.3%88.3
Joey Ortiz
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1308M31.000375N/A8N/A.263.323.392.087.3158.5%88.2
Luis Lara
SHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1308M31.000173N/A1N/A.265.335.355.090.3109.2%88.2
Cooper Pratt
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1287M31.000229N/A3N/A.272.341.369.097.3159.6%88.4
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season148.3602.215—.296.0811.14150.918.5%31.6%29.2%20.2%31.6%10.68——7.9%38.1%29.0%——
vs LHB89.7386.229.316.342.1131.34131.3010.6%31.6%28.8%—31.6%11.14——7.9%38.1%29.0%——
vs RHB56.3216.189.250.218.0290.8720.324.6%31.6%30.1%—31.6%10.38——7.9%38.1%29.0%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3024.3100.263—.326.0631.2320.745.0%31.6%33.0%—31.6%12.21——7.9%38.1%29.0%——
L1512.354.294—.412.1181.4621.465.6%31.6%31.5%—31.6%12.41——7.9%38.1%29.0%——
Robert Gasser
Robert Gasser
MIL · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season86.0373.243—.368.1251.27141.477.2%22.3%21.7%4.9%22.3%8.48——6.6%33.1%28.3%——
vs LHB31.0124.161.250.214.0530.9720.589.7%22.3%25.0%—22.3%9.00——6.6%33.1%28.3%——
vs RHB60.0273.273.349.414.1411.45121.806.2%22.3%20.5%—22.3%8.40——6.6%33.1%28.3%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3023.7110.263—.358.0951.5231.1410.0%22.3%20.9%—22.3%8.75——6.6%33.1%28.3%——
L1512.759.204—.265.0611.4210.7113.6%22.3%22.0%—22.3%9.24——6.6%33.1%28.3%——
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball55.6%—.249.340.407.158—0.0%16.8%16.0%14.2%0.0%97.6——0.0%38.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider38.7%—.158.209.253.095—0.0%51.6%47.2%31.7%0.0%90.2——0.0%37.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup5.2%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%90.1——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker0.4%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%97.1——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball0.0%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%81.9——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Robert Gasser
Robert Gasser
MIL · LHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sweeper25.4%—.227.337.495.268—0.0%25.9%32.1%19.4%0.0%80.5——0.0%28.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam23.6%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.8——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker22.9%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter18.4%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%88.5——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup9.2%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%88.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider0.6%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.8——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-09-13 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026