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PHI
PHI@NYM
IN PROGRESS
NYM
Game 5 of 15 Sat · Jun 27, 8:10 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · PHI vs Christian Scott · NYM vs Tim Mayza

#1Kyle Schwarber
Kyle SchwarberLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
PHI· DHvs NYM RHP Scott
🔥 Elite
Test
82
Ceil
80
Likely
70
kHR
93
Zone
48
Form
100%
EV
93.3
Brl%
20.6%
ISO
.334
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.526
SwStr%
15.3%
PullBrl
11.7%
SwtSp%
40.9%
HH%
52.3%
elite Barrel 21%, elite ISO .334, 93.3 EV+424MODEL
#2Juan Soto
Juan SotoLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
NYM· LFvs PHI LHP Mayza
🟢 Strong
Test
76
Ceil
57
Likely
59
kHR
82
Zone
49
Form
100%
EV
93.3
Brl%
14.6%
ISO
.263
xwOBA
.421
xwOBAc
.605
SwStr%
7.9%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
30.4%
HH%
50.0%
elite Barrel 15%, elite ISO .263, 93.3 EV+424MODEL
#3Francisco Alvarez
Francisco AlvarezRHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
NYM· Cvs PHI LHP Mayza
🟢 Strong
Test
76
Ceil
63
Likely
66
kHR
87
Zone
58
Form
100%
EV
94.3
Brl%
18.6%
ISO
.305
xwOBA
.476
xwOBAc
.693
SwStr%
8.2%
PullBrl
7.5%
SwtSp%
44.8%
HH%
53.1%
elite Barrel 19%, elite ISO .305, 94.3 EV+424MODEL
#4Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
PHI· 1Bvs NYM RHP Scott
🟡 Viable
Test
60
Ceil
50
Likely
49
kHR
69
Zone
34
Form
100%
EV
90.3
Brl%
12.3%
ISO
.251
xwOBA
.408
xwOBAc
.570
SwStr%
15.1%
PullBrl
4.8%
SwtSp%
38.2%
HH%
46.1%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .251 (matchup soft)+589MODEL
#5Francisco Lindor
Francisco LindorSHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
NYM· SSvs PHI LHP Mayza
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
33
Likely
41
kHR
63
Zone
35
Form
78%
EV
91.0
Brl%
10.0%
ISO
.199
xwOBA
.389
xwOBAc
.500
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
33.0%
HH%
44.9%
strong Barrel 10%, park/wind suppresses (matchup soft)+699MODEL
#6Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo SosaRHB#6 · Secondary Power
PHI· 3Bvs NYM RHP Scott
🟠 Longshot
Test
50
Ceil
47
Likely
45
kHR
60
Zone
35
Form
75%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.7%
ISO
.193
xwOBA
.360
xwOBAc
.510
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.0%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.5%
park/wind suppresses (matchup soft)+758MODEL
#7Mark Vientos
Mark VientosRHB#6 · Secondary Power
NYM· DHvs PHI LHP Mayza
🟠 Longshot
Test
50
Ceil
31
Likely
39
kHR
59
Zone
34
Form
68%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.0%
ISO
.180
xwOBA
.342
xwOBAc
.440
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.5%
park/wind suppresses (matchup soft)+782MODEL
#8Brandon Marsh
Brandon MarshLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
PHI· LFvs NYM RHP Scott
🟠 Longshot
Test
46
Ceil
44
Likely
42
kHR
56
Zone
33
Form
71%
EV
90.0
Brl%
8.7%
ISO
.192
xwOBA
.330
xwOBAc
.508
SwStr%
13.7%
PullBrl
3.2%
SwtSp%
45.9%
HH%
46.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+863MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — PHI
vs Christian Scott (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

PHIPHI
vs Christian Scott (NYM)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — NYM
vs Tim Mayza (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

NYMNYM
vs Tim Mayza (PHI)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
PHI vs Christian Scott
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
PHI

PHI hitters

vsChristian Scott(NYMNYM)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M82.180.248.000100%92.61,353176.334.390.52615.3%11.7%93.320.6%40.9%36.4%52.3%21.670
LHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#3 · Premium RBI/Power+589M60.149.834.000100%68.91,334223.251.408.57015.1%4.8%90.312.3%38.2%26.3%46.1%11.649
RHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#6 · Secondary Power+758M50.147.335.00075%59.91,018187.193.360.51011.3%4.0%90.89.7%32.9%31.9%44.5%15.545
LHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#4 · Premium RBI/Power+863M46.144.433.00071%56.11,174206.192.330.50813.7%3.2%90.08.7%45.9%25.4%46.4%13.042
LHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#7 · Secondary Power+853M46.144.026.00070%56.41,232191.179.299.39814.0%4.8%90.38.9%28.0%28.5%39.4%16.141
RHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1329M28.138.624.00037%40.41,373249.106.285.41614.1%1.5%88.74.8%33.2%26.8%39.2%9.633
LHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M28.142.237.00052%43.61,131214.159.318.4637.6%2.9%89.47.4%33.6%28.1%39.6%15.338
LHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M26.140.737.00066%42.71,061177.153.342.4446.5%2.7%87.77.9%37.1%23.0%34.3%12.737
SHBPHIvs NYM RHP Scott#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1374M26.138.628.00034%39.146088.095.300.36211.3%1.9%88.44.8%31.4%29.9%37.1%13.733
NYM vs Tim Mayza
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
NYM

NYM hitters

vsTim Mayza(PHIPHI)LHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M76.156.549.000100%81.81,045193.263.421.6057.9%5.7%93.314.6%30.4%34.0%50.0%15.459
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M76.163.458.000100%86.81,408237.305.476.6938.2%7.5%94.318.6%44.8%38.5%53.1%19.366
SHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#4 · Premium RBI/Power+699M54.133.135.00078%62.72,855513.199.389.50011.3%4.2%91.010.0%33.0%32.0%44.9%15.641
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#6 · Secondary Power+782M50.130.834.00068%59.01,806309.180.342.44011.3%3.7%90.59.0%32.7%31.6%43.5%15.239
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+937M42.130.038.00056%53.61,248224.140.344.5039.7%2.5%90.08.6%39.3%27.7%42.9%12.738
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1229M28.129.935.00053%44.01,396265.136.332.50110.3%1.9%90.67.5%35.3%25.3%44.6%8.034
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#7 · Secondary Power+1267M28.128.430.00043%42.563299.129.362.46111.3%2.6%89.26.5%31.9%30.6%39.7%14.332
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M28.127.130.00034%44.11,045162.084.293.40313.3%2.8%88.87.9%36.0%24.4%37.8%9.732
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Mayza#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1374M26.125.832.00040%39.21,295240.117.328.47910.0%2.2%88.24.9%34.4%25.8%38.5%15.730
PHI Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
PHI hitters vsChristian Scott(NYM)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Trea TurnerTrea TurnerRHB
.243.363.1205%42%23%
.249.343.0944%43%22%
.213.319.1064%37%32%
.174.263.0894%32%43%
.166.241.0753%31%46%
.181.272.0914%32%39%
.226.321.0955%37%32%
.204.280.0764%35%37%
#2Kyle SchwarberKyle SchwarberLHB
.268.640.37223%57%30%
.275.605.33018%58%28%
.235.563.32820%50%40%
.220.529.30920%50%48%
.209.486.27718%47%51%
.228.548.32020%49%43%
.228.518.29019%46%44%
.206.451.24517%43%51%
#3Bryce HarperBryce HarperLHB
.282.565.28314%49%25%
.291.533.24211%50%24%
.247.497.25012%43%34%
.232.467.23512%43%41%
.220.428.20811%41%44%
.240.483.24312%42%37%
.240.457.21711%40%38%
.217.397.18010%37%44%
#4Brandon MarshBrandon MarshLHB
.340.559.21910%51%21%
.350.528.1787%52%20%
.298.492.1948%45%29%
.279.462.1838%44%35%
.265.424.1597%42%37%
.289.479.1908%43%31%
.289.453.1648%41%32%
.262.394.1327%38%37%
#5Bryson StottBryson StottLHB
.250.430.1808%43%15%
.257.406.1496%44%14%
.219.378.1597%38%20%
.205.355.1507%38%24%
.195.326.1316%36%26%
.212.368.1567%37%22%
.213.348.1357%35%22%
.192.302.1106%32%26%
#6Edmundo SosaEdmundo SosaRHB
.245.435.1909%44%22%
.252.411.1597%45%21%
.214.383.1698%39%30%
.176.315.1397%34%42%
.167.289.1226%32%44%
.182.326.1447%33%37%
.228.386.1588%39%30%
.206.335.1297%36%35%
#7Gabriel Rincones Jr.Gabriel Rincones Jr.LHB
.140.252.1125%38%18%
.144.238.0944%38%17%
.122.221.0994%33%24%
.115.208.0934%33%29%
.109.191.0824%31%31%
.119.215.0964%32%26%
.119.204.0854%30%27%
.107.177.0704%28%31%
#8Justin CrawfordJustin CrawfordLHB
.255.363.1081%36%17%
.262.343.0811%37%16%
.224.319.0951%32%23%
.209.300.0911%32%28%
.199.275.0761%30%29%
.217.310.0931%31%25%
.217.294.0771%29%25%
.196.255.0591%27%29%
#9Rafael MarchánRafael MarchánSHB
.112.202.0904%23%14%
.116.191.0753%23%13%
.098.178.0803%20%19%
.088.159.0713%19%24%
.083.146.0633%18%25%
.091.165.0743%19%21%
.101.172.0713%20%20%
.091.150.0593%18%23%
NYM Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
NYM hitters vsTim Mayza(PHI)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Carson BengeCarson BengeLHB
.269.430.16110%46%18%
.276.406.1307%47%17%
.236.378.1428%41%25%
.193.311.1187%35%34%
.184.286.1026%33%36%
.200.322.1227%35%30%
.250.381.1319%41%25%
.226.331.1058%38%29%
#2Juan SotoJuan SotoLHB
.314.612.29816%54%17%
.323.578.25512%55%16%
.275.539.26414%48%23%
.226.443.21712%42%32%
.215.407.19211%39%34%
.234.459.22512%41%28%
.292.543.25114%48%23%
.264.472.20813%45%27%
#3Bo BichetteBo BichetteRHB
.267.419.1528%49%16%
.274.396.1226%50%15%
.234.369.1357%43%22%
.219.346.1277%43%27%
.208.318.1106%40%28%
.227.359.1327%42%24%
.227.339.1127%39%24%
.205.295.0906%36%28%
#4Francisco LindorFrancisco LindorSHB
.225.364.13910%46%21%
.231.344.1138%47%20%
.197.320.1239%41%29%
.175.286.1118%39%36%
.167.263.0967%37%39%
.182.297.1158%38%32%
.201.310.1099%40%30%
.182.270.0888%37%35%
#5Jared YoungJared YoungLHB
.254.512.25817%55%23%
.261.483.22213%56%21%
.223.450.22714%48%31%
.183.371.18813%42%42%
.174.340.16611%40%45%
.189.384.19513%41%38%
.237.454.21715%49%31%
.214.394.18013%45%36%
#6Mark VientosMark VientosRHB
.228.426.19811%47%26%
.234.402.1689%48%25%
.200.374.17410%42%35%
.187.352.16510%41%42%
.178.323.1459%39%45%
.194.364.17010%41%38%
.194.344.1509%38%39%
.175.299.1248%35%45%
#7A.J. EwingA.J. EwingLHB
.274.422.1487%46%19%
.282.399.1175%47%18%
.240.371.1316%41%26%
.197.306.1095%36%35%
.187.281.0944%34%38%
.204.317.1135%35%32%
.255.374.1196%41%26%
.231.325.0945%38%30%
#8Brett BatyBrett BatyLHB
.228.326.0988%41%24%
.234.308.0746%42%23%
.200.287.0877%36%33%
.164.236.0726%31%45%
.156.217.0615%30%48%
.170.244.0746%31%41%
.212.289.0777%36%33%
.192.251.0597%33%39%
#9Francisco AlvarezFrancisco AlvarezRHB
.271.471.20018%48%27%
.279.445.16614%49%25%
.237.414.17716%42%37%
.222.389.16716%42%44%
.211.357.14614%39%47%
.230.403.17316%41%39%
.230.381.15115%39%40%
.208.331.12314%36%47%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Kyle Schwarber
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M48.000343N/A29N/A.255.370.593.334.40814.3%93.3
Juan Soto
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M49.000264N/A17N/A.299.399.567.263.40914.4%93.3
Francisco Alvarez
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M58.000183N/A8N/A.258.326.436.305.3358.2%94.3
Bryce Harper
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+589M34.000338N/A18N/A.269.373.523.251.38314.8%90.3
Francisco Lindor
SHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+699M35.000110N/A2N/A.214.300.337.199.28810.0%91.0
Edmundo Sosa
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+758M35.000139N/A5N/A.233.268.403.193.2912.2%90.8
Mark Vientos
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+782M34.000235N/A10N/A.217.255.394.180.2824.3%90.5
Brandon Marsh
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+863M33.000297N/A12N/A.324.357.518.192.3764.7%90.0
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+853M26.00030N/A1N/A.133.133.233.179.1580.0%90.3
Carson Benge
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+937M38.000316N/A9N/A.256.320.398.140.3187.3%90.0
Trea Turner
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1329M24.000348N/A7N/A.231.282.336.106.2766.0%88.7
Bryson Stott
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1248M37.000286N/A7N/A.238.296.398.159.3057.0%89.4
Bo Bichette
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1229M35.000354N/A10N/A.254.299.388.136.3025.9%90.6
A.J. Ewing
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1267M30.000159N/A3N/A.261.344.391.129.32811.3%89.2
Brett Baty
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M30.000265N/A3N/A.217.295.302.084.2739.1%88.8
Justin Crawford
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M37.000244N/A2N/A.243.299.336.153.2856.6%87.7
Rafael Marchán
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1374M28.00078N/A2N/A.107.141.187.095.1491.3%88.4
Jared Young
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1374M32.000106N/A6N/A.242.311.474.117.3398.5%88.2
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
PHI · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season4.320.263.263.0001.4000.005.0%23.7%25.0%14.0%23.7%10.385.2%42.3%20.6%
vs LHB16.767.203.250.250.0470.9610.544.5%23.7%22.4%23.7%8.105.2%42.3%20.6%
vs RHB18.373.217.293.348.1311.0431.475.5%23.7%27.4%23.7%9.825.2%42.3%20.6%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L304.320.263.263.0001.4000.005.0%23.7%25.0%23.7%10.385.2%42.3%20.6%
L154.320.263.263.0001.4000.005.0%23.7%25.0%23.7%10.385.2%42.3%20.6%
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
NYM · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season42.7186.230.304.0741.3340.8410.8%23.0%26.9%9.7%23.0%10.555.6%31.8%28.0%
vs LHB26.7109.204.283.296.0921.1631.0110.1%23.0%27.5%23.0%10.125.6%31.8%28.0%
vs RHB13.769.262.314.311.0491.7610.6611.6%23.0%24.6%23.0%11.205.6%31.8%28.0%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3023.096.230.333.1031.2231.178.3%23.0%26.0%23.0%9.785.6%31.8%28.0%
L1512.351.234.426.1921.2232.197.8%23.0%23.5%23.0%8.765.6%31.8%28.0%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
PHI · LHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sinker61.3%.237.287.325.0880.0%21.2%20.9%22.8%0.0%94.30.0%46.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider32.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Splitter3.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%91.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam2.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%94.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
NYM · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball50.1%.239.354.394.1550.0%23.2%25.0%19.3%0.0%95.40.0%34.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper23.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%81.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter17.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Splitter4.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%84.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker2.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider2.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-27 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026