Clutch Algorithm
Clutch.Algorithm
Joined The Discord https://discord.gg/SjztzK55Gz
Command Center

Game View

MLB · Sticky nav for prev/next · Auto-refreshes
CT
PHI
PHI@NYM
FIRST PITCH
NYM
Game 7 of 15 Sun · Jun 28, 5:40 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · PHI vs Cionel Pérez · NYM vs Jesús Luzardo

#1Kyle Schwarber
Kyle SchwarberLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
PHI· DHvs NYM LHP Pérez
🔥 Elite
Test
91
Ceil
92
Likely
78
kHR
98
Zone
56
Form
100%
EV
93.3
Brl%
20.6%
ISO
.334
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.526
SwStr%
15.3%
PullBrl
11.7%
SwtSp%
40.9%
HH%
52.3%
elite Barrel 21%, elite ISO .334, 93.3 EV+424MODEL
#2Juan Soto
Juan SotoLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
NYM· LFvs PHI LHP Luzardo
🔥 Elite
Test
85
Ceil
123
Likely
83
kHR
87
Zone
50
Form
100%
EV
93.3
Brl%
14.6%
ISO
.263
xwOBA
.421
xwOBAc
.605
SwStr%
7.9%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
30.4%
HH%
50.0%
elite Barrel 15%, elite ISO .263, 93.3 EV+424MODEL
#3Francisco Alvarez
Francisco AlvarezRHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
NYM· Cvs PHI LHP Luzardo
🔥 Elite
Test
85
Ceil
128
Likely
89
kHR
92
Zone
59
Form
100%
EV
94.3
Brl%
18.6%
ISO
.305
xwOBA
.476
xwOBAc
.693
SwStr%
8.2%
PullBrl
7.5%
SwtSp%
44.8%
HH%
53.1%
elite Barrel 19%, elite ISO .305, 94.3 EV+424MODEL
#4Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
PHI· 1Bvs NYM LHP Pérez
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
61
Likely
56
kHR
74
Zone
42
Form
100%
EV
90.3
Brl%
12.3%
ISO
.251
xwOBA
.408
xwOBAc
.570
SwStr%
15.1%
PullBrl
4.8%
SwtSp%
38.2%
HH%
46.1%
strong Barrel 12%, power ISO .251, park/wind boost+475MODEL
#5Francisco Lindor
Francisco LindorSHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
NYM· SSvs PHI LHP Luzardo
🟡 Viable
Test
63
Ceil
99
Likely
65
kHR
68
Zone
36
Form
78%
EV
91.0
Brl%
10.0%
ISO
.199
xwOBA
.389
xwOBAc
.500
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
33.0%
HH%
44.9%
strong Barrel 10%, park/wind boost (matchup soft)+599MODEL
#6Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo SosaRHB#6 · Secondary Power
PHI· 3Bvs NYM LHP Pérez
🟠 Longshot
Test
59
Ceil
58
Likely
52
kHR
65
Zone
43
Form
75%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.7%
ISO
.193
xwOBA
.360
xwOBAc
.510
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.0%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.5%
park/wind boost (matchup soft)+649MODEL
#7Mark Vientos
Mark VientosRHB#6 · Secondary Power
NYM· DHvs PHI LHP Luzardo
🟠 Longshot
Test
59
Ceil
95
Likely
62
kHR
65
Zone
35
Form
68%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.0%
ISO
.180
xwOBA
.342
xwOBAc
.440
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.5%
park/wind boost (matchup soft)+661MODEL
#8Brandon Marsh
Brandon MarshLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
PHI· LFvs NYM LHP Pérez
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
55
Likely
50
kHR
62
Zone
41
Form
71%
EV
90.0
Brl%
8.7%
ISO
.192
xwOBA
.330
xwOBAc
.508
SwStr%
13.7%
PullBrl
3.2%
SwtSp%
45.9%
HH%
46.4%
park/wind boost (matchup soft)+720MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — PHI
vs Cionel Pérez (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

PHIPHI
vs Cionel Pérez (NYM)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — NYM
vs Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

NYMNYM
vs Jesús Luzardo (PHI)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
PHI vs Cionel Pérez
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
PHI

PHI hitters

vsCionel Pérez(NYMNYM)LHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M91.492.256.000100%98.21,353176.334.390.52615.3%11.7%93.320.6%40.9%36.4%52.3%21.678
LHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#3 · Premium RBI/Power+475M69.460.842.000100%74.51,334223.251.408.57015.1%4.8%90.312.3%38.2%26.3%46.1%11.656
RHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#6 · Secondary Power+649M59.458.043.00075%65.41,018187.193.360.51011.3%4.0%90.89.7%32.9%31.9%44.5%15.552
LHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#4 · Premium RBI/Power+720M55.454.741.00071%61.71,174206.192.330.50813.7%3.2%90.08.7%45.9%25.4%46.4%13.050
LHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#7 · Secondary Power+713M55.454.234.00070%62.01,232191.179.299.39814.0%4.8%90.38.9%28.0%28.5%39.4%16.148
RHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1175M37.448.132.00037%45.91,373249.106.285.41614.1%1.5%88.74.8%33.2%26.8%39.2%9.640
LHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1094M37.452.245.00052%49.21,131214.159.318.4637.6%2.9%89.47.4%33.6%28.1%39.6%15.345
LHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1125M35.450.545.00066%48.31,061177.153.342.4446.5%2.7%87.77.9%37.1%23.0%34.3%12.745
SHBPHIvs NYM LHP Pérez#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1210M35.448.136.00034%44.746088.095.300.36211.3%1.9%88.44.8%31.4%29.9%37.1%13.740
NYM vs Jesús Luzardo
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
NYM

NYM hitters

vsJesús Luzardo(PHIPHI)LHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M85.4123.350.000100%87.41,045193.263.421.6057.9%5.7%93.314.6%30.4%34.0%50.0%15.483
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M85.4128.359.000100%92.41,408237.305.476.6938.2%7.5%94.318.6%44.8%38.5%53.1%19.389
SHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#4 · Premium RBI/Power+599M63.498.636.00078%68.22,855513.199.389.50011.3%4.2%91.010.0%33.0%32.0%44.9%15.665
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#6 · Secondary Power+661M59.495.135.00068%64.51,806309.180.342.44011.3%3.7%90.59.0%32.7%31.6%43.5%15.262
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+782M51.493.939.00056%59.21,248224.140.344.5039.7%2.5%90.08.6%39.3%27.7%42.9%12.761
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1094M37.493.736.00053%49.61,396265.136.332.50110.3%1.9%90.67.5%35.3%25.3%44.6%8.057
RHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1125M37.489.831.00041%48.02,005376.128.324.43911.3%2.6%89.26.4%31.9%30.6%39.6%14.354
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#7 · Secondary Power+1125M37.491.031.00042%47.7647102.125.363.46911.3%2.5%89.16.2%31.9%30.5%39.4%14.254
LHBNYMvs PHI LHP Luzardo#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1079M37.489.031.00034%49.71,045162.084.293.40313.3%2.8%88.87.9%36.0%24.4%37.8%9.754
PHI Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
PHI hitters vsCionel Pérez(NYM)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Trea TurnerTrea TurnerRHB
.243.363.1205%42%23%
.249.343.0944%43%22%
.213.319.1064%37%32%
.199.300.1014%37%38%
.189.275.0864%35%40%
.206.310.1044%36%34%
.206.294.0884%34%35%
.187.255.0684%32%40%
#2Kyle SchwarberKyle SchwarberLHB
.268.640.37223%57%30%
.275.605.33018%58%28%
.235.563.32820%50%40%
.192.464.27217%44%55%
.183.426.24315%41%59%
.199.480.28118%43%49%
.249.567.31821%50%40%
.225.493.26819%47%47%
#3Bryce HarperBryce HarperLHB
.282.565.28314%49%25%
.291.533.24211%50%24%
.247.497.25012%43%34%
.203.409.20610%38%47%
.193.375.1829%36%50%
.210.423.21311%37%42%
.263.500.23713%44%35%
.238.435.19711%40%40%
#4Brandon MarshBrandon MarshLHB
.340.559.21910%51%21%
.350.528.1787%52%20%
.298.492.1948%45%29%
.244.405.1617%39%39%
.233.372.1396%37%42%
.253.419.1667%38%35%
.317.496.1799%45%29%
.286.431.1458%42%34%
#5Bryson StottBryson StottLHB
.250.430.1808%43%15%
.257.406.1496%44%14%
.219.378.1597%38%20%
.180.311.1316%33%27%
.171.286.1155%31%29%
.186.322.1366%32%25%
.233.381.1487%38%20%
.210.331.1217%35%23%
#6Edmundo SosaEdmundo SosaRHB
.245.435.1909%44%22%
.252.411.1597%45%21%
.214.383.1698%39%30%
.201.360.1598%39%36%
.191.330.1397%37%39%
.208.372.1648%38%33%
.208.352.1447%36%33%
.188.306.1187%33%39%
#7Gabriel Rincones Jr.Gabriel Rincones Jr.LHB
.140.252.1125%38%18%
.144.238.0944%38%17%
.122.221.0994%33%24%
.100.182.0824%29%33%
.095.167.0723%27%36%
.104.189.0854%28%30%
.130.223.0934%33%24%
.118.194.0764%31%28%
#8Justin CrawfordJustin CrawfordLHB
.255.363.1081%36%17%
.262.343.0811%37%16%
.224.319.0951%32%23%
.183.263.0801%28%31%
.174.241.0671%26%34%
.190.272.0821%27%28%
.238.321.0831%32%23%
.215.280.0651%29%27%
#9Rafael MarchánRafael MarchánSHB
.112.202.0904%23%14%
.116.191.0753%23%13%
.098.178.0803%20%19%
.088.159.0713%19%24%
.083.146.0633%18%25%
.091.165.0743%19%21%
.101.172.0713%20%20%
.091.150.0593%18%23%
NYM Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
NYM hitters vsJesús Luzardo(PHI)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Carson BengeCarson BengeLHB
.269.430.16110%46%18%
.276.406.1307%47%17%
.236.378.1428%41%25%
.193.311.1187%35%34%
.184.286.1026%33%36%
.200.322.1227%35%30%
.250.381.1319%41%25%
.226.331.1058%38%29%
#2Juan SotoJuan SotoLHB
.314.612.29816%54%17%
.323.578.25512%55%16%
.275.539.26414%48%23%
.226.443.21712%42%32%
.215.407.19211%39%34%
.234.459.22512%41%28%
.292.543.25114%48%23%
.264.472.20813%45%27%
#3Bo BichetteBo BichetteRHB
.267.419.1528%49%16%
.274.396.1226%50%15%
.234.369.1357%43%22%
.219.346.1277%43%27%
.208.318.1106%40%28%
.227.359.1327%42%24%
.227.339.1127%39%24%
.205.295.0906%36%28%
#4Francisco LindorFrancisco LindorSHB
.225.364.13910%46%21%
.231.344.1138%47%20%
.197.320.1239%41%29%
.175.286.1118%39%36%
.167.263.0967%37%39%
.182.297.1158%38%32%
.201.310.1099%40%30%
.182.270.0888%37%35%
#5Eric WagamanEric WagamanRHB
.238.540.30214%34%25%
.245.510.26511%34%23%
.209.475.26612%30%34%
.195.446.25112%30%41%
.186.410.22411%28%43%
.203.462.25912%29%36%
.203.437.23411%27%37%
.183.380.19710%25%43%
#6Mark VientosMark VientosRHB
.228.426.19811%47%26%
.234.402.1689%48%25%
.200.374.17410%42%35%
.187.352.16510%41%42%
.178.323.1459%39%45%
.194.364.17010%41%38%
.194.344.1509%38%39%
.175.299.1248%35%45%
#7A.J. EwingA.J. EwingLHB
.274.422.1487%46%19%
.282.399.1175%47%18%
.240.371.1316%41%26%
.197.306.1095%36%35%
.187.281.0944%34%38%
.204.317.1135%35%32%
.255.374.1196%41%26%
.231.325.0945%38%30%
#8Brett BatyBrett BatyLHB
.228.326.0988%41%24%
.234.308.0746%42%23%
.200.287.0877%36%33%
.164.236.0726%31%45%
.156.217.0615%30%48%
.170.244.0746%31%41%
.212.289.0777%36%33%
.192.251.0597%33%39%
#9Francisco AlvarezFrancisco AlvarezRHB
.271.471.20018%48%27%
.279.445.16614%49%25%
.237.414.17716%42%37%
.222.389.16716%42%44%
.211.357.14614%39%47%
.230.403.17316%41%39%
.230.381.15115%39%40%
.208.331.12314%36%47%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Kyle Schwarber
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M56.000343N/A29N/A.255.370.593.334.40814.3%93.3
Juan Soto
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M50.000264N/A17N/A.299.399.567.263.40914.4%93.3
Francisco Alvarez
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+424M59.000183N/A8N/A.258.326.436.305.3358.2%94.3
Bryce Harper
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+475M42.000338N/A18N/A.269.373.523.251.38314.8%90.3
Francisco Lindor
SHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+599M36.000110N/A2N/A.214.300.337.199.28810.0%91.0
Edmundo Sosa
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+649M43.000139N/A5N/A.233.268.403.193.2912.2%90.8
Mark Vientos
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+661M35.000235N/A10N/A.217.255.394.180.2824.3%90.5
Brandon Marsh
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+720M41.000297N/A12N/A.324.357.518.192.3764.7%90.0
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+713M34.00030N/A1N/A.133.133.233.179.1580.0%90.3
Carson Benge
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+782M39.000316N/A9N/A.256.320.398.140.3187.3%90.0
Trea Turner
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1175M32.000348N/A7N/A.231.282.336.106.2766.0%88.7
Bryson Stott
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1094M45.000286N/A7N/A.238.296.398.159.3057.0%89.4
Bo Bichette
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1094M36.000354N/A10N/A.254.299.388.136.3025.9%90.6
Eric Wagaman
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1125M31.00025N/A2N/A.227.320.500.128.3568.0%89.2
A.J. Ewing
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1125M31.000159N/A3N/A.261.344.391.125.32811.3%89.1
Brett Baty
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1079M31.000265N/A3N/A.217.295.302.084.2739.1%88.8
Justin Crawford
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1125M45.000244N/A2N/A.243.299.336.153.2856.6%87.7
Rafael Marchán
SHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1210M36.00078N/A2N/A.107.141.187.095.1491.3%88.4
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season92.3392.252.328.0761.3090.887.7%31.5%28.1%22.7%31.5%10.726.1%30.4%20.2%
vs LHB23.391.193.250.227.0340.8610.393.3%31.5%28.6%31.5%10.036.1%30.4%20.2%
vs RHB67.7301.266.326.354.0881.4881.069.0%31.5%27.9%31.5%11.176.1%30.4%20.2%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3030.7132.237.339.1021.3441.179.8%31.5%28.8%31.5%11.156.1%30.4%20.2%
L1519.380.197.239.0421.1910.4711.2%31.5%37.5%31.5%13.976.1%30.4%20.2%
Cionel Pérez
Cionel Pérez
NYM · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season30.7131.252.378.1261.3751.479.2%21.2%17.6%21.2%6.7513.3%51.1%20.0%
vs LHB13.759.255.347.418.1631.3231.986.8%21.2%13.6%21.2%5.2713.3%51.1%20.0%
vs RHB16.772.250.325.344.0941.4421.0811.1%21.2%20.8%21.2%8.1013.3%51.1%20.0%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L308.034.273.364.0911.2511.122.9%21.2%20.6%21.2%7.8813.3%51.1%20.0%
L156.324.250.375.1250.9511.420.0%21.2%20.8%21.2%7.1113.3%51.1%20.0%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · LHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sweeper36.0%.152.210.232.0800.0%48.9%50.8%29.7%0.0%86.40.0%22.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam Fastball26.0%.316.380.495.1790.0%15.7%21.3%16.0%0.0%97.10.0%30.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup21.6%.266.331.418.1520.0%40.3%26.4%21.3%0.0%86.30.0%23.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker16.3%.328.384.448.1200.0%11.5%2.7%20.0%0.0%96.00.0%42.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cionel Pérez
Cionel Pérez
NYM · LHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sinker28.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%96.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slurve27.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball23.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam20.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%96.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-28 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

21+ Only · Clutch Algorithm is an analytics research platform for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not a sportsbook. No wagers are accepted, processed, or facilitated on this site. Projected probabilities, model HR%, and synthesized odds are model outputs — not guaranteed outcomes. Past performance does not predict future results.

Gamble responsibly. If gambling becomes a problem, call the National Council on Problem Gambling helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Self-exclusion programs and time-limit tools are available via your state lottery commission.

© 2026 Clutch Algorithm · All rights reserved

Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026