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NYM
NYM@NYY
FIRST PITCH
NYY
Game 4 of 15 Sun · Sep 13, 5:35 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · NYM vs Cam Schlittler · NYY vs Christian Scott

#1Juan Soto
Juan SotoLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
NYM· DHvs NYY RHP Schlittler
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
84
Likely
69
kHR
83
Zone
51
Form
100%
EV
92.5
Brl%
13.1%
ISO
.262
xwOBA
.451
xwOBAc
.526
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
5.6%
SwtSp%
33.9%
HH%
49.7%
strong Barrel 13%, elite ISO .262, pull-side power+424MODEL
#2Francisco Alvarez
Francisco AlvarezRHB#7 · Secondary Power
NYM· Cvs NYY RHP Schlittler
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
89
Likely
74
kHR
87
Zone
60
Form
100%
EV
94.2
Brl%
16.0%
ISO
.280
xwOBA
.443
xwOBAc
.641
SwStr%
8.7%
PullBrl
6.6%
SwtSp%
41.3%
HH%
52.9%
elite Barrel 16%, elite ISO .280, 94.2 EV+424MODEL
#3Ben Rice
Ben RiceLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
NYY· DHvs NYM RHP Scott
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
93
Likely
73
kHR
84
Zone
51
Form
100%
EV
92.0
Brl%
14.4%
ISO
.264
xwOBA
.375
xwOBAc
.521
SwStr%
11.2%
PullBrl
6.5%
SwtSp%
38.6%
HH%
48.0%
elite Barrel 14%, elite ISO .264, pull-side power+424MODEL
#4Aaron Judge
Aaron JudgeRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
NYY· RFvs NYM RHP Scott
🔥 Elite
Test
81
Ceil
105
Likely
79
kHR
89
Zone
53
Form
100%
EV
94.0
Brl%
17.8%
ISO
.357
xwOBA
.534
xwOBAc
.675
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
7.9%
SwtSp%
35.4%
HH%
56.8%
elite Barrel 18%, elite ISO .357, 94.0 EV+424MODEL
#5Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
NYY· 1Bvs NYM RHP Scott
🟢 Strong
Test
69
Ceil
71
Likely
60
kHR
75
Zone
42
Form
100%
EV
91.7
Brl%
12.8%
ISO
.263
xwOBA
.354
xwOBAc
.541
SwStr%
10.8%
PullBrl
5.6%
SwtSp%
34.0%
HH%
47.2%
strong Barrel 13%, elite ISO .263+465MODEL
#6Francisco Lindor
Francisco LindorSHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
NYM· SSvs NYY RHP Schlittler
🟠 Longshot
Test
59
Ceil
57
Likely
51
kHR
66
Zone
38
Form
78%
EV
91.0
Brl%
10.0%
ISO
.199
xwOBA
.389
xwOBAc
.500
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
33.0%
HH%
44.9%
strong Barrel 10% (matchup soft)+643MODEL
#7Austin Wells
Austin WellsLHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
NYY· Cvs NYM RHP Scott
🟠 Longshot
Test
59
Ceil
68
Likely
55
kHR
67
Zone
38
Form
85%
EV
91.4
Brl%
10.8%
ISO
.217
xwOBA
.348
xwOBAc
.437
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.5%
SwtSp%
33.3%
HH%
46.3%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .217 (matchup soft)+626MODEL
#8Brett Baty
Brett BatyLHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot
NYM· 2Bvs NYY RHP Schlittler
🟠 Longshot
Test
55
Ceil
54
Likely
48
kHR
62
Zone
37
Form
73%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.0%
ISO
.181
xwOBA
.359
xwOBAc
.472
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.6%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+713MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — NYM
vs Cam Schlittler (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

NYMNYM
vs Cam Schlittler (NYY)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — NYY
vs Christian Scott (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

NYYNYY
vs Christian Scott (NYM)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
NYM + NYY · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
NYMvsNYY

NYM + NYY hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
NYM Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
NYM hitters vsCam Schlittler(NYY)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Francisco LindorFrancisco LindorSHB
.246.484.23810%52%21%
.253.457.2048%53%19%
.215.426.2119%46%28%
.192.381.1898%43%35%
.183.349.1667%41%38%
.199.394.1959%42%32%
.220.412.1929%44%29%
.199.358.1598%41%34%
#2Juan SotoJuan SotoLHB
.289.576.28716%52%18%
.297.544.24712%53%17%
.253.506.25314%46%24%
.237.476.23913%46%29%
.225.437.21212%43%31%
.245.492.24714%44%26%
.246.466.22013%42%26%
.222.405.18312%39%31%
#3Bo BichetteBo BichetteRHB
.276.426.1507%45%17%
.284.402.1186%46%16%
.242.374.1326%40%22%
.198.308.1106%35%31%
.189.283.0945%33%33%
.206.319.1136%34%28%
.257.377.1207%40%23%
.232.328.0966%37%26%
#4Carson BengeCarson BengeLHB
.287.447.1608%42%18%
.295.422.1276%42%17%
.251.393.1427%37%25%
.235.369.1347%36%30%
.224.339.1156%34%32%
.244.383.1397%36%27%
.244.362.1186%34%27%
.220.315.0956%31%32%
#5Jared YoungJared YoungLHB
.286.474.1888%50%21%
.294.448.1546%51%20%
.250.417.1677%44%28%
.234.392.1587%44%34%
.223.360.1376%41%36%
.243.406.1637%43%30%
.243.384.1417%41%31%
.220.334.1146%38%36%
#6A.J. EwingA.J. EwingLHB
.266.406.1408%46%21%
.273.384.1116%47%19%
.233.357.1247%40%28%
.218.336.1187%40%33%
.207.308.1016%38%36%
.226.347.1217%39%30%
.226.329.1036%37%31%
.204.286.0826%34%36%
#7Francisco AlvarezFrancisco AlvarezRHB
.242.432.19017%50%30%
.248.408.16013%51%28%
.212.380.16815%44%41%
.174.313.13913%38%56%
.165.287.12211%36%60%
.180.324.14413%37%50%
.225.383.15816%44%41%
.203.333.13014%41%48%
#8Brett BatyBrett BatyLHB
.240.393.15311%46%25%
.247.371.1249%46%23%
.211.346.13510%40%34%
.197.325.12810%40%41%
.188.298.1109%38%43%
.204.336.13210%39%36%
.204.318.1149%37%37%
.185.277.0928%34%43%
#9Nick MorabitoNick MorabitoRHB
.202.249.0470%41%26%
.207.236.0290%41%25%
.177.219.0420%36%36%
.145.181.0360%31%49%
.138.166.0280%29%52%
.150.187.0370%30%44%
.188.221.0330%36%36%
.170.192.0220%33%42%
NYY Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
NYY hitters vsChristian Scott(NYM)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Ben RiceBen RiceLHB
.272.565.29316%52%22%
.280.533.25312%53%20%
.238.497.25914%46%29%
.223.467.24414%45%35%
.212.428.21612%43%38%
.231.483.25214%44%31%
.231.457.22613%42%32%
.209.397.18812%39%37%
#2Cody BellingerCody BellingerLHB
.285.474.1897%41%17%
.293.448.1556%41%16%
.249.417.1686%36%23%
.233.392.1596%36%28%
.222.360.1386%34%30%
.242.406.1647%35%25%
.242.384.1426%33%25%
.219.334.1155%30%30%
#3Aaron JudgeAaron JudgeRHB
.258.554.29623%62%27%
.266.523.25717%63%25%
.226.487.26120%55%37%
.186.401.21517%48%50%
.177.368.19115%45%54%
.192.415.22317%47%45%
.240.491.25121%55%37%
.217.427.21018%51%43%
#4Luis García Jr.Luis García Jr.LHB
.306.598.29214%51%17%
.314.565.25111%52%16%
.268.526.25812%45%24%
.251.494.24312%45%28%
.238.454.21611%42%30%
.260.512.25212%44%25%
.260.484.22412%41%26%
.235.421.18610%38%30%
#5Spencer JonesSpencer JonesLHB
.277.490.21317%61%33%
.285.463.17813%62%31%
.243.431.18815%54%44%
.227.405.17815%54%53%
.216.372.15613%51%57%
.236.419.18315%52%48%
.236.397.16114%50%49%
.213.345.13212%46%57%
#6Anthony VolpeAnthony VolpeRHB
.259.368.1095%39%21%
.267.348.0814%40%20%
.227.324.0974%34%29%
.186.267.0814%30%39%
.177.245.0683%28%42%
.193.276.0834%29%35%
.241.326.0854%35%29%
.218.284.0664%32%34%
#7Ryan McMahonRyan McMahonLHB
.226.384.15810%50%26%
.232.363.1318%51%24%
.198.338.1409%44%35%
.185.318.1339%43%42%
.176.292.1168%41%45%
.192.329.1379%42%38%
.192.311.1198%40%38%
.174.271.0977%37%45%
#8Austin WellsAustin WellsLHB
.186.321.1357%46%24%
.191.303.1125%47%22%
.163.282.1196%41%32%
.152.265.1136%40%38%
.145.243.0985%38%41%
.158.274.1166%40%34%
.158.260.1026%37%35%
.143.226.0835%35%41%
#9José CaballeroJosé CaballeroRHB
.245.399.1545%28%24%
.252.376.1244%28%22%
.214.351.1374%24%32%
.176.289.1134%21%44%
.167.265.0983%20%47%
.182.299.1174%21%39%
.228.353.1254%25%32%
.206.307.1014%23%38%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHand★SpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Juan Soto
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M51.000417N/A25N/A.275.394.533.262.39416.5%92.5
Francisco Alvarez
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+424M60.000380N/A15N/A.230.315.400.280.31610.0%94.2
Ben Rice
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M51.000608N/A37N/A.259.354.523.264.37611.8%92.0
Aaron Judge
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+424M53.000276N/A17N/A.246.369.513.357.37615.6%94.0
Luis García Jr.
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+465M42.000503N/A30N/A.291.322.554.263.3734.6%91.7
Francisco Lindor
SHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+643M38.000402N/A20N/A.234.316.448.199.3349.5%91.0
Austin Wells
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+626M38.000357N/A10N/A.177.278.297.217.26211.5%91.4
Brett Baty
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+713M37.000432N/A10N/A.229.299.364.181.2948.8%90.5
Spencer Jones
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+699M36.000243N/A9N/A.264.339.454.190.3459.9%90.8
Anthony Volpe
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+774M35.000205N/A2N/A.247.327.341.179.30110.7%90.5
Ryan McMahon
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+863M34.000334N/A10N/A.215.282.356.167.2848.1%90.2
Cody Bellinger
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1125M39.000514N/A15N/A.271.346.439.164.34310.9%89.2
Bo Bichette
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M38.000631N/A16N/A.263.314.394.133.3117.0%89.6
Carson Benge
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1175M39.000591N/A17N/A.273.337.414.137.3317.6%88.6
A.J. Ewing
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1210M33.000438N/A9N/A.253.323.376.123.3119.1%89.1
José Caballero
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M31.000422N/A13N/A.233.289.369.111.2915.9%88.8
Jared Young
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1287M36.000324N/A9N/A.272.333.439.138.3386.8%88.2
Nick Morabito
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1397M30.00031N/AN/AN/A.192.323.231.039.2709.7%87.0
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
NYM · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season99.3431.222—.302.0801.29100.9110.2%26.4%27.8%15.3%26.4%10.87——6.6%33.7%27.9%——
vs LHB63.0267.225.303.336.1111.2491.298.6%26.4%28.5%—26.4%10.86——6.6%33.7%27.9%——
vs RHB36.0164.203.259.224.0211.3910.2512.8%26.4%26.8%—26.4%11.00——6.6%33.7%27.9%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3025.0112.227—.320.0931.3631.0810.7%26.4%25.0%—26.4%10.08——6.6%33.7%27.9%——
L1514.764.185—.296.1111.2921.2314.1%26.4%23.4%—26.4%9.20——6.6%33.7%27.9%——
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
NYY · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season178.7701.187—.260.0730.92160.816.0%28.9%31.4%22.8%28.9%11.08——7.9%39.7%26.2%——
vs LHB106.3422.190.250.259.0690.9790.766.6%28.9%34.4%—28.9%12.27——7.9%39.7%26.2%——
vs RHB72.0279.177.250.257.0800.8570.885.0%28.9%26.9%—28.9%9.38——7.9%39.7%26.2%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3032.0122.153—.207.0540.8820.569.0%28.9%31.1%—28.9%10.69——7.9%39.7%26.2%——
L1520.774.101—.188.0870.5820.876.8%28.9%36.5%—28.9%11.76——7.9%39.7%26.2%——
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
NYM · RHP · 7 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball47.8%—.245.342.423.178—0.0%26.7%29.3%20.4%0.0%95.5——0.0%43.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper23.1%—.194.251.258.064—0.0%30.9%34.6%24.0%0.0%81.3——0.0%19.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter18.3%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball5.4%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%81.9——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Splitter3.4%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%84.8——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker1.8%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.2——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider0.1%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%82.4——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
NYY · RHP · 5 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball44.2%—.170.231.273.103—0.0%34.5%39.9%27.4%0.0%98.0——0.0%42.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter25.4%—.219.304.402.183—0.0%23.3%23.9%23.3%0.0%94.7——0.0%35.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker19.8%—.175.245.266.091—0.0%17.0%23.8%24.0%0.0%97.8——0.0%37.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball9.6%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.3——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider1.0%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-09-13 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026