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DET@SEA
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SEA
Game 1 of 15 Wed · Aug 5, 1:40 AM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · DET vs Emerson Hancock · SEA vs Troy Melton

#1Max Clark
Max ClarkLHB#7 · Secondary Power
DET· CFvs SEA RHP Hancock
🔥 Elite
Test
82
Ceil
110
Likely
85
kHR
92
Zone
70
Form
100%
EV
94.0
Brl%
20.0%
ISO
.417
xwOBA
.658
xwOBAc
.959
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
9.1%
SwtSp%
36.3%
HH%
60.0%
elite Barrel 20%, elite ISO .417, 94.0 EV+424MODEL
#2Cal Raleigh
Cal RaleighSHB#6 · Secondary Power
SEA· Cvs DET RHP Melton
🟢 Strong
Test
78
Ceil
82
Likely
70
kHR
86
Zone
53
Form
100%
EV
94.0
Brl%
17.1%
ISO
.342
xwOBA
.460
xwOBAc
.541
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
7.6%
SwtSp%
35.1%
HH%
55.7%
elite Barrel 17%, elite ISO .342, 94.0 EV+424MODEL
#3Riley Greene
Riley GreeneLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
DET· LFvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟢 Strong
Test
72
Ceil
90
Likely
71
kHR
79
Zone
57
Form
78%
EV
91.0
Brl%
14.9%
ISO
.178
xwOBA
.367
xwOBAc
.505
SwStr%
13.7%
PullBrl
5.8%
SwtSp%
38.4%
HH%
49.5%
elite Barrel 15%, park/wind suppresses, on-platoon+424MODEL
#4Spencer Torkelson
Spencer TorkelsonRHB#6 · Secondary Power
DET· 1Bvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟢 Strong
Test
72
Ceil
84
Likely
69
kHR
77
Zone
61
Form
89%
EV
89.5
Brl%
13.2%
ISO
.208
xwOBA
.318
xwOBAc
.428
SwStr%
13.5%
PullBrl
6.4%
SwtSp%
42.2%
HH%
41.4%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .208, pull-side power+436MODEL
#5Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
DET· Cvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟢 Strong
Test
66
Ceil
83
Likely
67
kHR
70
Zone
60
Form
93%
EV
89.0
Brl%
10.8%
ISO
.244
xwOBA
.369
xwOBAc
.535
SwStr%
10.1%
PullBrl
4.5%
SwtSp%
40.2%
HH%
44.6%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .244, park/wind suppresses+564MODEL
#6Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstryLHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot
DET· RFvs SEA RHP Hancock
🟠 Longshot
Test
60
Ceil
84
Likely
63
kHR
65
Zone
52
Form
57%
EV
90.5
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.179
xwOBA
.372
xwOBAc
.478
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.4%
park/wind suppresses, on-platoon (matchup soft)+661MODEL
#7Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
SEA· RFvs DET RHP Melton
🟠 Longshot
Test
52
Ceil
48
Likely
45
kHR
60
Zone
35
Form
72%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.0%
ISO
.181
xwOBA
.390
xwOBAc
.540
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.7%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.6%
park/wind suppresses (matchup soft)+758MODEL
#8Randy Arozarena
Randy ArozarenaRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
SEA· LFvs DET RHP Melton
🟠 Longshot
Test
48
Ceil
47
Likely
43
kHR
57
Zone
33
Form
63%
EV
91.2
Brl%
8.2%
ISO
.174
xwOBA
.352
xwOBAc
.477
SwStr%
12.7%
PullBrl
2.8%
SwtSp%
37.8%
HH%
43.2%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+843MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — DET
vs Emerson Hancock (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

DETDET
vs Emerson Hancock (SEA)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — SEA
vs Troy Melton (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

SEASEA
vs Troy Melton (DET)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
DET + SEA · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
DETvsSEA

DET + SEA hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
DET Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
DET hitters vsEmerson Hancock(SEA)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Kevin McGonigleKevin McGonigleLHB
.301.465.1648%40%14%
.310.440.1306%41%13%
.264.409.1457%35%19%
.247.385.1387%35%22%
.235.353.1186%33%24%
.256.398.1427%34%20%
.256.377.1217%32%21%
.232.328.0966%30%24%
#2Gleyber TorresGleyber TorresRHB
.282.430.1489%36%19%
.291.406.1157%36%18%
.247.378.1317%31%26%
.203.311.1086%27%35%
.193.286.0936%26%38%
.210.322.1127%27%32%
.263.381.1188%32%26%
.238.331.0937%29%30%
#3Dillon DinglerDillon DinglerRHB
.284.555.27112%48%18%
.292.524.2329%49%17%
.248.488.24010%42%25%
.204.402.1989%37%34%
.194.369.1758%35%36%
.211.416.2059%36%30%
.264.492.22811%43%25%
.239.428.18910%39%29%
#4Riley GreeneRiley GreeneLHB
.288.488.20016%54%25%
.296.461.16513%55%24%
.252.429.17714%47%34%
.236.403.16714%47%41%
.224.370.14613%44%44%
.245.418.17314%46%37%
.245.395.15014%43%37%
.221.344.12312%40%44%
#5Colt KeithColt KeithLHB
.279.449.1709%44%18%
.287.424.1377%45%17%
.245.395.1507%39%24%
.229.371.1427%39%28%
.218.341.1237%37%30%
.237.384.1477%38%26%
.238.364.1267%36%26%
.215.316.1016%33%30%
#6Spencer TorkelsonSpencer TorkelsonRHB
.231.462.23115%45%26%
.238.437.19911%46%25%
.202.407.20513%39%35%
.166.335.16911%34%49%
.158.307.14910%32%52%
.172.347.17511%34%44%
.215.410.19513%40%36%
.194.356.16212%37%42%
#7Max ClarkMax ClarkLHB
.525.990.4650%60%11%
.540.935.3950%61%11%
.460.871.4110%53%15%
.430.818.3880%53%18%
.410.751.3410%50%20%
.446.847.4010%51%17%
.446.801.3550%49%17%
.404.697.2930%45%20%
#8Javier BáezJavier BáezRHB
.303.445.1423%31%22%
.312.420.1082%32%21%
.266.391.1253%28%30%
.218.322.1042%24%41%
.207.296.0892%23%44%
.226.334.1082%24%37%
.283.394.1113%28%30%
.255.343.0882%26%35%
#9Zach McKinstryZach McKinstryLHB
.222.346.1243%25%14%
.228.326.0982%26%14%
.194.304.1103%22%19%
.182.286.1043%22%23%
.173.262.0892%21%25%
.188.296.1083%22%21%
.188.280.0923%21%21%
.170.243.0732%19%25%
SEA Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
SEA hitters vsTroy Melton(DET)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Cole YoungCole YoungLHB
.282.455.1736%42%16%
.291.429.1385%43%15%
.247.400.1535%37%22%
.232.376.1445%37%26%
.220.345.1255%35%28%
.240.389.1495%36%23%
.240.368.1285%34%24%
.217.320.1034%32%28%
#2Randy ArozarenaRandy ArozarenaRHB
.296.492.1969%47%23%
.305.465.1607%48%22%
.259.433.1748%41%31%
.213.357.1447%36%43%
.202.327.1256%34%46%
.221.369.1487%35%39%
.276.436.1608%41%32%
.249.379.1307%38%37%
#3Dominic CanzoneDominic CanzoneLHB
.270.555.28516%51%24%
.278.524.24612%52%22%
.236.488.25214%45%32%
.221.459.23814%45%39%
.210.421.21112%42%41%
.229.475.24614%44%35%
.230.449.21913%41%35%
.208.391.18312%38%41%
#4Julio RodríguezJulio RodríguezRHB
.267.447.18010%46%23%
.274.422.1487%47%21%
.234.393.1598%41%31%
.192.324.1327%36%42%
.182.297.1156%34%45%
.199.335.1367%35%37%
.248.396.1489%41%31%
.225.344.1198%38%36%
#5Josh NaylorJosh NaylorLHB
.276.389.1135%39%15%
.284.367.0834%40%15%
.242.342.1004%34%21%
.226.321.0954%34%25%
.215.295.0804%32%27%
.235.333.0984%33%22%
.235.315.0804%32%23%
.212.274.0624%29%27%
#6Cal RaleighCal RaleighSHB
.170.336.16614%37%27%
.175.317.14211%38%25%
.149.295.14612%33%36%
.133.264.13112%31%46%
.126.243.11710%29%49%
.138.274.13612%30%41%
.152.286.13412%32%38%
.138.249.11111%29%44%
#7Brendan DonovanBrendan DonovanLHB
.288.488.2005%36%17%
.296.461.1654%36%16%
.252.429.1774%31%24%
.236.403.1674%31%28%
.224.370.1464%29%30%
.245.418.1734%30%25%
.245.395.1504%29%26%
.221.344.1234%27%30%
#8Taylor WardTaylor WardRHB
.258.374.1166%42%16%
.266.353.0875%43%15%
.226.329.1035%37%22%
.186.271.0855%32%30%
.177.248.0714%31%33%
.192.280.0885%32%27%
.240.331.0916%37%22%
.217.288.0715%35%26%
#9Colt EmersonColt EmersonLHB
.210.377.1675%31%28%
.216.356.1404%32%27%
.184.332.1485%28%38%
.172.311.1394%27%46%
.164.286.1224%26%49%
.179.322.1435%27%41%
.179.305.1264%25%42%
.162.265.1034%23%49%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Max Clark
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+424M70.00015N/A1N/A.500.600.917.417.62220.0%94.0
Cal Raleigh
SHB#6 · Secondary Power+424M53.000342N/A12N/A.162.266.311.342.26212.0%94.0
Riley Greene
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+424M57.000464N/A15N/A.274.366.452.178.35612.7%91.0
Spencer Torkelson
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+436M61.000437N/A20N/A.220.310.428.208.32210.5%89.5
Dillon Dingler
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+564M60.000433N/A23N/A.270.334.514.244.3656.0%89.0
Zach McKinstry
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+661M52.000299N/A4N/A.211.284.320.179.2699.4%90.5
Dominic Canzone
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+758M35.000320N/A18N/A.257.334.514.181.3639.4%90.5
Randy Arozarena
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+843M33.000450N/A14N/A.282.378.456.174.3689.8%91.2
Kevin McGonigle
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+972M56.000486N/A11N/A.287.393.431.144.36614.4%88.0
Julio Rodríguez
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+904M30.000442N/A16N/A.254.317.414.160.3197.5%90.0
Gleyber Torres
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1037M49.000244N/A6N/A.269.389.398.131.35316.0%89.3
Colt Keith
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+984M51.000316N/A8N/A.266.313.416.157.3185.7%89.9
Javier Báez
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1023M50.000101N/A2N/A.289.307.412.141.3122.0%89.5
Cole Young
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1287M35.000453N/A14N/A.269.325.421.152.3276.2%89.0
Brendan Donovan
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+1229M32.000101N/A3N/A.274.386.452.135.37110.9%89.4
Taylor Ward
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1267M32.000506N/A7N/A.246.383.346.100.33517.2%89.1
Colt Emerson
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1210M33.000215N/A7N/A.200.262.349.149.2697.0%89.7
Josh Naylor
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1351M34.000455N/A8N/A.263.326.360.097.3057.7%87.7
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season67.0260.173.274.1010.9381.078.1%26.0%23.1%6.4%26.0%8.066.2%36.2%22.0%
vs LHB37.0152.170.293.326.1561.0871.7011.2%26.0%19.1%26.0%7.056.2%36.2%22.0%
vs RHB29.3108.173.250.202.0290.7510.313.7%26.0%28.7%26.0%9.516.2%36.2%22.0%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3029.3115.175.204.0291.0210.3110.4%26.0%30.4%26.0%10.746.2%36.2%22.0%
L1517.771.197.246.0491.2410.5114.1%26.0%26.8%26.0%9.686.2%36.2%22.0%
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
SEA · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season110.3438.216.319.1031.04141.146.2%23.4%23.3%14.5%23.4%8.328.9%43.9%30.2%
vs LHB64.0252.201.279.316.1151.0291.277.1%23.4%25.4%23.4%9.008.9%43.9%30.2%
vs RHB46.0186.232.278.316.0841.0950.984.8%23.4%20.4%23.4%7.438.9%43.9%30.2%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3025.3103.211.274.0631.1120.717.8%23.4%20.4%23.4%7.468.9%43.9%30.2%
L1512.754.255.373.1181.2621.425.6%23.4%18.5%23.4%7.118.9%43.9%30.2%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball35.5%.190.289.405.2150.0%20.2%17.4%18.0%0.0%96.30.0%42.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter22.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%92.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider17.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Splitter10.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%88.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker8.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%95.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball6.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%78.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
SEA · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball39.3%.187.270.343.1560.0%23.2%27.4%20.1%0.0%95.40.0%52.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker23.2%.307.351.421.1140.0%12.3%6.3%13.8%0.0%94.80.0%49.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper17.2%.143.191.232.0890.0%36.4%42.4%19.7%0.0%77.10.0%12.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter11.6%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup4.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball3.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%76.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-08-04 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Aug 2026