Clutch Algorithm
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ARI
ARI@TB
FIRST PITCH
TB
Game 7 of 15 Sat · Jun 27, 10:10 PM
CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · ARI vs Cole Sulser · TB vs Jose Cabrera

#1Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
ARI· RFvs TB RHP Sulser
🟢 Strong
Test
75
Ceil
66
Likely
61
kHR
79
Zone
50
Form
87%
EV
91.6
Brl%
12.8%
ISO
.261
xwOBA
.363
xwOBAc
.510
SwStr%
13.2%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
30.6%
HH%
48.4%
strong Barrel 13%, elite ISO .261, off-platoon but elite power+424MODEL
#2Junior Caminero
Junior CamineroRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
TB· 3Bvs ARI RHP Cabrera
🟢 Strong
Test
67
Ceil
59
Likely
55
kHR
74
Zone
39
Form
100%
EV
93.3
Brl%
13.0%
ISO
.242
xwOBA
.369
xwOBAc
.521
SwStr%
9.1%
PullBrl
5.7%
SwtSp%
26.8%
HH%
52.1%
strong Barrel 13%, power ISO .242, 93.3 EV+479MODEL
#3Ketel Marte
Ketel MarteSHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
ARI· 2Bvs TB RHP Sulser
🟠 Longshot
Test
57
Ceil
46
Likely
49
kHR
65
Zone
47
Form
74%
EV
91.3
Brl%
10.6%
ISO
.194
xwOBA
.368
xwOBAc
.547
SwStr%
9.9%
PullBrl
5.5%
SwtSp%
32.3%
HH%
45.9%
strong Barrel 11% (matchup soft)+655MODEL
#4Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
TB· RFvs ARI RHP Cabrera
🟠 Longshot
Test
49
Ceil
49
Likely
43
kHR
58
Zone
28
Form
70%
EV
90.3
Brl%
8.9%
ISO
.179
xwOBA
.299
xwOBAc
.398
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
4.8%
SwtSp%
28.0%
HH%
39.4%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+807MODEL
#5Max Kepler
Max KeplerLHB#7 · Secondary Power
ARI· LFvs TB RHP Sulser
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
43
Likely
44
kHR
55
Zone
42
Form
70%
EV
90.4
Brl%
8.8%
ISO
.175
xwOBA
.347
xwOBAc
.411
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.6%
SwtSp%
32.6%
HH%
43.1%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+883MODEL
#6Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
TB· 1Bvs ARI RHP Cabrera
🟠 Longshot
Test
45
Ceil
53
Likely
48
kHR
57
Zone
42
Form
72%
EV
90.7
Brl%
10.4%
ISO
.172
xwOBA
.367
xwOBAc
.496
SwStr%
9.6%
PullBrl
2.8%
SwtSp%
37.6%
HH%
44.8%
off-platoon · skip unless props are cheap+825MODEL
#7Yandy Díaz
Yandy DíazRHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
TB· DHvs ARI RHP Cabrera
🔴 Fade
Test
35
Ceil
51
Likely
43
kHR
48
Zone
39
Form
67%
EV
90.6
Brl%
7.7%
ISO
.183
xwOBA
.372
xwOBAc
.525
SwStr%
6.5%
PullBrl
1.6%
SwtSp%
28.6%
HH%
46.3%
off-platoon+1125MODEL
#8Cedric Mullins
Cedric MullinsLHB#6 · Secondary Power
TB· CFvs ARI RHP Cabrera
🔴 Fade
Test
33
Ceil
41
Likely
35
kHR
42
Zone
30
Form
43%
EV
88.1
Brl%
3.8%
ISO
.116
xwOBA
.267
xwOBAc
.348
SwStr%
10.7%
PullBrl
1.7%
SwtSp%
28.9%
HH%
30.3%
low Barrel, off-platoon+1287MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — ARI
vs Cole Sulser (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

ARIARI
vs Cole Sulser (TB)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — TB
vs Jose Cabrera (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

TBTB
vs Jose Cabrera (ARI)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
ARI vs Cole Sulser
9 hitters · primary stack for the away offense
ARI

ARI hitters

vsCole Sulser(TBTB)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#3 · Premium RBI/Power+424M74.766.050.00087%78.51,299220.261.363.51013.2%5.7%91.612.8%30.6%28.4%48.4%13.661
SHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+655M56.746.047.00074%65.01,322263.194.368.5479.9%5.5%91.310.6%32.3%24.8%45.9%11.449
LHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#7 · Secondary Power+883M44.742.742.00070%55.51,849324.175.347.41111.3%3.6%90.48.8%32.6%31.5%43.1%15.244
RHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M30.741.540.00056%45.21,205224.148.372.50111.3%3.0%89.77.4%32.2%31.0%41.1%14.739
LHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M30.740.540.00057%45.451173.150.330.43811.3%3.1%89.87.5%32.2%31.0%41.2%14.739
RHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M30.737.638.00042%43.219135.116.312.33711.3%2.3%88.95.8%31.7%30.3%38.7%14.137
RHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1374M30.736.939.00028%39.31,069198.127.333.48711.5%0.9%89.32.5%42.3%21.9%37.3%13.535
SHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1422M28.733.840.00032%38.21,283229.115.331.4274.6%1.4%86.93.0%34.5%21.8%31.2%12.334
RHBARIvs TB RHP Sulser#6 · Secondary Power+1287M28.732.742.00052%41.91,139201.147.304.42510.6%2.7%85.26.4%35.8%26.0%31.0%19.336
TB vs Jose Cabrera
9 hitters · primary stack for the home offense
TB

TB hitters

vsJose Cabrera(ARIARI)RHP9 hitters · ranked by Test Score
HitterHandTmMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
RHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#3 · Premium RBI/Power+479M66.759.339.000100%74.31,349237.242.369.5219.1%5.7%93.313.0%26.8%21.3%52.1%7.755
LHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#4 · Premium RBI/Power+807M48.748.528.00070%58.01,232191.179.299.39814.0%4.8%90.38.9%28.0%28.5%39.4%16.143
LHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+825M44.752.642.00072%57.41,330207.172.367.4969.6%2.8%90.710.4%37.6%30.0%44.8%13.648
RHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1125M34.750.739.00067%48.21,303246.183.372.5256.5%1.6%90.67.7%28.6%21.8%46.3%6.243
LHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#6 · Secondary Power+1287M32.740.730.00043%41.81,049182.116.267.34810.7%1.7%88.13.8%28.9%32.1%30.3%28.235
SHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#7 · Secondary Power+1287M30.743.130.00031%42.11,236212.099.301.38011.3%2.0%88.55.0%31.5%30.0%37.4%13.836
LHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M30.747.332.00043%43.318733.119.389.55911.3%2.4%89.05.9%31.8%30.4%38.9%14.139
LHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1585M28.732.633.0005%34.01,182249.050.255.3845.0%0.0%84.10.0%24.3%14.1%13.4%1.731
LHBTBvs ARI RHP Cabrera#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1422M28.739.329.00012%38.241059.057.274.25111.3%1.1%87.42.9%30.9%29.1%34.3%13.033
ARI Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
ARI hitters vsCole Sulser(TB)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Ketel MarteKetel MarteSHB
.278.498.22012%50%17%
.286.470.1849%51%16%
.244.438.19410%44%24%
.217.392.17510%42%30%
.207.360.1539%39%32%
.225.406.18110%41%27%
.249.424.17510%43%25%
.225.369.1449%39%29%
#2Geraldo PerdomoGeraldo PerdomoSHB
.245.365.1203%34%10%
.252.345.0932%34%10%
.214.321.1073%30%14%
.191.287.0962%28%17%
.182.264.0822%27%18%
.198.297.0992%28%16%
.219.311.0923%29%14%
.198.270.0722%27%17%
#3Corbin CarrollCorbin CarrollLHB
.293.580.28714%52%24%
.301.548.24711%53%23%
.257.510.25312%46%33%
.240.479.23912%46%40%
.229.440.21111%43%42%
.249.496.24712%45%35%
.249.469.22012%42%36%
.225.408.18310%39%42%
#4Gabriel MorenoGabriel MorenoRHB
.292.480.18811%49%15%
.300.453.1538%50%14%
.256.422.1669%43%20%
.210.347.1378%38%27%
.199.319.1207%36%29%
.217.359.1428%37%24%
.272.425.15310%44%20%
.246.369.1238%40%23%
#5Adrian Del CastilloAdrian Del CastilloLHB
.200.332.1327%45%24%
.205.313.1086%46%23%
.175.292.1176%39%33%
.164.274.1106%39%40%
.156.251.0956%37%42%
.170.284.1146%38%36%
.170.268.0986%36%36%
.153.233.0805%34%42%
#6Nolan ArenadoNolan ArenadoRHB
.250.418.1687%34%20%
.257.395.1386%35%19%
.219.368.1496%30%27%
.180.303.1235%26%37%
.171.278.1075%25%40%
.186.313.1276%26%33%
.233.370.1377%30%27%
.210.322.1126%28%32%
#7Max KeplerMax KeplerLHB
#8LuJames GrooverLuJames GrooverRHB
.195.326.13113%53%13%
.201.308.10710%54%13%
.171.287.11611%46%18%
.140.236.09610%40%25%
.133.217.0849%38%27%
.145.244.09910%39%22%
.182.289.10712%47%18%
.164.251.08710%43%21%
#9Tommy TroyTommy TroyRHB
.253.443.19014%32%22%
.260.418.15811%33%21%
.222.389.16712%28%30%
.182.321.13910%25%42%
.173.294.1219%23%44%
.188.332.14411%24%37%
.236.392.15613%28%30%
.213.341.12811%26%35%
TB Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
TB hitters vsJose Cabrera(ARI)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Yandy DíazYandy DíazRHB
.348.553.2059%50%12%
.357.522.1657%51%12%
.305.486.1817%44%17%
.250.400.1507%38%23%
.238.367.1296%36%24%
.259.415.1567%37%20%
.324.490.1668%44%17%
.293.426.1337%41%19%
#2Jonathan ArandaJonathan ArandaLHB
.301.494.19312%48%19%
.310.466.1569%49%17%
.264.434.17010%42%25%
.247.408.16110%42%30%
.235.374.1399%40%32%
.256.422.16610%41%27%
.256.399.14310%39%28%
.232.347.1159%36%32%
#3Junior CamineroJunior CamineroRHB
.299.561.26214%56%19%
.308.529.22111%57%18%
.262.493.23112%49%25%
.215.406.19111%43%35%
.205.372.1679%41%37%
.223.420.19711%42%31%
.279.497.21813%50%25%
.252.432.18011%46%30%
#4Victor Mesa Jr.Victor Mesa Jr.LHB
.189.389.20012%42%25%
.194.367.1739%43%23%
.166.342.17611%37%34%
.155.321.16611%37%40%
.147.295.1489%35%43%
.161.333.17211%36%36%
.161.315.15410%34%37%
.145.274.1299%31%43%
#5Chandler SimpsonChandler SimpsonLHB
.277.339.0620%15%9%
.285.320.0350%15%9%
.243.298.0550%13%12%
.227.280.0530%13%15%
.216.257.0410%12%16%
.236.290.0540%12%13%
.236.274.0380%12%14%
.213.239.0260%11%16%
#6Cedric MullinsCedric MullinsLHB
.214.334.1204%33%19%
.220.315.0953%33%17%
.188.294.1063%29%25%
.176.276.1003%29%30%
.167.253.0863%27%32%
.182.286.1043%28%27%
.182.270.0883%27%28%
.165.235.0703%25%32%
#7Taylor WallsTaylor WallsSHB
.234.320.0863%20%19%
.241.302.0612%20%18%
.205.281.0762%17%26%
.183.252.0692%16%33%
.174.231.0572%16%35%
.190.260.0702%16%29%
.210.272.0622%17%27%
.190.237.0472%16%32%
#8Richie PalaciosRichie PalaciosLHB
.253.347.0944%29%19%
.260.327.0673%30%18%
.222.305.0833%26%26%
.208.286.0783%26%31%
.197.263.0663%24%33%
.215.297.0823%25%28%
.215.281.0663%24%28%
.195.244.0493%22%33%
#9Hunter FeducciaHunter FeducciaLHB
.237.313.0767%38%21%
.244.296.0526%39%20%
.208.275.0676%34%29%
.195.259.0646%34%34%
.185.238.0536%32%37%
.202.268.0666%33%31%
.202.253.0516%31%32%
.182.220.0385%29%37%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Corbin Carroll
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+424M50.000329N/A13N/A.279.365.537.261.38610.9%91.6
Junior Caminero
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+479M39.000342N/A19N/A.285.377.519.242.38413.2%93.3
Ketel Marte
SHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+655M47.000335N/A13N/A.265.319.461.194.3387.5%91.3
Victor Mesa Jr.
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+807M28.00060N/A3N/A.180.305.360.179.30215.0%90.3
Max Kepler
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+883M42.000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A.175N/AN/A90.4
Jonathan Aranda
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+825M42.000337N/A12N/A.287.386.457.172.36813.1%90.7
Yandy Díaz
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1125M39.000330N/A12N/A.331.412.512.183.4019.7%90.6
Cedric Mullins
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+1287M30.000265N/A6N/A.204.290.309.116.2738.7%88.1
Gabriel Moreno
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M40.000210N/A6N/A.278.362.444.148.35411.0%89.7
Adrian Del Castillo
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1192M40.000150N/A4N/A.190.253.307.150.2518.0%89.8
LuJames Groover
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M38.00049N/A1N/A.186.286.302.116.27110.2%88.9
Tommy Troy
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1374M39.00093N/A3N/A.241.323.410.127.32410.8%89.3
Taylor Walls
SHB#7 · Secondary Power+1287M30.000215N/AN/AN/A.223.325.296.099.28712.1%88.5
Richie Palacios
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1248M32.000188N/A1N/A.241.340.321.119.30411.7%89.0
Geraldo Perdomo
SHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1422M40.000325N/A4N/A.233.349.338.115.31414.8%86.9
Nolan Arenado
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1287M42.000288N/A8N/A.238.313.387.147.3098.0%85.2
Chandler Simpson
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1585M33.000303N/AN/AN/A.264.304.314.050.2775.6%84.1
Hunter Feduccia
LHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1422M29.000108N/A1N/A.226.311.290.057.27810.2%87.4
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Jose Cabrera
Jose Cabrera
ARI · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season5.018.176.176.0000.6000.000.0%31.4%16.7%31.4%5.407.1%35.7%28.6%
vs LHB1.76.167.250.167.0000.6000.000.0%31.4%16.7%31.4%5.407.1%35.7%28.6%
vs RHB3.012.167.250.167.0000.6700.000.0%31.4%16.7%31.4%6.007.1%35.7%28.6%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L305.018.176.176.0000.6000.000.0%31.4%16.7%31.4%5.407.1%35.7%28.6%
L155.018.176.176.0000.6000.000.0%31.4%16.7%31.4%5.407.1%35.7%28.6%
Cole Sulser
Cole Sulser
TB · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season2.09.375.375.0002.0000.0011.1%26.1%11.1%18.0%26.1%4.5012.5%39.2%28.9%
vs LHB20.381.176.250.176.0000.9800.008.6%26.1%25.9%26.1%9.3012.5%39.2%28.9%
vs RHB10.761.429.500.643.2142.7243.388.2%26.1%19.7%26.1%10.1212.5%39.2%28.9%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L302.09.375.375.0002.0000.0011.1%26.1%11.1%26.1%4.5012.5%39.2%28.9%
L152.09.375.375.0002.0000.0011.1%26.1%11.1%26.1%4.5012.5%39.2%28.9%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Jose Cabrera
Jose Cabrera
ARI · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Cutter24.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper21.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam17.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%94.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball17.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup11.3%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker8.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%93.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cole Sulser
Cole Sulser
TB · RHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball45.0%.293.373.534.2410.0%21.2%22.2%21.9%0.0%92.00.0%46.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup39.7%.256.324.419.1630.0%36.4%32.7%20.5%0.0%83.50.0%32.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter11.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sweeper3.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-06-27 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jun 2026