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CT
SF
SF@TEX
IN PROGRESS
TEX
Game 1 of 15 Wed · Aug 5, 12:05 AM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · SF vs MacKenzie Gore · TEX vs Blade Tidwell

#1Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
SF· 1Bvs TEX LHP Gore
🟢 Strong
Test
75
Ceil
113
Likely
76
kHR
76
Zone
50
Form
88%
EV
92.3
Brl%
10.9%
ISO
.229
xwOBA
.328
xwOBAc
.459
SwStr%
14.0%
PullBrl
3.6%
SwtSp%
32.2%
HH%
50.7%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .229, park/wind boost+445MODEL
#2Willy Adames
Willy AdamesRHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
SF· SSvs TEX LHP Gore
🟢 Strong
Test
67
Ceil
102
Likely
71
kHR
68
Zone
56
Form
71%
EV
87.5
Brl%
8.5%
ISO
.191
xwOBA
.291
xwOBAc
.410
SwStr%
13.8%
PullBrl
4.2%
SwtSp%
36.3%
HH%
38.6%
pull-side power, park/wind boost, on-platoon+609MODEL
#3Corey Seager
Corey SeagerLHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power
TEX· DHvs SF RHP Tidwell
🟡 Viable
Test
61
Ceil
74
Likely
57
kHR
68
Zone
37
Form
87%
EV
91.4
Brl%
10.8%
ISO
.216
xwOBA
.415
xwOBAc
.514
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
4.5%
SwtSp%
33.2%
HH%
46.2%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .216 (matchup soft)+609MODEL
#4Wyatt Langford
Wyatt LangfordRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
TEX· LFvs SF RHP Tidwell
🟠 Longshot
Test
57
Ceil
71
Likely
54
kHR
63
Zone
36
Form
74%
EV
90.8
Brl%
9.5%
ISO
.190
xwOBA
.384
xwOBAc
.457
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
32.9%
HH%
44.2%
park/wind boost (matchup soft)+686MODEL
#5Evan Carter
Evan CarterLHB#6 · Secondary Power
TEX· CFvs SF RHP Tidwell
🟠 Longshot
Test
57
Ceil
66
Likely
51
kHR
63
Zone
29
Form
71%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.5%
ISO
.192
xwOBA
.282
xwOBAc
.383
SwStr%
13.4%
PullBrl
3.8%
SwtSp%
30.4%
HH%
42.7%
park/wind boost (matchup soft)+686MODEL
#6Brandon Nimmo
Brandon NimmoLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
TEX· RFvs SF RHP Tidwell
🟠 Longshot
Test
53
Ceil
75
Likely
57
kHR
64
Zone
40
Form
61%
EV
92.2
Brl%
11.5%
ISO
.164
xwOBA
.370
xwOBAc
.539
SwStr%
11.2%
PullBrl
3.5%
SwtSp%
37.2%
HH%
51.6%
strong Barrel 12%, park/wind boost (matchup soft)+680MODEL
#7Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis BasabeRHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
SF· 2Bvs TEX LHP Gore
🟠 Longshot
Test
47
Ceil
106
Likely
66
kHR
55
Zone
50
Form
53%
EV
89.7
Brl%
7.4%
ISO
.148
xwOBA
.323
xwOBAc
.416
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.0%
SwtSp%
32.2%
HH%
41.1%
no standout edge+904MODEL
#8Daniel Susac
Daniel SusacRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
SF· Cvs TEX LHP Gore
🟠 Longshot
Test
47
Ceil
106
Likely
66
kHR
54
Zone
50
Form
46%
EV
89.5
Brl%
7.1%
ISO
.142
xwOBA
.339
xwOBAc
.463
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
2.9%
SwtSp%
32.1%
HH%
40.6%
no standout edge+914MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — SF
vs MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

SFSF
vs MacKenzie Gore (TEX)LHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — TEX
vs Blade Tidwell (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

TEXTEX
vs Blade Tidwell (SF)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
SF + TEX · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
SFvsTEX

SF + TEX hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
SF Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
SF hitters vsMacKenzie Gore(TEX)LHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Osleivis BasabeOsleivis BasabeRHB
.3501.200.50047%77%22%
.3601.133.50037%79%21%
.3061.055.50041%68%30%
.287.992.50041%68%36%
.273.910.50036%64%39%
.2971.027.50041%66%33%
.297.971.50039%62%33%
.269.844.50035%58%39%
#2Jung Hoo LeeJung Hoo LeeLHB
.316.469.1533%31%11%
.325.443.1182%31%11%
.277.412.1352%27%15%
.227.339.1122%23%21%
.216.311.0952%22%22%
.235.351.1162%23%19%
.294.415.1212%27%15%
.266.361.0952%25%18%
#3Willy AdamesWilly AdamesRHB
.235.450.21510%42%25%
.242.425.1837%43%23%
.206.396.1908%37%33%
.193.372.1798%37%40%
.183.342.1597%35%43%
.200.385.1858%36%36%
.200.364.1648%34%37%
.181.317.1367%32%43%
#4Rafael DeversRafael DeversLHB
.263.519.25612%55%24%
.270.491.2219%56%23%
.230.457.22710%48%33%
.189.376.1879%42%45%
.179.345.1668%40%48%
.196.389.1939%41%41%
.244.460.21611%48%33%
.221.400.17910%45%39%
#5Daniel SusacDaniel SusacRHB
.277.435.1586%35%20%
.285.411.1265%36%18%
.243.383.1406%31%26%
.227.360.1336%31%32%
.216.330.1145%29%34%
.236.372.1366%30%29%
.236.352.1165%29%29%
.213.306.0935%26%34%
#6Buddy KennedyBuddy KennedyRHB
.062.127.0650%32%22%
.064.120.0560%33%21%
.054.112.0580%29%29%
.051.105.0540%28%35%
.048.097.0490%27%38%
.053.109.0560%28%32%
.053.103.0500%26%32%
.048.090.0420%24%38%
#7Eddys LeonardEddys LeonardRHB
#8Grant McCrayGrant McCrayLHB
.150.309.1597%14%26%
.154.292.1385%14%25%
.132.272.1406%12%36%
.108.224.1165%10%49%
.103.205.1025%10%52%
.112.232.1205%10%44%
.140.274.1346%12%36%
.126.238.1126%11%42%
#9Christian KossChristian KossRHB
.175.205.0303%25%24%
.180.194.0143%26%22%
.154.180.0263%22%32%
.144.170.0263%22%38%
.137.156.0192%21%41%
.149.176.0273%22%34%
.149.166.0173%21%35%
.135.144.0092%19%41%
TEX Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
TEX hitters vsBlade Tidwell(SF)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Joc PedersonJoc PedersonLHB
.266.550.28413%53%26%
.273.519.24610%54%24%
.233.484.25111%47%35%
.218.454.23611%46%41%
.207.417.21010%44%44%
.226.470.24411%45%37%
.226.445.21910%43%38%
.204.387.1839%40%44%
#2Wyatt LangfordWyatt LangfordRHB
.286.542.25610%42%20%
.294.512.2187%43%19%
.250.477.2278%37%27%
.205.393.1887%32%38%
.195.360.1656%30%40%
.213.406.1937%31%34%
.266.480.2149%37%28%
.240.418.1788%34%32%
#3Corey SeagerCorey SeagerLHB
.197.406.20917%49%30%
.203.384.18113%50%29%
.173.357.18415%43%41%
.162.336.17415%43%49%
.154.308.15413%41%53%
.168.347.17915%42%44%
.168.329.16114%40%45%
.152.286.13412%37%53%
#4Brandon NimmoBrandon NimmoLHB
.284.471.18713%56%19%
.292.445.15310%57%18%
.248.414.16611%49%26%
.232.389.15711%49%31%
.221.357.13610%46%33%
.241.403.16211%48%28%
.241.381.14011%45%28%
.218.331.1139%42%33%
#5Ezequiel DuranEzequiel DuranRHB
.279.473.1947%38%22%
.287.447.1605%39%21%
.245.416.1716%34%30%
.201.343.1425%29%41%
.191.314.1235%28%44%
.208.355.1475%29%37%
.260.419.1596%34%30%
.235.364.1296%31%35%
#6Evan CarterEvan CarterLHB
.217.377.1607%40%24%
.224.356.1325%41%23%
.190.332.1426%35%33%
.178.311.1336%35%40%
.170.286.1165%33%42%
.185.322.1376%34%35%
.185.305.1206%33%36%
.167.265.0985%30%42%
#7Elias DíazElias DíazRHB
.258.469.2116%38%25%
.266.443.1774%39%23%
.226.412.1865%34%34%
.186.339.1534%29%46%
.177.311.1344%28%49%
.192.351.1594%29%41%
.240.415.1755%34%34%
.217.361.1445%31%39%
#8Nicky LopezNicky LopezLHB
.296.345.0490%25%16%
.305.325.0200%25%15%
.259.303.0440%22%22%
.243.285.0420%22%26%
.231.261.0300%21%28%
.252.295.0430%21%23%
.252.279.0270%20%24%
.228.242.0140%19%28%
#9Justin FoscueJustin FoscueRHB
.269.511.24212%43%17%
.276.482.2069%44%16%
.236.449.21310%38%23%
.193.370.1779%33%32%
.184.339.1558%31%34%
.200.383.1839%32%29%
.250.453.20311%38%23%
.226.394.16810%35%27%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHandSpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Rafael Devers
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+445M50.000476N/A23N/A.250.324.481.229.3449.9%92.3
Willy Adames
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+609M56.000449N/A18N/A.224.281.417.191.3036.9%87.5
Corey Seager
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+609M37.000230N/A10N/A.188.296.376.216.29512.6%91.4
Wyatt Langford
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+686M36.000259N/A13N/A.272.317.502.190.3525.8%90.8
Evan Carter
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+686M29.000313N/A8N/A.207.322.349.192.30513.1%90.5
Brandon Nimmo
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+680M40.000449N/A11N/A.270.339.436.164.3388.2%92.2
Osleivis Basabe
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+904M50.00010N/A2N/A.333.4001.111.148.6080.0%89.7
Daniel Susac
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+914M50.000145N/A3N/A.264.308.403.142.3084.8%89.5
Christian Koss
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+997M48.00045N/AN/AN/A.167.222.190.104.1944.4%88.6
Jung Hoo Lee
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1141M53.000411N/A6N/A.301.338.434.146.3374.1%86.8
Buddy Kennedy
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+1158M46.00019N/AN/AN/A.059.158.118.034.14010.5%86.8
Grant McCray
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1079M46.00025N/A1N/A.143.217.286.091.2278.0%88.3
Ezequiel Duran
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+1109M30.000390N/A12N/A.266.319.438.181.3286.9%88.6
Joc Pederson
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+1141M32.000338N/A20N/A.253.341.509.147.36411.2%89.7
Elias Díaz
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1141M36.000128N/A5N/A.246.262.434.158.2981.6%90.8
Nicky Lopez
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1158M36.000182N/A1N/A.282.326.319.158.2914.9%89.4
Justin Foscue
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1192M30.000142N/A7N/A.256.317.473.111.3417.0%88.8
Eddys Leonard
RHB#7 · Secondary Power+1900M.000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A.000N/AN/A0.0
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Blade Tidwell
Blade Tidwell
SF · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season4.319.278.278.0001.4000.005.3%31.0%15.8%31.0%6.236.1%36.4%15.2%
vs LHB5.024.273.354.409.1361.6011.808.3%31.0%16.7%31.0%7.206.1%36.4%15.2%
vs RHB7.023.182.250.182.0000.7100.004.3%31.0%26.1%31.0%7.716.1%36.4%15.2%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L304.319.278.278.0001.4000.005.3%31.0%15.8%31.0%6.236.1%36.4%15.2%
L154.319.278.278.0001.4000.005.3%31.0%15.8%31.0%6.236.1%36.4%15.2%
MacKenzie Gore
MacKenzie Gore
TEX · LHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season127.7544.230.328.0981.25161.138.6%25.3%25.7%13.3%25.3%9.879.2%42.4%26.4%
vs LHB27.7131.278.331.330.0521.7320.6512.2%25.3%20.6%25.3%8.789.2%42.4%26.4%
vs RHB94.7392.214.290.330.1161.12141.337.1%25.3%27.8%25.3%10.369.2%42.4%26.4%
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
L3026.7111.210.360.1501.0551.696.3%25.3%26.1%25.3%9.799.2%42.4%26.4%
L1517.069.206.302.0961.0621.067.2%25.3%26.1%25.3%9.539.2%42.4%26.4%
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Blade Tidwell
Blade Tidwell
SF · RHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Sweeper38.5%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%82.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam38.2%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%95.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker10.7%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%94.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider8.0%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%87.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup3.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball0.8%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%83.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
MacKenzie Gore
MacKenzie Gore
TEX · LHP · 6 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball45.8%.243.310.381.1380.0%22.0%22.3%21.3%0.0%95.40.0%40.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball19.4%.219.297.427.2080.0%31.3%29.1%18.5%0.0%81.80.0%46.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup11.4%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%86.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider9.9%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter8.1%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%89.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sinker5.5%.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%95.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-08-04 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Aug 2026