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CT
LAA
LAA@WSH
FIRST PITCH
WSH
Game 2 of 15 Sun · Sep 13, 5:35 PM
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CLUTCH HR Matchup
Verdict cards sorted by Test Score · tap a star to favorite

CLUTCH HR Matchup Table

18 batters · LAA vs Riley Cornelio · WSH vs Grayson Rodriguez

#1Yohandy Morales
Yohandy MoralesRHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power
WSH· 1Bvs LAA RHP Rodriguez
🔥 Elite
Test
80
Ceil
72
Likely
68
kHR
88
Zone
57
Form
100%
EV
94.0
Brl%
17.4%
ISO
.348
xwOBA
.395
xwOBAc
.566
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
7.7%
SwtSp%
35.2%
HH%
56.1%
elite Barrel 17%, elite ISO .348, 94.0 EV+424MODEL
#2James Wood
James WoodLHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
WSH· RFvs LAA RHP Rodriguez
🟢 Strong
Test
68
Ceil
58
Likely
59
kHR
85
Zone
41
Form
100%
EV
95.4
Brl%
20.4%
ISO
.260
xwOBA
.415
xwOBAc
.561
SwStr%
11.4%
PullBrl
6.8%
SwtSp%
37.9%
HH%
58.6%
elite Barrel 20%, elite ISO .260, 95.4 EV+424MODEL
#3CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsLHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power
WSH· SSvs LAA RHP Rodriguez
🟡 Viable
Test
60
Ceil
39
Likely
44
kHR
66
Zone
34
Form
88%
EV
89.6
Brl%
10.1%
ISO
.231
xwOBA
.327
xwOBAc
.455
SwStr%
15.2%
PullBrl
4.5%
SwtSp%
33.2%
HH%
41.1%
strong Barrel 10%, power ISO .231 (matchup soft)+631MODEL
#4Mike Trout
Mike TroutRHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
LAA· DHvs WSH RHP Cornelio
🟠 Longshot
Test
58
Ceil
41
Likely
50
kHR
72
Zone
46
Form
86%
EV
90.0
Brl%
15.7%
ISO
.186
xwOBA
.377
xwOBAc
.498
SwStr%
10.1%
PullBrl
5.5%
SwtSp%
37.8%
HH%
45.3%
elite Barrel 16% (matchup soft)+529MODEL
#5Zach Neto
Zach NetoRHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
LAA· SSvs WSH RHP Cornelio
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
36
Likely
43
kHR
64
Zone
36
Form
78%
EV
89.7
Brl%
11.6%
ISO
.198
xwOBA
.310
xwOBAc
.418
SwStr%
16.8%
PullBrl
5.6%
SwtSp%
37.8%
HH%
40.9%
strong Barrel 12%, pull-side power (matchup soft)+667MODEL
#6Josh Lowe
Josh LoweLHB#7 · Secondary Power
LAA· RFvs WSH RHP Cornelio
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
38
Likely
44
kHR
64
Zone
35
Form
88%
EV
90.9
Brl%
11.4%
ISO
.219
xwOBA
.322
xwOBAc
.449
SwStr%
17.5%
PullBrl
5.3%
SwtSp%
35.2%
HH%
45.0%
strong Barrel 11%, power ISO .219 (matchup soft)+667MODEL
#7Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec OrtizLHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)
WSH· DHvs LAA RHP Rodriguez
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
39
Likely
44
kHR
62
Zone
39
Form
73%
EV
90.5
Brl%
9.1%
ISO
.182
xwOBA
.322
xwOBAc
.418
SwStr%
11.3%
PullBrl
3.8%
SwtSp%
32.7%
HH%
43.6%
borderline · only at +500 odds or better+720MODEL
#8Daylen Lile
Daylen LileLHB#6 · Secondary Power
WSH· LFvs LAA RHP Rodriguez
🟠 Longshot
Test
54
Ceil
37
Likely
43
kHR
61
Zone
39
Form
66%
EV
88.7
Brl%
9.3%
ISO
.182
xwOBA
.326
xwOBAc
.478
SwStr%
13.0%
PullBrl
3.9%
SwtSp%
38.2%
HH%
38.3%
pull-side power (matchup soft)+728MODEL
Top 5 HR Threats — LAA
vs Riley Cornelio (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

LAALAA
vs Riley Cornelio (WSH)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
Top 5 HR Threats — WSH
vs Grayson Rodriguez (RHP)

Top 5 HR Threats

WSHWSH
vs Grayson Rodriguez (LAA)RHP
#PlayerHRScTRUEOddsImplEDGEGradeTagNotes
LAA + WSH · Combined Hitter Matrix
Both lineups in one table · sticky HITTER + TEAM columns · filter to one side with the chips
LAAvsWSH

LAA + WSH hitters

combined matrix · click any header to sort · click a row for detail
HitterTeamHandMtchSpotOddsTestCeilZoneFormkHRPchBIPISOxwOBAxwOBAcSwStPBr%EVBrl%Swt%FBHHLALk
LAA Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
LAA hitters vsRiley Cornelio(WSH)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1Zach NetoZach NetoRHB
.252.471.21913%44%28%
.259.445.18610%45%26%
.221.414.19311%39%38%
.181.341.1609%34%52%
.172.313.1418%32%55%
.188.353.16510%33%46%
.235.417.18211%39%38%
.212.363.15110%36%44%
#2Mike TroutMike TroutRHB
.255.462.20717%49%21%
.262.437.17513%50%20%
.224.407.18315%43%29%
.183.335.15213%37%40%
.174.307.13312%35%43%
.190.347.15713%37%36%
.238.410.17216%43%29%
.215.356.14114%40%34%
#3Wade MecklerWade MecklerLHB
.311.420.1093%37%19%
.320.397.0773%37%18%
.272.370.0983%32%25%
.255.347.0923%32%30%
.242.319.0773%30%32%
.264.359.0953%31%27%
.264.340.0763%30%28%
.239.296.0573%27%32%
#4Vaughn GrissomVaughn GrissomRHB
.254.418.1648%40%19%
.261.395.1346%41%18%
.223.368.1457%35%26%
.183.303.1206%31%35%
.174.278.1045%29%38%
.189.313.1246%30%32%
.237.370.1337%35%26%
.214.322.1086%33%30%
#5Moisés BallesterosMoisés BallesterosLHB
.228.368.14010%51%24%
.234.348.1147%52%22%
.200.324.1248%45%32%
.187.304.1178%45%38%
.178.279.1017%42%41%
.194.315.1218%44%34%
.194.298.1048%41%35%
.175.259.0847%38%41%
#6Denzer GuzmanDenzer GuzmanRHB
.236.383.1477%37%22%
.243.362.1195%38%21%
.207.337.1306%33%30%
.170.278.1085%28%41%
.161.255.0944%27%44%
.176.287.1115%28%37%
.220.340.1206%33%30%
.199.295.0965%30%35%
#7Josh LoweJosh LoweLHB
.215.380.1659%40%27%
.221.359.1387%41%25%
.189.334.1458%35%36%
.177.314.1378%35%43%
.168.288.1207%33%46%
.183.325.1428%34%39%
.183.308.1258%32%40%
.166.268.1027%30%46%
#8Jose SiriJose SiriRHB
.237.432.19516%46%31%
.244.408.16412%46%29%
.208.380.17214%40%42%
.170.313.14312%35%58%
.162.287.12511%33%62%
.177.324.14712%34%52%
.221.383.16214%40%42%
.200.333.13313%37%49%
#9Christian MooreChristian MooreRHB
.196.297.1019%42%27%
.202.281.0797%43%25%
.172.261.0898%37%36%
.141.215.0747%32%49%
.134.197.0636%30%53%
.146.223.0777%31%44%
.183.263.0808%37%36%
.165.229.0647%34%42%
WSH Pitch-Mix Matrix
BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% vs each pitch type
WSH hitters vsGrayson Rodriguez(LAA)RHP·BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf% per cell
BatterFastballSinkerCutterSliderSweeperCurveballChangeupSplitter
StatBA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%BA / SLG / ISO / Brl% / HH% / Whf%
#1James WoodJames WoodLHB
.279.565.28622%63%26%
.287.533.24617%64%24%
.245.497.25219%56%35%
.229.467.23819%55%42%
.218.428.21017%52%45%
.237.483.24620%54%38%
.238.457.21919%51%38%
.215.397.18216%47%45%
#2Abimelec OrtizAbimelec OrtizLHB
.229.432.20310%42%20%
.235.408.1738%43%19%
.201.380.1798%37%28%
.188.357.1698%37%33%
.179.328.1497%35%35%
.195.370.1759%36%30%
.195.350.1558%34%30%
.176.304.1287%31%35%
#3Andrés ChaparroAndrés ChaparroRHB
.264.537.27313%48%28%
.271.507.23610%49%26%
.231.472.24112%42%37%
.189.389.20010%37%51%
.180.357.1779%35%54%
.196.402.20610%36%46%
.245.476.23112%43%37%
.222.414.19211%39%44%
#4CJ AbramsCJ AbramsLHB
.275.532.25711%45%25%
.283.503.2209%46%24%
.241.468.22710%39%34%
.226.440.21410%39%41%
.215.404.1899%37%44%
.234.456.22210%38%37%
.234.431.1979%36%37%
.212.375.1638%33%44%
#5Yohandy MoralesYohandy MoralesRHB
.274.658.38422%79%35%
.282.621.33917%81%33%
.240.579.33919%70%47%
.197.476.27917%61%65%
.187.437.25015%57%69%
.204.493.28917%59%58%
.255.583.32820%70%47%
.231.507.27618%65%55%
#6Daylen LileDaylen LileLHB
.258.461.20310%41%20%
.266.436.1708%42%19%
.226.406.1809%36%27%
.212.381.1699%36%33%
.201.350.1498%34%35%
.220.395.1759%35%30%
.220.373.1538%33%30%
.199.325.1267%31%35%
#7Keibert RuizKeibert RuizSHB
.303.501.1986%40%12%
.312.473.1614%40%11%
.266.441.1755%35%16%
.237.394.1575%33%21%
.225.362.1374%31%22%
.246.408.1625%32%19%
.272.427.1555%34%17%
.246.371.1254%31%20%
#8José TenaJosé TenaLHB
.238.407.16910%50%29%
.245.385.1407%51%27%
.209.358.1498%44%39%
.195.336.1418%44%47%
.186.309.1237%42%51%
.203.348.1458%43%43%
.203.329.1268%41%43%
.183.287.1047%38%51%
#9Jacob YoungJacob YoungRHB
.261.419.1587%33%18%
.269.396.1275%34%17%
.229.369.1406%29%24%
.188.303.1155%25%33%
.179.278.0994%24%36%
.195.314.1195%25%30%
.243.371.1286%29%25%
.220.323.1035%27%29%
Batter Intelligence
Full Stats · Strikes · Statcast — every batter in the game
BatterHand★SpotOddsZonePAL5HRNrHRBAOBPSLGISOwOBABB%EV
Yohandy Morales
RHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+424M57.00023N/A2N/A.261.261.609.348.3650.0%94.0
James Wood
LHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+424M41.000575N/A30N/A.266.393.523.260.39216.9%95.4
CJ Abrams
LHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+631M34.000609N/A30N/A.262.338.493.231.3578.7%89.6
Mike Trout
RHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+529M46.000575N/A21N/A.243.376.428.186.35316.0%90.0
Zach Neto
RHB#1 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+667M36.000639N/A25N/A.240.319.436.198.3318.6%89.7
Josh Lowe
LHB#7 · Secondary Power+667M35.000304N/A11N/A.205.275.352.219.2778.2%90.9
Abimelec Ortiz
LHB#2 · Table Setter (Extra PA)+720M39.000116N/A5N/A.218.259.400.182.2835.2%90.5
Daylen Lile
LHB#6 · Secondary Power+728M39.000610N/A20N/A.246.300.427.182.3146.4%88.7
Moisés Ballesteros
LHB#5 · Premium RBI/Power+790M38.000304N/A8N/A.217.280.341.176.2768.2%90.4
Denzer Guzman
RHB#6 · Secondary Power+873M37.000248N/A7N/A.225.269.355.167.2765.2%90.2
Christian Moore
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+863M38.000100N/A1N/A.187.250.275.172.2377.0%90.3
José Tena
LHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1229M34.000278N/A7N/A.227.309.377.112.3059.7%88.8
Wade Meckler
LHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1329M31.000278N/A3N/A.296.370.389.079.3409.7%88.0
Vaughn Grissom
RHB#4 · Premium RBI/Power+1422M31.000414N/A11N/A.242.306.387.029.3066.5%86.7
Jose Siri
RHB#8 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1374M31.000210N/A8N/A.226.285.400.062.2986.2%87.5
Andrés Chaparro
RHB#3 · Premium RBI/Power+1351M32.000197N/A10N/A.251.350.497.076.36910.7%87.9
Keibert Ruiz
SHB#7 · Secondary Power+1351M32.000329N/A10N/A.289.325.464.071.3404.9%87.8
Jacob Young
RHB#9 · Low-Lineup Longshot+1287M38.000440N/A10N/A.249.317.388.138.3127.3%88.2
Pitcher Intelligence
Season · vs LHB · vs RHB · Home · Away · L30 · L15
Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez
LAA · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season81.7370.278—.407.1291.57141.5410.0%23.7%20.3%12.1%23.7%8.27——9.5%46.0%28.6%——
vs LHB45.0219.306.395.446.1401.8991.8011.9%23.7%18.7%—23.7%8.20——9.5%46.0%28.6%——
vs RHB36.7151.229.298.336.1071.1751.237.3%23.7%22.5%—23.7%8.35——9.5%46.0%28.6%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L3026.7116.269—.413.1441.4651.699.5%23.7%21.6%—23.7%8.44——9.5%46.0%28.6%——
L1515.772.312—.500.1881.7242.309.7%23.7%19.4%—23.7%8.04——9.5%46.0%28.6%——
Riley Cornelio
Riley Cornelio
WSH · RHP · 7 split rows
SplitIPBFBAAwOBASLGISOWHIPHRHR/9BB%WhfK%PA%SwSK/91stPSMB%Brl%HHFBHRFBPAir
Season3.09.000—.000.0000.0000.000.0%34.0%44.4%—34.0%12.00——8.8%48.5%30.9%——
vs LHB13.359.152.261.152.0001.5000.0022.0%34.0%16.9%—34.0%6.75——8.8%48.5%30.9%——
vs RHB12.357.265.363.388.1231.7021.4614.0%34.0%29.8%—34.0%12.41——8.8%48.5%30.9%——
HomePhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
AwayPhase 3N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A————
L303.09.000—.000.0000.0000.000.0%34.0%44.4%—34.0%12.00——8.8%48.5%30.9%——
L153.09.000—.000.0000.0000.000.0%34.0%44.4%—34.0%12.00——8.8%48.5%30.9%——
Pitcher Arsenal
Full pitch-by-pitch attack matrix · 23 columns
Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez
LAA · RHP · 4 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
4-Seam Fastball53.1%—.298.393.547.249—0.0%16.8%17.3%14.9%0.0%96.2——0.0%54.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Changeup25.5%—.222.302.333.111—0.0%34.9%27.5%16.4%0.0%83.2——0.0%31.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Curveball10.7%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.9——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Slider10.7%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%85.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Riley Cornelio
Riley Cornelio
WSH · RHP · 3 pitches
PitchUseBBEBAwOBASLGISOHRBB%WhfK%PA%SwSVeloEVLABrl%HHPBr%PAirFBLDGB
Slider49.9%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%84.6——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4-Seam42.8%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%96.5——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cutter7.3%—.000.000.000.000—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%90.0——0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Game Intelligence · ALGO HR Engine™Slate 2026-09-13 CT
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Sep 2026